Adamstown Heights

An assessment of population growth drivers in Adamstown Heights reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of Adamstown Heights is around 5,808, reflecting an increase of 187 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 3.3% increase from the previous population count of 5,621. The latest estimate of 5,716 residents was determined by AreaSearch following analysis of ERP data released by the ABS in June 2024 and validation of 20 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 2,430 persons per square kilometer, placing Adamstown Heights in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Comparing growth rates, Adamstown Heights' 3.3% increase is within 2.6 percentage points of the Rest of NSW's 5.9%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors such as overseas and interstate migration also being positive influences.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, while utilizing NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Applying growth rates from these aggregations to all areas, the suburb is projected to grow by 368 persons to reach approximately 6,176 by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 4.8% over the 17-year period. This expected growth places Adamstown Heights just below the median for regional areas across the nation.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Adamstown Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Adamstown Heights had around 9 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 45 homes were approved, with another 31 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, an average of 6.3 people moved to the area for each dwelling built.

This significant demand outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $518,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Commercial approvals registered this financial year totalled $300,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Rest of NSW, Adamstown Heights has significantly less development activity (71.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, the area's development activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity comprises 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium and high-density housing, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 95.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles with a need for more diverse, affordable housing options. Adamstown Heights has around 1164 people per dwelling approval, reflecting a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate the area will gain 276 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Adamstown Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the local area significantly: The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, Broadmeadow Place Strategy. These projects could influence the area's performance considerably.

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The labour market strength in Adamstown Heights positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Adamstown Heights has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 1.9%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.1% over the past year, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 3,206 residents in work, while the unemployment rate is 2.0% lower than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation stands at 72.5%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, 34.4% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services, with the latter showing strong specialization at 1.9 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 5.3%.

Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 1.1%, while labour force increased by 1.7%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NSW recorded an employment decline of 1.2% and a labour force decline of 0.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Adamstown Heights' employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Adamstown Heights' median income among taxpayers is $61,378. The average income in the suburb is $76,364. Nationally, this is very high compared to Regional NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Adamstown Heights would be approximately $66,816 (median) and $83,130 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Adamstown Heights rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 84th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 29.5% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,713 residents), similar to the metropolitan region where 29.9% occupy this bracket. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 36.7%, indicates strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 88.0% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Adamstown Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Adamstown Heights, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.9% of dwellings were houses with 5.1% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This contrasts with Regional NSW's dwelling structure of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown Heights stood at 43.9%, higher than Regional NSW's level. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 40.7%, while rented dwellings made up 15.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,201, exceeding the Regional NSW average of $1,733. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was $475, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Adamstown Heights' median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Adamstown Heights features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.6% of all households, including 40.8% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 9.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 17.7% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4 people.

Adamstown Heights shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Adamstown Heights' residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate of 36.4%, compared to the Rest of NSW's 21.3% and SA4 region's 26.1%. This is due to 24.9% holding bachelor degrees, 7.8% postgraduate qualifications, and 3.7% graduate diplomas. Vocational credentials are also prevalent at 33.0%, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 21.4%. Educational participation is high, with 31.8% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.0% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown Heights has 63 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 35 different routes that together facilitate 1,484 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 126 meters away from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport, used by 92% of residents. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Adamstown Heights, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 34.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 212 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Adamstown Heights is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Adamstown Heights shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among its general population, nearing the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is very high in Adamstown Heights, with approximately 57% (~3,315 people) compared to Regional NSW's 51.9%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common conditions, affecting 8.3% and 8.0% of residents respectively. A total of 69.8% declare themselves completely free from medical ailments, higher than Regional NSW's 63.3%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 17.8% (1,033 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. While health outcomes among seniors are above average, they rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Adamstown Heights ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown Heights, surveyed in June 2016, had a predominantly Australian-born population with 86.2% born there, and 94.5% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 91.1%. Christianity was the prevalent religion, accounting for 50.1% of residents.

While Judaism's representation was similar to Regional NSW at 0.1%, notable overrepresentation occurred in Welsh (1.1%), Macedonian (1.7%) and Serbian (0.3%) ancestry groups compared to regional averages of 0.5%, 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively.

Adamstown Heights's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Adamstown Heights has a median age of 38, which is lower than Regional NSW's figure of 43 but equivalent to Australia's national norm of 38. The age group of 35-44 years shows strong representation at 15.5%, compared to Regional NSW's percentage. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent at 8.3%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 10.8% to 12.4%, while the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 13.6% to 12.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Adamstown Heights's age profile. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 23%, adding 166 people and reaching a total of 887 from the current 720. Meanwhile, population declines are forecast for the 75 to 84 and 5 to 14 age groups.