Moulden

An assessment of population growth drivers in Moulden reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Moulden's population was 3,258 as of February 2026, an increase of 205 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,053. This change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 3,253 in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. The population density was 1,861 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Moulden's growth rate of 6.7% since the census was within 2.9 percentage points of its SA4 region (9.6%). Natural growth contributed approximately 79.3% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch applied age cohort growth rates provided by the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population projections showed an above median growth for national statistical areas, with Moulden expected to grow by 563 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 17.1% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Moulden, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Moulden has recorded just 2 dwelling approvals between January 1st, 2017 and December 31st, 2021. This indicates a mature, established suburb where available land for new construction is limited. For buyers, this scarcity of new housing stock typically supports property values and means competition may be primarily among existing homes.

Compared to Greater Darwin, Moulden records markedly lower building activity during this period. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties in the area. Nationally, this level of building activity is also below average, reflecting the suburb's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints.

Moulden has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 5thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly influence a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to impact this area. Notable projects include Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Hudson Creek Power Station, Marine Industry Park, and Darwin Corporate Park, with the following list outlining those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Moulden face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Moulden's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 13.6% as of September 2025. This rate is 7.3 percentage points higher than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%.

Workforce participation in Moulden is lower at 65.2%, compared to Greater Darwin's 76.0%. According to Census data, only 3.9% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment are public administration & safety, construction, and health care & social assistance. Construction stands out with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Health care & social assistance has a lower presence at 10.4%, compared to the regional average of 14.2%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the difference between its working population and resident population. Over the 12 months prior, Moulden's labour force increased by 1.5% while employment declined by 0.4%, leading to a 1.6 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Darwin saw employment grow by 1.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moulden's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for local population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Moulden SA2's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2023 was $59,961. The average income stood at $66,488 during the same period. For Greater Darwin, these figures were $66,956 and $77,199 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income would be approximately $65,022 and average income around $72,100, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023. According to census data, personal income ranks at the 59th percentile ($851 weekly), while household income sits at the 36th percentile. In terms of income distribution, 32.1% of the population (1,045 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to metropolitan regions where 36.7% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Moulden is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Moulden's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 80.3% houses and 19.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Darwin metro had 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moulden stood at 11.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.0% and rented ones at 45.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,632, lower than Darwin metro's $2,100. Median weekly rent in Moulden was $295, compared to Darwin metro's $385. Nationally, Moulden's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,632 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Moulden has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.6% of all households, including 28.3% couples with children, 17.3% couples without children, and 21.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households comprising 3.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Moulden faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.5%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 7.7% and certificates make up 38.8%. Educational participation is high at 40.8%, including 16.8% in primary education, 12.6% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 40.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.8% in primary education, 12.6% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows seven active transport stops operating within Moulden. These stops are served by 22 individual bus routes, collectively providing 1037 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 235 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 3.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 148 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 148 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Moulden is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Moulden faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment, with notable prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is slightly lower at approximately 52% (~1,697 people) compared to Greater Darwin's 57.8%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (8.3%) and mental health issues (7.6%), while 69.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 77.1% in Greater Darwin. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions. Moulden has 12.0% of residents aged 65 and over (390 people), which is higher than the 10.8% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

In terms of cultural diversity, Moulden records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moulden's cultural diversity aligns with the broader regional average, with 78.3% of residents being citizens, 84.2% born in Australia, and 86.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Moulden, comprising 44.3% of its population. Buddhism, however, is more prevalent in Moulden than the Greater Darwin average, making up 2.4% versus 3.3%.

The top ancestry groups in Moulden are Australian (24.0%), English (22.2%), and Australian Aboriginal (18.3%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 7.0%. Other ethnic groups also show notable differences: Filipino (3.2% vs 3.8%), Maori (0.9% vs 0.6%), and Spanish (0.6% vs 0.4%) are relatively more represented in Moulden compared to the region.

Moulden's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Moulden's median age at 33 years is comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and is substantially lower than Australia's median of 38. Relative to Greater Darwin, Moulden has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group increased from 2.3% to 4.0% of Moulden's population, while the 15-24 cohort declined from 12.9% to 11.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Moulden's age profile. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow steadily, expanding by 122 people (29%) from 418 to 541. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort grows by a modest 5% (13 people).