Adamstown Heights

An assessment of population growth drivers in Adamstown Heights reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of Adamstown Heights statistical area as of November 2025 is estimated to be around 5,781. This figure reflects an increase of 160 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,621. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5,716 in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,418 persons per square kilometer, placing Adamstown Heights in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 2.8% growth since the census is within 2.9 percentage points of the non-metro area (5.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch's projections for Adamstown Heights are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, Adamstown Heights is expected to grow by 385 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 7.8% in total over the 17-year period. This growth trend aligns with the median population increase expected for regional areas across the nation.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Adamstown Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Adamstown Heights had approximately 9 new homes approved annually. Between FY21 and FY25, around 47 homes were approved, with another 31 approved in FY26. On average, 5.8 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over those five years.

This indicates demand outpacing supply, which can put upward pressure on prices and increase competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $518,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY26, $300,000 in commercial approvals were registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Rest of NSW, Adamstown Heights has significantly less development activity, 70.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction can reinforce demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The area's new building activity comprises 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 95.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options.

Adamstown Heights has a highly mature market with around 895 people per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate the area will gain 451 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Adamstown Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely impacting the region. Key initiatives include The Merewether Residences, Westfield Kotara Mixed-Use Redevelopment, Kotara Transport Oriented Development Precinct, and Broadmeadow Place Strategy.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Adamstown Heights positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Adamstown Heights has a highly educated workforce with professional services being well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.7%, lower than the Rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Over the past year ending September 2025, employment grew by an estimated 3.4%. As of that date, 67.2% of residents are in work compared to the Rest of NSW average of 56.4%. The leading industries for residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Notably, the area specialises in professional & technical services with an employment share 1.9 times higher than the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.4%, while labour force increased by 3.8%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment (0.3 percentage points). In contrast, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.5% with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. Statewide, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% between November 2024 and November 2025, losing 2,260 jobs, while the state's unemployment rate was 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate stood at 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Adamstown Heights' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Adamstown Heights' median income among taxpayers is $61,378, with an average of $76,364. Nationally, this is high compared to Rest of NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Since financial year 2023, Wage Price Index growth is 8.86%. As of September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $66,816 (median) and $83,130 (average). Census 2021 income data ranks Adamstown Heights' household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 77th and 84th percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that 29.5% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,705 residents), similar to the metropolitan region's 29.9%. A substantial proportion, 36.7%, earns above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity. After housing costs, residents retain 88.0% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Adamstown Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Adamstown Heights, as per the latest Census data, 94.9% of dwellings were houses while 5.1% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments, contrasting with Non-Metro NSW's figures of 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Adamstown Heights stood at 43.9%, with mortgaged properties at 40.7% and rented ones at 15.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,201, surpassing Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure in Adamstown Heights was recorded as $475, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, mortgage repayments in Adamstown Heights were significantly higher at $2,201 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Adamstown Heights features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.6% of all households, including 40.8% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 9.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 17.7% and group households making up 2.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Adamstown Heights shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Adamstown Heights has a higher level of educational attainment than broader areas. Among residents aged 15 and over, 36.4% have university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 26.1% in the SA4 region. This is largely due to bachelor degrees, which are held by 24.9% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 33.0% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (21.4%).

Educational participation is high in the area, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.0% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Adamstown Heights has 63 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 35 different routes that together facilitate 1,484 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 126 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency is 212 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Adamstown Heights's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive outcomes for Adamstown Heights residents.

Prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~3,300 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 8.3 and 8.0% of residents respectively. 69.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 64.9% across Rest of NSW. As of 2021, 17.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,023 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Adamstown Heights ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Adamstown Heights, surveyed as of 25th June 2021, showed cultural diversity levels below average. The population was predominantly Australian-born, with 86.2%, and citizens, comprising 94.5%. English was the primary language spoken at home by 91.1% of residents.

Christianity dominated religious affiliations, accounting for 50.1% of the population. Despite its small size, Judaism was notably overrepresented in Adamstown Heights compared to Rest of NSW, with 0.1% versus 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, English (29.2%) and Australian (29.0%) were the most prevalent, followed by Irish at 9.8%. Notable deviations from regional averages included Welsh (1.1% vs 0.8%), Macedonian (1.7% vs 0.8%), and Serbian (0.3% vs 0.2%).

Adamstown Heights's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Adamstown Heights is 39 years, which is significantly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Adamstown Heights has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (15.2%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (8.3%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 25 to 34 grew from 10.8% to 12.2%, while the population aged 75 to 84 declined from 7.2% to 6.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Adamstown Heights's age structure. The 25 to 34 age group is expected to grow by 29% (an increase of 207 people), reaching a total of 913 from the current figure of 705. Conversely, the population aged 75 to 84 and 15 to 24 is projected to decline.