Virginia
Statistical Area - sa2

Virginia has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Virginia's population was approximately 3,625 as of Aug 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 428 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,197 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,598 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 41 validated new addresses since the Census date. This equates to a density ratio of 66 persons per square kilometer. Virginia's growth rate of 13.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 8.6%. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 40.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimations, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Demographic trends forecast a significant population increase in top quartile statistical areas across the nation. The area is expected to grow by 947 persons to 2041, recording a gain of 25.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Virginia when compared nationally

Virginia has seen approximately 15 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 79 homes were approved, with an additional 7 approved so far in FY-26. Each dwelling built over this period attracted an average of 2.8 new residents per year, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for these new homes was $460,000. This financial year has also seen $2.5 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited focus on commercial development. Compared to Greater Darwin, Virginia's construction activity is 30.0% higher per person over the past five years, offering more buyer choice while supporting current property values.

New developments consist of 92.0% standalone homes and 8.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes. With around 245 people per approval, Virginia reflects a transitioning market. Future projections estimate Virginia will add 920 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Virginia has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are predicted to impact this area. Notable projects include Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Darwin Renewable Energy Hub, Hudson Creek Power Station, and Marine Industry Park. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Virginia demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Virginia's workforce is skilled with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate in Virginia as of June 2025 was 2.1%.

Over the past year, there has been an estimated employment growth of 2.8%. As of this date, 2,128 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.9% lower than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Workforce participation in Virginia is similar to Greater Darwin's at 69.7%. Employment among residents is concentrated in public administration & safety, construction, and retail trade.

Virginia has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance has limited presence with only 8.6% employment compared to the regional average of 14.2%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.8% while labour force increased by 2.9%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. By comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 2.9% with a marginal decrease in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that Virginia's employment could increase by approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Virginia's median income among taxpayers was $61,145 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $71,059 during the same period. These figures are higher than those for Greater Darwin, which were $65,522 and $75,260 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on a 12.01% Wage Price Index growth suggest median income could reach approximately $68,489 and average income could be around $79,593. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Virginia rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 75th and 86th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 31.4% of Virginia's population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader regional trends where 36.7% fall into the same category. A substantial proportion, 34.1%, earns above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the suburb. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 76th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Virginia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Virginia, as per the latest Census evaluation, 79.5% of dwellings were houses while 20.5% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Darwin metro's figures of 92.6% houses and 7.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Virginia stood at 30.4%, similar to Darwin metro's rate, with mortgaged properties at 40.3% and rented ones at 29.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Virginia was $2,383, higher than Darwin metro's average of $2,250. The median weekly rent figure in Virginia was recorded as $370, compared to Darwin metro's $380. Nationally, Virginia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $370 compared to the national figure of $375.

Virginia features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.0% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 29.3% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.0%, with lone person households at 21.6% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Virginia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 47.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (35.6%).

Educational participation is notably high at 31.5%, including 11.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education. Virginia has 3 schools with a combined enrollment of 543 students, reflecting typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 985) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 1 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 33 active stops operating in Virginia, offering mixed bus services. These stops are covered by 50 routes, serving 3,825 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated limited with residents typically located 816 meters from nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 546 daily trips across all routes, equating to around 115 weekly trips per individual stop.

Virginia's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Virginia with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover was found to be very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~1,993 people). The most common medical conditions were asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.1 and 6.9% of residents respectively, while 73.0% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.8% across Greater Darwin. Virginia has 16.8% of residents aged 65 and over (609 people), which is higher than the 13.9% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Virginia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Virginia's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.1% of its population being citizens, 82.3% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Virginia, comprising 38.6% of people. However, Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin, making up 1.5% versus 2.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (30.8%), English (28.1%), and Irish (7.2%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal (5.0%), New Zealand (0.8%), and Filipino (1.5%) ethnicities have higher representation in Virginia compared to regional averages of 5.8%, 0.7%, and 0.9% respectively.

Virginia's median age exceeds the national pattern

Virginia's median age of 41 exceeds Greater Darwin's average of 34 and is slightly higher than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Virginia has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.2%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.6% to 4.8%, while the 35-44 cohort has risen from 12.0% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.7% to 13.6% and the 25-34 group has fallen from 13.5% to 12.2%. By 2041, Virginia's age composition is expected to change significantly, with the 45-54 cohort projected to grow by 41%, reaching 693 from 492.