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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Bakewell has an estimated 3,417 residents, up from 3,091 at the 2021 Census — a change of 326 people, or 10.5%. Growth has averaged 1.0% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 63.3% of that increase. That puts 2,589 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Bakewell stands at approximately 3,417 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 326 individuals (10.5%) relative to the 2021 Census, which recorded 3,091 people. This population shift is calculated utilizing the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 3,417 alongside address validation tracking post-Census. With this population level, the area has a density ratio of 2,588 persons per square kilometer, placing it within the top quartile of all assessed national areas. The 10.5% growth rate observed in Bakewell since the 2021 census outpaced the national benchmark of 9.3%, establishing the locality as a regional leader in growth.
Overseas migration was the primary driver of this expansion, accounting for roughly 63.3% of the overall population rise in recent times. AreaSearch incorporates ABS and Geoscience Australia projections published in 2024, using 2022 as the baseline year for each SA2. For SA2 territories lacking this data, and to project demographic changes beyond 2032, growth rates by age cohort are applied based on the latest Greater Capital Region projections released by the ABS in 2023 using 2022 data. Future projections suggest population growth exceeding the median for Australian statistical locations, with the area expected to expand by 739 residents to 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a cumulative increase of 21.6% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Bakewell has recorded an average of approximately 2 new residential building approvals annually, translating to 14 dwellings over the preceding 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 4 approvals have been registered. With an average of 11.6 additional residents per constructed dwelling settling in the area over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, demand outstrips new supply, a dynamic that generally drives up prices and intensifies buyer competition, while new builds carry an average construction value of $325,000. Furthermore, $244,000 in commercial building approvals have been logged during the current financial year, highlighting a focus that is overwhelmingly residential.
Building activity in Bakewell is notably quiet compared to Greater Darwin, running 79.0% below the regional per capita average. This limited volume of new construction typically supports demand and valuations for the existing housing stock, although building activity has seen a recent uptick. This rate of development also tracks below the national average, reflecting the established character of the area and indicating potential planning constraints. Recently, all building activity has consisted of attached dwellings. This emphasis on higher-density options provides affordable pathways for buyers and draws interest from downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This trend departs from the current housing stock, which is 54.0% houses, indicating a reduction in available greenfield land and reflecting changing lifestyle choices and affordability constraints. With roughly 979 residents for every building approval, Bakewell exhibits the characteristics of a mature, settled community. Projections indicate that Bakewell is set to add 739 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. Should current construction rates persist, the addition of new housing may fall short of population gains, which could heighten competition among buyers and underpin stronger price appreciation.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Bakewell
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects close to Bakewell, worth an estimated $775 million. 2 are already under construction and 2 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, national security and business parks & technology hubs. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major works, and urban planning decisions represent key drivers of real estate performance. AreaSearch has identified 0 major projects within the immediate area likely to influence local trends. Significant regional projects include the Darwin to Palmerston Mass Transit Corridor, Hudson Creek Power Station, Marine Industry Park, and Darwin Corporate Park, with details on the most relevant works provided in the following list.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Berrimah Road Duplication - Stuart Highway to Tiger Brennan Drive
Planned duplication of Berrimah Road to a dual carriageway between Stuart Highway and Tiger Brennan Drive to improve freight efficiency, road safety and traffic capacity, supporting Darwin Port and future residential growth including Northcrest. The project remains in the Australian Government's funded road corridor program and is progressing through planning.
Northcrest
A 168-hectare master-planned community development delivering up to 2,000 housing lots. The precinct includes residential homes, parks, a government primary school, retirement living, and 56,000sqm of retail, dining, and commercial space.
Tiger Brennan Drive and Berrimah Road intersection overpass
Construction of a new overpass to improve road safety, reduce traffic delays, and increase freight connectivity. The new overpass carries Berrimah Road traffic over Tiger Brennan Drive. Final works include shared user paths, landscaping, and emergency services access.
