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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Newcastle is $1.55m, with units at $1.00m. House values have moved -0.3% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Sales Detail
Newcastle has an estimated 5,225 residents, up from 3,852 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,373 people, or 35.6%. Growth has averaged 6.6% a year over five years, faster than 96% of areas nationally. 374 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 56.0% of that increase. That puts 4,544 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Demographic assessments incorporating broader ABS figures alongside post-Census address confirmations place the population of the suburb of Newcastle at approximately 5,225 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 1,373 people (35.6%) from the 3,852 people tallied at the 2021 Census. Such gains stem from an estimated base of 5,065 residents identified through the ABS ERP release from June 2025, complemented by 374 validated new addresses added after the Census. Consequently, population density has reached 4,543 persons per square kilometer, ranking the suburb of Newcastle within the top 10% of locations nationally in AreaSearch benchmarks and highlighting intense demand for local space.
With its 35.6% expansion since the 2021 census, the suburb of Newcastle outpaced both the Rest of NSW (5.1%) and the wider SA4 region, establishing itself at the forefront of regional growth. Net overseas migration served as the principal demographic engine, accounting for roughly 56.00000000000001% of recent population gains, though positive momentum was also sustained across natural growth and interstate migration. Projections for the suburb of Newcastle utilize ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 modeling published in 2024 (anchored to 2022), supplemented by 2022 NSW State Government SA2 forecasts (anchored to 2021) for areas lacking national coverage. Cohort-specific expansion rates derived from these datasets are applied to the 2032 to 2041 timeframe. Demographic modeling points toward exceptional forward momentum, ranking the area in the top 10 percent of national regional areas. Projections across aggregated SA2 boundaries anticipate that the suburb of Newcastle will expand by 2,419 persons to 2041, which represents an overall gain of 43.2% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
548 new dwellings have been approved in Newcastle over the past five years, an average of 109 a year. That places the area in the 96th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 21 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 84 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 2% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 35, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations of ABS building approval figures, Newcastle registers approximately 109 residential dwelling approvals per annum, totaling roughly 548 approved homes across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 35 recorded to date in FY-25. Over this same span of the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new arrivals averaged 3.3 new residents per year for each newly built home, creating an environment where residential demand outstrips newly added stock, a dynamic that typically fosters heightened purchaser competition and capital appreciation. In terms of construction expenditure, approvals reflect an average expected construction cost of $543,000 per dwelling, moderately above regional levels, which highlights a focus on superior build standards.
In addition, commercial approvals have totaled $100.3 million this financial year, underscoring substantial non-residential investment. Per capita building activity in Newcastle surpasses the Rest of NSW by 250.0%, presenting purchasers with a diverse array of residential options. This volume sits substantially higher than the national standard, reflecting solid builder and developer optimism. The pipeline of recent approvals consists of 2.0% detached houses alongside 98.0% medium and high-density housing formats. Such emphasis on multi-unit planning offers accessible price points catering effectively to first-home buyers, downsizers, and investors. Currently, the market averages about 31 people per dwelling approval, denoting a rapidly expanding development landscape. Looking forward, the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate projects that Newcastle will add 2,259 residents through to 2041. If residential construction volumes remain at current levels, the incoming supply of new homes may struggle to keep pace with population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Newcastle
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 10 current infrastructure and development projects inside Newcastle, worth an estimated $67.6 billion. A further 50 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $71.3 billion. 18 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
The evolution of a region is heavily guided by infrastructure investments, planning frameworks, and major works. AreaSearch has pinpointed 37 projects positioned to influence the area. Among the prominent developments are East End Newcastle, Dairy Farmers Towers, Pottery Lane Residential Development - Newcastle, and The Store Newcastle, with the key initiatives outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
East End Newcastle
Iris Capital is delivering a $1 billion urban renewal project transforming four city blocks in Newcastle's historic East End. The final phase, comprising Stages 3 and 4, includes five distinct buildings: Lyrique, Kingston, Portline, Gibbs and Moore, and Bluebell. This release adds luxury apartments and a new Italian-inspired public Market Square with approximately 1,731 square metres of retail space. The project integrates heritage preservation of the former David Jones and Municipal buildings with modern resident amenities including a rooftop pool, gym, and hydrotherapy spa.The precinct is designed to reconnect the city with the harbor and is supported by significant public domain upgrades by the City of Newcastle.
