Durack (NT)

Population growth drivers in Durack are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Durack (NT) is around 4,062. This figure reflects an increase of 332 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,730. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 4,060 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and one validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,381 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Durack has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with an annual growth rate of 1.2%, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected for the suburb of Durack. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, it is expected to grow by 703 persons to reach a total population of 4,765 by 2041, reflecting a gain of 16.4% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Durack according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Durack shows approximately 8 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 40 homes were approved, with a further 15 approved so far in FY26. This results in an average of 1.9 people moving to the area per dwelling built over these years.

The market balance between supply and demand supports stable conditions, with new dwellings developed at an average cost of $369,000. In FY26, $41,000 worth of commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Darwin, Durack has significantly lower building activity, 51.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, although recent construction activity has increased. Overall, it is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity in Durack comprises 43.0% standalone homes and 57.0% attached dwellings, indicating a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This is a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 95.0% houses.

The population per dwelling approval in Durack is around 402 people, suggesting a developed market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates that Durack is expected to grow by 665 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Durack has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 14thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major undertakings, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has pinpointed zero projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Hudson Creek Power Station, Marine Industry Park, and Darwin Corporate Park, with the following list outlining those most pertinent.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Durack performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Durack has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 1.4% as of September 2025. This is below Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%. Workforce participation in Durack is 81.2%, higher than Greater Darwin's 76.0%.

Over the past year, employment growth was estimated at 1.7%. Leading industries include public administration & safety and construction. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 11.2% of Durack's workforce compared to 14.2% in Greater Darwin.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.7% while labour force grew by 1.8%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 1.4%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Durack's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Durack had a median taxpayer income of $63,030 and an average income of $69,591 in financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is slightly above the national average. In comparison, Greater Darwin had a median income of $66,956 and an average income of $77,199 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Durack would be approximately $68,350 (median) and $75,464 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Durack rank highly nationally, between the 90th and 94th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 44.2% of individuals in Durack earn between $1,500 - $2,999 per week, mirroring regional levels where 36.7% occupy this bracket. The suburb demonstrates considerable affluence with 36.2% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 17.9% of income in Durack, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 87th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Durack is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Durack's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 95.4% houses and 4.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Darwin metro had 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Durack stood at 11.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.5% and rented ones at 46.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, above Darwin metro's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent in Durack was $500, higher than Darwin metro's $385. Nationally, Durack's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Durack features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 40.6% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Durack exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 26.7%, exceeding the SA3 area average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 6.0% and graduate diplomas at 3.2%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 41.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 28.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Durack has 14 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 27 different routes that combined offer 1,362 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents usually located around 220 meters from their nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most Durack residents commute outside the area, primarily using cars (93%). On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. Only 4.4% of residents work from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages at 194 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 97 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Durack is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Durack demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (around 2,205 people), compared to 57.8% across Greater Darwin. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.8% and 6.4% of residents respectively. Approximately 78.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.1% across Greater Darwin. Working-age residents exhibit low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 9.5% of residents aged 65 and over (385 people), lower than the 10.8% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Durack was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Durack's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 27.0% born overseas and 19.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Durack, accounting for 44.1%. Hinduism, however, was more prevalent in Durack at 3.0%, compared to 4.2% across Greater Darwin.

For ancestry, Australian was highest at 25.6%, followed by English at 22.8% and Other at 10.1%. Notably, Filipino (4.6%), Maori (1.0%), and Sri Lankan (0.5%) groups were overrepresented in Durack compared to regional averages of 3.8%, 0.6%, and 0.3% respectively.

Durack hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Durack has a median age of 31, which is lower than Greater Darwin's figure of 34 and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38. The age profile indicates that children aged 0-4 are particularly prominent at 8.8%, while the 45-54 age group is smaller at 10.2% compared to Greater Darwin. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 4.6% to 6.3%, and the 55 to 64 cohort has increased from 8.5% to 10.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.1% to 10.2%, and the 25 to 34 age group has dropped from 19.7% to 18.0%. By 2041, Durack is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition, with the 65 to 74 age cohort projected to rise substantially by 145 people (57%), from 255 to 401. In contrast, the 0 to 4 age group shows minimal growth of just 2% (8 people).