Maroubra - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Maroubra - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Maroubra - South's population is approximately 11,593 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 509 people from the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 11,084. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,546 in June 2024 and an additional 201 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 5,627 persons per square kilometer, placing Maroubra - South among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Maroubra - South has exhibited steady growth with a compound annual growth rate of 0.1%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 78.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Maroubra - South is projected to increase by approximately 1,235 persons, reflecting a total increase of 10.2% over the 17-year period, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Maroubra - South recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Maroubra - South has granted approximately 32 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 160 homes. As of FY-26, 27 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.5 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this has increased to 4.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $488,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY-26, $3.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Maroubra - South maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. This is below national averages, indicating the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Building activity shows 12.0% standalone homes and 88.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living for affordability and suitability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Maroubra - South has a population density of around 316 people per approval.

By 2041, the area is forecasted to gain approximately 1,188 residents (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though increased competition among buyers is expected as the population grows.

Maroubra - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified twelve projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include Google Pacific Connect - Tabua and Honomoana Cable Landing Infrastructure, Yorktown Parade and Fitzgerald Avenue Affordable Housing Redevelopment, 181-191 Maroubra Road Development, and South Maroubra Coastal Walkway Extension. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Maroubra - South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Maroubra - South has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 9.8%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.9% over the past year. There are 5,899 residents currently employed, and the unemployment rate is 5.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Maroubra - South is lower at 67.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A significant number of residents work from home, with 48.4% doing so according to Census responses. The key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, the concentration in education & training is high at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, retail trade is under-represented with only 6.3% of Maroubra - South's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 9.3%. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, while labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment remained essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% with a labour force growth of 2.4% and an increase in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Maroubra - South's employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Maroubra - South SA2's median income among taxpayers is $60,508, with an average of $94,674. This places it among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $65,869 (median) and $103,062 (average). Census data reveals personal income ranks at the 75th percentile ($968 weekly), while household income sits at the 58th percentile. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 25.5% of the community (2,956 individuals). This pattern is similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this range. The district demonstrates considerable affluence with 31.8% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 22.1% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 51st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Maroubra - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Maroubra - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 20.1% houses and 79.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maroubra - South was at 23.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 22.6% and rented ones at 53.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Maroubra - South was $490, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Maroubra - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Maroubra - South features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.2% of all households, including 25.9% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.8%, with lone person households at 32.9% and group households making up 4.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Maroubra - South exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Maroubra - South, residents aged 15+ have a higher educational attainment than national and state averages. Specifically, 44.2% of residents possess university qualifications, compared to the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. This high level of education is largely composed of bachelor degrees (28.0%), postgraduate qualifications (13.4%), and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Additionally, vocational credentials are prevalent among residents, with 26.1% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (15.0%).

Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 30.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes students pursuing primary (9.3%), secondary (6.9%), and tertiary (6.4%) education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 84 active transport stops operating within Maroubra - South. These stops are serviced by 34 individual routes, collectively providing 6,332 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 94 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 76%, with 10% by bus and 5% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 0.8 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 48.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 904 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 75 weekly trips per individual stop.

Maroubra - South's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Maroubra - South. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low, particularly among younger cohorts. Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 69% of the total population (7,964 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were mental health issues impacting 7.6% of residents and arthritis affecting 7.1%. A total of 72.4% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. The area had 18.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,097 people), higher than the 15.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were above average but ranked lower nationally than the broader population.

Maroubra - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Maroubra-South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.5% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 41.5% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Maroubra-South, making up 52.2% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 3.8% versus 0.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.6%), Australian (16.8%), and Other (15.1%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: French is overrepresented at 2.4%, Russian at 1.4%, and Spanish at 1.1% compared to regional percentages of 0.5%, 0.4%, and 0.6% respectively.

Maroubra - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Maroubra - South has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 years and Australia's figure of 38 years. The 35-44 cohort is notably over-represented in Maroubra - South at 16.4%, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 11.3%. Between 2021 and the present, the percentage of the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 9.1% to 11.3%, while the percentage of those aged 25 to 34 has declined from 15.8% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Maroubra - South's age profile will evolve significantly. The 65-74 age cohort is projected to expand by 260 people (26%) from 1,015 to 1,276. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 53% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.