East End Village - Hunter Street Revitalisation
Multimillion-dollar revitalisation project for Hunter Street's eastern precinct, reinstating it as a traditional high street with new paving, roadway, footpaths, multi-function street lighting, street furniture, landscaping, new public spaces, enhanced pedestrian facilities, and cycleway extensions. It is being delivered across multiple stages with more than $16 million invested in the initial three phases and an additional $16.7 million in federal funding for the upcoming fourth phase.
High Speed Rail - Newcastle to Sydney (Line 1)
High Speed Rail Line 1 will connect Newcastle to Sydney on a new dedicated 194km rail line with trains capable of speeds up to 320 km/h on surface sections and 200 km/h in tunnels. Around 115km of the route will run through tunnels. The line will reduce travel time between Newcastle and Sydney to around one hour, with Central Coast trips of about 30 minutes. Six stations are proposed at central Newcastle (Broadmeadow), Lake Macquarie, the Central Coast (Gosford), Sydney Central, Parramatta and Western Sydney International Airport.Following release of the business case in early 2026, the project moved into a two-year Development Phase, with the Australian Government investing a further $230 million for design refinement, environmental and planning approvals, and corridor preservation. The first two major contract packages went to tender in 2026: Area Package 1 (around 35km of twin TBM tunnels, an underground station and associated civil works) and Trains, Systems and Systems Integration (supply of trains, design of all systems, rail depot and operations control centre). The Newcastle to Sydney section is estimated to cost around $61.2 billion by 2039, with a further $32 billion to extend to Western Sydney International Airport by 2042. The project is forecast to support up to 15,000 construction jobs annually at peak and add around $250 billion to the Australian economy over a 50-year appraisal period.
Dairy Farmers Towers
A landmark redevelopment of the historic Dairy Farmers Corner featuring two residential towers of 30 and 25 storeys. The project delivers 191 luxury apartments and five levels of commercial space. It incorporates heritage-listed elements including the iconic glass milk bottle and clock tower into a public art installation. Resident amenities include a precinct pool, gym, wine bar with cellar, and a collaborative work hub.
Newcastle Offshore Wind Project
The Newcastle Offshore Wind project proposes a floating wind farm off Newcastle, NSW, with an expected capacity of up to 10 gigawatts, pending a Scoping Study's results.
Newcastle Future Transit Corridor
A protected transit corridor running from Newcastle Interchange to the Broadmeadow precinct via Tudor and Belford streets, safeguarding land for future public transport options including rapid bus or light rail services. In 2025, the preferred corridor was confirmed and a section near the Interchange was rezoned to SP2 Infrastructure under the State Environmental Planning Policy (Transport and Infrastructure) 2021. Delivery of future rail infrastructure remains subject to a business case and funding. The corridor also maintains options for potential extensions to John Hunter Hospital.
Honeysuckle Hq
Transformation of industrial port-side land into a vibrant destination for living, work, and play, enhancing urban design.
Sovereign Park | The Hill
Sovereign Park is a residential development of 158 apartments, penthouses and terraced townhomes across four low-rise buildings on a 1.22-hectare site at 11-17 Mosbri Crescent, The Hill, Newcastle, on the former NBN Studios site. Designed by Marchese Partners with landscaping by Arcadia Landscape Architects, the project includes a rooftop infinity pool, outdoor gym, residents pavilion and about 2000 sq m of green space. Construction commenced in 2023 and was well underway as of January 2026, with slab pours largely complete and vertical construction progressing on Building A and B.The project is being delivered by Stronach Property with construction by MARS Building.
