Little Bay

Suburb (SAL)

Greater Sydney / Eastern Suburbs - South

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Suburb (SAL) Boundary Analysis

This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.

SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.

Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.

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Sales ActivityProperty Sales Trends in Little Bay

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The median house price in Little Bay is $2.80m, with units at $1.72m. House values have moved 1.7% a year compounded over five years.

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DemographicsPopulation Growth in Little Bay

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Little Bay has an estimated 5,087 residents, up from 4,817 at the 2021 Census — a change of 270 people, or 5.6%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years. 126 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 100.0% of that increase. That puts 2,068 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.

Detail

According to AreaSearch evaluations combining ABS demographic revisions across the wider district with freshly confirmed post-Census addresses, the suburb of Little Bay has reached a population count of approximately 5,087 as of Aug 2026. This gain corresponds to 270 additional individuals (5.6%) compared to the 4,817 residents documented in the 2021 Census. AreaSearch established this figure by building upon an estimated resident population base of 5,079 from the ABS June 2025 ERP release alongside 126 validated new addresses logged post-Census. Consequently, population concentration stands at 2,067 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical level observed across AreaSearch's nationwide benchmarks.

The suburb of Little Bay has maintained sturdy long-term momentum over the preceding decade, achieving a 1.6% compound annual growth rate that outstripped the surrounding SA3 area, with overseas migration serving as the principal and virtually exclusive contributor to recent population expansion. Projections compiled by the ABS and Geoscience Australia (published in 2024 utilizing 2022 baseline figures) are incorporated by AreaSearch across SA2 boundaries, supplemented by NSW State Government SA2 modeling (issued in 2022 with a 2021 baseline) wherever federal data is absent. These combined datasets also supply the age-specific growth trajectories applied from 2032 to 2041. Over the coming years, demographic expansion across the suburb of Little Bay is slated to track slightly beneath the nationwide median for statistical zones, with collective SA2 forecasts pointing to an addition of 525 persons through to 2041, representing a cumulative 10.2% rise over the 16 years.

Frequently Asked Questions - Population

What is the latest population estimate for the suburb of Little Bay?
Total population for the suburb of Little Bay was estimated to be approximately 5,087 as at Aug 26. This is based upon an estimated resident population of 5,079 from the ABS up to June 2025.
How has the population in the suburb of Little Bay changed since 2021?
The suburb of little bay has added approximately 270 people and shown a 5.61% increase from the 4,817 people recorded at the 2021 Census period.
What is the population density in the suburb of Little Bay?
The population density in the suburb of Little Bay is estimated at 2,067 persons per square kilometer based on the latest population estimate.
How much has the population grown over the past 10 years in the suburb of Little Bay?
Over the past 10 years, the population in the suburb of Little Bay has shown a compound annual growth rate of 1.6% per annum.
What are the main drivers of population growth in the suburb of Little Bay?
Population growth in the suburb of Little Bay is driven by: Overseas migration (100.0%), Natural increase (0.0%), Interstate migration (0.0%). The primary driver is Overseas migration, contributing 100.0% of overall population gains.

Residential SupplyHousing Development & Building Approvals in Little Bay

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262 new dwellings have been approved in Little Bay over the past five years, an average of 52 a year. That is 9.0 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 45 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 18% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 24, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.

Detail

Analysis of ABS residential construction approvals by AreaSearch indicates that Little Bay has maintained an average annual volume of approximately 52 dwelling approvals. Across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), roughly 262 residential units were sanctioned, with 24 permits issued to date in FY-25. Because local building delivery generated an average of only 0.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), housing additions are tracking level with or ahead of market absorption, granting prospective purchasers extensive options and unlocking structural headroom for demographic expansion above current estimates.

Concurrently, mean construction value per new residence stands at $1,190,000, underscoring a strategic emphasis among builders on upmarket, higher-tier stock. Non-residential activity remains modest, with $845,000 in commercial development approvals recorded this financial year, reinforcing the locality's predominantly residential character. When evaluated on a per-capita basis against Greater Sydney, building activity in Little Bay is 214.0% higher, giving purchasers broader market alternatives even as construction volume has eased lately. The newly approved housing pipeline is heavily weighted toward medium-to-high density, with detached houses accounting for 18.0% and townhouses or apartments comprising 82.0%. This emphasis on higher-density housing creates accessible entry-level options while appealing to downsizers, property investors, and first-home buyers. Reflecting low-density settlement traits, the district records approximately 201 people per dwelling approval. Demographic projections suggest Little Bay is positioned to welcome 517 residents through to 2041, relative to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With development progressing at its present pace, residential building output appears well positioned to satisfy demand comfortably, creating favorable buying dynamics and potentially accommodating population gains above existing projections.

