Wanguri

An assessment of population growth drivers in Wanguri reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Wanguri statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,866 people. This figure reflects an increase of 30 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,836 people in the Wanguri (SA2). The latest resident population estimate was derived by AreaSearch following examination of the ABS's ERP data release from June 2024 and address validation conducted post-Census. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,096 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver for population growth in the area, contributing approximately 57% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is utilizing ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate post-2032 growth, AreaSearch applies age cohort-specific growth rates provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is anticipated for the Wanguri (SA2), with an expected increase of 340 persons to reach 2,206 by 2041. This projection reflects an 18.2% total increase over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Wanguri is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Wanguri has experienced approximately one dwelling receiving development approval annually. Between financial years 2021 and 2025, around six homes were approved, with none so far in 2026. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost of new dwellings is $288,000. In the current financial year, $21,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Darwin, Wanguri has significantly less development activity, 66.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, though recent periods show increased development activity. This is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent development comprises entirely detached houses, sustaining Wanguri's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes. The location has approximately 753 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Wanguri is expected to grow by 340 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Wanguri has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely affecting the region: Royal Darwin Hospital Mental Health Inpatient Unit and CSSD Upgrade, Edgeview Court Water Main Replacement, Casuarina Square Redevelopment, and Casuarina Aquatic and Leisure Centre. The following details those most relevant.

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The labour market in Wanguri demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Wanguri has an educated workforce with 3.8% unemployment rate and 1.2% employment growth in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, Wanguri's unemployment rate is 3.7%, compared to Greater Darwin's 3.1%.

Workforce participation is lower at 66.4%. Key industries are health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and education & training. Health care is particularly strong with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level, while public administration is under-represented at 14.3% compared to Greater Darwin's 19.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited.

In the past year, employment increased by 1.2%, labour force by 1.3%, leading to a slight unemployment rise (AreaSearch analysis). By comparison, Greater Darwin had higher growth rates. State-level data shows NT employment contracted by 1.13% by November 25, 2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.4%. National forecasts project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wanguri's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Wanguri is approximately average nationally. The median income is $58,583 while the average income stands at $68,226. This contrasts with Greater Darwin's figures of a median income of $66,956 and an average income of $77,199. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $63,527 (median) and $73,984 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, Wanguri's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 76th and 89th percentiles. The data shows that the predominant income cohort in Wanguri is 29.7% of locals (554 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 annually. This aligns with broader metropolitan trends where 36.7% fall into the same category. Economic strength is evident through 38.0% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. This supports elevated consumer spending in the area. Housing accounts for 13.6% of income while strong earnings place residents within the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Wanguri is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Wanguri's dwellings were 91.1% houses and 8.9% other types at the latest Census, compared to Darwin metro's 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wanguri was 28.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.5% and rented ones at 31.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Darwin metro's $2,028. Median weekly rent in Wanguri was $410, compared to Darwin metro's $350. Nationally, Wanguri's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Wanguri features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.3% of all households, including 38.4% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.7%, with lone person households at 17.6% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.7.

Wanguri performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Wanguri residents aged 15+ with university qualifications stand at 32.3%, slightly higher than the Northern Territory average of 27.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common among these, at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.5% and certificates at 22.7%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wanguri has six operational public transport stops, all of which offer bus services. These stops are served by twenty-one different routes that together facilitate 957 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated highly, with residents on average living just 191 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 136 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 159 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Wanguri is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population across older, at risk cohorts

Wanguri shows better-than-average health outcomes, with a low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population, particularly in older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% (around 1,003 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area's 57.4%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 6.1% and 5.4% of residents respectively. A total of 74.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 77.0% in Greater Darwin. Wanguri has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over, at 15.1% (281 people), compared to Greater Darwin's 12.3%.

Wanguri was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wanguri's population showed higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 30.6% born overseas and 30.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Wanguri, accounting for 45.4% of its population. Buddhism, while comprising only 4.5%, showed an overrepresentation compared to Greater Darwin's 4.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (20.4%), English (18.6%), and Other (14.8%). Notable divergences included Greek (5.5% vs regional 3.7%) and Filipino (3.7% vs regional 4.7%) populations, as well as Australian Aboriginal (6.9% vs regional 7.4%).

Wanguri's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Wanguri's median age is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Darwin's average of 34 and close to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Wanguri has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (13.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.2%). Between the 2021 Census and the current time, the population aged 15-24 increased from 11.3% to 13.2%, while those aged 65-74 grew from 7.5% to 9.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 decreased from 15.6% to 13.8%, and those aged 25-34 dropped from 12.6% to 11.2%. By 2041, Wanguri's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 45-54 cohort is expected to grow by 22%, adding 55 residents to reach a total of 313. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 6%, an increase of 5 people.