Virginia

Virginia has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Virginia's population was around 3,759 as of May 2026, reflecting an increase of 562 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,197. This change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,759 from the ABS as of June 2025 and an additional 48 validated new addresses since the Census date. Virginia's population density was 68 persons per square kilometer in May 2026. The area's growth rate of 17.6% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.3%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 56.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also positive factors. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 using a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in Virginia's top quartile statistical area, with an expected rise of 882 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers reflecting a total increase of 23.5% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Virginia when compared nationally

Virginia has received approximately 15 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals 79 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 19 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 2.8 new residents per dwelling has been reflected in Virginia's development, indicating robust demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $381,000, which is higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaling $2.5 million have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development focus in Virginia compared to residential development. Over the past five years, Virginia has had 28.0% more development per person than Greater Darwin, offering good buyer choice while supporting existing property values.

Recent construction comprises 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Virginia's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes. With approximately 245 people per approval, Virginia reflects a transitioning market in terms of population growth. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Virginia is expected to grow by 882 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Virginia has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

No infrastructure changes in the area will affect performance more than local infrastructure alterations, major projects, or planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects expected to impact the region. Notable projects include Darwin to Palmerston Mass Transit Corridor, Darwin Renewable Energy Hub, Hudson Creek Power Station, and Marine Industry Park. The following list details those most relevant:.

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AreaSearch analysis places Virginia well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Virginia's workforce is skilled with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.9%. As of December 2025, 2,141 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.7% below Greater Darwin's 3.1%, and workforce participation was similar at 72.5%.

According to Census responses, 5.8% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 8.6% versus the regional average of 14.2%.

Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 0.9% while labour force rose by 1.2%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 1.3% and a marginal fall in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Virginia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Virginia SA2 had a higher than average national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ending June 30, 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $61,718 and the average income stood at $73,648. These figures compared to those of Greater Darwin's which were $66,956 and $77,199 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.41% since June 30, 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $67,526 (median) and $80,578 (average). Census data showed that household, family and personal incomes in Virginia ranked highly nationally, between the 75th and 85th percentiles. Income brackets indicated that the largest segment comprised 31.4% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a total of 1,180 residents falling into this category. This was consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 36.7% in the same income bracket. The district demonstrated considerable affluence with 34.1% earning over $3,000 per week, which supported premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consumed 15.3% of income, but strong earnings still placed disposable income at the 76th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Virginia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Virginia, as per the latest Census evaluation, 79.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 20.5% being other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. In comparison, Darwin metro had a higher percentage of other dwellings at 36.5%. The home ownership rate in Virginia was 30.4%, indicating a higher level than Darwin metro. The majority of dwellings were mortgaged (40.3%) or rented (29.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Virginia was $2,383, exceeding the Darwin metro average of $2,100. The median weekly rent figure in Virginia was recorded at $370, slightly lower than Darwin metro's $385. Nationally, Virginia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Virginia features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.0% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 29.3% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 21.6% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6 people.

Educational attainment in Virginia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. This indicates a need for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 47.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (35.6%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (11.2%), secondary education (9.2%), and tertiary education (4.6%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Virginia hosts 34 active public transport stops, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 50 distinct routes, facilitating 3,787 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically residing 816 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. The car remains the primary mode of transport, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, only 5.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, an average of 541 trips are made daily, equating to around 111 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Virginia is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Virginia exhibits superior health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with both young and elderly cohorts showing low incidence of common health conditions. Approximately 55% (~2,082 individuals) have private health cover, compared to Greater Darwin's 57.8%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.1%) and arthritis (6.9%), while 73.0% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Darwin's 77.1%. Under-65 residents show better-than-average health outcomes. Virginia has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (641 individuals), higher than Greater Darwin's 11.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

Virginia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Virginia's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.1% of its population being citizens, 82.3% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Virginia, comprising 38.6% of the population. However, Buddhism is overrepresented in Virginia, making up 1.5% compared to 3.3% across Greater Darwin.

The top three ancestry groups in Virginia are Australian (30.8%), English (28.1%), and Irish (7.2%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal (5.0%) and Filipino (1.5%) groups are overrepresented in Virginia compared to regional averages of 7.0% and 3.8%, respectively. New Zealand-born residents are also slightly overrepresented at 0.8%.

Virginia's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Virginia is 41 years, which is notably higher than Greater Darwin's average of 34 and modestly higher than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Virginia has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (11.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.3%). Between the 2021 Census and present day, the population aged 35-44 has grown from 12.0% to 13.8%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 has declined from 15.7% to 13.5%. The percentage of residents aged 25-34 has also dropped, from 13.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, Virginia's age composition is expected to shift notably, with the 45-54 age group projected to grow by 40%, reaching 711 people from its current size of 506.