Frequently Asked Questions - Development

How many dwelling approvals have occurred in the suburb of Little Bay recently?
Dwelling approval activity in the the suburb of Little Bay area has seen 131 residential approvals over the past two financial years, based on AreaSearch's SA2 aggregation method. The suburb of Little Bay's current population of 5,087 has been supported by 52 approvals on average over recent years.
How does the suburb of Little Bay's development activity compare to the broader region?
The suburb of Little Bay has seen 0.9 approvals per 100 people in recent years, compared to 0.62 approvals in the broader region. This means that one dwelling has been approved for every 201 people in the suburb of Little Bay, compared to one for every 165 in the broader region.
Is the suburb of Little Bay keeping up with housing demand?
With the population expected to increase by 517 people by 2041, around 259 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels appear more than sufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling. This suggests that population growth may exceed trend projections in the coming years, supported by a robust housing supply.
What has been the trend in development approvals over the past five years in the suburb of Little Bay?
Looking at development activity over the past five years, the suburb of Little Bay's approval levels have been consistent with the yearly average of 52, showing stable development patterns.
How many dwellings will be needed to accommodate future population growth in the suburb of Little Bay?
The population in the suburb of Little Bay is expected to grow by 517 people by 2041, necessitating approximately 259 new dwellings. This calculation is based on the current census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling in the area.
How does recent development compare to population growth in the suburb of Little Bay?
Over the past five years, the population in the suburb of Little Bay has grown by approximately 3,165 people, while 262 residential approvals were recorded. This equates to a ratio of 12.1 people added for each new dwelling approval. This high ratio suggests strong population growth relative to housing supply, potentially indicating unmet housing demand.
Are there opportunities for residential developers in the suburb of Little Bay?
With dwelling approval activity running at an average of 52 approvals per year and a population of 5,087, the market appears to be adequately supplied relative to projected housing demand in recent years, suggesting that developers should have a longer-term approach when considering new projects. With the population expected to increase by 517 people by 2041, around 259 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels appear more than sufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling. This suggests that population growth may exceed trend projections in the coming years, supported by a robust housing supply.
Approvals Pipeline Development applications near Little Bay

Development applications around Little Bay

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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.

Project PipelineInfrastructure & Major Projects in Little Bay

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AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Little Bay. A further 71 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $35.7 billion. 13 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.

Detail

Community growth and performance are fundamentally shaped by capital works, strategic planning, and transport improvements. AreaSearch has pinpointed 7 key projects anticipated to exert a meaningful influence on the district. Prominent initiatives include Jennifer St, Little Bay, 27 Jennifer Street, Little Bay, Little Bay Beach Emergency Access Path, and Meriton Little Bay Development, with the most impactful developments outlined below.

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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure

What are some of the major infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the suburb of Little Bay?
Key infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the suburb of Little Bay include: Jennifer St, Little Bay (Construction); 27 Jennifer Street, Little Bay (Approved); Little Bay Beach Emergency Access Path (Planning); Meriton Little Bay Development (Proposed); and Kamay Ferry Wharves (Completed). These projects represent significant developments that will shape the area's future infrastructure landscape.
What types of infrastructure projects are impacting the suburb of Little Bay?
Infrastructure development impacting the suburb of Little Bay spans multiple sectors including Transport & Logistics, Residential Development, and Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal, among others.
What is the scale of infrastructure investment impacting the suburb of Little Bay?
Infrastructure investment analysis indicates substantial capital deployment exceeding $23.5 billion in projects that will impact the extended area.
How does the suburb of Little Bay's infrastructure development compare to other areas?
With an infrastructure score in the top 30%, the suburb of Little Bay demonstrates above-average development activity compared to national benchmarks.
27 Jennifer Street, Little Bay
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Approved | Est. Comp: 0

A medium-density residential development of 16 two-storey dwellings (eight detached villas and eight duplexes) with a shared basement. The project has a strong focus on ecological sustainability and architectural integration with the coastal environment.

Residential Development

Little Bay Beach Emergency Access Path
Category: Environmental & Disaster Management
Stage: Planning | Est. Comp: 0
Source / Links: Link 1   

$500,000 emergency access path project for Little Bay Beach to allow ambulance and police direct access. Includes accessible boardwalk construction and environmental protection measures.

Environmental & Disaster Management

Jennifer St, Little Bay
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 0
Source / Links: Link 1   

Three residential buildings up to four storeys, housing 75 apartments ranging from one to three bedrooms with shared basement parking for 117 vehicles. Involves preserving Eastern Suburbs Banksia Scrub vegetation.

Residential Development

Malabar Ocean Pool Accessible Amenities Building
Category: Sports & Recreation
Stage: Planning | Est. Comp: 2026
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Construction of an accessible amenities building for users of Malabar Ocean Pool and the Coastal Walkway. The scope includes unisex toilets, change cubicles, fully accessible facilities, a regraded car park, shared zones, bike racks, and landscaping designed by Sam Crawford Architects to integrate sensitively into the coastal reserve.

