Millner

An assessment of population growth drivers in Millner reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of Millner, as estimated by AreaSearch based on ABS ERP data from June 2024 and address validation since the Census date, is around 2,635 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 59 people (2.3%) compared to the 2021 Census population of 2,576. The estimated resident population of 2,635 results in a density ratio of 1,792 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 69.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023 based on 2022 data) are applied. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of national areas, with the suburb expected to expand by 322 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 12.2% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Millner is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Millner has seen around 1 new home approved each year. Approximately 8 homes have been approved over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with 0 approved so far in FY-26. The population fall during this period suggests that new supply has likely kept up with demand, providing good choice for buyers.

New homes are being built at an average value of $750,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $33,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting Millner's residential nature. Compared to Greater Darwin, Millner records significantly lower building activity, 68.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, which is also under the national average, suggesting an established area with potential planning limitations. New building activity consists of 50.0% detached dwellings and 50.0% attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. The location has approximately 2638 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market.

Population forecasts suggest Millner will gain 322 residents by 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Millner has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 8thth percentile nationally

Two projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the area: Social Housing Accelerator Payment (SHAP) in Greater Darwin/Nightcliff and John Stokes Square Redevelopment. Additionally, Casuarina Square Redevelopment and Darwin Mid Suburbs Area Plan are also key projects.

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The employment environment in Millner shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Millner has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.2% as of the past year, with estimated employment growth at 2.6%.

As of June 2025, 1,566 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.2% higher than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Workforce participation in Millner was 67.1%, below Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and education & training. Health care & social assistance has notable concentration with levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Public administration & safety is under-represented at 13.3% of Millner's workforce compared to Greater Darwin's 19.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.6%, labour force by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points in Millner. In Greater Darwin, employment rose by 2.9%, labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment fell marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Millner's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Millner's median income among taxpayers was $57,384 during financial year 2022. The average income stood at $66,829 in the same period. In Greater Darwin, the median income was $65,522 and the average was $75,260. By September 2025, estimates suggest Millner's median income would be approximately $64,276, with an average of around $74,855, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, personal income ranked at the 74th percentile ($957 weekly), while household income was at the 54th percentile. The largest segment of residents earned between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, comprising 39.4% (1,038 residents). This aligns with regional levels where this cohort also represented 36.7%. High housing costs consumed 15.4% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 55th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 4th decile.

Millner displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Millner's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 52.5% houses and 47.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Darwin metropolitan area had 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Millner was at 22.6%, similar to Darwin metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (28.9%) or rented (48.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Millner was $1,733, lower than Darwin metro's average of $2,028 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Millner was recorded at $340, compared to Darwin metro's $350 and the national figure of $375.

Millner features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households compose 64.8% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 21.6% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 35.2%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 8.1%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Millner fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

In Millner, educational attainment notably exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 38.7% hold university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationally as of 2021 data. This educational advantage is led by bachelor degrees at 23.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.8% and graduate diplomas at 3.7%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (19.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest census data. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.5% in tertiary education, and 5.9% pursuing secondary education. Millner Primary School serves local educational needs within Millner, enrolling 164 students as of the recent school census. The area has varied educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 872. There is one primary school focusing exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited, with 6.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.9, indicating many families travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 16 active stops operating in Millner. These are served by a mix of buses on 33 routes, offering 1,774 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 153 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency is 253 trips per day across all routes, equating to around 110 weekly trips per individual stop.

Millner's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Millner. Prevalence of common health conditions is very low across all age groups.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,402 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but slightly lower than Greater Darwin's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 6.5% and 5.7% of residents respectively. A majority, 76.9%, declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, comparable to the 77.0% across Greater Darwin. Millner has 11.8% of residents aged 65 and over (310 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Millner is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Millner has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.7% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Millner is Christianity, accounting for 39.2% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 10.5%, compared to the Greater Darwin average of 5.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (21.3%), Australian (17.7%), and English (17.7%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Filipino at 5.3% in Millner versus 4.7% regionally, Spanish at 0.9% compared to 0.5%, and Greek at 3.9% versus 3.7%.

Millner's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Millner's median age is 36, slightly higher than Greater Darwin's 34 but lower than Australia's 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Millner has a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (13.4%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (9.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 55-64 age group has grown from 10.8% to 13.4%, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 15.3% to 16.8%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.8% to 10.7% and the 65-74 group dropped from 8.0% to 6.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Millner. The 35-44 age group is projected to grow by 15%, adding 68 residents to reach 511. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group is expected to grow by a modest 4% (an increase of 5 people).