Mayfield (Newcastle - NSW)

Mayfield has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Mayfield's population is estimated at around 10,001 people. This reflects an increase of 241 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,760 people. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 9,908 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 98 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,205 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mayfield's growth rate of 2.5% since census positions it within 2.6 percentage points of the non-metro area (5.1%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for population gains during recent periods in the suburb of Mayfield (Newcastle - NSW).

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, a population increase just below the median of Australia's regional areas is expected in Mayfield, with an anticipated expansion of 1,364 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 14.2% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mayfield according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Mayfield has averaged around 24 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 122 homes were approved, with a further 5 approved so far in FY-26. Each new dwelling built over this period has resulted in an average of 2.3 new residents per year, indicating solid demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $400,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. In FY-26, $5.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Mayfield shows substantially reduced construction activity, with 55.0% fewer approvals per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New development in Mayfield consists of 40.0% detached houses and 60.0% medium and high-density housing, a shift from the current housing mix of 75.0% houses. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. At around 1251 people per approval, Mayfield shows a mature, established area with a projected addition of 1,417 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate.

Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Mayfield has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Mayfield Concept Plan, Newcastle Port Logistics Hub, Subdivision at 110 Elizabeth Street, Tighes Hill, and Hunter Net Zero Manufacturing Centre of Excellence. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Mayfield has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Mayfield's workforce is well educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.3% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.6%. Residents in work numbered 5,537, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% above Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation at 63.0%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. The area specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.6%, and labour force by 2.4%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.1%, labour force expand by 0.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Mayfield's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Mayfield had a median income among taxpayers of $53,055 and an average income of $62,219. This is below the national average, which compares to levels of $49,459 and $62,998 across Rest of NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Mayfield would be approximately $59,745 (median) and $70,065 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Mayfield rank modestly, between the 39th and 50th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 33.2% of residents (3,320 people), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 29.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Mayfield, with only 80.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Mayfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Mayfield, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 74.6% houses and 25.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in Mayfield was 23.6%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (34.5%) or rented (41.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,845, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent figure in Mayfield was recorded at $375, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Mayfield's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were comparable to the national figure of $375.

Mayfield features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 58.0% of all households, including 20.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 42.0%, with lone person households at 34.1% and group households comprising 8.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Mayfield aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.6% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Rest of NSW average of 21.3% and the SA4 region's rate of 26.1%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 34.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 9.9% while certificates make up 24.8%.

Educational participation is high at 27.4%, including 7.8% in tertiary education, 7.5% in primary education, and 5.0% pursuing secondary education. Mayfield's four schools have a combined enrollment of 1,131 students as of the latest data. The area has typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities, indicated by an ICSEA score of 1024. School places per 100 residents (11.3) are below the regional average (15.5), suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis shows 88 active public transport stops in Mayfield, served by a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 62 individual routes, offering 1,692 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 123 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 241 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Mayfield is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Mayfield, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~5,156 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area's 55.6%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, impacting 14.5 and 9.1% of residents respectively. Conversely, 60.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in Rest of NSW. Mayfield has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.2%, with approximately 1,420 people, compared to Rest of NSW's 16.7%. Health outcomes among seniors present similar challenges to the general population's health profile.

Mayfield ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mayfield's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.6% of its population born in Australia, 89.8% being citizens, and 91.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Mayfield, comprising 43.5% of the population. However, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.1% compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (29.5%), Australian (27.0%), and Irish (10.0%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Macedonian (0.4%) are overrepresented in Mayfield compared to the region, while Samoan is also notably present at 0.3%.

Mayfield's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Mayfield's median age is 35 years, significantly below the Rest of NSW average of 43 and younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 22.5% locally compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 8.3%. This concentration of residents aged 25-34 is well above the national average of 14.5%. Following the Census conducted on August 10, 2021, younger residents have shifted the median age down by one year to 35 years. Specifically, the percentage of residents aged 25 to 34 has increased from 20.2% to 22.5%, while those aged 35 to 44 increased from 14.7% to 15.8%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 55 to 64 declined from 11.4% to 10.1%, and those aged 45 to 54 dropped from 11.4% to 10.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that Mayfield's age profile will evolve significantly by the year 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at a rate of 29%, adding 643 residents to reach a total of 2,894. Conversely, the 65-74 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.