Girraween (NT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Girraween reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Girraween (NT) statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,771 people. This figure reflects an increase of 103 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,668 people in the same area. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, based on examination of the ABS's ERP data release from June 2024 and validation of new addresses, is 1,761 people. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 75 persons per square kilometer. The primary driver for this population growth was natural increase, contributing around 63% to overall gains during recent periods.

However, all factors including overseas migration and interstate migration also showed positive trends. AreaSearch's projections for the Girraween (NT) area are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, growth rates by age cohort from the ABS's Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) are applied. Looking ahead, the Girraween (NT) area is projected to experience above median population growth. By 2041, it is expected to expand by 241 persons, reflecting an increase of approximately 17% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Girraween according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis shows Girraween had approximately one residential property approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around eight homes were approved, with three more in FY-26 so far.

Each year, an average of 7.4 people moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years. This high demand outpaces supply, typically driving up prices and increasing buyer competition. The average construction cost for new properties was $380,000, higher than regional levels, suggesting emphasis on quality construction. Compared to Greater Darwin, Girraween had significantly less development activity, 75.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings.

Recent development has been entirely detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. The estimated count of 727 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections estimate Girraween adding 301 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Girraween has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Darwin Renewable Energy Hub, Darwin Corporate Park, Adelaide River Off-Stream Water Storage, and Desert Springs Octopus Renewable Energy Program. The following list outlines those projected to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Girraween rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Girraween has a balanced workforce comprising both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented in the area.

The unemployment rate is 1.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.3% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,176 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.8% below Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%. Workforce participation in Girraween is higher at 74.9%, compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include public administration & safety, construction, and health care & social assistance.

Construction stands out with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 8.1% versus the regional average of 14.2%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, while labour force also increased by 2.3%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 1.9% and a marginal rise in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NT employment contracted by 1.13% (losing 4,100 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.4%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Girraween's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Girraween's median income among taxpayers is $72,205, with an average of $82,972. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to Greater Darwin's median of $66,956 and average of $77,199. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Girraween would be approximately $78,299 (median) and $89,975 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Girraween between the 93rd and 96th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 30.1% of the community earns $4000+ weekly (533 individuals), differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates at 36.7%. Notably, 50.5% earn above $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 13.5% of income, and residents rank within the 96th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Girraween is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Girraween, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses (100.0%) with no other dwellings recorded (0.0%). This contrasts with Darwin metro's figures of 92.6% houses and 7.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Girraween stood at 26.2%, lower than Darwin metro, with mortgaged dwellings making up 60.3% and rented dwellings 13.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, significantly higher than Darwin metro's average of $2,250. The median weekly rent figure for Girraween was recorded at $420, compared to Darwin metro's $380. Nationally, Girraween's mortgage repayments were notably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Girraween features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 85.1% of all households, including 44.1% couples with children, 31.1% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.9%, with lone person households at 12.8% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.8.

Girraween shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 15.8%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.6%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 49.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (36.9%). Educational participation is high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.8% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows six active transport stops operating within Girraween. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 14 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 1,002 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1,053 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 143 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 167 weekly trips per individual stop.

Girraween's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Girraween shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Approximately 60% (1,053 people) have private health cover, higher than Greater Darwin's 56.2%.

The most prevalent conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.3% and 6.0% respectively. 77.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.8% in Greater Darwin. Girraween has 11.0% (194 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Darwin's 13.9%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Girraween is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Girraween, surveyed in 2016, had low cultural diversity with 88.4% born in Australia, 91.3% as citizens, and 96.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion at 37.3%. Judaism's representation was negligible at 0.0%, matching Greater Darwin's 0.0%.

Top ancestral groups were Australian (33.1%), English (27.3%), and Irish (8.2%). Notable differences included higher percentages of Australian Aboriginal (5.5% vs 5.8%), German (4.8% vs 4.0%), and Serbian (0.4% vs 0.1%) residents in Girraween compared to the regional averages.

Girraween's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Girraween is 41 years, which is notably higher than Greater Darwin's average of 34 years and modestly exceeds the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Darwin, Girraween has a higher concentration of residents aged 45-54 (18.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.2%). This 45-54 age group is well above the national average of 12.1%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 55 to 64 age group has grown from 13.7% to 15.5%, while the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 1.9% to 3.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 21.0% to 18.9%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 15.8% to 14.2%. By 2041, Girraween is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. Leading this demographic shift, the 45 to 54 age group is projected to grow by 19%, adding 64 people and reaching a total of 399 from the current 334. The 0 to 4 age group is expected to grow at a more modest rate of 3%, with an increase of just 2 residents.