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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Bakewell has an estimated 3,424 residents, up from 3,091 at the 2021 Census — a change of 333 people, or 10.8%. Growth has averaged 1.0% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 63.3% of that increase. That puts 2,594 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to findings from AreaSearch, the resident count in Bakewell stands at approximately 3,424 as of Aug 2026. This figure marks an addition of 333 people (10.8%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 3,091 people. That adjustment incorporates the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population figure of 3,417 along with address validation tracking post-Census. With 2,593 persons per square kilometer, population density sits within the top quartile among nationally evaluated areas. Furthermore, Bakewell's 10.8% expansion since the 2021 census outpaced the broader nationwide figure (9.5%), establishing it as a regional standout.
Inbound overseas migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 63.3% of net population additions in recent periods. Projections published by ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 (using 2022 as a base year) are utilized by AreaSearch across SA2 locations. When SA2 figures are missing, or when projecting beyond 2032 across all locations, AreaSearch applies cohort-specific growth factors sourced from the 2023 release of ABS Greater Capital Region projections (anchored on 2022 data). Looking ahead, long-term expansion is anticipated to surpass the national median, with the latest annual ERP figures indicating a forecast gain of 733 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 21.2% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential building approvals in Bakewell have tracked at roughly 3 new homes annually, totaling 18 homes over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Because approximately 9 people moved into the suburb per constructed residence across the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), local housing demand heavily outweighs incoming stock, which generally drives up property valuations and heightens buyer competition. Mean building construction costs stand at $323,000, which sits below regional benchmarks to provide a more attainable entry point. On the commercial front, approvals amounted to $244,000 this financial year, underscoring subdued non-residential development.
Residential building volumes in Bakewell lag significantly behind Greater Darwin, trailing regional per-capita averages by 73.0%. Constrained supply additions tend to reinforce pricing resilience and buyer interest across established dwellings, notwithstanding recent upticks in building activity. Construction rates also sit below country-wide levels, highlighting the established footprint of the neighborhood alongside potential planning limitations. Recent construction approvals comprise 33.0% detached houses alongside 67.0% medium and high-density housing. This pivot toward higher-density building structures offers attainable price points suited to downsizers, first-time purchasers, and property investors. This dynamic marks a clear departure from the prevailing residential composition (which currently features 54.0% houses), signaling both a scarcity of greenfield sites and evolving household preferences for diverse, cost-effective dwelling types. An average ratio of approximately 566 people per dwelling approval demonstrates the suburb's established nature. Based on recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch, demographic modeling projects an influx of 726 residents into Bakewell by 2041. Should current construction tempos persist, dwelling additions could fall short of resident inflows, likely intensifying competition across the market and underpinning upward price momentum.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Bakewell
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects close to Bakewell, worth an estimated $775 million. 2 are already under construction and 2 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, national security and business parks & technology hubs. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Surrounding infrastructure investments and planning schemes play a crucial role in shaping district growth. Currently, no major projects likely to impact the locality have been recorded by AreaSearch. Regional developments of note include the Darwin to Palmerston Mass Transit Corridor, Hudson Creek Power Station, Marine Industry Park, and Darwin Corporate Park, with details provided for the most relevant undertakings.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Berrimah Road Duplication - Stuart Highway to Tiger Brennan Drive
Planned duplication of Berrimah Road to a dual carriageway between Stuart Highway and Tiger Brennan Drive to improve freight efficiency, road safety and traffic capacity, supporting Darwin Port and future residential growth including Northcrest. The project remains in the Australian Government's funded road corridor program and is progressing through planning.
Northcrest
A 168-hectare master-planned community development delivering up to 2,000 housing lots. The precinct includes residential homes, parks, a government primary school, retirement living, and 56,000sqm of retail, dining, and commercial space.
Tiger Brennan Drive and Berrimah Road intersection overpass
Construction of a new overpass to improve road safety, reduce traffic delays, and increase freight connectivity. The new overpass carries Berrimah Road traffic over Tiger Brennan Drive. Final works include shared user paths, landscaping, and emergency services access.
Defence Establishment Berrimah Redevelopment
Base-wide redevelopment of Defence Establishment Berrimah (DEB), a tri-service Defence support hub located in Coonawarra, about 8km east of Darwin CBD. The project delivers upgraded in-ground services including power supply, water and fire water systems, sewerage and ICT infrastructure, along with security upgrades and construction of three deployable force precincts with hardstands, messing, ablutions and recreational areas. Internal road network improvements will be delivered if budget allows. Delivered under Defence's Estate Capital and Sustainment Works Program via a head contractor construct-only arrangement, with Jacobs engaged as Project Manager/Contract Administrator.