Sports & Recreation

Meriton Little Bay Development
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Proposed | Est. Comp: 0
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A controversial proposal from Meriton for a large-scale, high-rise residential development at Little Bay. The proposal has faced community and council opposition and is currently under consideration by the NSW Government for its 'fast-track' Rezoning Pathways Program. The proposal is for over 1,000 new dwellings in towers up to 22 storeys.

Residential Development

Kurnell Visitor Centre Reconstruction
Category: Tourism
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2026
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Rebuild of the Kurnell Visitor Centre within Kamay Botany Bay National Park. The old centre was demolished and a new facility is under construction, delivering exhibition space, education and learning areas, amenities, and park operations offices. Construction is scheduled for completion in 2026.

Tourism

Heffron Park Central Amenities Upgrade
Category: Sports & Recreation
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2026
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Reconstruction of the Heffron Park Central amenities block adjacent to the netball courts in Maroubra, funded by the NSW Government under the Level Playing Field Program in association with Randwick City Council. The upgrade aims to enhance accessibility and inclusivity for community sport, providing a safe and welcoming environment for women and girls to train and compete. Features include a large change room, female dedicated bathrooms, a DDA bathroom, 5 unisex bathrooms, a referee bathroom, a sports groups storeroom, a building plant room and a council storeroom.Design finalisation ran from August to October 2025, with construction underway from October 2025 through to mid-2026.

Sports & Recreation

Google Pacific Connect - Tabua and Honomoana Cable Landing Infrastructure
Category: Telecommunications
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2026
Source / Links: Link 1   

Major subsea cable landing infrastructure for Google's Pacific Connect Initiative, supporting the Tabua and Honomoana transpacific cables connecting Australia to the United States, Fiji, and French Polynesia. Developed through Google's Perch Infrastructure in partnership with SUBCO, this project enhances digital resilience and international connectivity for Sydney and Australia. Construction includes horizontal directional drilling and shared landing infrastructure at Maroubra Beach.

Telecommunications

Jobs & IndustryEmployment Trends in Little Bay

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2,573 residents of Little Bay are employed, from a labour force of 2,775. Unemployment sits at 7.3%, with participation at 64.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,204, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Little Bay is characterized by an accomplished workforce with extensive presence in professional disciplines, alongside an unemployment rate of 7.3% and estimated annual jobs growth of 1.3%, according to aggregated statistical area figures from AreaSearch. As of March 2026, 2,573 residents are actively employed, whereas the jobless rate stands 3.2% above the 4.1% recorded for Greater Sydney, pointing to untapped workforce capacity; furthermore, local labor force participation lags the metropolitan standard (64.7% versus 68.9% in Greater Sydney). Census returns revealed that 46.4% of working residents carried out their duties from home, though this figure was likely influenced by Covid-19 lockdown conditions.

Employment among local residents is concentrated primarily within health care & social assistance, professional & technical roles, and construction. Public administration & safety represents a distinctive local specialty, displaying a representation share 1.6 times the broader metropolitan benchmark. Conversely, retail trade remains comparatively small, engaging just 6.3% of the resident workforce in Little Bay relative to 9.3% across Greater Sydney. A comparison between the count of local working population and resident workers suggests a limited volume of jobs situated directly within the neighborhood. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated from broader statistical areas, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 1.3% alongside labour force increasing by 2.0%, resulting in unemployment rise by 0.7 percentage points. This compares to Greater Sydney, where employment grew by 1.9%, labour force expanded by 1.9%, and unemployment fell marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Mar-26 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Little Bay. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Little Bay's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Frequently Asked Questions - Employment