Defence Establishment Berrimah Redevelopment
Base-wide redevelopment of Defence Establishment Berrimah (DEB), a tri-service Defence support hub located in Coonawarra, about 8km east of Darwin CBD. The project delivers upgraded in-ground services including power supply, water and fire water systems, sewerage and ICT infrastructure, along with security upgrades and construction of three deployable force precincts with hardstands, messing, ablutions and recreational areas. Internal road network improvements will be delivered if budget allows. Delivered under Defence's Estate Capital and Sustainment Works Program via a head contractor construct-only arrangement, with Jacobs engaged as Project Manager/Contract Administrator.
Darwin Corporate Park
Darwin Corporate Park is a premier business park for mixed use commercial office space located in Berrimah, recognised as the geographic centre of greater Darwin. The precinct currently comprises five premium three-level office buildings set on 25,800 square metres, holding a 5-star NABERS rating and campus-style landscaping with covered walkways. Stage 1 was completed in 2014 and is almost fully leased. Stage 2 delivered Building 7, a purpose-built 3,500 square metre call centre solely occupied by bet365 as its Australian headquarters.The masterplan envisions up to eight office buildings in total. The park was sold by Berrimah Holdings to a South Australian private equity group, Spencer Property Group, for approximately 78.5 million AUD in one of the largest commercial real estate transactions in Darwin's history.
Ludmilla Wastewater Treatment Plant Upgrade
Upgrade of the existing wastewater treatment plant and associated pumping stations and rising mains, aimed at increasing robustness, optimizing treatment, improving environmental outcomes, and catering for future population growth until 2030. It was the largest sewer project ever undertaken by NT Power and Water Corporation.
2,043 residents of Bakewell are employed, from a labour force of 2,097. Unemployment sits at 2.6%, with participation at 79.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,648, about 77% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce in Bakewell is highly skilled, with strong representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 2.6%, and steady employment levels over the preceding year. As of March 2026, there are 2,043 employed residents, yielding an unemployment rate that is 0.9% below the Greater Darwin level of 3.5%, while workforce participation is exceptionally high at 79.7% compared to 72.7% across Greater Darwin. Census data indicates that a minor 3.4% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of Covid-19 lock-downs. The primary employment sectors for local residents are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction.
The community displays a distinct concentration in retail trade, where employment levels reach 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance is less prevalent locally, accounting for 11.2% of employment compared to 14.2% across the wider region. The comparison between the Census working population and resident population indicates that this predominantly residential locality offers few local jobs. According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12 months leading to March 2026 saw employment rise by 0.1% alongside a 0.7% expansion of the labor force, which led to a 0.6 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. This differed from Greater Darwin, where employment grew by 0.4%, the labor force expanded by 0.8%, and the unemployment rate increased by 0.3 percentage points. Projections from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 offer additional context on future employment demand in Bakewell. These five-year and ten-year forecasts have been aligned with the local industry mix to project growth paths. Nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with significant variations across different industries. Applying these national industry trends to the local employment base suggests Bakewell's employment could rise by 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation for comparison that does not incorporate local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Bakewell is $1,955 a week (about $102,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,104 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $69,049 a year against an average of $74,493. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer data from the ATO for the 2023 financial year, compiled by AreaSearch, indicates that Bakewell SA2 enjoys a very high national income ranking. Local taxpayers record a median income of $69,049 and an average income of $74,493, which compares to Greater Darwin figures of $66,956 and $77,199 respectively. Adjusting for a 9.41% increase in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current estimates stand at approximately $75,547 for median income and $81,503 for average income as of March 2026. The 2021 Census highlights strong individual weekly earnings at the 85th percentile nationally, translating to $1,104.
In terms of income distribution, the largest cohort comprises 47.1% of residents (1,609 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring the broader regional pattern where 36.7% fall into this bracket. While housing costs account for 17.9% of income, strong earnings help keep disposable income at the 60th percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 4th decile for income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Bakewell had 1,140 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 55% detached houses and 32% apartments. 44% are owned with a mortgage, 46% rented and 10% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,742 a month, a total housing cost higher than 81% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 19.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the housing mix in Bakewell consisted of 54.5% houses and 45.5% alternative dwelling types like semi-detached properties, apartments, and other configurations, compared to 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings across the Darwin metropolitan area. Home ownership in Bakewell stood at 10.4%, trailing the metropolitan average, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (43.5%) or rented (46.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,742 was notably lower than the metropolitan Darwin average of $2,100, while the median weekly rent was $380, compared to the regional figure of $385.
