Moulden

An assessment of population growth drivers in Moulden reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Moulden is estimated at around 3,258 people. This figure reflects an increase of 205 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,053 people in the suburb. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and their analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024). This results in a resident population estimate of 3,253 for Moulden, equating to a density ratio of 1,861 persons per square kilometer. This is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Moulden's growth rate of 6.7% since the census places it within 2.2 percentage points of the national average (8.9%), indicating strong growth fundamentals.

Natural growth contributed approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the suburb. AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, to estimate future population dynamics. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimates, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort from the ABS's latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, an above median population growth is anticipated for Moulden. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase by 563 persons, reflecting a total increase of 17.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Moulden according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Moulden has seen virtually no dwelling approvals in recent years. An estimated 2 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with 0 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 15.5 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed during this period.

Consequently, supply is substantially lagging demand, which generally indicates heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Additionally, $37,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Darwin, Moulden records markedly lower building activity, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, which is also below average nationally.

Moulden has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 11thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect an area's performance like adjustments to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact the area. Notable projects include Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Hudson Creek Power Station, Marine Industry Park, and Darwin Corporate Park, with the following list providing details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Moulden face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Moulden has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment. Essential services sectors are well represented with an unemployment rate of 12.3% as of June 2025.

Over the past year, there was estimated employment growth of 2.1%. AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data shows that 1,428 residents are currently employed while the unemployment rate is 9.3%, which is above Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Workforce participation in Moulden lags significantly at 54.2% compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment among residents is concentrated in public administration & safety, construction, and health care & social assistance sectors.

Construction employment levels are notably high at 1.4 times the regional average. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented with only 10.4% of Moulden's workforce compared to Greater Darwin's 14.2%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.1% alongside labour force increasing by 2.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Darwin where employment grew by 2.9%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, and unemployment fell marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insight into potential future demand within Moulden. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Moulden's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Moulden's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2022 was $58,588. The average income stood at $64,744 during the same period. In Greater Darwin, these figures were $65,522 and $75,260 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest Moulden's median income will be approximately $65,624 and average income around $72,520, based on a 12.01% growth in wages since financial year 2022. According to Census 2021 data, personal income ranks at the 59th percentile, equivalent to $851 weekly, while household income is at the 36th percentile. The largest income segment in Moulden comprises 32.1% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. This trend is consistent with broader area trends showing 36.7% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Moulden, with only 80.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Moulden is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Moulden, as per the latest Census evaluation, 80.3% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 19.7% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Darwin metro's 75.9% houses and 24.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moulden stood at 11.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.0% and rented ones at 45.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,632, below Darwin metro's average of $2,037. Median weekly rent in Moulden was $295, compared to Darwin metro's $400. Nationally, Moulden's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Moulden has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.6% of all households, including 28.3% couples with children, 17.3% couples without children, and 21.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.4%, consisting of 28.6% lone person households and 3.4% group households. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.8.

Moulden faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.5%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 46.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (7.7%) and certificates (38.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 40.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.8% in primary education, 12.6% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education. Moulden Primary School serves the local area, enrolling 204 students as of a certain date. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited (6.3 places per 100 residents vs 14.7 regionally), leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates seven active stops operating in Moulden, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 22 routes, collectively facilitating 1,037 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 235 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 148 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 148 weekly trips per individual stop.

Moulden's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Moulden's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, with levels of common health conditions among its general population being somewhat typical but higher than the nation's average among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover in Moulden is approximately 52% of the total population (~1,707 people), which leads that of the average SA2 area and compares to 56.4% across Greater Darwin.

The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 8.3 and 7.6% of residents respectively, while 69.8% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 76.6% across Greater Darwin. Moulden has 11.5% of residents aged 65 and over (374 people), which is higher than the 7.5% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, requiring more attention than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Moulden records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moulden's cultural diversity was comparable to the broader region, with 78.3% of its population being citizens, 84.2% born in Australia, and 86.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated Moulden's religious landscape at 44.3%. While Judaism's representation was similar (0.1%), it was notable due to the region's average of 0.1%.

Ancestry-wise, Australians comprised 24.0%, English 22.2%, and Australian Aboriginal 18.3% in Moulden, with the latter being significantly higher than the regional average of 9.1%. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Filipino (3.2% vs 4.8%), Spanish (0.6% vs 0.3%), and Maori (0.9% vs 0.7%) were relatively overrepresented in Moulden compared to the region.

Moulden's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Moulden's median age at 33 years is comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and is substantially lower than Australia's median of 38. Relative to Greater Darwin, Moulden has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (16.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.1%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group grew from 2.3% to 3.6% of Moulden's population while the 5-14 cohort declined from 17.7% to 16.7%. Demographic modelling suggests significant changes in Moulden's age profile by 2041. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow steadily, increasing by 123 people (30%) from 417 to 541. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is expected to grow modestly by 5% (13 people).