Moulden

An assessment of population growth drivers in Moulden reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Moulden is estimated at around 3,258, reflecting an increase of 205 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 6.7% rise from the previous population count of 3,053. The latest estimate, 3,253 residents, was derived by AreaSearch following examination of the ABS's ERP data release in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,861 persons per square kilometer for Moulden, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Comparing growth rates, Moulden's 6.7% increase positions it within 2.9 percentage points of the SA4 region's 9.6%. Natural growth contributed approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the suburb.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimates, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population dynamics anticipate an above median growth for national areas. By 2041, Moulden's population is projected to increase by 563 persons, reflecting a total increase of 17.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Moulden according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Moulden has seen only 2 residential development approvals in the past five years. This suggests that the area is largely built out with minimal vacant land for development. Established areas often see steady demand for existing properties due to limited new-build alternatives.

When compared to Greater Darwin, Moulden shows substantially reduced construction activity. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes in the area. Nationally, this level is below average, reflecting the maturity of the area and potentially indicating planning constraints.

Moulden has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 14thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified zero projects likely to impact this area. Notable ones are Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Hudson Creek Power Station, Marine Industry Park, and Darwin Corporate Park. Below is a list of those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Moulden face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Moulden's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent sectors including essential services. The unemployment rate was 13.6% as of September 2025, which is 7.3 percentage points higher than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%. Workforce participation in Moulden was 65.4%, compared to Greater Darwin's 76.0%.

A total of 1,377 residents were employed in September 2025. Census data from 2021 showed that only 3.9% of residents worked from home. The dominant employment sectors among residents are public administration & safety, construction, and health care & social assistance. Construction is notably concentrated, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 10.4% of Moulden's workforce compared to 14.2% in Greater Darwin. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, Moulden's labour force increased by 1.5%, while employment declined by 0.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Darwin saw employment and labour force growth of 1.9% each, with only marginal unemployment increase. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moulden's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Moulden's median income among taxpayers is $58,588. The average income in the suburb is $64,744. Both figures are below national averages. Greater Darwin has a median income of $66,956 and an average of $77,199. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $63,533 (median) and $70,208 (average). According to the 2021 Census, personal income ranks at the 59th percentile ($851 weekly), with household income at the 36th percentile. Distribution data indicates that 32.1% of residents (1,045 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, mirroring the broader area where 36.7% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Moulden is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Moulden, as per the latest Census, consisted of 80.3% houses and 19.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Darwin metro's 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moulden was at 11.1%, with mortgaged properties at 43.0% and rented ones at 45.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,632, below Darwin metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent in Moulden was $295, compared to Darwin metro's $385. Nationally, Moulden's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Moulden has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.6% of all households, including 28.3% couples with children, 17.3% couples without children, and 21.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Moulden faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.5%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 46.5% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 7.7% and certificates at 38.8%. Educational participation is high, with 40.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 16.8% in primary education, 12.6% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows seven active transport stops operating within Moulden. These stops are served by 22 individual bus routes, collectively providing 1037 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 235 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 3.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 148 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 148 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Moulden is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Moulden faces significant health challenges as per AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52%, compared to Greater Darwin's 57.8%. The most common conditions are asthma (8.3%) and mental health issues (7.6%), with 69.8% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 77.1% in Greater Darwin. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 11.9%, compared to Greater Darwin's 10.8%. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

In terms of cultural diversity, Moulden records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moulden's cultural diversity aligns with the wider region, with 78.3% citizens, 84.2% born in Australia, and 86.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 44.3%. Judaism, at 0.1%, is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (24.0%), English (22.2%), and Australian Aboriginal (18.3%), significantly higher than the regional average of 7.0%. Filipino (3.2% vs 3.8%), Spanish (0.6% vs 0.4%), and Maori (0.9% vs 0.6%) are notably overrepresented in Moulden compared to the region.

Moulden's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Moulden's median age is 33 years, comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and substantially under Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Moulden has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). Post-2021 Census data shows the 75-84 age group grew from 2.3% to 4.0% of the population, while the 15-24 cohort declined from 12.9% to 11.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Moulden's age profile will evolve significantly. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow steadily, expanding by 123 people (30%) from 417 to 541. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort grows by a modest 5% (13 people).