Adamstown Heights

An assessment of population growth drivers in Adamstown Heights reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of Adamstown Heights is estimated at around 5,736, reflecting an increase of 115 people since the 2021 Census. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of a resident population of 5,711 based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This population density equates to approximately 2,400 persons per square kilometer, placing Adamstown Heights in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed about 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas and interstate migration being positive factors. For projections until 2041, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia aggregations released in 2024 using a 2022 base year for covered areas, and NSW State Government SA2-level projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year for uncovered areas.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these aggregations, the suburb is expected to grow by approximately 8.6% by 2041, gaining around 383 persons over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Adamstown Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Adamstown Heights has seen around 8 new homes approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 44 homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26. On average, 6.2 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built during these years, indicating demand significantly outpacing supply.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $518,000. This financial year has seen $2.3 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting Adamstown Heights' primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, the area has significantly less development activity, 72.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Similarly, when measured against national averages, Adamstown Heights shows lower development activity, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity consists of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% medium and high-density housing, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles seeking more diverse, affordable housing options.

With around 970 people per dwelling approval, Adamstown Heights reflects a highly mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain 494 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Adamstown Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects potentially impacting the region. Notable projects are The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, and Broadmeadow Place Strategy. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Adamstown Heights places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Adamstown Heights has a highly educated workforce with professional services being well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4%.

As of June 2025, 3,204 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.1% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation stands at 67.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services, with the latter showing particularly strong specialization. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 2.7%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Adamstown Heights' employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Adamstown Heights' median income among taxpayers is $61,378, with an average of $76,364. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Rest of NSW's median of $49,459 and average of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2022 until September 2025 (12.61%), estimated incomes would be approximately $69,118 (median) and $85,994 (average). Census 2021 income data shows Adamstown Heights' household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 84th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 29.5% of residents earn $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,692 residents), similar to the metropolitan region where 29.9% fall into this bracket. Notably, 36.7% of residents earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 88.0% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Adamstown Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As of the latest Census, dwelling structures in Adamstown Heights consisted of 94.9% houses and 5.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Non-Metro NSW's figures of 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown Heights stood at 43.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.7% and rented dwellings at 15.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,201, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. The median weekly rent figure in Adamstown Heights was recorded as $475, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Adamstown Heights's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,201 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Adamstown Heights features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.6% of all households, including 40.8% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 9.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 17.7% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Adamstown Heights shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Adamstown Heights is notably high, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in Rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 33.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (21.4%). Educational participation is high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.0% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education.

The area has two schools serving 1,517 students: Belair Public School and Kotara High School. It demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1084) and functions as an education hub with 26.4 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 15.5.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown Heights has 59 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 35 different routes that together facilitate 1,514 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 126 meters from the nearest stop.

Each day, an average of 216 trips depart from these stops, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Adamstown Heights's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Adamstown Heights residents.

Common health conditions have a low prevalence across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is high at approximately 57% of the total population (~3,274 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (8.3%) and arthritis (8.0%). A majority (69.8%) report no medical ailments, compared to 64.9% in Rest of NSW. As of 17th March 2021, 17.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,015 people). Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.

Adamstown Heights ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown Heights was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 86.2% of its population born in Australia. This figure is higher than the national average. Additionally, 94.5% of residents are citizens and 91.1% speak English only at home.

The main religion in Adamstown Heights is Christianity, comprising 50.1% of people in the area. However, Judaism is overrepresented compared to regional averages, with 0.1% of Adamstown Heights population identifying as such, while it makes up just 0.1% across Rest of NSW. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are English (29.2%), Australian (29.0%), and Irish (9.8%). Notably, Welsh ethnicity is overrepresented at 1.1%, Macedonian at 1.7%, and Serbian at 0.3%, compared to regional averages of 0.8%, 0.8%, and 0.2% respectively.

Adamstown Heights's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Adamstown Heights is 39 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Adamstown Heights has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (15.2%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (8.3%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 25 to 34 grew from 10.8% to 12.2%, while the proportion of those aged 75 to 84 declined from 7.2% to 6.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Adamstown Heights's age structure. The 25 to 34 age group is expected to grow by 30%, increasing from 699 to 912 people. Conversely, the 75 to 84 and 15 to 24 age groups are projected to experience population declines.