Jingili

An assessment of population growth drivers in Jingili reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Jingili is around 1,909 people. This figure reflects an increase of 68 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 1,841. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses following their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional validated address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,446 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking ahead, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected for Jingili. By 2041, the suburb is projected to increase by 180 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 9.3% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Jingili according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Jingili has had virtually no dwelling approvals in recent years. Over the past five financial years, ending 30 June 2025 (FY-25), an estimated total of one home was approved for construction. In the current financial year, FY-26, no dwelling approvals have been recorded as of yet. This lack of new supply is significant given the average of ten new residents per year for every home built in Jingili between FY-21 and FY-25.

This substantial lag between supply and demand typically results in heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. In addition, $28,000 worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded in Jingili this financial year, further indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Darwin, Jingili demonstrates substantially reduced construction activity. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years, suggesting potential changes in planning constraints or increased interest in the area. Nationally, Jingili's construction levels are below average, which could be attributed to its maturity as an urban area. This trend may also indicate possible planning constraints impacting new development in the region.

Jingili has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 8thth percentile nationally

No factor impacts an area's performance more than local infrastructure changes. AreaSearch identified zero projects that might affect this region. Key initiatives include Social Housing Accelerator Payment (SHAP) in Greater Darwin/Nightcliff, Casuarina Square Redevelopment, Casuarina Aquatic and Leisure Centre, and Royal Darwin Hospital Mental Health Inpatient Unit and CSSD Upgrade. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

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Employment performance in Jingili has been broadly consistent with national averages

Jingili has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 3.6% as of June 2025.

This rate is 0.6% higher than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. Key industries for employment among residents include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Conversely, accommodation & food services show lower representation at 6.2%, compared to the regional average of 8.0%. The area's workforce participation rate is somewhat below standard, at 67.1% compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment levels increased by 2.6% and labour force grew by 2.9% during the year to June 2025, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 2.9%, with a marginal decrease in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Jingili's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Jingili had a median taxpayer income of $62,481 and an average of $72,765 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2022. This is higher than national averages, contrasting with Greater Darwin's median income of $65,522 and average income of $75,260. By September 2025, estimates based on a 12.01% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022 would be approximately $69,985 (median) and $81,504 (average). According to the 2021 Census figures, Jingili's incomes rank highly nationally, between the 82nd and 86th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution shows that 31.4% of residents earn between $1,500 - $2,999 (599 individuals), consistent with broader trends in the area at 36.7%. Economic strength is evident with 37.6% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.4% of income, while residents' strong earnings place them within the 88th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Jingili is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Jingili, as per the latest Census evaluation, 97.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 2.2% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Darwin metro's 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Jingili stood at 28.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.8% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,015, lower than Darwin metro's average of $2,028. The median weekly rent in Jingili was $400, higher than Darwin metro's $350. Nationally, Jingili's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Jingili features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.9% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 22.2% couples without children, and 17.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.1%, with lone person households at 15.1% and group households making up 6.1%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Jingili exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates at 33.8% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Northern Territory average of 27.3% and the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.6% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%. Vocational skills are also prominent, with 30.7% of residents aged 15+ holding credentials such as advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (21.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 35.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 13.0% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education. Jingili Primary School serves the local community with an enrollment of 245 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1016) with balanced educational opportunities. There is one school focusing exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 12.8, below the regional average of 16.9, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent regions.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Jingili has ten operational public transport stops, all of which serve buses. These stops are covered by twenty-four different routes, offering a total of 1,273 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 185 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency is 181 trips per day across all routes, translating to about 127 weekly trips per individual stop.

Jingili's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Jingili shows excellent health outcomes across all ages.

Common health conditions have a very low prevalence. Private health cover stands at approximately 56%, covering around 1,060 people. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 5.5% each of the population. About 77.1% report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Darwin's 77.0%. Jingili has 11.3% residents aged 65 and over (215 people), lower than Greater Darwin's 12.3%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Jingili was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Jingili was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 26.0% of its population born overseas and 21.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Jingili is Christianity, comprising 39.2% of the population. Buddhism, however, is overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin, making up 3.0% of Jingili's population versus 4.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (21.1%), Australian (20.6%), and Other (12.3%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Greek (3.3%) are overrepresented in Jingili compared to regional averages of 0.4% and 3.7%, respectively.

Jingili's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Jingili has a median age of 36, which is slightly higher than Greater Darwin's figure of 34 but lower than Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Jingili has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (17.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.1%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the percentage of Jingili's population aged 5 to 14 has increased from 15.6% to 17.8%, while the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.7% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age cohort has decreased from 7.7% to 5.6%, and the 35 to 44 age group has dropped from 17.3% to 16.0%. Population forecasts for Jingili indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041, with the 65 to 74 cohort projected to grow strongly at a rate of 52%, adding 55 residents to reach a total of 162. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 age group is expected to decrease by 3 residents.