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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Bakewell has an estimated 3,424 residents, up from 3,091 at the 2021 Census — a change of 333 people, or 10.8%. Growth has averaged 1.0% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 51.0% of that increase. That puts 2,594 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of regional ABS releases alongside post-Census address validations, the suburb of Bakewell records an estimated population of approximately 3,424 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 333 people (10.8%) from the 3,091 people documented in the 2021 Census. Such gains stem from an estimated resident count of 3,417 established by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 ERP figures combined with ongoing address verification since the Census. With a density of 2,593 persons per square kilometer, the suburb of Bakewell sits within the highest quartile among nationwide areas tracked by AreaSearch.
Its 10.8% expansion since the 2021 census outpaced the nationwide benchmark of 9.5%, positioning the suburb of Bakewell as a key regional growth hub, with overseas migration serving as the principal driver by generating roughly 51.0% of recent population additions. Projections for each SA2 district applied by AreaSearch rely on the ABS/Geoscience Australia 2024 release using 2022 as a baseline, while areas outside this dataset and projections following 2032 integrate age-cohort rates from the ABS Greater Capital Region 2023 release based on 2022 data. Looking forward, the suburb of Bakewell is slated to experience population expansion above the national median, gaining 731 persons by 2041 under aggregated SA2 modeling, which equals an overall rise of 21.1% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
ABS building approval statistics compiled by AreaSearch show that Bakewell averages roughly 2 approved residential dwellings annually, accumulating to an estimated 14 homes throughout the preceding 5 financial years, with 4 approvals logged to date in FY-25. Between FY-21 and FY-25, the arrival of roughly 8.9 new residents per year per finished dwelling has caused demand to substantially outpace additions to housing stock, exerting upward pressure on property prices and buyer competition. Furthermore, new homes carry an average construction value of $314,000—sitting below broader regional figures to offer relatively attainable price points—while $244,000 in commercial approvals logged during the current financial year underscores the suburb's primarily residential character.
Bakewell registers a low volume of building activity when contrasted with Greater Darwin, tracking 73.0% below regional average per capita, though development has accelerated lately. While this restricted pipeline helps bolster pricing and demand across existing housing, it also remains below the countrywide benchmark, pointing to established neighborhood dynamics and prospective planning limits. Recent residential projects consist of 33.0% standalone houses alongside 67.0% medium-to-high-density formats such as townhouses and apartments, catering to first-time purchasers, downsizers, and investors seeking budget-friendly housing. This pattern represents a notable transition away from the prevailing structure of 54.0% houses, prompted by scarcer parcel supply and evolving buyer needs, with around 423 people per dwelling approval highlighting an established residential profile. Looking toward 2041, latest quarterly figures from AreaSearch anticipate Bakewell expanding by 724 residents. If residential building activity continues at its present rate, additions to housing stock could fall behind population increases, heightening market competition and supporting ongoing value growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Bakewell
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Detail
Local economic and property trajectories are heavily shaped by civil works, major developments, and zoning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified no major projects likely to directly affect the immediate neighborhood. Relevant broader regional projects include the Darwin to Palmerston Mass Transit Corridor, the Hudson Creek Power Station, the Marine Industry Park, and the Darwin Corporate Park.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Marine Industry Park
Marine and offshore industries servicing hub at East Arm, Darwin. Stage 1 planning approval is secured for a purpose-built industrial subdivision near the new Darwin Ship Lift, with expressions of interest open for serviced lots. Existing common-user facilities include an all-tide barge ramp (first point of entry) and a secure hardstand supporting storage and fabrication activities.
Enabling Digital Health Services for Regional and Remote Australia
A national digital infrastructure program under the Digital Health Blueprint 2023-2033 designed to provide equitable healthcare access for regional and remote Australians. The initiative is currently rolling out the 'Share by Default' legislative framework, which mandates the uploading of pathology and diagnostic imaging reports to My Health Record starting July 2026. Current 2026 milestones include the launch of the Digital Health Implementer Hub to accelerate software conformance and the implementation of the National Allied Health Digital Uplift Plan to integrate allied health practitioners into the national digital ecosystem.
Australia-Asia PowerLink (AAPowerLink)
SunCable's AAPowerLink is a large renewable generation, battery storage and HVDC transmission project in the Northern Territory. The project has major environmental approvals from the Northern Territory and Australian governments, conditional Singapore approval to import 1.75 GW from 2035, Indonesian subsea permits, a Singapore-Australia cross-border electricity trade framework and a 70-year Indigenous Land Use Agreement for Powell Creek. It is being staged to supply industrial customers in the Barkly region from the late 2020s, Darwin from the early 2030s, and Southeast Asia from the mid-2030s, with final investment decision targeted for 2027.
