Virginia

Virginia has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Virginia's population was around 3,632 as of February 2026. This reflected an increase of 435 people (13.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,197 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,598 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 44 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 66 persons per square kilometer. Virginia's growth exceeded the SA4 region (9.6%) and Greater Darwin since the 2021 census, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 40.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). A significant population increase is forecast for Virginia, with an expected increase of 947 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 25.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Virginia when compared nationally

Virginia has experienced approximately 15 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 79 homes. In FY26 so far, 16 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling has accommodated 2.8 new residents annually between FY21 and FY25. The average construction cost of these dwellings is $381,000.

This financial year, Virginia has seen $2.5 million in commercial approvals. Compared to Greater Darwin, Virginia has had a 30.0% higher development rate per person over the past five years. Recent constructions comprise 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% townhouses or apartments.

The population is estimated to grow by 913 residents by 2041, potentially leading to increased competition among buyers if current development rates continue.

Virginia has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect an area's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Darwin Renewable Energy Hub, Hudson Creek Power Station, and Marine Industry Park, with the following list outlining those likely most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Virginia significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Virginia has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.7%. As of September 2025, 2,141 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 0.8% lower than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%.

Workforce participation was 73.6%, compared to Greater Darwin's 76.0%. According to Census responses, 5.8% of residents worked from home in September 2025. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 8.6%, compared to the regional average of 14.2%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.7% while labour force increased by 2.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 1.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Virginia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Virginia SA2 had a higher than average national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ended June 30, 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $61,718 and the average income stood at $73,648. For comparison, Greater Darwin's figures were $66,956 and $77,199 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% from July 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $66,927 for median income and $79,864 for average income as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Virginia, between the 75th and 85th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the largest segment comprises 31.4% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,140 residents), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 36.7% in the same category. The district demonstrates considerable affluence with 34.1% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 76th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Virginia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As of the latest Census in Virginia, 79.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 20.5% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Darwin metro had 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Virginia stood at 30.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented ones at 29.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Virginia was $2,383, higher than Darwin metro's $2,100. The median weekly rent in Virginia was $370, compared to Darwin metro's $385. Nationally, Virginia's median mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,383 compared to the Australian average of $1,863. Meanwhile, rents in Virginia were lower than the national figure of $375 at $370.

Virginia features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.0% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 29.3% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 21.6% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Virginia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 47.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (35.6%). Educational participation is high at 31.5%, with 11.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Virginia's public transport analysis indicates 34 active stops operating within the state, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 50 individual routes, collectively facilitating 3,787 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically residing 816 meters from their nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 95%. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, only 5.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 541 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 111 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Virginia is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Virginia shows superior health results, as per AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups exhibit low incidence of common health issues.

Private health coverage stands at approximately 55% (around 2,012 individuals), surpassing Greater Darwin's 57.8%. The most prevalent conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.1 and 6.9% respectively, while 73.0% claim to be free of medical ailments, compared to 77.1% in Greater Darwin. Under-65 residents display better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 17.4% aged 65 and over (631 individuals), higher than Greater Darwin's 10.8%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably robust, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

Virginia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Virginia's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.1% of its population being citizens, 82.3% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Virginia, comprising 38.6% of people. However, Buddhism is overrepresented at 1.5%, compared to 3.3% across Greater Darwin.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (30.8%), English (28.1%), and Irish (7.2%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal are overrepresented at 5.0% in Virginia versus the regional average of 7.0%. New Zealanders are also overrepresented at 0.8%, compared to the regional average of 0.6%. Filipino representation is notably lower at 1.5% versus the regional average of 3.8%.

Virginia's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Virginia is 41 years, which is higher than Greater Darwin's average of 34 and slightly higher than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Virginia has a larger proportion of residents aged 65-74 (11.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.8%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 35 to 44 increased from 12.0% to 13.4%, while the 75 to 84 cohort rose from 3.6% to 4.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 15.7% to 13.4%, and the 25 to 34 group fell from 13.5% to 11.8%. By 2041, Virginia is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition, with the 45 to 54 age group expected to grow by 42%, reaching 693 people from 487.