Wanguri

An assessment of population growth drivers in Wanguri reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Wanguri is around 1,866 people. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,836 people. The latest ABS ERP data release (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date indicate this rise. The suburb's population density is approximately 2,096 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed about 57% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on these projections, Wanguri is expected to have an above median population growth, increasing by 340 persons to reach a total of 2,206 by 2041, reflecting an 18.2% increase over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Wanguri is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Wanguri has received approximately one dwelling approval per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around six homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has been adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $288,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. In FY-26, $21,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Darwin, Wanguri has significantly less development activity, 66.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, although recent periods have seen increased development activity. The area's development rate is also below national averages, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent development in Wanguri has been entirely comprised of detached houses, sustaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. As of now, there are approximately 753 people per dwelling approval in the location, indicating an established market. Looking ahead, Wanguri is expected to grow by 340 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Wanguri has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to affect the area: Edgeview Court Water Main Replacement, Casuarina Square Redevelopment, Royal Darwin Hospital Mental Health Inpatient Unit and CSSD Upgrade, and Casuarina Aquatic and Leisure Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

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The employment environment in Wanguri shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Wanguri has an educated workforce with 3.3% unemployment rate and 3.0% employment growth in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of June 2025, there are 1,076 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.3%, slightly higher than Greater Darwin's 3.0%.

Workforce participation is lower at 66.4% compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and education & training. Health care & social assistance is particularly specialized with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level, while public administration & safety is under-represented at 14.3% compared to Greater Darwin's 19.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data.

In the past year (Sep-22 to Sep-23), employment increased by 3.0% and labour force by 2.9%, with unemployment remaining stable. Greater Darwin recorded similar employment growth but had a marginal decrease in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industries. Applying these projections to Wanguri's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Wanguri has an income above the national average. The median income is $58,583 and the average income stands at $68,226. In comparison, Greater Darwin has a median income of $65,522 and an average income of $75,260. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Wanguri would be approximately $65,619 (median) and $76,420 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks Wanguri's household, family, and personal incomes highly nationally, between the 76th and 89th percentiles. In Wanguri, 29.7% of locals (554 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to the broader metropolitan region's 36.7%. Economic strength is evident with 38.0% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.6% of income, and residents rank in the 89th percentile for disposable income. Wanguri's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Wanguri is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Wanguri's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.1% houses and 8.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Darwin metro's figures of 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wanguri was recorded at 28.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.5% and rented ones at 31.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Wanguri was $2,167, surpassing Darwin metro's average of $2,028. The median weekly rent figure for Wanguri stood at $410, higher than Darwin metro's $350. Nationally, Wanguri's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Wanguri features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.3% of all households, including 38.4% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.7%, with lone person households at 17.6% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.7.

Wanguri performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Wanguri residents aged 15+ have a university qualification rate of 32.3%, slightly higher than the Northern Territory average of 27.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.2% of residents holding such qualifications; advanced diplomas account for 9.5% while certificates make up 22.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education. Wanguri Primary School serves the local community with an enrollment of 322 students as of a recent report. The school operates under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1003) and offers balanced educational opportunities. It caters exclusively to primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wanguri has six operational public transport stops, all of which offer bus services. These stops are served by twenty different routes that together facilitate 944 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average proximity of 191 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency across all routes is 134 trips per day, equating to around 157 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Wanguri is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population across older, at risk cohorts

Wanguri demonstrates above-average health outcomes with a low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population across older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 54% of Wanguri's total population (~1,003 people) has private health cover, compared to 56.7% across Greater Darwin.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 6.1 and 5.4% of residents respectively. A total of 74.8% of Wanguri's residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.0% across Greater Darwin. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 15.1% (281 people), compared to the 12.3% in Greater Darwin.

Wanguri was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wanguri's population was found to be culturally diverse with 30.6% born overseas and 30.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Wanguri, accounting for 45.4% of its population. Buddhism, however, showed an overrepresentation in Wanguri at 4.5%, compared to 4.1% across Greater Darwin.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (20.4%), English (18.6%), and Other (14.8%). Notably, Greek ethnicity was overrepresented at 5.5% in Wanguri versus the regional average of 3.7%. Filipino ethnicity showed a lower representation at 3.7% compared to the regional figure of 4.7%, while Australian Aboriginal ethnicity was slightly higher at 6.9% versus 7.4%.

Wanguri's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Wanguri's median age is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Darwin's average of 34 and very close to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Wanguri has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (13.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.2%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 11.3% to 13.2%, while the 65-74 cohort has increased from 7.5% to 9.0%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 15.6% to 13.8%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 12.6% to 11.2%. Demographic projections suggest Wanguri's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 22%, adding 55 residents, reaching a total of 313. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 6% (5 people).