Rosebery (NT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Rosebery reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Rosebery's population is estimated at around 4,354. This reflects an increase of 227 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,127. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population as 4,355 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,303 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Rosebery has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimations, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Considering projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for the suburb until 2041, with an expected increase of 722 persons reflecting a gain of 16.9% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Rosebery is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Rosebery has had approximately two dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis. From financial years 2021 to 2025, around eleven homes were approved, with three more approved in the current financial year 2026. Despite a falling population, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, indicating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $443,000. Commercial approvals this year total $37,000, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Darwin, Rosebery has significantly less development activity, at 88.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity can strengthen demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, Rosebery's development activity is also below average, possibly due to planning constraints.

Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's suburban character with a focus on family homes. New construction favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest, demonstrating robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location has approximately 1747 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Rosebery is expected to grow by 738 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Rosebery has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 11thth percentile nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance more than alterations to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to significantly impact this area. Notable projects include Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Hudson Creek Power Station, Marine Industry Park, and Darwin Corporate Park, with the following list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Rosebery rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Rosebery's workforce is skilled with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.4% as of June 2025.

This represents a 3.1% increase in employment over the past year, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 2,677 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.7% lower than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Workforce participation stood at 75.5%, surpassing Greater Darwin's 69.7%.

Key industries of employment among residents included public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. However, health care & social assistance was under-represented with only 12.0% of Rosebery's workforce compared to 14.2% in Greater Darwin. The predominantly residential area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period, employment increased by 3.1% alongside labour force growth of 2.9%, resulting in an unemployment rate decrease of 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment and labour force growth of 2.9% each, with marginal unemployment reduction. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 projected a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Rosebery's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows income in Rosebery is among the highest in Australia. The median assessed income is $73,346 and the average income stands at $78,943. This contrasts with Greater Darwin's figures of a median income of $65,522 and an average income of $75,260. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $82,155 (median) and $88,424 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Rosebery, between the 87th and 91st percentiles nationally. The data shows that the predominant cohort spans 43.5% of locals (1,893 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, which is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 36.7% in the same category. Economic strength emerges through 34.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 85th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Rosebery displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Rosebery's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 68.4% houses and 31.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Darwin metro's 75.9% houses and 24.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosebery stood at 8.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.5% and rented ones at 54.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,128, higher than Darwin metro's average of $2,037. Median weekly rent in Rosebery was $420, compared to Darwin metro's $400. Nationally, Rosebery's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,128 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Rosebery features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.9% of all households, including 42.3% couples with children, 21.9% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.1%, with lone person households at 17.8% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Rosebery aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Rosebery's educational qualifications trail regional benchmarks; 22.7% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to the SA4 region's 31.3%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 14.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 44.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 12.7% and certificates make up 32.2%.

Educational participation is high at 37.6%, including 15.1% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education. Rosebery Primary School serves the local area with an enrollment of 335 students; it offers typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 963) and balanced educational opportunities. The area has one primary school focusing exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding regions. School places per 100 residents stand at 7.7, below the regional average of 14.7, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosebery has 16 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 42 different routes, offering a total of 2,227 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these services is rated excellent, with residents typically living just 163 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 318 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to about 139 weekly trips per individual stop.

Rosebery's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Rosebery's health outcomes show notable results.

Common health conditions are prevalent among both younger and older age groups. Approximately 58% of Rosebery's total population (2,522 people) have private health cover. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 7.1 and 6.9% of residents respectively. 78.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 76.6% in Greater Darwin. Rosebery has 6.6% (287 people) of its population aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Rosebery was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Rosebery's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 22.8% born overseas and 17.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 40.3%. Hinduism is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin, comprising 2.8% versus 2.6%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians make up 26.9%, followed by English at 23.8% and Other at 11.1%. Notable differences exist in the representation of certain ethnic groups: New Zealanders are overrepresented at 1.2% (compared to 0.7%), Filipinos at 3.1% (versus 4.8%), and Australian Aboriginals at 7.1% (against 9.1%).

Rosebery hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Rosebery's median age in 2021 was 31, which is lower than Greater Darwin's figure of 34 and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38. The age profile showed that the 5-14 year-olds were particularly prominent at 16.3%, while the 55-64 group was smaller at 7.9% compared to Greater Darwin. Post-2021 Census data indicated that the 65-74 age group had grown from 3.6% to 4.7%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort had declined from 17.7% to 16.3%. By 2041, Rosebery's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to increase by 163 people (31%) from 535 to 699. In contrast, the 0-4 cohort shows minimal growth of just 5% (18 people).