Desert Springs Octopus Renewable Energy Program
Majority Indigenous-owned developer pursuing a near-term pipeline of grid-connected solar and battery projects along the Darwin-Katherine Electricity System, with potential to expand into wind and green hydrogen. Partnership includes Octopus Australia with Larrakia Nation and Jawoyn Association to deliver utility-scale renewable energy and community benefit sharing.
Darwin Renewable Energy Hub
Northern Territory Government proposal to co-locate up to six utility-scale solar farms (total 180-210 MW) with a battery energy storage system on 940 ha of Crown Land west of Finn Road, feeding the Darwin-Katherine grid. Site identified for industry in regional land use plans; consultation held to February 28, 2025 and environmental assessment processes are underway.
National EV Charging Network (Highway Fast Charging)
Partnership between the Australian Government and NRMA to deliver a backbone EV fast charging network on national highways. Program funds and co-funds 117 DC fast charging sites at roughly 150 km intervals to connect all capital cities and regional routes, reducing range anxiety and supporting EV uptake.
Telstra InfraCo Intercity Fibre Network
Telstra InfraCo's national intercity fibre network project delivering nearly 14,000km of ultra-high capacity, low-latency fibre connecting all mainland capital cities. The $1.6 billion investment includes dual fibre paths (express and foundation routes) supporting speeds up to 80 Tbps. First route Sydney-Canberra went live June 2025, with completion of all routes by end of FY27. Supports AI, data centers, hyperscalers and next-generation digital infrastructure across Australia.
Network Optimisation Program - Roads
A national program concept focused on improving congestion and reliability on urban road networks by using low-cost operational measures and technology (e.g., signal timing, intersection treatments, incident management) to optimise existing capacity across major city corridors.
2,043 residents of Bakewell are employed, from a labour force of 2,097. Unemployment sits at 2.6%, with participation at 79.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,654, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Bakewell benefits from a capable labor pool with solid grounding across vital service sectors, an unemployment rate standing at only 2.6%, and steady labor conditions throughout the prior twelve months, based on statistical area compilations from AreaSearch. As of March 2026, 2,043 residents are actively employed, the jobless rate sits 0.9% beneath the 3.5% seen across Greater Darwin, and local participation reaches a high 79.8% compared with 72.9% across the wider capital region. Meanwhile, Census figures recorded a modest 3.4% of workers based at home, though prevailing Covid-19 pandemic restrictions should be taken into account.
The primary employment sectors for local workers include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. Retail trade demonstrates a pronounced concentration, employing residents at 1.2 times the regional benchmark, whereas health care & social assistance accounts for 11.2% of the local workforce compared to 14.2% across the wider region. Given the discrepancy between resident employee totals and Census day-to-day workplace counts, the predominantly residential locality offers relatively few jobs within its own boundaries. SALM and ABS metrics aggregated by AreaSearch indicate that across the 12 months to March 2026, local employment grew by 0.1% against a 0.7% expansion in the workforce, leading to a 0.6 percentage points rise in the unemployment rate. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Darwin experienced an employment increase of 0.4%, labor pool expansion of 0.8%, and an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. Furthermore, national workforce forecasts published by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 outline prospective occupational demand across five and ten-year horizons, predicting nationwide workforce growth of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years. Weighting these projections against Bakewell's current industry composition indicates local employment expansions of 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, representing an illustrative calculation that excludes local demographic projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Bakewell is $1,955 a week (about $102,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,104 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $67,199 a year against an average of $72,326. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Aggregated postcode figures from the ATO for financial year 2023 indicate that the suburb of Bakewell recorded a median taxpayer income of $67,199 alongside an average of $72,326, placing it above the national norm while comparing against Greater Darwin's median of $66,956 and average of $77,199. Applying the 9.41% Wage Price Index growth observed since financial year 2023 produces updated estimates of approximately $73,522 for median earnings and $79,132 for average income as of March 2026. Individual income figures from the Census place the area in the 85th percentile across Australia at $1,104 weekly.
