Bellamack

Population growth drivers in Bellamack are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of November 2025, Bellamack's estimated population is around 2,594. This reflects an increase of 171 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,423. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,010 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bellamack has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.1%, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth across all areas post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth is projected for the Bellamack statistical area (Lv2), with an expected increase of 455 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 17.0% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Bellamack is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates approximately 1 new home approved annually in Bellamack. Between FY21 and FY25, around 6 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY26. Despite population decline over recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes.

The average value of new dwellings is $443,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, there have been $1.3 million in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential construction. Measured against Greater Darwin, Bellamack records significantly lower building activity (89.0% below regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This level is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. All new construction in Bellamack has been detached houses, preserving its suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (72.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 2574 people per dwelling approval, Bellamack reflects a highly mature market. Latest AreaSearch quarterly estimates project an addition of 441 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Bellamack has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 20thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly influence a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major undertakings, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects expected to impact this area. Notable projects comprise Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Hudson Creek Power Station, Marine Industry Park, and Darwin Corporate Park, with the following list detailing those most pertinent.

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The exceptional employment performance in Bellamack places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Bellamack has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 1.2% as of September 2025. This is 1.9% lower than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%.

Workforce participation in Bellamack is similar to Greater Darwin's at 69.7%. The leading employment industries among residents are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. Notably, the area shows strong specialization in public administration & safety with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance has a limited presence with 11.6% employment compared to 14.2% regionally.

Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.3% while labour force grew by 2.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Darwin saw employment rise by 1.9% with a marginal increase in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NT employment contracted by 1.13% while the state unemployment rate was 4.4%, broadly inline with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Bellamack's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Bellamack had a median taxpayer income of $71,216 and an average income of $76,650 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is higher than the national averages of $66,956 (median) and $77,199 (average), as seen in Greater Darwin. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income would be approximately $77,227 and average income $83,119, based on an 8.44% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. In Bellamack, household, family, and personal incomes ranked between the 85th and 89th percentiles nationally in Census 2021 data. A significant portion of the population, 39.6% (1,027 individuals), fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the surrounding region at 36.7%. Bellamack's affluence is evident with 34.6% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 81st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Bellamack is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Bellamack, as per the latest Census, 72.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 28.0% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Darwin metro's 75.9% houses and 24.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bellamack stood at 4.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.0% and rented ones at 60.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, above Darwin metro's average of $2,037. Median weekly rent was $360 in Bellamack, compared to Darwin metro's $400. Nationally, Bellamack's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Bellamack features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.7% of all households, including 40.6% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.3%, with lone person households at 17.6% and group households comprising 5.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.8.

Bellamack shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

In Bellamack Trail region, as of data from [year], 21.7% of residents aged 15 and above held university degrees, compared to the SA4 regional average of 31.3%. This disparity suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement in the area. Bachelor's degrees were most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials were prominent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas accounted for 12.3% and certificates for 32.1%.

Educational participation was notably high, with 41.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This included 14.5% in primary education, 11.0% in secondary education, and 7.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bellamack has three active public transport stops currently in operation, all of which offer bus services. These stops are served by a total of 14 different routes, together facilitating 476 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is deemed good, with residents on average situated just 242 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 68 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 158 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bellamack's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Bellamack, with younger age groups having particularly low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 57% (~1,479 people) of the total population has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.5 and 6.4% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 78.2%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 76.6% in Greater Darwin. Bellamack has 6.8% (176 people) of its residents aged 65 and over. While health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population, they still present some challenges.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bellamack was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bellamack had a higher than average cultural diversity, with 22.2% of its population born overseas and 19.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Bellamack, comprising 39.5% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 1.5%, slightly higher than the Greater Darwin average of 1.1%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up the largest group at 25.8%, followed by English at 21.8%, and Other at 12.4%. Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Filipinos were overrepresented at 3.9% compared to 4.8% regionally, Australian Aboriginals were at 8.1% versus 9.1%, and Maori were at 0.9% compared to 0.7%.

Bellamack hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Bellamack's median age is 30, which is lower than Greater Darwin's average of 34 and Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Bellamack has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.3%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 55-64 has increased from 5.4% to 6.3%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 18.4% to 17.3%. Looking ahead to 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Bellamack. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 31%, adding 90 people and reaching a total of 384 residents from the current figure of 293. The 0-4 age group is projected to grow at a more modest rate of 4%, with an increase of just 9 residents.