Virginia

Virginia has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

According to investigations by AreaSearch, the population of Virginia stands at approximately 3,759 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 562 people (17.6%) relative to the 2021 Census, when the count was 3,197 people. This shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 3,759 alongside 48 validated new addresses recorded since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 68 persons per square kilometer, indicating substantial space per inhabitant and potential capacity for additional development. The 17.6% expansion rate of Virginia since the 2021 census outpaced the national average (9.3%) as well as the state average, positioning it as a primary growth area. The upward population trajectory was chiefly propelled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 56.4% of total population increases lately, even though all components including natural growth and overseas migration registered positive trends.

AreaSearch utilizes projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for every SA2 region, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For SA2 regions lacking this coverage, and to calculate growth in the years after 2032, AreaSearch projects cohort-specific growth rates based on the latest Greater Capital Region projections from the ABS (published in 2023 using 2022 data). Looking at long-term demographic paths, substantial growth is anticipated within the highest quartile of Australian statistical territories, with this specific location projected to expand by 882 persons by 2041 according to the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a total rise of 23.5% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Virginia when compared nationally

Approximately 15 new homes receive approvals in Virginia each year, with 79 homes approved during the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 23 registered so far in FY-26. Given an average of 5.2 new residents per year for every home built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is outstripping supply, which generally drives up prices and intensifies buyer competition, whereas new housing is built at an average cost of $381,000—slightly above regional averages—pointing to a focus on quality construction. Furthermore, $2.5 million in commercial development approvals have been logged during this financial year, which points to minimal commercial construction activity.

Relative to Greater Darwin, Virginia features slightly higher building activity (28.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), maintaining options for buyers while supporting demand for existing homes. New building activity is made up of 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, which maintains the low-density profile of the locality with an emphasis on stand-alone homes that draw buyers looking for space. With roughly 254 people per dwelling approval, Virginia indicates an evolving property market.

Projections for the future indicate that Virginia will add 882 residents by 2041 (starting from the latest quarterly estimate by AreaSearch). Under current construction trends, home building may lag behind population gains, potentially escalating buyer competition and reinforcing upward price movements.

Virginia has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

Few factors shape local growth and real estate performance as much as changes to regional infrastructure, major works, and urban planning policies. In total, AreaSearch has identified 0 projects expected to impact the locality. Major initiatives include the Darwin to Palmerston Mass Transit Corridor, the Darwin Renewable Energy Hub, the Hudson Creek Power Station, and the Marine Industry Park, with the following list detailing those of highest relevance.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Virginia ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Virginia has a skilled labor force, with strong representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 2.8%, and stable employment patterns over the past year. In March 2026, 2,139 residents are employed, which is an unemployment rate 0.7% lower than the 3.5% rate in Greater Darwin, while workforce participation aligns closely with the Greater Darwin level of 72.7%. Census records indicate that a minimal 5.8% of residents worked from home, though the influence of Covid-19 restrictions must be kept in mind.

The local resident workforce is heavily concentrated in public administration & safety, construction, and retail trade. The region shows an especially high concentration in construction, where employment is 1.7 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance has a low share at 8.6% of jobs compared to 14.2% across the wider region. This mostly residential locality seems to provide few local jobs, as shown by comparing the Census working population against the resident population.

According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics, the 12-month period saw employment rise by 0.1% while the labour force expanded by 0.8%, resulting in a 0.6 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. This differs from Greater Darwin, which saw a 0.4% rise in employment, a 0.8% expansion in the labour force, and a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. National employment forecasts released in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia can provide extra context regarding future labor demand in Virginia. These forecasts, spanning five and ten-year intervals, have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential growth. Although overall national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of growth differ widely across industries. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to the employment distribution of Virginia indicates that local employment should rise by 5.9% over five years and 12.2% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted projection for illustration purposes and does not incorporate local population forecasts).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Incomes in the Virginia SA2 exceed the national average according to the latest ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income for taxpayers in the Virginia SA2 is $61,718 and the average income is $73,648, compared to median and average figures of $66,956 and $77,199 in Greater Darwin. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.41% since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to approximately $67,526 (median) and $80,578 (average) as of March 2026. Census statistics show that household, family, and personal incomes in Virginia rank high nationally, placing between the 75th and 85th percentiles. The earnings distribution shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the largest, containing 31.4% of residents (1,180 people), reflecting the wider region where 36.7% are in this range. A high 34.1% earn over $3,000 per week, showing areas of affluence that support local businesses. High housing costs account for 15.3% of income, yet robust earnings keep disposable income in the 76th percentile, and the local SEIFA income score falls in the 6th decile.

