Moil
Statistical Area - sa2

Moil is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Moil's population is approximately 2,112 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 112 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,000. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 2,112 in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,030 persons per square kilometer, higher than average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Moil's growth rate of 5.6% since the census is within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 7.6%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 70.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and for estimating growth post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is expected, with Moil projected to increase by 288 persons to reach a total of 3,400 by 2041. This would represent a gain of 13.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Moil according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Moil has seen approximately zero new homes approved each year. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, totalling three approvals across the past five financial years between FY20 and FY25. There have been zero approvals so far in FY26. Given an average of 34.0 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years between FY20 and FY25, demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $465,000. Additionally, $7.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to Greater Darwin. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. However, construction activity has intensified recently, though it remains below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Moil has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 1stth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to affect this region: Royal Darwin Hospital (RDH) Mental Health Inpatient Unit and CSSD upgrades. Other notable projects include Casuarina Square Redevelopment, Casuarina Aquatic and Leisure Centre, and CDU - Centre for Better Health Futures. The following details the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Moil has been broadly consistent with national averages

Moil's skilled workforce includes well-represented essential services sectors with an unemployment rate of 3.7%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 3.2%.

As of June 2025, 1,141 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.7%, which is 0.7% above Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Workforce participation in Moil is 66.7%, below Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Dominant employment sectors among residents include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Administrative & support services have an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Public administration & safety employs 15.0% of local workers, below Greater Darwin's 19.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the 12 months prior, employment increased by 3.2%, labour force by 2.9%, leading to a unemployment rate decrease of 0.3 percentage points. Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 2.9% and unemployment fell marginally. As of Sep-25, NT employment grew by 1.0% year-on-year, adding 1,710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, with NT's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Moil's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Moil's income level is approximately average nationally according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Moil's median income among taxpayers is $56,304 and the average income stands at $65,572. In Greater Darwin, these figures are $65,522 and $75,260 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Moil would be approximately $62,182 (median) and $72,418 (average) as of March 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Moil cluster around the 69th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 35.8% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 (756 individuals), similar to the broader area where 36.7% fall into this bracket. Housing accounts for 14.2% of income. Residents rank in the 71st percentile for disposable income and Moil's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Moil is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation in Moil, dwelling structures were composed of 86.4% houses and 13.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Darwin metro's 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moil stood at 25.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.9% and rented ones at 35.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Darwin metro's average of $2,028. The median weekly rent in Moil was recorded as $310, lower than Darwin metro's $350. Nationally, Moil's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $310 versus the national figure of $375.

Moil features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.7% of all households, including 36.2% couples with children, 22.4% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.3%, with lone person households at 18.1% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Moil fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Educational qualifications in Moil trail show that 28.1% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to 36.1% in the SA3 area. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 33.5% of residents holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (23.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 35.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (12.1%), secondary education (11.0%), and tertiary education (6.3%). Moil Primary School and Casuarina Senior College serve a total of 898 students. Moil has typical Australian school conditions, with an ICSEA score of 957 and balanced educational opportunities. The area functions as an education hub with 42.5 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 16.9, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moil has ten active transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by thirty different routes that collectively offer 1,103 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 190 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

Services run approximately 157 times a day across all routes, translating to about 110 weekly trips per individual stop.

Moil's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis shows strong health metrics in Moil. Prevalence of common conditions is low among general population, near national averages for older cohorts at risk.

Private health cover rate is high at approximately 52%, compared to 56.7% in Greater Darwin (~1,106 people). Most common conditions are arthritis (6.8%) and mental health issues (5.7%). 76.2% report no medical ailments, close to Greater Darwin's 77.0%. Moil has a higher senior population at 14.4% (303 people), compared to Greater Darwin's 12.3%. Senior health outcomes require more attention despite being above average.

Moil is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moil has a high cultural diversity, with 34.0% of its population born overseas and 33.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Moil, comprising 48.8% of its population. Buddhism is overrepresented in Moil compared to Greater Darwin, making up 4.1% versus 4.1%.

The top three ancestry groups in Moil are English (19.8%), Australian (19.5%), and Other (14.8%). There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Greek is overrepresented at 6.1% compared to 3.7% regionally, Filipino at 5.1% versus 4.7%, and Australian Aboriginal at 6.8% versus 7.4%.

Moil's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Moil's median age is 37 years, which is somewhat higher than Greater Darwin's average of 34 but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Darwin, Moil has a higher concentration of residents aged 45-54 (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the latest data, the percentage of Moil's population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 3.7% to 5.2%, while the percentage of those aged 15 to 24 increased from 12.6% to 13.9%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 5 to 14 declined from 15.7% to 14.5%, and the percentage of those aged 25 to 34 dropped from 11.6% to 10.6%. Population forecasts for Moil in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 age cohort (33%), adding 102 residents to reach a total of 415. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 5-14 age cohorts.