Medina

An assessment of population growth drivers in Medina reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Medina's population is estimated at 2,444 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 184 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,260 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of Medina's resident population at 2,440 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of one new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 665 persons per square kilometer. Medina's 8.1% growth since census positions it within 1.6 percentage points of the national average (9.7%). Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Medina statistical area (Lv2), with an expected increase of 360 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 12.3% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Medina according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Medina recorded approximately 4 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 20 homes were approved, with another 4 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 2.5 people moved to the area per new home constructed over these years, indicating healthy demand which may support property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $353,000, higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. This financial year has seen $2.7 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Perth, Medina shows substantially reduced construction, 89.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent development has comprised entirely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature with detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated count of 594 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections estimate Medina adding 301 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Medina has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Three projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Westport-Kwinana Container Port, Hammond West Private Estate (Vivente), Kwinana Energy Transformation Hub (KETH), and Kwinana Education Precinct. Details of these projects are provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Medina face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Medina has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent.

The unemployment rate was 15.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2%. As of September 2025, 1,094 residents were employed, but the unemployment rate was higher than Greater Perth's at 11.4%. Workforce participation was lower too, at 55.9% compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Manufacturing had a notable concentration with levels 1.7 times the regional average. Professional & technical services had limited presence, at 3.9% compared to 8.2% regionally. Local employment opportunities appeared limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2%, while labour force grew by 3.9%, raising the unemployment rate by 2.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth had employment growth of 2.9% and a marginal rise in unemployment. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 showed WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between sectors. Applying these projections to Medina's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.5% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Medina suburb's median taxpayer income is $57,917 and average is $66,899, based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Nationally, median income is $60,748 and average is $80,248. By September 2025, estimates suggest Medina's median income will be approximately $63,489 and average will be $73,335, accounting for a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Medina fall between the 5th and 11th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 29.2% of individuals earn between $400 - $799, contrasting with surrounding regions where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 32.0%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Medina, with only 80.2% of income remaining post-housing costs, ranking at the 5th percentile nationally.

Medina is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Medina's housing structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings. In comparison, Perth metro had 93.0% houses and 7.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Medina stood at 23.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.9% and rented ones at 34.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,200, lower than Perth metro's average of $1,724. Median weekly rent in Medina was $270, compared to Perth metro's $315. Nationally, Medina's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Medina features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 53.3% of all households, including 16.8% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 46.7%, with lone person households at 41.0% and group households comprising 5.6%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.7.

Medina faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.6%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 42.2% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 9.8% and certificates at 32.4%. Educational participation is high, with 27.1% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.2% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 22 operational stops in Medina, serving mixed bus routes. These stops are covered by two distinct routes, offering a total of 405 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is deemed good, with residents positioned on average 223 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency stands at 57 daily trips across all routes, translating to roughly 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Medina is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Medina faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups.

The rate of private health cover in Medina is approximately 54%, which is higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, impacting 12.8% and 9.9% of residents respectively. Around 59.5% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 71.4% in Greater Perth. Medina has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.7%, or 432 people, compared to the 10.4% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Medina was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Medina's cultural diversity is above average, with 10.2% speaking a language other than English at home and 29.2% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Medina, comprising 39.5%. The most notable overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, at 0.8%, compared to Greater Perth's 2.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (31.1%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.0%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: New Zealanders make up 1.2% in Medina vs 1.1% regionally, Maori at 1.3% vs 2.1%, and Dutch at 1.8% vs 1.4%.

Medina's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Medina is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 make up 15.3% of the population, while those aged 5-14 comprise only 8.5%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of 55-64 year-olds has increased from 14.4% to 15.3%, while the 5-14 age group has decreased from 11.0% to 8.5%. By 2041, projections indicate significant changes in Medina's age structure. The 65-74 age cohort is expected to rise by 128 people (51%) from 254 to 383. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 73% of total population growth. Conversely, the 15-24 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.