Maroubra - South
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Maroubra - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Maroubra - South's population was around 11,612 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This reflected an increase of 528 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,084 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,546 in June 2024 and an additional 201 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 5,636 persons per square kilometer, placing Maroubra - South in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in June 2024, Maroubra - South had demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.1%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 78.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, Maroubra - South is expected to grow by approximately 1,235 persons by 2041, with an increase of around 10.1% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Maroubra - South recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Maroubra - South recorded approximately 32 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years ending FY-25, totalling 160 homes. As of FY-26, around 20 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.5 people moved to the area per dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this figure increased to 4.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $488,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end dwellings.

In FY-26, $3.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Maroubra - South maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. This rate is below average nationally, indicating maturity and possible planning constraints. Building activity shows 12.0% standalone homes and 88.0% townhouses or apartments, focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Maroubra - South reflects a low density area with around 316 people per approval.

Population forecasts indicate the area will gain approximately 1,169 residents by 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, but buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Maroubra - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified thirteen projects likely affecting the area. Notable ones include Google Pacific Connect - Tabua and Honomoana Cable Landing Infrastructure, Yorktown Parade and Fitzgerald Avenue Affordable Housing Redevelopment, Royale Randwick Terraces, and Adela 138 Maroubra Road. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Maroubra - South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Maroubra - South has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 9.2% as of June 2021.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.3%. By June 2025, 6,083 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 5.0%, above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with notable concentration in education & training at 1.3 times the regional average.

Retail trade is under-represented, with only 6.3% of Maroubra - South's workforce compared to 9.3% in Greater Sydney. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population versus resident population count. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force increased by 2.4%, resulting in a unemployment fall of 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Maroubra - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.2% over five years and 14.4% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Maroubra - South's median income among taxpayers is $57,337, with an average of $93,693. This places it in the top percentile nationally compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $64,567 (median) and $105,508 (average). Census data shows personal income ranks at the 76th percentile ($968 weekly), while household income is at the 59th percentile. The earnings profile reveals that 25.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999 per week (2,961 individuals). This is similar to surrounding regions where 30.9% occupy this range. Notably, 31.8% earn over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Despite high housing costs consuming 22.1% of income, disposable income ranks at the 51st percentile, with the area's SEIFA income ranking placing it in the 8th decile.

Maroubra - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Maroubra - South, as per the latest Census, 20.1% of dwellings were houses while 79.9% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan areas where 26.9% were houses and 73.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maroubra - South stood at 23.9%, with mortgaged properties at 22.6% and rented ones at 53.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, lower than Sydney's average of $3,033. Median weekly rent in Maroubra - South was $490 compared to Sydney's $550. Nationally, Maroubra - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Maroubra - South features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.2% of all households, including 25.9% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 37.8%, with lone person households at 32.9% and group households comprising 4.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Maroubra - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Maroubra - South has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above. Specifically, 44.2% hold university qualifications, which is higher than the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. This indicates a significant educational advantage for the area, positioning it well for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.1% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (15.0%). Educational participation is high in the area, with 30.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. The five schools in Maroubra - South have a combined enrollment of 1,518 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1056. Education provision is balanced, with three primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups. Note that where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Maroubra - South has 64 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 33 different routes that together facilitate 5,472 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 94 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 781 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Maroubra - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Maroubra - South residents have relatively positive health outcomes, with common conditions seen across both young and old age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (7919 people), compared to 70.6% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 7.6% of residents, followed by arthritis at 7.1%, with 72.4% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 76.0% in Greater Sydney.

Residents aged 65 and over comprise 18.1% (2100 people) of the population, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Maroubra - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Maroubra-South has a high cultural diversity, with 32.5% speaking a language other than English at home and 41.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Maroubra-South, comprising 52.2%. Judaism is overrepresented at 3.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.6%), Australian (16.8%), and Other (15.1%). Notably, French (2.4% vs regional 1.5%), Russian (1.4% vs 1.1%), and Polish (1.4% vs 1.1%) are overrepresented.

Maroubra - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Maroubra - South has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. The 35-44 age cohort is notably over-represented in Maroubra - South at 16.4%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 11.3%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of the population aged 15-24 has increased from 9.1% to 11.3%, while the percentage of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 15.8% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Maroubra - South's age profile will significantly evolve. The 65-74 age cohort is projected to expand by 258 people (25%), from 1,017 to 1,276. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 54% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.