Birmingham Gardens

Birmingham Gardens lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Birmingham Gardens as of Nov 2025 is around 3,143. This reflects an increase of 545 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,598. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,077 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,978 persons per square kilometer, placing Birmingham Gardens in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 21.0% since the 2021 census exceeded both the non-metro area (5.1%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 95.0%.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2-level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period with Birmingham Gardens expected to grow by 1,834 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 51.0% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Birmingham Gardens when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Birmingham Gardens averaged approximately 22 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 112 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 17 approvals have been recorded. Historically, each dwelling has accommodated around three new residents per year on average between FY-21 and FY-25, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value of these new homes is $264,000, which is below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options for purchasers.

This financial year has seen $7.8 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting limited focus on commercial development. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Birmingham Gardens has 53.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers ample choice despite a recent slowdown in building activity. The current new building activity consists of 14.0% detached houses and 86.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the existing housing pattern of 81.0% houses. This trend suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 179 people per dwelling approval, Birmingham Gardens exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Birmingham Gardens is projected to add 1,602 residents by 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Birmingham Gardens has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No infrastructure changes will influence an area's performance more than local infrastructure alterations, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero such projects that could impact this area. Key projects include Shortland Waters Retirement Village, 9 Gothic Street Student Accommodation, Callaghan Campus Heart, and 93 Blue Gum Road Co-Living Development. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment conditions in Birmingham Gardens remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Birmingham Gardens has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.0%.

As of June 2025, 1,694 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.1% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation stands at 64.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, accommodation & food, and retail trade. The area shows strong specialization in accommodation & food with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0.6% versus the regional average of 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, while labour force grew by 2.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.8 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, and a rise in unemployment of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Birmingham Gardens. These projections estimate local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific growth rates applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Birmingham Gardens is just below the national average. The median income is $53,637 and the average income stands at $63,925. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income is $49,459 and the average income is $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Birmingham Gardens would be approximately $60,401 (median) and $71,986 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks household, family and personal incomes in Birmingham Gardens modestly, between the 22nd and 33rd percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 36.7% of residents (1,153 people), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 29.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Birmingham Gardens, with only 79.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 27th percentile.

Birmingham Gardens is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Birmingham Gardens, as evaluated at the 2016 Census, comprised 80.6% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 70.5% houses and 29.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Birmingham Gardens was 20.1%, with the rest being mortgaged at 21.3% or rented at 58.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,700, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,962 and Australia's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Birmingham Gardens was $380, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400 and the national figure of $375.

Birmingham Gardens features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 52.7% of all households, including 18.7% couples with children, 20.1% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 47.3%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households comprising 19.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Birmingham Gardens shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Birmingham Gardens' residents aged 15+ have lower university degree holders (26.2%) compared to NSW's 32.2%. This gap suggests potential for educational improvement. Bachelor degrees are most common (15.7%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 31.7% of residents holding them - advanced diplomas at 7.2% and certificates at 24.5%.

High educational participation is seen, with 43.1% currently enrolled in formal education: tertiary (22.8%), primary (6.2%), secondary (5.6%). Educational facilities seem outside Birmingham Gardens' immediate boundaries, requiring residents to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 26 active stops operating within Birmingham Gardens. These are mixed-use bus stops served by 30 routes offering 1,340 weekly passenger trips in total. Accessibility is rated excellent with residents located an average of 104 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 191 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 51 weekly trips per individual stop.

Birmingham Gardens's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Birmingham Gardens's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions among its general population are somewhat typical but higher than the nation's average among older cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~1,641 people), leading that of the average SA2 area and comparing to 55.6% across Rest of NSW. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 12.9 and 9.2% of residents respectively. 66.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 64.9% across Rest of NSW. The area has 5.8% of residents aged 65 and over (182 people), which is lower than the 16.7% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

Birmingham Gardens was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Birmingham Gardens, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, exhibited higher cultural diversity than most local areas. Overseas-born population stood at 29.5%, with 24.8% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 38.7%.

Islam's representation, however, was notably higher at 5.3%, compared to Rest of NSW's 1.7%. In terms of ancestry, top groups were English (25.8%), Australian (25.7%), and Other (12.8%), the latter significantly higher than the regional average of 6.4%. Notable ethnic group divergences included Samoan at 0.4% (regional: 0.1%), Macedonian at 0.3% (regional: 0.8%), and Vietnamese at 1.0% (regional: 0.3%).

Birmingham Gardens hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Birmingham Gardens has a median age of 27, which is younger than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and Australia's national median age of 38. Compared to Rest of NSW, Birmingham Gardens has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (27.8%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (2.9%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, Birmingham Gardens has become younger, with its median age decreasing by 1.4 years to 27 from 28. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 increased from 23.9% to 27.2%, while those aged 35-44 rose from 11.0% to 12.3%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 declined from 4.4% to 2.9%, and those aged 5-14 dropped from 7.7% to 6.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Birmingham Gardens' age profile. The 25-34 age cohort is expected to increase substantially by 80% from 854 to 1,541 people. Conversely, the number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to decrease.