Kardinya

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kardinya reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Kardinya statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 10,771. This reflects a growth of 1,634 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,137. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 10,584 residents as of June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 139 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,459 persons per square kilometer, placing Kardinya (SA2) in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 17.9% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.7%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population trends project an above median growth for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. By 2041, Kardinya (SA2) is expected to increase by 1,398 persons, reflecting a gain of 7.7% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kardinya when compared nationally

Kardinya averaged approximately 99 new dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 495 homes were approved, with an additional 19 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 1.7 new residents per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years. However, recent figures show this has increased to approximately 14.3 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating a potential shift in demand and supply dynamics.

The average construction value for development projects in Kardinya is around $401,000, suggesting a focus on premium properties. This year alone, there have been $333.1 million in commercial approvals, highlighting significant local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Perth, Kardinya has approximately 64.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. However, construction activity has eased recently.

New development primarily consists of standalone homes (94.0%) with a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (6.0%), preserving the area's suburban character and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 358 people per approval, Kardinya indicates a mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by approximately 833 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Kardinya has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the area: Fiona Stanley Hospital Precinct (New Women and Babies Hospital), Kardinya Rise Estate, North Lake Road - Winterfold Road Intersection Upgrade, and Kardinya District Centre Precinct Structure Plan.

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The exceptional employment performance in Kardinya places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Kardinya has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.3% as of September 2025, with estimated employment growth of 4.8% over the previous year.

This is lower than Greater Perth's unemployment rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Kardinya is similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Education & training has a particularly strong representation with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level, while mining shows lower representation at 4.9% compared to the regional average of 7.0%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8% and labour force increased by 4.7%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 2.9%. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.27% (losing 5,520 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.6%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kardinya's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Kardinya's median income among taxpayers is $59,988. The average income for the suburb is $78,498. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Perth's median of $60,748 and average of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, the estimated median income for Kardinya as of September 2025 is approximately $65,759, with an average of $86,050. Census data shows that incomes in Kardinya cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. The largest segment of income distribution comprises 30.2% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with 3,252 residents falling into this range. This pattern is similar to regional levels where 32.0% occupy the same income range. After housing costs, Kardinya residents retain 87.4% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kardinya is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kardinya's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.3% houses and 13.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Perth metro's 76.5% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kardinya was 44.1%, similar to Perth metro, with the rest being mortgaged (35.1%) or rented (20.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,003, lower than Perth metro's average of $2,200. Median weekly rent in Kardinya was $390, compared to Perth metro's $400. Nationally, Kardinya's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Kardinya features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 74.6% of all households, including 32.2% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.4%, with lone person households at 20.3% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with Greater Perth's average.

The educational profile of Kardinya exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 35.5%, exceeding the Western Australian average of 27.9%. This figure also surpasses that of its Statistical Area Level 4 (SA4) region at 28.6%. The prevalence of higher education is evident in the leading proportion of residents with bachelor degrees, which stands at 23.8%.

Postgraduate qualifications follow at 8.1%, and graduate diplomas are held by 3.6% of residents aged 15 and above. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.5% of residents possessing them. This includes advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (19.4%). Educational participation is notably high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in tertiary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing primary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 45 active transport stops operating within Kardinya. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 13 individual routes. Together, they facilitate 2,158 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 308 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kardinya is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Kardinya shows higher-than-average health results with both younger and older age groups having low rates of common health issues. Approximately 58% (~6,285 people) have private health cover, compared to 66.5% across Greater Perth.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.5%) and mental health concerns (7%). About 70.7% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the Greater Perth average of 72.5%. Kardinya has 21.8% residents aged 65 and over (2,348 people). Health outcomes for seniors are notably good, surpassing general population metrics.

Kardinya was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kardinya has a high level of cultural diversity, with 26.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 38.2% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Kardinya, comprising 52.7% of the population. However, Buddhism is overrepresented in Kardinya at 3.1%, compared to 2.9% across Greater Perth.

The top three ancestry groups in Kardinya are English (24.3%), Australian (19.3%), and Other (10.8%). Notably, Croatian (1.9%) and Italian (7.7%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Kardinya compared to the regional averages of 1.1% and 4.9%, respectively. South African ethnicity is also slightly overrepresented at 1.0%.

Kardinya's median age exceeds the national pattern

Kardinya's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Kardinya has a notably higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.0%) and a lower proportion of those aged 5-14 (9.2%). According to the 2021 Census, Kardinya's population aged 15-24 increased from 13.0% to 14.9%, while the 75-84 age group grew from 6.4% to 7.6%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group decreased from 15.0% to 12.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Kardinya's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 49%, adding 403 residents to reach 1,222. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 71% of the population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 55-64 age groups.