What is the employment situation in the suburb of Little Bay?
As of March 2026, the suburb of Little Bay has approximately 2,573 employed residents with an unemployment rate of 7.3%. The elevated unemployment rate suggests challenging labour market conditions. The area faces employment challenges compared to other regions nationally.
How does the suburb of Little Bay's unemployment rate compare to the broader region?
As of March 2026, the unemployment rate in the suburb of Little Bay stands at 7.3%, which is 3.2 percentage points above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.1%. This higher unemployment rate may indicate local labour market challenges. For comparison, the national unemployment rate is 4.2%.
What are the major employment sectors in the suburb of Little Bay?
The employment landscape in the suburb of Little Bay is dominated by several key sectors. The largest employers are health care & social assistance (13.1% of employment), professional & technical (11.4%), and construction (10.8%). Other significant employers include education & training and public administration & safety.
How has employment changed recently in the suburb of Little Bay?
Over the past year to March 2026, the suburb of Little Bay has experienced employment growth, with total employment increasing while the labour force increased. As a result, the unemployment rate has rise. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment increased and its unemployment rate dropped.
What is the workforce participation rate in the suburb of Little Bay?
The workforce participation rate in the suburb of Little Bay is 64.7%, which represents the proportion of working-age residents who are either employed or actively seeking work. This healthy participation rate reflects good employment opportunities and workforce engagement. The local rate trailing the Greater Sydney average of 68.9%, showing similar workforce dynamics to the broader region.
Which industries are over-represented in the suburb of Little Bay's employment market?
The suburb of little bay shows notable specialization in public administration & safety, which employs 9.0% of the local workforce compared to 5.7% regionally. This concentration suggests the area has developed competitive advantages in this sector. The area also shows above-average employment in 1 other sectors, contributing to a distinctive economic profile.
What are the employment growth prospects for the suburb of Little Bay?
Based on Jobs and Skills Australia projections applied to the suburb of Little Bay's industry mix, employment is expected to grow by 6.9% over the next five years and 14.0% over ten years. This exceeds the national forecast of 6.6% over five years, suggesting the area's industry composition is well-positioned for future growth. Steady growth is anticipated across multiple sectors, providing diverse employment opportunities.
How does the job market in the suburb of Little Bay compare nationally?
The suburb of little bay's employment market shows weaker performance compared to most areas nationally. This suggests the need for targeted economic development initiatives. Recent job advertisement trends show the broader employment region saw a 5.9% decline, ranking 29.0th out of 37 regions nationally.
What employment opportunities exist for skilled workers in the suburb of Little Bay?
Skilled workers will find excellent opportunities in the suburb of Little Bay, with knowledge-intensive sectors comprising 43.2% of local employment. Key sectors for skilled workers include health care & social assistance (13.1%), professional & technical (11.4%), and education & training (9.7%). With projected employment growth of 6.9% over five years, demand for skilled workers is expected to remain strong.

EarningsHousehold Income in Little Bay

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Median household income in Little Bay is $2,364 a week (about $123,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,141 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $72,390 a year against an average of $101,416. The average runs 40% above the median, a wider spread than most areas and a sign of a concentrated group of high earners. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.

Detail

Taxation records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place the suburb of Little Bay among the nation's top-earning communities. Resident taxpayers record a median income of $72,390 alongside an average income of $101,416, noticeably outperforming Greater Sydney's corresponding benchmarks of $60,817 and $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index appreciation of 10.32% since financial year 2023, contemporary income estimates reach approximately $79,861 (median) and $111,882 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census confirmed high earning power across household, family, and individual brackets, each placing between the 86th and 87th percentiles nationally.

Looking at income distributions, the largest single bracket accounts for 28.3% of workers earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,439 residents), aligning closely with the 30.9% share seen across the broader area. Strong local purchasing power is further reflected by 38.4% of earners receiving above $3,000/week. While residential outlays claim 19.0% of earnings, disposable income remains in the 81st percentile, placing the district in the 9th decile on the SEIFA income index.

Frequently Asked Questions - Income

What is the median taxable income in the suburb of Little Bay?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the suburb of Little Bay is approximately $79,861. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded a median of $72,390.
What is the average taxable income in the suburb of Little Bay?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the suburb of Little Bay is approximately $111,882. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded an average of $101,416.
How does the median taxable income in the suburb of Little Bay compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the suburb of Little Bay is approximately $79,861 compared to $67,093 in Greater Sydney. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $72,390 and $60,817 respectively.
How does the average taxable income in the suburb of Little Bay compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the suburb of Little Bay is approximately $111,882 compared to $91,569 in Greater Sydney. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $101,416 and $83,003 respectively.
What are the main income cohorts in the suburb of Little Bay according to the 2021 Census?
As per the 2021 Census, the income bracket containing the largest proportion (~28.3% / 1,439 persons) of the suburb of Little Bay's population is the $1,500 - 2,999 cohort.
How do the main income cohorts in the suburb of Little Bay compare to the region?
The largest income cohort in the suburb of Little Bay is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing about 28.3% of the population. In comparison, Greater Sydney's largest income cohort is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing 30.9% of its population, according to the 2021 Census.
What is the median household income in the suburb of Little Bay according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census data indicates that the median household income in the suburb of Little Bay is $2,364/wk.
What is the median family income in the suburb of Little Bay according to the 2021 Census?
According to the 2021 Census, the median family income in the suburb of Little Bay is $3,002/wk.
What is the median personal income in the suburb of Little Bay according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census shows that the median personal income in the suburb of Little Bay is $1,141/wk.
How does the suburb of Little Bay's income rank nationally?
As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the suburb of Little Bay's median income among taxpayers is $72,390, with an average of $101,416. This is among the top percentile nationally, and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $79,861 (median) and $111,882 (average) as of March 2026.
What is the disposable income in the suburb of Little Bay?
The estimated disposable income in the suburb of Little Bay is $8,302 per year according to AreaSearch analysis.
How does the suburb of Little Bay's disposable income compare to the region?
The suburb of little bay's disposable income is $8,302 compared to $7,412 for Greater Sydney, based on AreaSearch analysis.

