Millner

An assessment of population growth drivers in Millner reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

By Feb 2026, Millner's population is estimated at around 2,635. This reflects an increase of 59 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,576. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,635 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,792 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 69.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and applying growth rates by age cohort to areas not covered, using ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median of national areas, with Millner expected to expand by 322 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 12.2% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Millner is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Millner has seen around 1 new home approved each year. Between FY21 and FY25, approximately 8 homes were approved, with 0 so far in FY26. The population has fallen during this period, suggesting that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers.

New homes are being built at an average value of $750,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, there have been $33,000 in commercial approvals, demonstrating Millner's residential nature. Compared to Greater Darwin, Millner records markedly lower building activity, 68.0% below the regional average per person, which usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity shows an equal split between detached (50.0%) and attached dwellings (50.0%), offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. There are approximately 2638 people per dwelling approval in Millner, indicating an established market.

Population forecasts indicate Millner will gain 322 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Millner has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely affecting the region: Social Housing Accelerator Payment (SHAP) in Greater Darwin/Nightcliff and John Stokes Square Redevelopment. Other notable projects include Royal Darwin Hospital Mental Health Inpatient Unit and CSSD Upgrade, Casuarina Square Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Millner shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Millner's workforce is well-educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.3% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.7%.

AreaSearch aggregated statistical area data for this calculation. As of September 2025, there were 1,562 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 4.1%, slightly higher than Greater Darwin's 3.1%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Darwin's at 76.0%. Census responses indicated that only 4.6% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance (1.5 times the regional average), public administration & safety (13.3%), and education & training sectors. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.7% while labour force grew by 1.8%, leading to a marginal rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Darwin saw employment grow by 1.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Millner's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The suburb of Millner had a median income among taxpayers of $57,384 and an average income of $66,829 in financial year 2023. These figures are lower than Greater Darwin's median income of $66,956 and average income of $77,199 for the same period. By September 2025, estimates based on an 8.44% increase from the Wage Price Index suggest Millner's median income will be approximately $62,227 and the average income will be around $72,469. According to the 2021 Census, personal income in Millner ranks at the 74th percentile with a weekly earning of $957. Household income ranks at the 54th percentile. The largest income segment comprises 39.4% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, which aligns with regional levels where this cohort represents 36.7%. Residents spend 15.4% of their income on housing costs. Despite high housing costs, disposable income ranks at the 55th percentile, placing Millner's SEIFA income ranking in the 4th decile.

Millner displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Millner, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 52.5% houses and 47.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Darwin metropolitan area's 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Millner stood at 22.6%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (28.9%) or rented (48.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, lower than Darwin metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent figure in Millner was recorded at $340, compared to Darwin metro's $385. Nationally, Millner's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Millner features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 64.8% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 21.6% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 35.2%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 8.1%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Millner fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

In Millner, a notable educational advantage is evident with 38.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, exceeding the Northern Territory's (27.3%) and Australia's (30.4%) averages. This educational attainment is predominantly composed of bachelor degrees (23.2%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent among residents, with 29.2% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (19.7%). Educational participation is high in Millner, with 33.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (9.8%), tertiary education (8.5%), and secondary education (5.9%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Millner has 16 operational public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 35 different routes, offering a total of 1,781 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 153 meters to the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, Millner sees most residents commuting outward using cars (85%), followed by buses (7%) and cycling (2%). On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, only 4.6% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Daily service frequency across all routes averages 254 trips, equating to about 111 weekly trips per stop.

Millner's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data for Millner residents shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health issues are seen across both young and elderly age groups.

Private health cover is present in approximately 53% of the total population (1,402 people), slightly higher than the Greater Darwin average of 57.8%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (6.5%) and mental health issues (5.7%), with 76.9% of residents reporting no medical ailments, similar to the Greater Darwin figure of 77.1%. Under-65 population shows better than average health outcomes. There are 308 people aged 65 and over, comprising 11.7% of the total population. Health outcomes among seniors rank higher than the general population nationally.

Millner is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Millner has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.7% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Millner is Christianity, comprising 39.2% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 10.5% compared to the Greater Darwin average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (21.3%), Australian (17.7%), and English (17.7%), with Other being substantially higher than the regional average of 13.1%. Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Filipino is overrepresented at 5.3% compared to the regional average of 3.8%, Spanish at 0.9% versus 0.4%, and Greek at 3.9% versus 2.3%.

Millner's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Millner's median age is 36 years, slightly higher than Greater Darwin's 34 but lower than Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Darwin, Millner has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (13.8%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (9.6%). Between the 2021 Census and present day, the age group 55 to 64 has increased from 10.8% to 13.8%, while the 35 to 44 cohort has risen from 15.3% to 17.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.8% to 10.0%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 8.0% to 6.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Millner. The 65 to 74 age group is projected to grow by 42%, adding 69 residents to reach a total of 236. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 age group is expected to grow by a modest 4% (an increase of 5 people).