In terms of earnings brackets, the largest proportion is the 47.1% of workers (1,612 residents) taking home between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, which aligns with the regional proportion of 36.7%. Residential shelter costs absorb 17.9% of income, with disposable earnings ranking in the 60th percentile and the overall SEIFA income score positioning the locality within the 4th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Bakewell had 1,140 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 55% detached houses and 32% apartments. 44% are owned with a mortgage, 46% rented and 10% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,742 a month, a total housing cost higher than 81% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 19.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the latest Census, separate houses made up 54.5% of residences in Bakewell, while semi-detached homes, apartments, and other configurations constituted 45.5%, whereas Darwin metro recorded 63.5% standalone homes and 36.5% other properties. Outright home ownership trailed the wider capital at 10.4%, with mortgaged residences accounting for 43.5% and rental properties making up 46.1%. Monthly mortgage obligations averaged a median of $1,742, sitting beneath the Darwin metro level of $2,100, while median weekly rent was $380 compared to $385 regionally. On a nationwide basis, Bakewell maintains lower mortgage repayments than the Australian figure of $1,863, while rent exceeds the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Bakewell counted 1,140 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,263 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 31% are couples with children, against 21% couples without children. 26% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 69.9% of local living arrangements, broken down into couples with children at 31.4%, couples without dependent children at 20.5%, and single-parent households at 17.0%. Non-family domiciles account for 30.1%, with single-person living arrangements at 26.1% and group living making up 4.1%. The average household size sits at 2.5 people, slightly below the 2.6 benchmark recorded across Greater Darwin.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.8% of adults in Bakewell hold a university qualification, including 13.4% with a bachelor degree and 2.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 653 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 968 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment profiles reveal that 18.8% of the local population holds higher education degrees, lagging the SA4 regional figure of 31.3% and presenting opportunities for future skill enhancement programs. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications represent 13.4%, followed by postgraduate study at 2.8% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Meanwhile, technical and trade credentials are prominent, with 45.6% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational certifications, divided between advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 34.6%. Current participation in schooling and study is robust, with 35.2% of the population taking part in structured education.
This comprises 13.6% attending primary schools, 8.7% enrolled in secondary institutions, and 5.0% engaged in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Bakewell reaches 7 stops on 19 routes, timetabled for about 860 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
An assessment of passenger transit indicates 7 functional transit stops operating across Bakewell, consisting of bus services. These locations are connected via 19 distinct routes that generate 858 weekly passenger trips in total. Accessibility is strong, with dwellings situated an average of 214 meters from the nearest stop. Because of its residential makeup, outbound travel is standard, with motor vehicles representing 92% of travel journeys. Vehicle availability stands at 1.4 vehicles per dwelling, while a minor 3.4% of the labor force worked from home according to the 2021 Census, potentially affected by COVID-19 settings.
Transit schedules provide an average of 122 trips each day across the transit network, representing roughly 122 weekly journeys per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
76.2% of residents in Bakewell report no long-term health condition. 3.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 55.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators compiled by AreaSearch regarding chronic illness and mortality show that conditions are moderately widespread across both older and younger demographics in Bakewell. In addition, private health insurance uptake is extensive, covering approximately 55% of residents (~1,895 people), compared with 57.8% throughout Greater Darwin. Asthma and mental health conditions represent the most prevalent diagnoses locally, affecting 6.2% and 7.7% of residents, while 76.2% of the local populace reported no chronic health issues, closely tracking the 77.1% figure across Greater Darwin. Health indicators for residents below 65 years of age track favorably against broader averages.
Those aged 65 and over comprise 6.7% of the community (229 people), sitting beneath the 10.7% share registered across Greater Darwin, while national health standing aligns closely with nationwide trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
25.0% of Bakewell residents were born overseas and 20.0% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (24.9%) and English (22.5%). 9.4% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Bakewell exceeds broader benchmarks, with 25.0% of the population born abroad and 20.0% using a non-English language in their homes. Christianity forms the largest religious group, representing 41.3% of the community. Hinduism accounts for 2.4% of residents, contrasting with the regional concentration of 4.2% across Greater Darwin. Regarding parental lineage, the leading reported ancestries in Bakewell are Australian at 24.9%, English at 22.5%, and Other backgrounds at 11.1%. Variations also emerge across several distinct ancestries, including Filipino at 5.6% (compared to 3.8% across the broader region), Australian Aboriginal heritage at 9.4% (against 7.0% regionally), and New Zealand background at 0.8% (versus 0.6%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Bakewell is 32, younger than 90% of areas nationally. 31.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Bakewell is comparatively younger than that of Greater Darwin. Updated modeling to August 2026 shows that young people and children aged 0 - 24 represent 35.6% of residents, versus 32.1% across the wider region, while seniors aged 65+ account for 6.7% compared with 10.7% across Greater Darwin. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 32, matching the 2021 Census outcome while sitting 2 years below the Greater Darwin median of 34 and well under the nationwide median of 38 from the same Census. Since that count, individuals aged 45 - 64 have seen their local share adjust from 23.3% down to an estimated 21.9%.
Projections out to 2041 indicate that the largest absolute population increase will occur in the 0 - 24 cohort, rising by 209 residents (17%) to 1,428, while the fastest percentage rise will occur in the 65+ cohort, growing by 67% to 384.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Bakewell
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,091 at the 2021 Census → 3,424 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL70022). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.