Kealy

Kealy lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Kealy statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,014 people. This reflects an increase of 895 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,119 people in the Kealy (SA2). The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024. This level of population results in a density ratio of 312 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person. The Kealy (SA2) experienced an 80.0% growth since the 2021 census, surpassing the national average of 9.7%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 83.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and utilizing growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023 based on 2022 data) for areas not covered. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with the Kealy (SA2) expected to increase by 436 persons to reach 2,450 people by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall decrease of 16.6% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kealy when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Kealy has seen around 59 new homes approved each year. An estimated 296 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25. As of FY-26, 60 homes have been approved so far.

On average, about 0.3 new residents arrive per new home each year over these five financial years, indicating that supply is meeting or surpassing demand, providing greater buyer choice while supporting potential for population growth above projections. The average construction cost value of new homes being built in Kealy is $423,000, demonstrating a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This year alone, there have been $5.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting the area's residential character. Relative to Rest of WA, Kealy records 274.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice, though building activity has slowed in recent years. This activity is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area.

New building activity shows 95.0% detached dwellings and 5.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 41 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. With population projections showing stability or decline, Kealy should see reduced housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Kealy has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can influence an area's performance more than modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of zero projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Vasse Estate, Vasse Dunsborough Link, City of Busselton Local Planning Scheme No. 22, and Busselton Margaret River Airport Expansion. The following list specifies those likely to be most relevant.

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Employment performance in Kealy ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Kealy has a balanced workforce encompassing white and blue collar jobs. Tourism and hospitality sectors are prominent.

The unemployment rate is 2.5%. Employment growth over the past year is estimated at 6.3%. As of September 2025743 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below Rest of WA's rate of 3.3%. Workforce participation in Kealy is 74.5%, compared to Rest of WA's 59.4%.

Employment is concentrated in accommodation & food, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. The area specializes in accommodation & food with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has a lower representation at 3.8% versus the regional average of 9.3%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 6.3% while labour force grew by 6.1%, reducing unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of WA had employment growth of 1.4% and labour force growth of 1.2%, with a 0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Kealy. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%. Applying these projections to Kealy's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.6% over the same period. Over ten years, national employment growth is projected at 13.7%, with Kealy's expected growth being 12.0%. These projections are illustrative and do not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows median income in Kealy suburb is $62,976 and average income is $83,171. This compares to Rest of WA's median income of $59,973 and average income of $74,392. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year ending June 2023, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $69,034 (median) and $91,172 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, Kealy's household, family, and personal incomes are around the 64th percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 40.6% of individuals in Kealy earn between $1,500 - $2,999 annually, aligning with metropolitan region where this cohort represents 31.1%. High housing costs consume 18.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 56th percentile nationally. Area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Kealy is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Kealy, as per the latest Census evaluation, 92.1% of dwellings were houses while 7.8% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This is compared to Non-Metro WA's 89.8% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kealy stood at 15.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (61.5%) or rented (23.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,781, higher than Non-Metro WA's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Kealy was recorded at $420, compared to Non-Metro WA's $360. Nationally, Kealy's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Kealy features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 78.0% of all households, including 37.2% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.0%, with lone person households at 19.2% and group households at 4.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of WA average of 2.5.

Kealy shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 15.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 35.7%. Educational participation is high, with 30.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.1% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 2.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows three active public transit stops operating within Kealy. These stops offer a mix of bus services. Two individual routes serve these stops, collectively providing 149 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 480 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 21 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kealy's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Kealy, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (1,212 people), compared to 53.6% across Rest of WA.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.0 and 8.2% of residents respectively. A total of 74.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.5% across Rest of WA. The area has 7.1% of residents aged 65 and over (142 people), which is lower than the 20.0% in Rest of WA. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Kealy ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kealy's population was found to be predominantly Australian-born, with 80.6% having been born in the country. Citizenship was also high, with 89.3% of residents being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 91.5% of Kealy's population.

Christianity was the most prevalent religion, practiced by 31.2% of people. However, Hinduism was more prominent in Kealy than in the rest of Western Australia (WA), with 1.5% of residents practicing it compared to the regional average of 0.3%. The top three ancestral groups based on parents' country of birth were English at 33.5%, Australian at 30.1%, and Scottish at 7.9%. Notably, French ancestry was slightly overrepresented in Kealy at 0.9% compared to the regional average of 0.7%. Dutch ancestry was also marginally higher than the regional average, with 1.9% of residents having Dutch ancestry compared to 1.7%. New Zealand ancestry was similarly slightly higher in Kealy, with 1.1% of residents having this background compared to the regional average of 1.0%.

Kealy hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Kealy has a median age of 30, which is lower than Rest of WA's figure of 40 and Australia's 38 years. Compared to Rest of WA, Kealy has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (21.8%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.5%). This 25-34 concentration is notably higher than the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 13.1%, while the 35 to 44 cohort has risen from 15.1% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 7.0% to 5.5%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 6.6% to 5.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic shifts in Kealy. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 3%, adding 12 residents to reach a total of 452. However, both the 75 to 84 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.