Humpty Doo

An assessment of population growth drivers in Humpty Doo reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Humpty Doo's population is approximately 9,302 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 915 people, a 10.9% rise from the 8,387 recorded in the 2021 Census. The ABS estimated resident population in June 2024 was 9,266, with an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density of 59 persons per square kilometer. Humpty Doo's growth rate exceeded the national average of 8.9% during this period. Natural growth accounted for approximately 63.0% of overall population gains, with overseas and interstate migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, growth rates by age cohort are applied post-2032, based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Projected demographic shifts indicate an above median population growth for the area, with an expected increase of 1,286 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 13.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Humpty Doo according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Humpty Doo has seen approximately 38 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 192 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 19 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.9 new residents arrived per new home yearly between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this figure has increased to 6.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing demand and tightening supply. New properties are constructed at an average cost of $209,000, below the regional average, offering more affordable housing options for buyers.

This year alone, $4.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, showing limited focus on commercial development compared to residential. In comparison to Greater Darwin, Humpty Doo has slightly more development activity, with 20.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. Recent development has been exclusively detached houses, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The current estimated population per dwelling approval is 462 people. By 2041, Humpty Doo is projected to gain 1,250 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Humpty Doo has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major undertakings, and planning initiatives. As per AreaSearch, zero projects have been pinpointed that could potentially impact this area. Notable ventures comprise Darwin Renewable Energy Hub, Darwin Light Rail Stage 1, Hudson Creek Power Station, and Darwin Corporate Park, with the following list outlining those likely to be most pertinent.

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Employment conditions in Humpty Doo demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Humpty Doo has a balanced workforce with representation across white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include construction, public administration & safety, and health care & social assistance.

As of September 2025, employment stands at 5,612 residents, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, indicating a growth of 2.2% over the past year. This rate is 0.9% lower than Greater Darwin's 3.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Construction employment is notably high at 1.8 times the regional average, while health care & social assistance is under-represented at 8.4%, compared to Greater Darwin's 14.2%.

Employment increased by 2.2% over the year to September 2025, with labour force growth also at 2.2%, maintaining a stable unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Darwin recorded employment and labour force growth of 1.9% each, with a marginal rise in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NT employment contracted by 1.13%, with an unemployment rate of 4.4%. National forecasts project total employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Humpty Doo's current employment mix suggests local employment growth could be around 5.7% over five years and 12.0% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The median taxpayer income in Humpty Doo SA2 was $65,824 and the average was $75,640 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. This is notably higher than Greater Darwin's median income of $65,522 and average income of $75,260. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $73,729 (median) and $84,724 (average). The 2021 Census shows Humpty Doo's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 88th and 91st percentiles nationally. Income analysis indicates that 31.8% of individuals earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 band, consistent with regional trends at 36.7%. Notably, 42.0% of residents earn above $3,000 per week, suggesting strong economic capacity in the suburb. High housing costs consume 15.1% of income, but robust earnings place disposable income at the 91st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Humpty Doo is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Humpty Doo's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.9% houses and 2.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Darwin metro's 92.6% houses and 7.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Humpty Doo stood at 24.3%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (60.9%) or rented (14.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,347, surpassing Darwin metro's average of $2,250. The median weekly rent in Humpty Doo was $400, compared to Darwin metro's $380. Nationally, Humpty Doo's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Humpty Doo features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.7% of all households, including 40.8% couples with children, 29.2% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.3%, comprising 16.0% lone person households and 3.4% group households of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.8.

Educational outcomes in Humpty Doo fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 15.3%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 31.3%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.7%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 50.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 11.1% and certificates make up 38.9%. Educational participation is high at 31.9%, including 13.1% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.1% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 24 active stops in Humpty Doo offering bus services. These stops are served by 46 routes, carrying 3,393 weekly passengers. Residents' accessibility is limited, with an average distance of 2238 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 484 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 141 weekly trips per stop.

Humpty Doo's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Humpty Doo shows excellent health outcomes with low prevalence of common conditions across all ages.

Private health cover is high at approximately 57% (~5,311 people). Asthma and arthritis are most common, affecting 6.5% and 6.3% respectively. 76.3% report no medical ailments, compared to 74.8% in Greater Darwin. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 13.3% (1,232 people). Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Humpty Doo ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Humpty Doo had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 89.1% of its population being citizens, 86.0% born in Australia, and 94.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 40.1% of Humpty Doo's population. Buddhism, however, showed an overrepresentation with 2.1%, compared to 2.2% across Greater Darwin.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (32.1%), English (28.0%), and Irish (7.7%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 5.1% in Humpty Doo versus 5.8% regionally, as was German at 4.1% (versus 4.0%) and Dutch at 1.4% (versus 1.4%).

Humpty Doo's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Humpty Doo's median age is 39 years, which is higher than the Greater Darwin average of 34 years and close to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Darwin, Humpty Doo has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (15.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the 55 to 64 age group grew from 13.7% to 15.1%, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 8.0% to 9.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 17.5% to 15.5%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 15.2% to 13.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Humpty Doo's age profile will change significantly. The 65 to 74 cohort is projected to grow by 36%, adding 312 residents to reach a total of 1,170. Meanwhile, both the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.