Housing StockHousing & Dwellings in Little Bay

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Little Bay had 1,857 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 29% detached houses and 55% apartments. 29% are owned with a mortgage, 42% rented and 29% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $590 a week and the median mortgage repayment $3,000 a month, a total housing cost higher than 96% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 25.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 29.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.

Detail

Data from the latest Census shows that the housing stock in Little Bay consists of 29.0% separate houses and 71.0% medium-to-high density formats (encompassing semi-detached residences, flats, and other dwellings), diverging from the Sydney metro pattern of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Outright property ownership in Little Bay matched the broader metropolitan rate at 29.1%, while 29.2% of homes carried a mortgage and 41.7% were occupied by tenants. Typical housing expenses in the neighborhood exceed broader standards: the median monthly mortgage payment reached $3,000 against $2,427 across Sydney metro, and median weekly rent was $590 compared to $470 across Sydney metro.

On a national level, Little Bay's mortgage obligations sit well above the Australian average of $1,863, with rental costs substantially exceeding the countrywide benchmark of $375.

Frequently Asked Questions - Housing

What percentage of homes are owned vs rented in the suburb of Little Bay?
In the suburb of Little Bay, 29.1% of homes are owned outright, 29.2% are owned with a mortgage, and 41.7% are rented.
What percentage of dwellings in the suburb of Little Bay are houses?
According to the latest data, 29.0% of dwellings in the suburb of Little Bay are houses.
What percentage of dwellings in the suburb of Little Bay are apartments or units?
In the suburb of Little Bay, 55.4% of dwellings are apartments or units, with an additional 15.6% being semi-detached dwellings.
What is the level of outright home ownership in the suburb of Little Bay?
Outright home ownership in the suburb of Little Bay stands at 29.1%, compared to 28.7% in Greater Sydney.
What is the median monthly mortgage repayment in the suburb of Little Bay?
The median monthly mortgage repayment in the suburb of Little Bay is $3,000, compared to $2,427 in Greater Sydney.
What is the median weekly rent in the suburb of Little Bay?
The median weekly rent in the suburb of Little Bay is $590, compared to $470 in Greater Sydney.
What is the distribution of rental prices in the suburb of Little Bay?
In the suburb of Little Bay, 8.1% of rentals are $0-149/week, 12.5% are $150-349/week, 34.0% are $350-649/week, 29.7% are $650-949/week, and 15.7% are $950+/week.
What is the average monthly housing cost in the suburb of Little Bay?
The aggregate monthly housing cost in the suburb of Little Bay is $1,942, which represents the average monthly cost across all housing types.
What percentage of income do residents spend on housing in the suburb of Little Bay?
In the suburb of Little Bay, households with mortgages typically spend 29.3% of their income on mortgage repayments, while renters spend 25.0% of their income on rent.
How crowded are homes in the suburb of Little Bay?
The average persons per bedroom ratio in the suburb of Little Bay is 1.0, indicating the level of household density.
How does housing affordability in the suburb of Little Bay compare to the region?
Housing affordability in the suburb of Little Bay shows mortgage holders spending 29.3% of income on repayments (vs 27.0% regionally), while renters spend 25.0% of income on rent (vs 22.6% regionally).
What types of dwellings are most common in the suburb of Little Bay?
The dwelling mix in the suburb of Little Bay consists of 29.0% detached houses, 15.6% semi-detached dwellings, 55.4% apartments, and 0.0% other dwelling types.
What is the weighted average housing cost based on tenure mix in the suburb of Little Bay?
Considering the housing occupancy patterns, the weighted average monthly housing cost is approximately $1,941. This accounts for outright owners paying no housing costs, mortgage holders paying $3,000/month, and renters paying $2,555/month.
How affordable is housing in the suburb of Little Bay relative to local incomes?
Housing in Little Bay consumes approximately 19.0% of median household income ($10,236 monthly), indicating costs are highly affordable. The generally accepted benchmark is that housing should not exceed 30% of household income.
How do proposed developments compare to existing housing types in the suburb of Little Bay?
Recent development applications in Little Bay show attached dwellings contributing 71% of approvals compared to 71% of existing stock, while detached houses represent 29% of applications versus 29% of current dwellings. This suggests development patterns consistent with existing housing mix. This area is seeing substantial increases in dwelling density compared to most Australian locations.