Darwin Corporate Park
Darwin Corporate Park is a premier business park for mixed use commercial office space located in Berrimah, recognised as the geographic centre of greater Darwin. The precinct currently comprises five premium three-level office buildings set on 25,800 square metres, holding a 5-star NABERS rating and campus-style landscaping with covered walkways. Stage 1 was completed in 2014 and is almost fully leased. Stage 2 delivered Building 7, a purpose-built 3,500 square metre call centre solely occupied by bet365 as its Australian headquarters.The masterplan envisions up to eight office buildings in total. The park was sold by Berrimah Holdings to a South Australian private equity group, Spencer Property Group, for approximately 78.5 million AUD in one of the largest commercial real estate transactions in Darwin's history.
Ludmilla Wastewater Treatment Plant Upgrade
Upgrade of the existing wastewater treatment plant and associated pumping stations and rising mains, aimed at increasing robustness, optimizing treatment, improving environmental outcomes, and catering for future population growth until 2030. It was the largest sewer project ever undertaken by NT Power and Water Corporation.
2,043 residents of Bakewell are employed, from a labour force of 2,097. Unemployment sits at 2.6%, with participation at 79.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,655, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Bakewell features a capable local workforce underpinned by solid representation across vital service industries, alongside an unemployment rate of only 2.6% and resilient job conditions over the preceding year. There were 2,043 employed residents recorded as of March 2026. The local unemployment level is 0.9% below Greater Darwin's rate of 3.5%, while the labor participation rate reaches 79.7%, notably exceeding the Greater Darwin figure of 72.9%. Census records indicate that merely 3.4% of workers conducted their duties from home, though broader Covid-19 restrictions provide context for this figure. The primary employment sectors among local workers are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction.
Notably, retail trade exhibits strong local concentration, recording a participation rate 1.2 times the wider regional benchmark. In contrast, health care & social assistance accounts for 11.2% of the workforce, tracking beneath the 14.2% regional proportion. A comparison between the resident labor base and local Census workplace counts confirms that the neighborhood remains largely dormitory, offering restrained commercial employment within its boundaries. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM metrics indicates that in the year to March 2026, local employment ticked up 0.1% while the workforce base rose 0.7%, resulting in a 0.6 percentage point rise in unemployment. Across the same timeframe, Greater Darwin logged an employment gain of 0.4% alongside an expansion in the labor pool of 0.8%, yielding a 0.3 percentage point rise. Broader five- and ten-year national workforce forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 help project future labor requirements. Nationally, overall headcount is expected to grow by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, though individual industry trajectories vary widely. When mapped to Bakewell's sector distribution, local employment is modeled to expand by 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years (note that this represents a baseline weighted industry extrapolation without factoring in localized population shifts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Bakewell is $1,955 a week (about $102,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,104 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $69,049 a year against an average of $74,493. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode statistics released for financial year 2023 and analyzed by AreaSearch indicate that taxpayers in the Bakewell SA2 generate a median income of $69,049 and an average income of $74,493. These figures compare favorably to Greater Darwin benchmarks of $66,956 (median) and $77,199 (average) and rank prominently nationwide. Adjusting for Wage Price Index gains of 9.41% since financial year 2023 places modeled figures at roughly $75,547 (median) and $81,503 (average) as of March 2026. Individual weekly compensation recorded in the 2021 Census sat at $1,104, placing the area in the 85th percentile across Australia.