Virginia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The mix of housing in Virginia at the latest Census consisted of 79.5% separate houses and 20.5% other housing types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to the Darwin metro mix of 63.5% separate houses and 36.5% other housing types. The rate of home ownership in Virginia was much higher than in Darwin metro, standing at 30.4%, while the rest of the properties were either mortgaged (40.3%) or rented (29.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was significantly higher than the Darwin metro average at $2,383, whereas the median weekly rent was recorded at $370, compared to Darwin metro figures of $2,100 and $385. Nationally, Virginia mortgage payments are much higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are below the national average of $375.

Virginia features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up the majority at 74.0% of all households, consisting of 32.6% couples with children, 29.3% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.0%, with single person households at 21.6% and group households representing 4.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people is slightly above the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Virginia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The locality displays educational challenges, with university completion rates (17.4%) falling far below the SA4 regional average of 31.3%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational and technical qualifications are common, with 47.5% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (35.6%).

Participation in study is high, with 31.5% of residents currently undertaking formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary school, 9.2% in high school, and 4.6% in tertiary study.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis identifies 34 active transport stops within Virginia, consisting of a variety of buses. These stops are served by 50 separate routes, which combine to offer 3,787 passenger trips each week. Transport accessibility is classified as limited, with residents living an average of 816 meters from the nearest stop. Since it is mainly a residential area, most working residents travel out of the suburb, and the car remains the primary mode of travel at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per household, exceeding the regional average. A low 5.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 541 trips per day across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 111 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Virginia is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Virginia registers strong health profiles, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic illness rates, with both younger and older cohorts displaying a low rate of common health issues, and the proportion of residents with private health insurance is very high at approximately 55% of the population (~2,082 people). This compares to 57.8% across Greater Darwin.

The most prevalent health conditions recorded locally were asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.1 and 6.9% of residents, respectively, while 73.0% of the population reported no medical conditions compared to 77.1% in Greater Darwin. The under-65 population exhibits better than average health outcomes. Residents aged 65 and older represent 17.1% of the population (641 people), which is higher than the 11.0% share in Greater Darwin. Health profiles among seniors are especially strong, ranking higher nationally than the general local population.

Virginia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Virginia ranks below average for cultural diversity, with 85.1% of the population holding citizenship, 82.3% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, accounting for 38.6% of residents. The most noticeable area of overrepresentation is in Buddhism, which represents 1.5% of the population, compared to 3.3% across Greater Darwin.

Regarding parent country of birth, the three largest ancestry groups in Virginia are Australian at 30.8% of the population, which is much higher than the regional average of 22.6%, English at 28.1% of the population, which is much higher than the regional average of 21.7%, and Irish at 7.2%. Notable differences also occur in other groups: Australian Aboriginal is represented at 5.0% of Virginia (vs 7.0% regionally), New Zealand at 0.8% (vs 0.6%), and Filipino at 1.5% (vs 3.8%).

Virginia's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age of 41 years in Virginia is significantly higher than the Greater Darwin average of 34 and slightly higher than the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Virginia contains a higher percentage of people aged 65 - 74 (11.4%) but fewer residents aged 25 - 34 (11.3%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age bracket has risen from 12.0% to 13.8% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 15.7% to 13.5% and the 25 to 34 group declined from 13.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, Virginia is expected to undergo clear shifts in its age structure. Leading this demographic change, the 45 to 54 age bracket will grow by 40% (204 people), rising from 506 to 711.