HouseholdsHousehold Composition in Little Bay

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Little Bay counted 1,857 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,961 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 31% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 28% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Families constitute the clear majority of local living arrangements at 69.5%, consisting of couples with children (31.3%), couples without children (30.4%), and single parent families (6.9%). The remaining 30.5% of residences are non-family households, made up of lone person households at 28.1% and group households at 2.4%. With a median household size of 2.4 people, Little Bay averages fewer occupants per home than the Greater Sydney benchmark of 2.7.

Frequently Asked Questions - Households

How many households are in the suburb of Little Bay?
As of the 2021 Census, the suburb of Little Bay had 1,857 households. Based on population growth patterns, this has grown by approximately 5.6% to an estimated 1,961 households today.
What is the typical household size?
The median household size in the suburb of Little Bay is 2.4 people. This compares to 2.7 in Greater Sydney and reflects the area's household composition mix.
What types of households are most common?
Family households dominate at 69.5% of all households. The remaining households consist of lone person households (28.1%), group households (2.4%), and other household types (0.5%).
How are families structured in the area?
Among the 1,290 family households, 31.3% are couples with children, 30.4% are couples without children at home, and 6.9% are single parent families. This mix shapes local demand for schools, family services, and housing types.
How does the suburb of Little Bay compare to regional household patterns?
Compared to Greater Sydney, the suburb of Little Bay shows distinct household patterns. This higher proportion of single-person households drives demand for smaller dwellings and different community services.
What is the average family size?
Families in the suburb of Little Bay have an average of 1.4 children, slightly below the Greater Sydney average of 1.5. This influences local demand for child-related services and larger family homes.
What are the marriage patterns in the suburb of Little Bay?
Marriage patterns reveal 49.1% of the adult population are currently married, while 32.9% have never married. This compares to 48.3% married and 36.4% never married across Greater Sydney.
How significant are single-person households?
Single-person households represent 28.1% of all households in the suburb of Little Bay, similar to the regional average of 23.2%. This affects demand for smaller dwellings and single-person accommodation.
Are shared living arrangements common?
Group households (unrelated people sharing) account for 2.4% of households, well below the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%. This low rate suggests limited student or young professional shared accommodation.
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EducationSchools & Education in Little Bay

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42.6% of adults in Little Bay hold a university qualification, including 26.7% with a bachelor degree and 13.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 18.0% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Tertiary attainment throughout Little Bay ranks well ahead of wider trends, with 42.6% of residents aged 15+ possessing higher education qualifications compared to 30.4% across Australia, giving the area an advantageous foundation for professional and knowledge-intensive industries. Bachelor degrees represent the largest educational category at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 13.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.8%. Vocational and trade training is likewise well established, with 30.2% of residents aged 15+ possessing formal technical qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (18.0%). A substantial 27.8% of local residents are actively pursuing formal study.

This cohort includes 9.7% enrolled in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 5.2% undertaking tertiary education.

Frequently Asked Questions - Education

What percentage of people in the suburb of Little Bay have university qualifications?
42.6% of people aged 15 and over in the suburb of Little Bay have university qualifications, compared to 38.0% in the broader region.
What percentage of people in the suburb of Little Bay have no formal qualifications?
27.2% of people aged 15 and over in the suburb of Little Bay have no formal qualifications, compared to 34.2% regionally.
How does the suburb of Little Bay's education level compare to national averages?
The suburb of little bay ranks in the 99th percentile nationally for education based on AreaSearch's analysis of qualification and performance metrics.
What types of qualifications are most common in the suburb of Little Bay?
The most common qualifications in the suburb of Little Bay are: Bachelor Degree (26.7%), Certificate (18.0%), Postgraduate (13.1%).
What proportion of the suburb of Little Bay's population is currently attending educational institutions?
27.8% of the population in the suburb of Little Bay is currently engaged in formal education, with 9.7% in primary school, 6.4% in secondary school, 5.2% at university.
What is the ICSEA score for schools in the suburb of Little Bay?
The average ICSEA (Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage) score for schools in the suburb of Little Bay is 0, indicating below-average socio-educational advantage compared to the national average of 1000.

Schools Detail

AmenitiesServices & Amenities in Little Bay

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Getting AroundTransport & Commuting in Little Bay

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Public transport in Little Bay reaches 37 stops on 17 routes, timetabled for about 2,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Public transport connectivity in Little Bay comprises 37 operational transit stops accommodating local bus services. Across these access points, 17 distinct routes operate to deliver 2,266 weekly passenger trips. Commuter accessibility is notably strong, with residents living an average of 180 meters from their closest transit facility. Because the neighborhood is primarily residential, outward travel dominates daily routines, with private cars serving as the primary transport mode for 84% of commuters, alongside 5% traveling by bus. Households maintain an average vehicle ownership rate of 1.2 per dwelling. Meanwhile, 46.4% of residents worked from home according to 2021 Census records, which may reflect prevailing COVID-19 settings.

