Adamstown Heights

An assessment of population growth drivers in Adamstown Heights reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since February 2026, the suburb of Adamstown Heights' population is estimated at around 5,808. This reflects an increase of 187 people (3.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,621 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,716, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,430 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Adamstown Heights' 3.3% growth since census positions it within 2.6 percentage points of the Rest of NSW (5.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of regional areas across the nation is expected, with the suburb expected to grow by 367 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting recording a gain of 7.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Adamstown Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis indicates approximately 9 new homes approved annually in Adamstown Heights. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 47 homes were approved, with a further 31 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 5.8 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This significant demand outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and increasing buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $518,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Commercial approvals this financial year total $300,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Rest of NSW, Adamstown Heights has significantly less development activity, 70.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, this activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. Building activity shows 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% medium to high-density housing.

This shift towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, currently 95.0% houses. Adamstown Heights reflects a highly mature market with around 895 people per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate Adamstown Heights will gain approximately 411 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Adamstown Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects potentially impacting the region. Key projects are The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, and Broadmeadow Place Strategy. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Adamstown Heights places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Adamstown Heights has a well-educated workforce. Professional services are strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 1.7%.

Employment growth over the past year is estimated at 3.5%. As of September 2025, 3,238 residents are employed. The unemployment rate is 2.1% lower than Rest of NSW's 3.8%. Workforce participation is high at 72.9%, compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%.

Home workership stands at 34.4%. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 5.3%. Local employment opportunities appear limited. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.5%, while labour force rose by 3.8%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decrease of 0.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Adamstown Heights's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Adamstown Heights' median income among taxpayers is $61,378, with an average of $76,364. Nationally, this is high compared to Rest of NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $66,816 (median) and $83,130 (average). Census 2021 income data ranks Adamstown Heights' household, family, and personal incomes highly nationally, between the 77th and 84th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 29.5% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,713 residents), similar to the metropolitan region where 29.9% fall into this bracket. A substantial proportion, 36.7%, earn above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity in the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 88.0% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Adamstown Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Adamstown Heights, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.9% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.1% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NSW's composition of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown Heights stood at 43.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.7% and rented ones at 15.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,201, surpassing Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Adamstown Heights was $475, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Adamstown Heights' mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Adamstown Heights features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.6% of all households, including 40.8% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 9.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 17.7% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Adamstown Heights shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Adamstown Heights' residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate at 36.4% compared to Rest of NSW's 21.3% and SA4 region's 26.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.0% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 21.4%. Educational participation is high at 31.8%, including primary education at 12.0%, secondary education at 8.1%, and tertiary education at 6.1%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown Heights has 63 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. There are 35 unique routes serving these stops, together facilitating 1,484 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average being located 126 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, and cars remain the dominant transport mode at 92%. The area has an average of 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant 34.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are 212 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Adamstown Heights is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Adamstown Heights shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence data. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but nears the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is very high in this area, with approximately 57% (~3,315 people) having it, compared to 51.9% across Rest of NSW. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 8.3 and 8.0% of residents respectively. A total of 69.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Rest of NSW. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.4% (1,010 people), compared to 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

Adamstown Heights ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown Heights showed lower cultural diversity, with 86.2% born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 91.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion at 50.1%. Judaism appeared overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 0.1%.

Top ancestry groups were English (29.2%), Australian (29.0%), and Irish (9.8%). Welsh, Macedonian, and Serbian showed notable divergences: Welsh was 1.1% vs regional 0.5%, Macedonian 1.7% vs 0.4%, Serbian 0.3% vs 0.2%.

Adamstown Heights's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Adamstown Heights has a median age of 38, which is lower than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 but equivalent to the national norm of 38. The 35-44 age group makes up 15.7% of Adamstown Heights' population compared to Rest of NSW, while the 65-74 cohort comprises 8.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 10.8% to 12.7%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has decreased from 7.2% to 6.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Adamstown Heights' age profile will change significantly. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 25%, reaching 922 people from the current 737. Meanwhile, population declines are forecast for the 5-14 and 15-24 age groups.