Birmingham Gardens

Birmingham Gardens lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of Birmingham Gardens is estimated at around 3,172 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 574 people (22.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,598 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,059 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 4,015 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly-sought resource. Birmingham Gardens's 22.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of NSW (5.9%), along with the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth, placing Birmingham Gardens in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to grow by 1,807 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 48.7% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Birmingham Gardens when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Birmingham Gardens averaged around 21 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 106 homes. So far in FY-26, 17 approvals have been recorded. This averages to approximately 3.2 new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly exceeds supply, which typically results in price growth and increased buyer competition. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $264,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms.

Additionally, $35.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Relative to the Rest of NSW, Birmingham Gardens has seen slightly more development, with 46.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, although building activity has slowed in recent years. New building activity shows 15.0% detached houses and 85.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 81.0% houses. This trend towards denser development provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences.

With around 249 people per dwelling approval, Birmingham Gardens shows a developing market with future projections estimating an addition of 1,544 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Birmingham Gardens has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No infrastructure changes will affect this area more than local improvements and major projects. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could impact this region. Key initiatives include Shortland Waters Retirement Village, Callaghan Campus Heart, 9 Gothic Street student accommodation, and 93 Blue Gum Road co-living development. The following list details those most relevant.

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Birmingham Gardens shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Birmingham Gardens has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.2%. As of September 2025, 1,729 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.1% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

The workforce participation rate is 68.4%, compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%. According to Census responses, 16.5% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, accommodation & food, and retail trade. The area shows strong specialization in accommodation & food with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing is lower at 0.6%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.2% and labour force by 4.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.0 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.5%, labour force decline of 0.1%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Birmingham Gardens' employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 30, 2023 shows that income in Birmingham Gardens is below the national average. The median income was $53,637 while the average income stood at $63,925. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income was $52,390 and the average income was $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year ending June 30, 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,389 (median) and $69,589 (average) as of September 2025. From the Census conducted on August 10, 2021, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Birmingham Gardens, between the 22nd and 33rd percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 36.7% of residents (1,164 people), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 29.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 27th percentile.

Birmingham Gardens is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Birmingham Gardens' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 80.6% houses and 19.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Birmingham Gardens was at 20.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 21.3% and rented ones at 58.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,700, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Birmingham Gardens was $380, higher than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $330. Nationally, Birmingham Gardens' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Birmingham Gardens features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 52.7% of all households, including 18.7% couples with children, 20.1% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 47.3%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households comprising 19.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Birmingham Gardens shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Birmingham Gardens' residents aged 15+ have lower university degree holders (26.2%) compared to NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 31.7% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (7.2%) and certificates (24.5%). Educational participation is high, with 43.1% currently enrolled in formal education: tertiary (22.8%), primary (6.2%), secondary (5.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 43.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 22.8% in tertiary education, 6.2% in primary education, and 5.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Birmingham Gardens has 26 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 29 different routes that combined provide 1,365 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 104 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to the area's predominantly residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 90% of residents. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling, which is lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 16.5% of residents work from home, a figure that may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 195 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Birmingham Gardens is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Birmingham Gardens faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment.

The area has a notably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to the average, with this disparity being more pronounced among older age groups. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 12.9% and 9.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.8% of residents reported having no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of NSW average of 63.3%. Regarding private health cover, approximately 52% of Birmingham Gardens' population (~1,656 people) has it, which is slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Health outcomes among working-age residents are generally typical. The area has a lower proportion of seniors (5.4%, or 171 people), compared to Rest of NSW's 23.4%. However, health outcomes for seniors in Birmingham Gardens present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Birmingham Gardens was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Birmingham Gardens, surveyed in June 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas. Its overseas-born population stood at 29.5%, with 24.8% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity dominated the religious landscape, accounting for 38.7%.

However, Islam was notably overrepresented at 5.3%, compared to Rest of NSW's 0.8%. Ancestry-wise, Birmingham Gardens' top groups were English (25.8%), Australian (25.7%), and Other (12.8%), significantly higher than the regional average of 4.8%. Ethnic group representation varied: Samoan was overrepresented at 0.4% versus 0.1%, Macedonian at 0.3% versus 0.4%, and Vietnamese at 1.0% versus 0.1%.

Birmingham Gardens hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Birmingham Gardens has a median age of 26 years, which is significantly younger than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and also lower than the national average of 38. Compared to Rest of NSW, Birmingham Gardens has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (28.0%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (2.7%). This concentration is well above the national average of 14.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows younger residents have shifted the median age down by 1.6 years to 26. Key changes include the growth of the 25-34 age group from 23.9% to 28.0%, and the increase of the 35-44 cohort from 11.0% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 7.7% to 6.0%, and the 65-74 group dropped from 4.4% to 2.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Birmingham Gardens's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at 72%, adding 636 residents to reach 1,525. However, the 85+ cohort is projected to decline by 0 people.