Virginia

Virginia has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Virginia's population was approximately 3,630 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 433 people (13.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,197 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,598 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 43 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 66 persons per square kilometer. Virginia's growth rate of 13.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 8.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 40.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimates, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas, with Virginia expected to increase by 947 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 25.2% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Virginia when compared nationally

Virginia has experienced approximately 15 dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 79 homes. As of FY-26, 13 approvals have been recorded. On average, these dwellings accommodate 2.8 new residents per year between FY-21 and FY-25, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value of new homes is $381,000, which is higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development.

This financial year has seen $2.5 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to residential growth. Compared to Greater Darwin, Virginia has experienced 30.0% more development per person over the past five years, offering good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. Recent construction consists of 92.0% detached dwellings and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes.

With around 245 people per approval, Virginia reflects a transitioning market in terms of population growth. By 2041, Virginia is projected to grow by 915 residents according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Virginia has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 3rdth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly impact a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, or planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting this area. Notable projects include Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Darwin Renewable Energy Hub, Hudson Creek Power Station, and Marine Industry Park, with the following list providing details on those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Virginia significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Virginia has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.3% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 1.7%.

As of September 2025, 2,141 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.8% lower than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment among residents is concentrated in public administration & safety, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 8.6% versus the regional average of 14.2%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.7% while labour force increased by 2.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 1.9% and marginal unemployment increase. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NT employment contracted by 1.13% with a state unemployment rate of 4.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Virginia's employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Virginia's employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Virginia SA2 had a median income of $61,145 and an average income of $71,059 in financial year 2022. These figures are higher than those for Greater Darwin's, which were $65,522 and $75,260 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income will be approximately $68,489 and the average income will be around $79,593, based on a 12.01% growth in wages since financial year 2022. Census data indicates that incomes in Virginia rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes all between the 75th and 85th percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 31.4% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly. Additionally, 34.1% earn over $3,000 per week, contributing to the district's affluence and supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income in Virginia, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 76th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Virginia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Virginia's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 79.5% houses and 20.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Darwin metro had 92.6% houses and 7.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Virginia was at 30.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented ones at 29.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, above Darwin metro's average of $2,250. Median weekly rent in Virginia was $370, compared to Darwin metro's $380. Nationally, Virginia's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,383 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $370 than the national figure of $375.

Virginia features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.0% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 29.3% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 21.6% and group households making up 4.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Virginia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 47.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (35.6%). Educational participation is high at 31.5%, comprising 11.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 33 active transport stops in Virginia, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 50 unique routes, collectively facilitating 3,825 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed limited, with residents typically situated 816 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 546 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 115 weekly trips per individual stop.

Virginia's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Virginia.

Both young and old age cohorts exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~1,996 people). The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.1 and 6.9% of residents respectively. Seventy-three point zero percent declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to seventy-four point eight percent across Greater Darwin. Sixteen point eight percent of residents are aged 65 and over (610 people), which is higher than the thirteen point nine percent in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors perform particularly well, even better than the general population in health metrics.

Virginia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Virginia's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.1% of its population being citizens, 82.3% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Virginia, comprising 38.6% of people. Buddhism, however, is overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin, making up 1.5% of Virginia's population versus 2.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (30.8%), English (28.1%), and Irish (7.2%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal (5.0%) and Filipino (1.5%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 5.8% and 0.9%, respectively.

Virginia's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Virginia is 41 years, which exceeds Greater Darwin's average of 34 and modestly exceeds Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Virginia has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.2%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 3.6% to 4.8%, while the 35-44 age group increased from 12.0% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group declined from 15.7% to 13.6%, and the 25-34 age group dropped from 13.5% to 12.2%. By 2041, Virginia's population is expected to experience significant shifts in its age composition, with the 45-54 age group projected to grow by 41%, reaching 693 from 492.