Transit schedules deliver an average of 323 daily journeys across the entire network, translating to approximately 61 weekly departures per stop.

Frequently Asked Questions - Transport

How many public transport stops are in Little Bay?
There are 37 public transport stops within the suburb of Little Bay.
How frequent are the transport services in Little Bay?
the suburb of Little Bay has 2,266 weekly trips across 17 routes, averaging 323 trips per day.
How far are residents from public transport in Little Bay?
On average, residential properties are 180 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Transport Stops Detail

HealthcareHealth Services in Little Bay

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73.6% of residents in Little Bay report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 75% of areas nationally. 4.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 66.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.

Detail

Health indicators across Little Bay demonstrate favorable outcomes across chronic illness rates and mortality metrics evaluated by AreaSearch, with younger demographics exhibiting notably minimal instances of widespread ailments, while private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high at roughly 67% of the total population (3,403 people). This proportion surpasses the Greater Sydney figure of 59.9% as well as the national standard of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions constitute the most prevalent medical issues reported locally, affecting 6.7 and 5.4% of residents, respectively, whereas 73.6% reported having no health conditions, slightly below the 74.6% recorded across Greater Sydney.

Individuals aged 65 and over make up 21.8% of the local population (1,108 people), exceeding the 15.5% share in Greater Sydney, though positioning the area lower on a nationwide scale relative to the overall population.

Frequently Asked Questions - Health

How many people in the suburb of Little Bay have private health insurance?
Around 66.9% of people in the suburb of Little Bay are covered by private health insurance, which compares to 59.9% in the broader region of Greater Sydney.
What percentage of the population requires ongoing medical assistance in the suburb of Little Bay?
In the suburb of Little Bay, 4.2% of the population is identified as requiring ongoing medical assistance. This figure is slightly different from the regional average, where 5.2% of people in Greater Sydney require similar assistance.
How prevalent is asthma in the suburb of Little Bay?
5.2% of people in the suburb of Little Bay are diagnosed with asthma. In comparison, 6.4% of the population across Greater Sydney is affected by asthma.
What percentage of people have diabetes in the suburb of Little Bay?
Diabetes affects 3.7% of the the suburb of Little Bay population, while in the surrounding region, 4.3% of people are diagnosed with diabetes.
What is the percentage of people with heart disease in the suburb of Little Bay?
4.4% of people in the suburb of Little Bay have heart disease. Across the region of Greater Sydney, 3.2% of the population is affected by heart disease.
How does the suburb of Little Bay compare to the region in terms of overall private health coverage?
In the suburb of Little Bay, 66.9% of the population are estimated to have private health insurance. Comparatively, Greater Sydney sees an estimated private health coverage rate of 59.9%.

Ancestry & LanguageCultural Diversity in Little Bay

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39.4% of Little Bay residents were born overseas and 27.4% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 78% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are English (21.6%) and Australian (16.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Cultural diversity is well established in Little Bay, where 27.4% of households speak a non-English language at home and 39.4% of inhabitants were born overseas. Christianity forms the principal religious affiliation, observed by 56.6% of residents. The neighborhood is notably distinguished by its Jewish community, which comprises 2.7% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney. Looking at ancestral background based on parents' birthplace, the primary origins reported in Little Bay are English (21.6%), Australian (16.4%), and Other (12.2%). Several other nationalities exhibit distinct overrepresentation relative to metropolitan norms, including French residents at 2.0% (versus 0.5% regionally), Polish at 1.3% (versus 0.6%), and Russian at 1.1% (versus 0.4%).

Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity

What is the level of cultural diversity in the suburb of Little Bay?
Little Bay scores quite highly on cultural diversity, with 27.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 39.4% born overseas.
What is the most common religion in the suburb of Little Bay?
The main religion in Little Bay was found to be Christianity, which makes up 56.6% of people in Little Bay. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 2.7% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.
What are the top countries of origin in the suburb of Little Bay?
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Little Bay are English, comprising 21.6% of the population, Australian, comprising 16.4% of the population, and Other, comprising 12.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: French is notably overrepresented at 2.0% of Little Bay (vs 0.5% regionally), Russian at 1.1% (vs 0.4%) and Polish at 1.3% (vs 0.6%).
How does the percentage of people born overseas compare to the regional average?
39.4% of the the suburb of Little Bay population was born overseas, compared to 40.5% regionally.
What percentage of the the suburb of Little Bay population speaks a language other than English at home?
27.4% of the population in the suburb of Little Bay speaks a language other than English at home, compared to 39.5% in the wider region.
How many people in the suburb of Little Bay identify as Australian Aboriginal?
1.9% of the the suburb of Little Bay population identifies as Australian Aboriginal, compared to 1.3% in the region.
What is the citizenship status of the population in the suburb of Little Bay?
81.2% of the the suburb of Little Bay population holds citizenship, compared to 80.8% in the wider region.

