Winthrop
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Winthrop reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Winthrop's population was around 6,526 as of Nov 2025. This reflected an increase of 506 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,020 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,526 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 4 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 1,875 persons per square kilometer. Winthrop's 8.4% growth since census positioned it within 0.5 percentage points of the national average (8.9%). Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 84.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilised growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population trends projected an above median growth for Australian statistical areas. The area was expected to grow by 1,278 persons to 2041, recording a gain of 19.6% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Winthrop according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Winthrop has averaged approximately five new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 27 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. On average, 15.6 new residents have arrived per year for every dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating significant demand exceeding supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average construction value of these dwellings is $486,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Compared to Greater Perth, Winthrop has significantly less development activity, 86.0% below the regional average per person, which often reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This lower level of development activity is also evident nationally, reflecting a mature market and possible development constraints. Recent building activity comprises entirely detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. Winthrop has approximately 1344 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market.

By 2041, Winthrop is projected to grow by 1,278 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Winthrop has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. Four projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact this region. Notable initiatives include Kardinya Park Shopping Centre Redevelopment, New Women and Babies Hospital, Hug Homes, and Fiona Stanley Hospital. The following details projects likely to have the greatest relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Winthrop places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Winthrop has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.4% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 5.5% over the past year as of June 2025.

There are 3,733 residents employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5% below Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Winthrop is 62.4%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. The area specializes particularly in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 6.2% versus the regional average of 9.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 5.5%, labour force grew by 5.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Perth where employment rose by 3.7%, the labour force grew by 3.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that Winthrop's local growth could approximate a 6.7% increase over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Winthrop's employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Winthrop's median income among taxpayers was $47,501 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $69,910 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Perth had median and average incomes of $58,380 and $78,020 respectively. By September 2025, based on a 14.2% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, Winthrop's estimated median income would be approximately $54,246 and the average income would be around $79,837. According to census data, household incomes in Winthrop rank at the 84th percentile ($2,324 weekly), while personal incomes rank at the 41st percentile. In terms of income distribution, 26.5% of Winthrop's population falls within the $4000+ income range, differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - 2,999 range dominates with 32.0%. The significant proportion of high earners (40.0% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout Winthrop. After housing costs, residents retain 89.6% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Winthrop is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Winthrop's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.1% houses and 0.9% other dwellings. In comparison, Perth metro had 76.5% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Winthrop was 55.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.9% and rented ones at 11.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,317, higher than Perth metro's average of $2,200. The median weekly rent figure in Winthrop was $545, compared to Perth metro's $400. Nationally, Winthrop's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Winthrop features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.1% of all households, including 46.6% couples with children, 32.8% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 10.9%, with lone person households at 9.7% and group households making up 1.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Winthrop shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Winthrop's educational attainment is notably high, with 46.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to 27.9% in Western Australia (WA) and 28.6% in the Small Area 4 (SA4) region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 31.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.7% and graduate diplomas at 3.9%. Vocational pathways account for 23.1% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 11.9%. Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.9% in secondary education, 8.8% in primary education, and 7.2% pursuing tertiary education. Winthrop Primary School serves the local area, with an enrollment of 604 students as of a recent report. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited, with 9.3 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 19.6. This means many families travel outside Winthrop for schooling.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Winthrop has 47 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that together facilitate 1,998 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good, with residents on average being located 206 meters away from their nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 285 trips across all routes, which amounts to approximately 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Winthrop's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Winthrop's health outcomes data shows excellent results with very low prevalence rates of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 54% (~3,550 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.2%) and asthma (5.6%), while 75.6% report no medical ailments, compared to 72.5% in Greater Perth. Winthrop has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.7% (1,610 people), compared to Greater Perth's 22.4%. Notably, health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Winthrop is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Winthrop has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 47.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Winthrop, comprising 56.1% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented in Winthrop compared to Greater Perth, making up 5.7% versus 2.9%.

In terms of ancestry, Chinese heritage is significantly higher than the regional average, at 22.3% compared to 9.0%, while English heritage is lower at 19.8% versus 26.9%. Australian heritage stands at 16.2%. Other ethnic groups with notable divergences include South African (Winthrop: 1.2%; regional: 0.9%), Korean (Winthrop: 0.8%; regional: 0.6%) and Croatian (Winthrop: 0.9%; regional: 1.1%).

Winthrop hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Winthrop's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Perth's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 14.3%, notably higher than Greater Perth's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort stands at 8.7%. Post-2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group increased from 13.3% to 15.2%, while the 75 to 84 group rose from 6.0% to 7.8%. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 cohort decreased from 14.6% to 12.5%, and the 45 to 54 group fell from 13.4% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant shifts in Winthrop's age profile. Notably, the 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 96%, reaching 1,002 people from 510. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 62% of projected growth. Conversely, the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to experience population declines.