Birmingham Gardens

Birmingham Gardens lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025 Birmingham Gardens' population is estimated at around 3170. This reflects an increase of 572 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2598. The change was inferred from the resident population of 3059, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 4012 persons per square kilometer, placing Birmingham Gardens in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Birmingham Gardens' growth of 22.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the non-metro area's 5.7%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Birmingham Gardens in the top 10 percent of Australia's non-metropolitan areas until 2041 with an expected increase of 1808 persons reflecting a total increase of 48.9% over the period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Birmingham Gardens when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Birmingham Gardens averaged approximately 21 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 106 homes. So far in FY-26, 17 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.2 new residents per year were associated with each home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly exceeded supply. New homes were being constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $264,000, below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers.

$35.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Relative to the Rest of NSW, Birmingham Gardens showed slightly more development, with 45.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This maintained good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, although building activity had slowed in recent years. New building activity comprised 15.0% detached houses and 85.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 81.0% houses. This trend towards denser development provided accessible entry options and appealed to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, potentially indicating diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

With around 249 people per dwelling approval, Birmingham Gardens showed a developing market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Birmingham Gardens is projected to add approximately 1,549 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Birmingham Gardens has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance as much as alterations to local infrastructure, significant projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact this area. Key projects comprise Shortland Waters Retirement Village, Callaghan Campus Heart, 9 Gothic Street Student Accommodation, and 93 Blue Gum Road Co-Living Development, with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

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Birmingham Gardens shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Birmingham Gardens had an unemployment rate of 4.9% as of September 2025, with estimated employment growth of 3.2% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. The area had 1,729 residents in work while its unemployment rate was 1.1% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation was at 64.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, accommodation & food, and retail trade. The area had a strong specialization in accommodation & food, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level, but lower representation in agriculture, forestry & fishing at 0.6% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force increased by 4.3% over the year ending September 2025, causing unemployment to rise by 1.0 percentage points.

In comparison, Rest of NSW had employment decline of 0.5%, labour force decline of 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Birmingham Gardens's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this was a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and did not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Birmingham Gardens is below the national average. The median income is $53,637 and the average income stands at $63,925. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income is $52,390 and the average income is $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Birmingham Gardens would be approximately $58,389 (median) and $69,589 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Birmingham Gardens rank modestly, between the 22nd and 33rd percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 36.7% of residents (1,163 people), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 29.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Birmingham Gardens, with only 79.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 27th percentile.

Birmingham Gardens is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Birmingham Gardens, as per the latest Census, consisted of 80.6% houses and 19.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Birmingham Gardens stood at 20.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (21.3%) or rented (58.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,700, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was $380, higher than Non-Metro NSW's $400 but below the national figure of $375.

Birmingham Gardens features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 52.7% of all households, including 18.7% couples with children, 20.1% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 47.3%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households comprising 19.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, higher than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Birmingham Gardens shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Birmingham Gardens' residents aged 15+ have a lower university degree attainment rate of 26.2%, compared to NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.7% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 7.2% and certificates at 24.5%. Educational participation is high, with 43.1% currently enrolled in formal education: 22.8% in tertiary, 6.2% in primary, and 5.6% in secondary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 43.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 22.8% in tertiary education, 6.2% in primary education, and 5.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Birmingham Gardens shows 26 active public transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 29 individual routes that collectively facilitate 1,365 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 104 meters from their nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 195 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

Birmingham Gardens's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Birmingham Gardens' health metrics are close to national benchmarks, with common health conditions among its general population being somewhat typical but higher than the national average for older cohorts. Approximately 52% of Birmingham Gardens residents have private health cover (~1,655 people), slightly higher than the Rest of NSW's average of 56.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (12.9%) and asthma (9.2%), while 66.8% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 64.9% across Rest of NSW. Birmingham Gardens has a lower percentage of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.8% (183 people) compared to the Rest of NSW's 16.7%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Birmingham Gardens was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Birmingham Gardens, as per data from June 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 29.5% of its population born overseas and 24.8% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Birmingham Gardens, accounting for 38.7% of its population as of June 2016. However, Islam showed significant overrepresentation, comprising 5.3% compared to the Rest of NSW's 1.7%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (25.8%), Australian (25.7%), and Other (12.8%), which was substantially higher than the regional average of 6.4%. Notable divergences included Samoan at 0.4% versus 0.1%, Macedonian at 0.3% versus 0.8%, and Vietnamese at 1.0% versus 0.3%.

Birmingham Gardens hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Birmingham Gardens has a median age of 27, which is lower than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Birmingham Gardens has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (27.7%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (2.9%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, Birmingham Gardens has become younger, with its median age decreasing by 1.3 years to 27 from 28. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 increased from 23.9% to 27.2%, while those aged 35-44 grew from 11.0% to 12.3%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 decreased from 4.4% to 2.9%, and those aged 5-14 dropped from 7.7% to 6.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Birmingham Gardens' age profile. The 25-34 age group is expected to rise substantially, with an increase of 671 people (78%) from 862 to 1,534. Meanwhile, the number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to fall.