Medina

An assessment of population growth drivers in Medina reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Medina's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 2,445. This reflects an increase of 185 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,260. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,409 based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and one validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 666 persons per square kilometer. Medina's growth rate of 8.2% since the census is within 0.7 percentage points of the national average (8.9%). The primary driver for this growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 97.0% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimates, AreaSearch utilises ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. According to these projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 359 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 12.2% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Medina according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Medina has recorded approximately 2 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 14 homes were approved, with 1 more in FY-26 so far.

This results in an average of about 3.5 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed during this period. Consequently, demand significantly outpaces supply, exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers. The average construction cost value for new properties is $353,000, which is below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options. Comparatively, Medina has significantly less development activity than Greater Perth, with 92.0% fewer approvals per person. This limited supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes.

However, construction activity has recently intensified. Nationally, the area's development activity is also below average, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent building activity in Medina consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 678 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Looking ahead, Medina is projected to grow by 299 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Medina has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects that could impact the region. Key projects are Westport-Kwinana Container Port, Hammond West Private Estate (Vivente), Kwinana Energy Transformation Hub (KETH), and Kwinana Education Precinct. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Medina lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Medina's workforce comprises a mix of white and blue-collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominent. The unemployment rate in Medina is 14.5%, compared to Greater Perth's 3.9%.

In the past year, employment grew by 1.8% in Medina. As of June 2025, 1,135 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 10.6%, higher than Greater Perth's rate. Workforce participation in Medina is lower at 55.9%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Manufacturing employment is high, at 1.7 times the regional level. Professional & technical services employ only 3.9% of local workers. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. In the past year, Medina's employment increased by 1.8%, while labour force grew by 5.7%, raising unemployment by 3.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Perth where employment rose by 3.7% and unemployment increased minimally. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Medina's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2022, Medina had a median income among taxpayers of $57,917 with the average level standing at $66,899. This is just above the national average and compares to levels of $58,380 and $78,020 across Greater Perth respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since June 30, 2022, current estimates would be approximately $66,141 (median) and $76,399 (average) as of September 2025. From the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Medina all fall between the 5th and 11th percentiles nationally. Looking at income distribution, the $400 - 799 earnings band captures 29.2% of the community (713 individuals), differing from patterns across the metropolitan region where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 32.0%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 5th percentile.

Medina is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Medina's latest Census data shows 92.3% houses and 7.7% other dwellings. Perth metro has 93.0% houses and 7.0% other dwellings. Medina's home ownership rate is 23.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.9% and rented ones at 34.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Medina is $1,200, lower than Perth metro's $1,724. Median weekly rent in Medina is $270, compared to Perth metro's $315. Nationally, Medina's mortgage repayments are lower at $1,863 and rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Medina features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households make up 53.3% of all households, including 16.8% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 46.7%, with lone person households at 41.0% and group households comprising 5.6%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.7.

Medina faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.6%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 9.8% and certificates make up 32.4%.

Educational participation is high at 27.1%, including 9.2% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education. Medina Primary School and SMYL Community College - Seabrooke Way serve a total of 142 students. The area's educational conditions are varied (ICSEA: 904). Educational provision is conventional, with one primary and one secondary institution. Local school capacity is limited at 5.8 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 13.7, leading many families to travel for schooling. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 20 active stops operating in Medina, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by two routes, collectively facilitating 405 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 224 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 57 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Medina is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Medina faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 54%, or around 1,314 people, have private health cover. The most prevalent medical issues are mental health problems (impacting 12.8% of residents) and arthritis (affecting 9.9%). Conversely, 59.5% report no medical ailments, compared to 71.4% in Greater Perth. Medina's senior population, at 17.7% or 432 people, is higher than Greater Perth's 10.4%. Senior health outcomes present challenges broadly consistent with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Medina was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Medina's cultural diversity is above average, with 10.2% speaking a language other than English at home and 29.2% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Medina, comprising 39.5%. However, the most notable overrepresentation is in Other religions, which makes up 0.8%, compared to 2.8% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (31.1%), Australian (24.2%), and Other (8.0%). Notably, New Zealanders comprise 1.2% (vs regional 1.1%), Maori 1.3% (vs 2.1%), and Dutch 1.8% (vs 1.4%) in Medina.

Medina hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Medina is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 make up 15.3% of the population, while those aged 5-14 comprise 8.5%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of the population aged 55-64 has increased from 14.4% to 15.3%, while the percentage of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 11.0% to 8.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Medina's age structure. The number of people aged 65-74 is projected to rise by 129 individuals (51%) from 254 to 384. Notably, the combined population of those aged 65 and above will account for 73% of total population growth. Conversely, the populations aged 15-24 and 0-4 are expected to decline.