In terms of distribution, 47.1% of residents (1,612 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 earning bracket, aligning with the regional share of 36.7%. Although residential overheads absorb 17.9% of local earnings, substantial compensation places disposable income at the 60th percentile, with the overall SEIFA income position situated in the 4th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Bakewell had 1,140 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 55% detached houses and 32% apartments. 44% are owned with a mortgage, 46% rented and 10% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,742 a month, a total housing cost higher than 81% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 19.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the most recent Census, the local housing stock consisted of 54.5% houses alongside 45.5% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, semi-detached properties, and non-standard housing), whereas Darwin metro recorded 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Outright homeownership in Bakewell trailed the wider metropolitan level, registering at 10.4%, while remaining properties were occupied under a mortgage (43.5%) or rented (46.1%). Typical monthly mortgage commitments stood at $1,742, coming in well beneath the Darwin metro figure of $2,100, while median weekly rent was $380 against $385 across Darwin metro. Looking at broader Australian figures, mortgage repayments sit below the national benchmark of $1,863, whereas rental payments slightly exceed the country-wide level of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Bakewell counted 1,140 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,263 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 31% are couples with children, against 21% couples without children. 26% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 69.9% of all local domestic arrangements, with couples with children accounting for 31.4%, couples without children representing 20.5%, and single parent families making up 17.0%. Non-family living situations represent the remaining 30.1%, comprising lone person households at 26.1% and group households at 4.1%. An average household size of 2.5 people sits marginally below the Greater Darwin benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.8% of adults in Bakewell hold a university qualification, including 13.4% with a bachelor degree and 2.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 653 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 968 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment figures show that 18.8% of residents hold university qualifications, tracking well below the wider SA4 region level of 31.3%. Within higher education, Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 2.8% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Meanwhile, technical and trade credentials are widespread, with 45.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational awards, including certificates (34.6%) and advanced diplomas (11.0%). Current participation in education is strong throughout the community, with 35.2% of residents undertaking structured studies. Specifically, primary schooling accounts for 13.6% of residents, secondary schooling represents 8.7%, and 5.0% are enrolled in tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Bakewell reaches 7 stops on 19 routes, timetabled for about 860 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Commuters in Bakewell are served by 7 active transport stops operating across the area, primarily handling bus transit. These facilities are linked to 19 individual routes that generate 858 weekly passenger trips. Access to public transit is convenient, with residents located an average of 214 meters from their nearest pick-up point. As an outward-commuting residential hub, private vehicles dominate travel at 92%, with average vehicle ownership sitting at 1.4 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, a modest 3.4% of workers conducted duties from home, reflective of conditions during the pandemic.
Across all transit lines, trip frequency averages 122 trips per day, which corresponds to around 122 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
76.2% of residents in Bakewell report no long-term health condition. 3.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch reviews of chronic illnesses and mortality, overall health metrics sit below standard benchmarks, with routine ailments displaying higher prevalence across both younger and older residents. Concurrently, private health insurance coverage is extensive, taken up by approximately 56% of the population (~1,920 people). Asthma and mental health issues represent the primary reported conditions, affecting 6.2% and 7.7% of the community respectively, while 76.2% of locals reported no long-term medical conditions (compared to 77.1% throughout Greater Darwin). Health metrics among residents under 65 perform above average. Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 6.6% of the population (227 people), sitting beneath the 10.7% proportion in Greater Darwin, with overall health rankings tracking near nationwide standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
25.0% of Bakewell residents were born overseas and 20.0% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (24.9%) and English (22.5%). 9.4% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The local community displays greater cultural variety than many surrounding suburbs, with 25.0% of residents born abroad and 20.0% using a non-English language in their homes. Christianity represents the primary religious affiliation, accounting for 41.3% of residents. Meanwhile, Hinduism makes up 2.4% of the population, compared to 4.2% across Greater Darwin. Looking at parental heritage, the leading reported ancestries are Australian at 24.9%, English at 22.5%, and Other at 11.1%. Several background groups show unique local representations, including Filipino residents who comprise 5.6% (against 3.8% across the region), Australian Aboriginal individuals representing 9.4% (against 7.0%), and New Zealand heritage accounting for 0.8% (against 0.6%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Bakewell is 32, younger than 92% of areas nationally. 31.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographically, the area leans younger than Greater Darwin overall. August 2026 estimates indicate that children and young adults (0 - 24) comprise 35.5% of the populace, compared to 32.1% across the capital region, whereas retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) account for 6.6% versus 10.7% regionally. The median age remains steady at 32 as at August 2026, matching the 2021 Census reading, which sits 2 years beneath the Greater Darwin median of 34 and well under the nationwide 2021 Census median of 38. The most significant shift across broad cohorts since the Census occurred in the 45 - 64 age group, which softened from 23.3% to 21.9%.
Looking forward to 2041, the largest raw expansion is forecast among children and young adults, climbing by 207 residents (17%) to 1,423, whereas the quickest relative growth will emerge among retiree and elderly cohorts, expanding 69% to reach 384.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Bakewell
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,091 at the 2021 Census → 3,424 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (701041036). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.