Kardinya

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kardinya reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on evaluation of ABS demographic updates for the wider region, alongside new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the population of Kardinya is projected to be approximately 10,734 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 1,597 people (17.5%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 9,137 people. The shift is calculated from the resident population of 10,730, estimated by AreaSearch following analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 131 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level translates to a density ratio of 2,450 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the upper quartile relative to national sites analyzed by AreaSearch. Kardinya's 17.5% growth since the 2021 census outpaced the national average (9.3%), as well as the SA3 area, establishing it as a growth leader in the region. Population gains for the area were majorly propelled by overseas migration, which accounted for approximately 95.0% of overall population increases during recent periods.

AreaSearch implements ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas lacking this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch employs the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (published in 2023, based on 2022 data). Moving forward with demographic trends, a population rise just below the median of national statistical areas is anticipated, with the area projected to grow by 1,103 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, documenting a gain of 10.2% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Kardinya among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, distributed from statistical area data, the suburb of Kardinya has averaged about 98 new dwelling approvals annually, with an estimated 494 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 205 so far in FY-26. With an average of 2.6 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating healthy demand that supports property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $401,000, showing a developer focus on the premium segment with high-end properties. In addition, $333.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, pointing to strong local business investment.

Relative to Greater Perth, the suburb of Kardinya exhibits 64.0% higher new home approvals (per person), which should provide buyers with plenty of choices, although construction activity has slowed down lately. Recent construction consists of 94.0% detached houses and 6.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's traditional suburban character with an emphasis on family homes appealing to those seeking space. At around 341 people per approval, the suburb of Kardinya shows a transitioning market.

Population forecasts suggest the suburb of Kardinya will gain 1,099 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should easily meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Kardinya has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 43rdth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects and planning initiatives. In total 5 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include New Women and Babies Hospital (Fiona Stanley Hospital Precinct), Kardinya Rise Estate, North Lake Road - Winterfold Road Intersection Upgrade, and Kardinya District Centre Precinct Structure Plan, with the below list detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Kardinya performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

The suburb of Kardinya has a well-educated labor force, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.0%, and relative employment stability over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 6,128 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.2% below Greater Perth's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (66.7% compared to Greater Perth's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a low 8.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical. The area shows particularly strong specialization in education & training, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level. In contrast, mining employs just 4.9% of local workers, below Greater Perth's 7.0%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, aggregated from broader statistical areas, over the 12 months to March 2026, labour force levels decreased by 0.7% combined with employment decreasing by 0.4%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth experienced employment growth of 2.0% and labour force growth of 2.5%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within the suburb of Kardinya. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to the suburb of Kardinya's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Kardinya shows a median taxpayer income of $59,988 and an average of $78,498 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is well above average nationally, contrasting with Greater Perth's median income of $60,748 and average income of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $66,545 (median) and $87,078 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in the suburb of Kardinya cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.2% of the community (3,241 individuals), mirroring the broader area where 32.0% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, residents retain 87.4% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kardinya is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within the suburb of Kardinya, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 86.3% houses and 13.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Perth metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within the suburb of Kardinya was well beyond that of Perth metro, at 44.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (35.1%) or rented (20.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Perth metro average at $2,003, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $390, compared to Perth metro's $1,907 and $350. Nationally, the suburb of Kardinya's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Kardinya features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 74.6% of all households, comprising 32.2% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.4%, with lone person households at 20.3% and group households comprising 4.9% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people matches the Greater Perth average.

The educational profile of Kardinya exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (35.5% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the WA average of 27.9% and that of SA4 region (28.6%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (19.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in tertiary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing primary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 46 active transport stops operating within the suburb of Kardinya comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 13 individual routes, collectively providing 2,158 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward - car remains the dominant mode at 80%, with 11% by train and 5% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling. A relatively low 8.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 308 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 46 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kardinya's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across the suburb of Kardinya, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover found to be very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~6,264 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 7.5 and 7.0% of residents, respectively, while 70.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 21.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,297 people), which is higher than the 16.1% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Kardinya was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

The suburb of Kardinya scores quite highly on cultural diversity, with 26.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 38.2% born overseas. The main religion in the suburb of Kardinya was found to be Christianity, which makes up 52.7% of people in the suburb of Kardinya. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Buddhism, which comprises 3.1% of the population, compared to 2.7% across Greater Perth.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in the suburb of Kardinya are English, comprising 24.3% of the population, Australian, comprising 19.3% of the population, and Other, comprising 10.8% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Croatian is notably overrepresented at 1.9% of the suburb of Kardinya (vs 0.8% regionally), Italian at 7.7% (vs 4.2%) and South Australian at 1.0% (vs 1.0%).

Kardinya's median age exceeds the national pattern

At 41 years, the suburb of Kardinya's median age is significantly above the Greater Perth average of 37 as well as somewhat older than the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Greater Perth average, the 65 - 74 cohort is notably over-represented (11.6% locally), while 5 - 14 year-olds are under-represented (9.1%). Following the 2021 Census, younger residents have shifted the median age down by 1.1 years to 41. In particular, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.0% to 14.9% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 13.7% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 15.0% to 11.4% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 11.9% to 10.8%. Demographic modeling suggests the suburb of Kardinya's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 42%, adding 331 residents to reach 1,126. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 55% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 15 to 24 and 5 to 14 cohorts.