On a national level, monthly mortgage payments in Bakewell are below the Australian average of $1,863, whereas weekly rents sit above the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Bakewell counted 1,140 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,260 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 31% are couples with children, against 21% couples without children. 26% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families represent the primary household type at 69.9%, consisting of couples with children at 31.4%, couples without children at 20.5%, and single parent households at 17.0%. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.1% of the total, with single person dwellings making up 26.1% and group homes accounting for 4.1%. The area has a median household size of 2.5 residents, which is slightly smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.8% of adults in Bakewell hold a university qualification, including 13.4% with a bachelor degree and 2.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 653 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 968 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational data reveals lower rates of higher education in the area, with university qualifications held by 18.8% of residents, compared to 31.3% across the broader SA4 region. This discrepancy highlights opportunities for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.8% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Vocational training is highly prevalent, with 45.6% of residents aged 15 and over holding technical qualifications, split between advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 34.6%. Engagement in learning is very strong, with 35.2% of the population actively enrolled in formal study.
This student cohort includes 13.6% in primary school, 8.7% in high school, and 5.0% enrolled in higher education courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Bakewell reaches 6 stops on 24 routes, timetabled for about 1,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of local transit options shows 6 active bus stops operating in Bakewell. These locations are served by 24 distinct routes, which combine to support 1,146 passenger journeys each week. Public transit access is rated highly, with residents living an average of 213 meters from the nearest stop. Given the residential nature of the suburb, most workers commute out of the area, and private vehicles remain the primary mode of travel for 92% of residents. Dwellings have an average of 1.4 vehicles. A minor 3.4% of the population worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related conditions.
Transit services run at an average frequency of 163 trips per day across all routes, which averages out to roughly 191 weekly trips for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
76.2% of residents in Bakewell report no long-term health condition. 3.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality data and chronic illness rates, health outcomes in Bakewell lag the average, with common medical issues tracking slightly higher across both young and old age groups, though private health insurance coverage is high, encompassing roughly 56% of the population, or about 1,916 individuals. Mental health conditions and asthma are the most frequently reported medical diagnoses locally, affecting 7.7% and 6.2% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 76.2% of the population reported no chronic conditions, compared to 77.1% across Greater Darwin. Better than average health outcomes are observed among residents under the age of 65.
Individuals aged 65 and over make up 6.5% of the local population (223 people), which is lower than the Greater Darwin level of 11.0%, with national health rankings closely matching the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
25.0% of Bakewell residents were born overseas and 20.0% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (24.9%) and English (22.5%). 9.4% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Bakewell displays higher levels of cultural diversity than most comparable property markets, with 25.0% of the population born abroad and 20.0% using a language other than English in the home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, accounting for 41.3% of local residents. Hinduism shows the most notable regional divergence, representing 2.4% of the local population compared to 4.2% across Greater Darwin. In terms of ancestral backgrounds, the three largest groups in Bakewell are Australian at 24.9%, English at 22.5%, and Other at 11.1%. There are also distinct variations in representation for other heritages, with Filipino residents accounting for 5.6% of the population (compared to 3.8% regionally), Australian Aboriginal residents at 9.4% (compared to 7.0%), and New Zealanders at 0.8% (compared to 0.6%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Bakewell is 32, younger than 92% of areas nationally. 31.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 32, Bakewell has a slightly younger population profile than Greater Darwin's median of 34, and tracks well below the Australian median of 38. Compared to the wider Greater Darwin area, Bakewell has a higher proportion of children aged 5 to 14 at 15.4%, but a lower share of older residents aged 65 to 74 at 3.9%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 demographic has increased from 12.0% to 13.5% of the total population, while the 35 to 44 cohort grew from 15.8% to 16.9%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 14.0% to 11.8%.
Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts, with the 45 to 54 age group projected to grow strongly by 153 people (38%) from 404 to 558, while the 55 to 64 group is expected to experience a more modest 10% increase, adding 32 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Bakewell
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,091 at the 2021 Census → 3,417 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (701041036). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.