Maroubra - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Maroubra - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Maroubra - South's population is approximately 11,612 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 528 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 11,084. The growth is inferred from an estimated resident population of 11,546 in June 2024 and 201 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 5,636 persons per square kilometer, placing Maroubra - South among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Maroubra - South has exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.1%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.3% to overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Maroubra - South is projected to grow by approximately 1,235 persons, reflecting an increase of 10.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Maroubra - South recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Maroubra - South has granted around 32 residential properties approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling 160 homes. As of FY-26, 22 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.5 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this increased to 4.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $488,000, targeting the premium market segment.

In FY-26, $3.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Maroubra - South maintains similar construction rates per person to Greater Sydney, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. This is below average nationally, indicating maturity and possible planning constraints. Building activity shows 12.0% standalone homes and 88.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living for affordability and suitability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Maroubra - South has a density of around 316 people per approval.

By 2041, the area is forecasted to gain 1,169 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though heightened competition may arise as population grows.

Maroubra - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones are Google Pacific Connect - Tabua and Honomoana Cable Landing Infrastructure, Yorktown Parade and Fitzgerald Avenue Affordable Housing Redevelopment, 181-191 Maroubra Road Development, South Maroubra Coastal Walkway Extension. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Maroubra - South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Maroubra - South has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 9.8% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.9%. In September 2025, there were 5,899 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.6%, above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Education & training has notably high concentration, at 1.3 times the regional average. Retail trade is under-represented, with only 6.3% of Maroubra - South's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 9.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, labour force by 2.8%, with unemployment essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Maroubra - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.4% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Maroubra - South SA2's median income among taxpayers is $57,337. The average income in this area is $93,693. This places Maroubra - South among the highest income areas in Australia. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $56,994 with an average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Maroubra - South would be approximately $64,567 (median) and $105,508 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates personal income ranks at the 75th percentile ($968 weekly), while household income sits at the 58th percentile. The earnings profile shows that 25.5% of individuals in Maroubra - South earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,961 individuals). This pattern is similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this income range. The area demonstrates affluence with 31.8% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 22.1% of income in Maroubra - South. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 51st percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Maroubra - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Maroubra - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 20.1% houses and 79.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 26.9% houses and 73.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maroubra - South was at 23.9%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (22.6%) or rented (53.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $3,033. The median weekly rent figure stood at $490, compared to Sydney metro's $550. Nationally, Maroubra - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Maroubra - South features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.2% of all households, including 25.9% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 37.8%, with lone person households at 32.9% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Maroubra - South exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Maroubra South exceeds national and state averages. As of 2021, 44.2% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 15.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest census data. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 64 active stops operating in Maroubra - South. These are mixed bus routes totalling 33 individual services providing 5,472 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 94 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 781 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 85 weekly trips per stop.

Maroubra - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows that Maroubra - South residents have relatively positive health outcomes, with a standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (7,919 people), compared to 70.6% across Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 7.6 and 7.1% of residents respectively, while 72.4% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 76.0% across Greater Sydney.

As of 2021, the area has 18.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,100 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Maroubra - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Maroubra-South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.5% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 41.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Maroubra-South, comprising 52.2% of people. Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 3.8% of Maroubra-South's population versus 0.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.6%), Australian (16.8%), and Other (15.1%). French (2.4%) and Russian (1.4%) are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Spanish is slightly overrepresented at 1.1%.

Maroubra - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Maroubra - South has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 years and marginally higher than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 35-44 age cohort is notably over-represented in Maroubra - South at 16.4%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 11.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 9.1% to 11.3% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 age cohort has declined from 15.8% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Maroubra - South's age profile will evolve significantly. The 65-74 age cohort is projected to expand by 258 people (25%), from 1,017 to 1,276. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 54% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.