Moil

Moil is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Moil as of November 2025 is around 2,112. This reflects an increase of 112 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,000. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, following examination of the ABS's ERP data release in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date, is used for this estimation. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,030 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Moil's growth rate of 5.6% since the census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.6%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth is projected for statistical areas across the nation. The suburb of Moil is expected to grow by 288 persons to reach a total population of 2,400 by 2041, reflecting a gain of 13.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Moil according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows virtually no dwelling approvals in Moil recently. Only 1 home was approved between FY-2021 and FY-2025, with none recorded so far in FY-2026. This results in an average of 34 new residents arriving per year for each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

Consequently, supply is substantially lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $465,000. In FY-2026, $28,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Darwin, Moil has markedly lower building activity. This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years, which is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Moil has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 8thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. One major project has been identified by AreaSearch as likely affecting this region. Key projects include Casuarina Square Redevelopment, Casuarina Aquatic and Leisure Centre, CDU - Centre for Better Health Futures, and Berrimah North Area Plan. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Moil demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Moil's workforce is skilled with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.7% in the past year, showing a 3.2% employment growth based on AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of June 2025, there were 1,141 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.7%, 0.7% higher than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Workforce participation was 66.7%, below Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Dominant employment sectors included public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area had a strong specialization in administrative & support services with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

However, public administration & safety showed lower representation at 15.0% compared to the regional average of 19.5%. Limited local employment opportunities were indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over a 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, and labour force grew by 2.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Darwin saw employment grow by 2.9% with a marginal fall in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moil's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Moil had a median income among taxpayers of $56,304. The average income stood at $65,572. This is approximately average nationally and compares to levels of $65,522 and $75,260 across Greater Darwin respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $63,066 (median) and $73,447 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Moil cluster around the 69th percentile nationally. The data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 35.8% of residents (756 people), aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 36.7%. Housing accounts for 14.2% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 71st percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Moil is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Moil, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 86.4% houses and 13.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Darwin metro had 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moil was 25.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.9% and rented ones at 35.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, below Darwin metro's average of $2,028. Median weekly rent in Moil was $310, compared to Darwin metro's $350. Nationally, Moil's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $375.

Moil features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.7% of all households, including 36.2% couples with children, 22.4% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.3%, with lone person households at 18.1% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.7 people.

Educational outcomes in Moil fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

In Moil Trail region, 28.1% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to 36.1% in the SA3 area. This indicates potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 33.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (23.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 35.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 11.0% in secondary, and 6.3% in tertiary. Moil Trail has two schools serving 898 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 957) and balanced educational opportunities. The area functions as an education hub with 42.5 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 16.9, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates ten active public transport stops in Moil, operated by a mix of buses. These stops are served by thirty distinct routes, collectively facilitating 1,103 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 190 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 157 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 110 weekly trips per individual stop.

Moil's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Moil. Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and nearer to the nation's average among older, at-risk cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,113 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Darwin's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions in Moil are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 6.8% and 5.7% of residents respectively. 76.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Darwin's 77.0%. Moil has 14.3% of residents aged 65 and over (302 people), higher than Greater Darwin's 12.3%. Health outcomes among seniors in Moil are above average but require more attention than the broader population.

Moil is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moil has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.0% of its population born overseas and 33.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Moil, accounting for 48.8% of people. However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin, comprising 4.1% of Moil's population.

The top three ancestry groups in Moil are English (19.8%), Australian (19.5%), and Other (14.8%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences in representation: Filipino at 5.1% (compared to the regional average of 4.7%), Greek at 6.1% (vs 3.7%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.1%).

Moil's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Moil's median age is 37 years, which is higher than Greater Darwin's average of 34 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Darwin, Moil has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.5%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 3.7% to 5.2%, while the 15-24 age group increased from 12.6% to 13.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 15.7% to 14.5%, and the 25-34 age group dropped from 11.6% to 10.5%. Population forecasts for Moil in 2041 indicate significant demographic shifts. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 33%, adding 102 residents to reach a total of 415. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 5-14 age cohorts.