Mayfield (Newcastle - NSW)

Mayfield has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the Mayfield (Newcastle - NSW) statistical area (Lv2) is around 10,240. This reflects an increase of 480 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,760. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 10,030 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 98 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,282 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Mayfield (Newcastle - NSW) (SA2)'s growth rate of 4.9% since the Census positions it within 0.8 percentage points of the non-metro area's growth rate of 5.7%, demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Mayfield (Newcastle - NSW) (SA2) is expected to expand by 1,371 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 11.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mayfield according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Mayfield averaged around 22 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 110 homes were approved, with another 13 so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, each dwelling built gained an average of 2.6 new residents.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $400,000. This year, $73.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Rest of NSW, Mayfield shows substantially reduced construction levels, typically strengthening demand and prices for existing properties. New development consists of 44.0% detached houses and 56.0% medium and high-density housing. Future projections suggest Mayfield adding 1,185 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Future projections show Mayfield adding 1,185 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Mayfield has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nine projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the local area significantly. Key projects include Newcastle Port Logistics Hub, Mayfield Concept Plan, Subdivision at 110 Elizabeth Street, Tighes Hill, and Hunter Net Zero Manufacturing Centre of Excellence. Details about these projects can be found below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Mayfield has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Mayfield has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 5.7% as of September 2025.

This is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data and indicates a 2.2% employment growth over the past year. As of that date, 5,506 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.9% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Mayfield was 63.0%, surpassing Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food.

Notably, health care & social assistance has an employment share 1.2 times the regional level but agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as suggested by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels in Mayfield increased by 2.2% and labour force increased by 3.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw a decrease in employment by 0.5%, a contraction in labour force by 0.1%, and an increase in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Mayfield's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Mayfield had a median taxpayer income of $53,055 and an average of $62,219. These figures are below the national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively for Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $57,756 (median) and $67,732 (average). Census 2021 income data ranks Mayfield's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between the 39th and 50th percentiles. The dominant income bracket is $1,500 - $2,999, with 33.2% of residents (3,399 people). This pattern is also seen in the surrounding region where 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Mayfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Mayfield, as per the latest Census, consisted of 74.6% houses and 25.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mayfield was at 23.6%, with the rest either mortgaged (34.5%) or rented (41.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,845, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. Median weekly rent in Mayfield was $375, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Mayfield's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were comparable at $375.

Mayfield features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 58.0% of all households, including 20.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 42.0%, with lone person households at 34.1% and group households making up 8.0%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Mayfield aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate of 29.6% exceeds the Rest of NSW average of 21.3% and the SA4 region's rate of 26.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 34.7% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 24.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.4% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 7.8% in tertiary education, 7.5% in primary education, and 5.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Mayfield shows 91 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops are served by a mix of buses, with a total of 62 individual routes providing service. Collectively, these routes facilitate 1,522 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of public transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 123 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 217 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mayfield is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Mayfield faces significant health challenges, as indicated by data showing varied impacts on both younger and older age groups. Approximately 52% (~5,279 people) have private health cover, lower than Rest of NSW's 56.7%.

Mental health issues affect 14.5% of residents, with asthma impacting 9.1%. About 60.1% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in Rest of NSW. The area has 14.2% (1,454 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Rest of NSW's 16.7%. Health outcomes among seniors are challenging but generally align with the overall population's health profile.

Mayfield ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mayfield's population is predominantly Australian-born, with 85.6% born in the country, and 89.8% being citizens. English is the primary language spoken at home by 91.3%. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 43.5% of Mayfield residents.

While Judaism's representation is similar to the regional average (0.1%), notable overrepresentation occurs in Welsh ancestry (0.9% vs regional 0.8%), Macedonian (0.4% vs 0.8%), and Samoan (0.3% vs 0.1%).

Mayfield's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Mayfield's median age is 35 years, which is significantly lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Mayfield at 22.5%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 8.3%. This concentration of residents aged 25-34 is well above the national average of 14.5%. Following the Census conducted on 29 August 2021, younger residents have shifted Mayfield's median age down to 35 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has increased from 20.2% to 22.5%, while those aged 35 to 44 grew from 14.7% to 15.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 55 to 64 declined from 11.4% to 10.1%, and those aged 45 to 54 dropped from 11.4% to 10.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that Mayfield's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow the strongest at 26%, adding 591 residents to reach a total of 2,895. Conversely, the 65-74 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.