3,382 residents of Newcastle are employed, from a labour force of 3,542. Unemployment sits at 4.5%, with participation at 73.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 9,780, about 187% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Workforce analysis indicates that Newcastle features an exceptionally well-educated talent pool, particularly across professional services, accompanied by an unemployment rate of 4.5% and estimated annual job creation of 1.1% based on statistical area aggregations by AreaSearch. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 3,382, while local unemployment sat 0.4% higher than the Regional NSW benchmark of 4.1%. Labor participation remains well above average, registering at 73.7% compared to 60.6% across Regional NSW. Census records reveal that 35.9% of local workers performed their duties from home, though this figure reflects the influence of Covid-19 lockdown restrictions.
Local resident employment is primarily centered within health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training sectors. The local labor pool displays notable specialization in professional & technical roles, where representation reaches 2.2 times the regional level. In contrast, primary production disciplines like agriculture, forestry & fishing are lightly represented at 0.5%, well below the 5.3% regional benchmark. Recording 2.4 workers for every resident as at the Census, the precinct serves as a major commercial center, sustaining more positions than resident workers and drawing commuters from surrounding districts. Aggregated SALM and ABS figures evaluated by AreaSearch show that over the 12-month period, local employment expanded by 1.1% while the labor force grew by 2.7%, yielding a 1.6 percentage points rise in the jobless rate. By comparison, Regional NSW recorded a 0.9% drop in employment and a 0.4% reduction in its labor force, alongside a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. Long-term labor requirements can be further gauged via national occupational outlooks issued by Jobs and Skills Australia from Mar-26. Projected industry trajectories across five-year and ten-year spans have been calibrated against local workforce concentrations to estimate future momentum. Across Australia, workforce numbers are projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with marked variation across sectors. Applying this weighting to the local industrial base suggests Newcastle employment may rise by 7.3% over five years and 14.9% over ten years, though this illustrative extrapolation does not incorporate local demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Newcastle is $1,943 a week (about $101,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,251 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $64,975 a year against an average of $101,142. The average runs 56% above the median, a wider spread than most areas and a sign of a concentrated group of high earners. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place personal earnings in the suburb of Newcastle at an exceptionally high national level. Taxpayers in the suburb of Newcastle record a median income of $64,975 and an average income of $101,142, exceeding the respective Regional NSW figures of $52,390 and $65,215. Incorporating Wage Price Index gains of 10.32% since financial year 2023 elevates current wage estimates to approximately $71,680 (median) and $111,580 (average) as of March 2026. At the 2021 Census, individual weekly remuneration reached $1,251, sitting at the 93rd percentile nationally, while household earnings placed lower at the 62nd percentile.
The dominant income bracket accounts for 35.2% of earners making $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,839 residents), matching wider trends where this tier makes up 29.9%. Although housing commitments absorb 18.9% of income, strong remuneration sustains disposable earnings at the 58th percentile, supporting a SEIFA income position in the 9th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Newcastle had 2,046 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 2% detached houses and 93% apartments. 19% are owned with a mortgage, 55% rented and 26% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $490 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month, a total housing cost higher than 86% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 25.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records indicate that the residential landscape of Newcastle consists of 2.2% houses and 97.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with the Regional NSW distribution of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Outright property ownership stands at 25.6%, lagging the wider region, while mortgaged residences represent 19.2% and rental properties encompass 55.3% of dwellings. Median monthly mortgage commitments in the area stand at $2,167 against $1,733 in Regional NSW, with median weekly rents reaching $490 compared to $330 regionally. On a nationwide scale, local mortgage payments significantly exceed the Australian benchmark of $1,863, and typical rent levels sit substantially higher than the $375 national average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Newcastle counted 2,046 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,775 today, averaging 1.7 people each. 8% are couples with children, fewer than in 98% of areas nationally, against 32% couples without children. 47% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.2 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Household arrangements show that family units account for 46.0% of residences, consisting of couples without children (32.2%), couples with children (7.8%), and single parent families (5.1%). Non-family setups make up the remaining 54.0%, led by lone person households at 47.3% and group households at 6.7%. The typical household size sits at a median of 1.7 people, smaller than the 2.4 figure observed throughout Regional NSW.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
46.4% of adults in Newcastle hold a university qualification, including 29.3% with a bachelor degree and 13.6% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 18.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic credentials among Newcastle residents aged 15+ substantially outpace broader regional baselines, with 46.4% holding university qualifications, well above the 21.3% recorded in Rest of NSW and 26.1% across the SA4 region. This high concentration of tertiary qualifications provides a strong foundation for professional industries. Bachelor degrees constitute 29.3% of qualifications, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational training is likewise prominent, with 30.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (18.6%). An active student population represents 22.8% of local residents undertaking formal studies.
