Holtze

Population growth drivers in Holtze are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the Holtze statistical area's population is estimated at around 1970 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 30 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1940. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 1970 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and address validations since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 47 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 59% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, growth rates by age cohort are applied based on ABS's Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Considering projected demographic shifts, the Holtze (SA2) is expected to increase by around 262 persons to reach a total of approximately 2232 by 2041, reflecting a gain of about 24.6% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Holtze is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Holtze has recorded approximately two residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 14 homes were approved, with no approvals so far in FY26.

Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which is positive for buyers. This year, there have been $6,000 worth of commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Darwin, Holtze has significantly less development activity, 66.0% below the regional average per person, supporting stronger demand and values for established dwellings due to limited new supply. Nationally, development activity is also lower, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints. All new construction in Holtze has been detached houses, preserving its low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests at Census (34.0%), indicating strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 2170 people, reflecting the area's quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections show Holtze adding 485 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Holtze has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 25thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area. Major projects include Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Hudson Creek Power Station, Darwin Corporate Park, and Marine Industry Park. Projects likely to be most relevant are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Holtze performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Holtze's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.4% as of September 2025, showing a 5.3% employment growth over the past year according to AreaSearch data aggregation from statistical areas.

As of September 2025891 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 1.7%, lower than Greater Darwin's 3.1%. Workforce participation was significantly lower at 33.9% compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Major employment industries among residents include public administration & safety, construction, and accommodation & food services. Holtze has a particular specialization in public administration & safety with an employment share of 4.4 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance had limited presence at 1.3% compared to the regional 14.2%. The area functioned as an employment hub with 1.7 workers per resident, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 5.3% while labour force grew by 5.6%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Darwin experienced an employment growth of 1.9% and labour force growth of 1.9%. State-level data to 25-Nov showed NT employment contracted by 1.13% (losing 4,100 jobs) with the state unemployment rate at 4.4%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Holtze's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 4.6% over five years and 10.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Holtze had a median taxpayer income of $76,156 and an average income of $83,396 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is among the highest incomes reported in Australia, contrasting with Greater Darwin's median income of $66,956 and average income of $77,199 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% from financial year 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $82,584 for median income and $90,435 for average income as of that date. According to the 2021 Census figures, individual earnings in Holtze rank at the 94th percentile nationally ($1,308 weekly), while household income ranks lower at the 33rd percentile. Income analysis shows that the $800 - 1,499 bracket dominates with 35.2% of residents (693 people). Housing costs are manageable with 91.6% retained, but disposable income sits below average at the 42nd percentile.

Holtze displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Holtze, according to the latest Census, 34.0% of dwellings were houses while 66.0% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is in contrast to Darwin metro's figures which showed 92.6% houses and 7.4% other dwellings. Holtze had a higher home ownership rate at 48.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 12.0% and rented ones at 39.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,122, lower than Darwin metro's average of $2,250. The median weekly rent figure in Holtze was recorded at $230, compared to Darwin metro's $380. Nationally, Holtze's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Holtze features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 60.4% of all households, including 16.7% couples with children, 39.6% couples without children, and no single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 39.6%, with lone person households at 43.8% and group households comprising none of the total. The median household size is 2.0 people, smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.8.

Holtze performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 7.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 6.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.1%) and graduate diplomas (0.4%). Vocational pathways account for 18.1% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 2.7% and certificates at 15.4%. Educational participation is high, with 63.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 26.8% in tertiary, 15.3% in primary, and 5.1% in secondary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 63.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 26.8% in tertiary education, 15.3% in primary education, and 5.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Holtze shows that there are four active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 13 individual routes providing service to the area. Collectively, these routes facilitate 868 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Holtze is rated as limited, with residents typically residing 1250 meters away from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 124 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 217 weekly trips per individual stop.

Holtze's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Holtze. Both young and elderly cohorts have a low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover rate is notably high at approximately 60% of the total population (1,175 people), compared to 56.2% in Greater Darwin. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 4.7% and 2.8% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 86.1%, report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than the 74.8% reported across Greater Darwin. Holtze has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.2% (102 people), compared to 13.9% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

Holtze is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Holtze's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with its population comprising 37.6% citizens, 91.9% born in Australia, and 90.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated Holtze, making up 35.1% of the population. Islam, however, was overrepresented at 1.7%, compared to the Greater Darwin average of 0.5%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.5%), Australian (27.6%), and Irish (7.8%). Notably, German ancestry was overrepresented at 5.3% in Holtze versus 4.0% regionally, Serbian at 0.4% compared to 0.1%, and Samoan at 0.4% compared to 0%.

Holtze hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Holtze's median age is 31, which is lower than Greater Darwin's figure of 34 and significantly younger than Australia's median age of 38. The age profile indicates that individuals aged 15-24 are particularly prevalent at 28.1%, while those aged 5-14 make up a smaller proportion at 3.0% compared to Greater Darwin. This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 12.5%. Post-Census data from 2021 shows that the 5-14 age group has grown from 1.4% to 3.0%, while the 35-44 cohort has increased from 19.5% to 20.7%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased slightly from 29.9% to 29.0%. By 2041, Holtze's age composition is projected to see significant shifts, with the 15-24 age group expected to increase by 120 people (22%) from 553 to 674.