Winthrop

An assessment of population growth drivers in Winthrop reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Winthrop's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was approximately 6,526 by November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 506 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 6,020. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 6,526 in June 2024 and four additional validated addresses post-census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,875 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Winthrop's growth rate of 8.4% since the census is within 0.5 percentage points of the national average (8.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 84.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population trends project an above median growth for Australian statistical areas. Winthrop is expected to grow by 1,278 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 19.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Winthrop according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Winthrop has averaged approximately five new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 27 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. On average, 15.6 new residents arrive annually per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating significant demand exceeding supply.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $486,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Compared to Greater Perth, Winthrop has significantly less development activity, being 86.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The location currently has approximately 1344 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Winthrop is expected to grow by 1,278 residents through to 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached houses, maintaining Winthrop's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

Winthrop has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 26thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. Four projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the area: New Women and Babies Hospital, Kardinya Park Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Hug Homes, and Fiona Stanley Hospital. The following details these key projects, focusing on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Winthrop places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Winthrop has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% as of an unspecified past year.

Employment growth over the preceding year was estimated at 3.9%. As of September 2025, 3,674 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, below Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Winthrop was 62.4%, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Resident employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services, with a particular specialization in the latter at 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 6.2% versus the regional average of 9.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. In the period from September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 3.9%, while labour force grew by 4.3%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Perth's figures for the same period. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows WA employment contracted by 0.27% (losing 5,520 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.6%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Winthrop's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Winthrop SA2 has a higher income level than the national average, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers is $47,501 and average income stands at $69,910, compared to Greater Perth's figures of $58,380 and $78,020 respectively. Based on a 14.2% increase in wages since financial year 2022, current estimates for Winthrop SA2 would be approximately $54,246 (median) and $79,837 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household incomes rank at the 84th percentile ($2,324 weekly), while personal income ranks lower at the 40th percentile. In terms of income distribution, 26.5% of Winthrop SA2's population (1,729 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 32.0%. The substantial proportion of high earners (40.0% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout Winthrop SA2. After housing costs, residents retain 89.6% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Winthrop is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Winthrop's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 99.1% houses and 0.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Perth metro's 76.5% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Winthrop stood at 55.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.9% and rented ones at 11.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,317, surpassing Perth metro's average of $2,200. The median weekly rent in Winthrop was $545, higher than Perth metro's $400. Nationally, Winthrop's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Winthrop features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.1% of all households, including 46.6% couples with children, 32.8% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.9%, with lone person households at 9.7% and group households making up 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Winthrop places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Winthrop residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate of 46.2%, compared to WA's 27.9% and the SA4 region's 28.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 31.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational pathways account for 23.1%, with advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 11.9%. Educational participation is high, with 29.1% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.9% in secondary education, 8.8% in primary education, and 7.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Winthrop has 47 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of bus routes totaling 10 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 1,998 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good, with residents on average located 206 meters from their nearest transport stop. Across all routes, service frequency averages 285 trips per day, which equates to approximately 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Winthrop's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Winthrop's health outcomes data shows excellent results with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 54% (~3,550 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Perth's 65.2%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.2%) and asthma (5.6%), while 75.6% report being completely free of medical ailments, compared to 72.5% in Greater Perth. Winthrop has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.7% (1,610 people), compared to Greater Perth's 22.4%. Notably, health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Winthrop is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Winthrop's cultural diversity is notable, with 34.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 47.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Winthrop, making up 56.1%. Buddhism, however, is overrepresented at 5.7%, compared to Greater Perth's 2.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (22.3%), English (19.8%), and Australian (16.2%). Notably, South African, Korean, and Croatian ethnicities also diverge from regional averages.

Winthrop hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Winthrop's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Perth's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 14.3% of Winthrop's population, higher than Greater Perth's, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 8.7%. Post-2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 13.3% to 15.2%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 6.0% to 7.8%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 14.6% to 12.5%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 13.4% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant shifts in Winthrop's age profile. Leading this change, the 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 96%, reaching 1,002 people from 510. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 62% of projected growth. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.