Age StructureAge Profile of Little Bay

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The median resident of Little Bay is 42. 23.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.

Detail

The demographic profile of Little Bay skews older relative to Greater Sydney overall. Based on estimates updated to August 2026, seniors and retirees (65+) account for 21.8% of the community compared to 15.5% regionally, while youth and younger cohorts (0 - 24) comprise 25.9% against a metropolitan proportion of 30.4%. The median age is estimated at 42, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 5 years higher than the Greater Sydney median of 37 at that time. Since the Census, the share of children and young adults has risen from 24.7% to an estimated 25.9%.

By 2041, the senior and retiree demographic is forecast to drive the bulk of local expansion, increasing by 495 residents (45%) to reach 1,604, whereas younger to middle-aged adults and younger cohorts are projected to experience contraction.

Frequently Asked Questions - Age

What is the median age in the suburb of Little Bay?
AreaSearch estimates the median age in the suburb of Little Bay at 42 years as at August 2026. That is in line with the 2021 Census figure of 42 years, on an age profile AreaSearch re-estimates for population change recorded since the Census.
How does the suburb of Little Bay's median age compare to broader areas?
At an estimated 42 years as at August 2026, Little Bay is 5 years older than the Greater Sydney 2021 Census average (37 years) and 4 years older than the national Census average (38 years).
What age groups are over-represented in the suburb of Little Bay?
On AreaSearch estimates updated to August 2026, the most over-represented age group in the suburb of Little Bay compared to the Greater Sydney region is the 75 - 84 group, making up 8.1% of the population.
What age groups are under-represented in the suburb of Little Bay?
On AreaSearch estimates updated to August 2026, the most under-represented age group in the suburb of Little Bay compared to the Greater Sydney region is the 25 - 34 group, making up 13.1% of the population.
Are there age groups with notable population variances?
Yes, certain age groups in the suburb of Little Bay show significant variance compared to the Greater Sydney region. The most over-represented age groups are 85+ year-olds (3.3% vs 2.1%) and 75-84 year-olds (8.1% vs 5.3%).
What is the percentage of children (0-14 years) in the suburb of Little Bay?
AreaSearch estimates children aged 0-14 years at 15.4% of the population in the suburb of Little Bay as at August 2026.
What is the percentage of older people (65+ years) in the suburb of Little Bay?
AreaSearch estimates people aged 65 and over at 21.8% of the population in the suburb of Little Bay as at August 2026.

Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Little Bay

Data currency Refreshed

8 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.

Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.

The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section

Section Source & update cycle Currency
Updated within the last 12 months 8 sections
Population ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline.
Age profile ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate.
Development & approvals ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline
Property sales & rents Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures
Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026.
Employment ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census.
Education ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Transport ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Services & amenities Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures
Annual and financial-year sources 3 sections
Infrastructure projects Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily Jul 2025 about a year ago all 4 projects tracked here
Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2025.
Income ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail.
Health ABS, ATO Annual 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current.
Housing ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures
Households ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures
Cultural diversity ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures

"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.

How the numbers are built

Population

The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 126 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (4,817 at the 2021 Census → 5,087 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.

Age profile

Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".

Property sales

Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.

Rents

Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.

Development & infrastructure

Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.

Employment & income

Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.

Education, transport & amenities

School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.

Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.

Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.

Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12358). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.

Common questions about this page

How do Little Bay suburb boundaries differ from Statistical Areas?
This page uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries (suburb-style geography). SAL represents commonly-known suburb names used in addresses, while Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census/statistical reporting. Even when sharing the same name, SAL and SA2 boundaries often cover different geographic areas with different populations.
Where does the data on this Little Bay page come from?
AreaSearch compiles this page from official and industry sources — including ABS, Geoscience Australia, Valuer General, Provider directories, DEWR, JSA, State Transport Departments and ACARA — then aggregates them to the boundary shown and calculates the rankings, growth rates and benchmarks itself. Property sales come from the state valuation authority, rents from state rental bond lodgements, development applications from council and state planning portals, school data from ACARA, and public transport from state transport departments.
Is the Little Bay data on this page just from the 2021 Census?
No. Most of this page is maintained well beyond the Census. Sourced entirely from current releases: development & approvals (Aug 2026), property sales & rents (Aug 2026), infrastructure projects (Jul 2025) and services & amenities (Jul 2026). Built on a Census baseline but carrying newer measures on top: population (to Aug 2026), age profile (to Aug 2026), employment (to Mar 2026), income (to FY 2023), education (to Aug 2026), transport (to Jul 2026) and health (to 2024). Population and age cohorts in particular are re-based to the latest ABS Estimated Resident Population rather than left at 2021 counts. Only housing, households and cultural diversity remain wholly Census-based, because no more current small-area dataset exists for those measures.

Nearby Areas