This comprises 11.8% in tertiary education, 3.4% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing secondary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Newcastle reaches 35 stops on 15 routes, timetabled for about 5,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 90 m from its nearest stop. Trams carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 0.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in Newcastle encompass 35 active transport stops spanning ferry, lightrail and buses. These facilities are linked by 15 individual routes providing 5,117 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is rated as excellent, with typical walking distances of 94 meters to the nearest boarding point. Due to its largely residential profile, outward commuting prevails: private motor vehicles account for 71% of journeys, walking represents 19%, and cycling makes up 2%. Private vehicle availability averages 0.6 per dwelling, trailing the regional standard. In addition, 35.9% of residents worked from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Public transport networks deliver an average frequency of 731 trips per day across all routes, providing approximately 146 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.6% of residents in Newcastle report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 76% of areas nationally. 3.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 66.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across Newcastle demonstrate strong outcomes based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality patterns and chronic condition prevalence, characterized by very low rates of common health ailments across all age cohorts. Private health insurance participation is exceptionally robust, covering approximately 67% of the total population (3,489 people), markedly higher than the 51.9% recorded across Regional NSW and the national average of 55.7%. The primary medical diagnoses recorded locally are mental health issues and arthritis, affecting 10.4 and 8.2% of residents, respectively, while 66.6% of the population reported no medical conditions, outperforming the Regional NSW rate of 63.3%.
Health outcomes across the working-age cohort remain broadly typical. Residents aged 65 and over constitute 22.2% of the population (1,159 people), slightly below the 23.3% level seen across Regional NSW, with senior health indicators showing national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Newcastle is largely Australian-born, at 79.4% of residents, with 12.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.6%) and Australian (20.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Newcastle tracks above average, with 20.6% of residents born abroad and 12.2% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity forms the largest religious affiliation at 41.2% of the populace. Notably, Judaism demonstrates clear overrepresentation, accounting for 0.2% of the community compared to 0.1% across Regional NSW. Parental heritage figures show that English ancestry leads at 30.6%, followed by Australian at 20.9% (notably below the regional rate of 30.0%) and Irish at 11.3%. Additional cultural divergence appears across several backgrounds, including Scottish heritage at 10.2% locally versus 8.0% regionally, Welsh ancestry at 0.8% versus 0.5%, and Hungarian heritage at 0.4% versus 0.2%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Newcastle is 41. 33.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic structure of Newcastle centers heavily around pre-family age groups. August 2026 estimates indicate that young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) comprise 37.0% of the community, compared to 23.5% across Regional NSW, while children and young adults (0 - 24) account for 16.1% against a regional share of 29.3%. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 41, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 2 years below the Regional NSW median of 43 at that Census. Since the Census, retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) expanded from 19.0% to an estimated 22.2%.
By 2041, young to middle aged adults are projected to see the largest absolute gain, increasing by 990 (51%) to 2,923, while retiree and elderly cohorts will record the fastest proportional surge, growing 58% to 1,828 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Newcastle
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 10 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 374 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,852 at the 2021 Census → 5,225 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12958). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.