Maroubra - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Maroubra - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Maroubra - South's population is approximately 11,697 as of May 2026. This marks an increase of 613 people, a 5.5% rise from the 2021 Census figure of 11,084. This growth is inferred from ABS data: an estimated resident population of 11,637 in June 2025 and 212 new addresses validated since the Census date. The population density is around 5,650 persons per square kilometer, placing Maroubra - South in the top 10% nationally. Over the past decade, it has shown steady growth with a compound annual growth rate of 0.2%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration drove this growth, contributing approximately 81.8% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 (base year: 2021) are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Maroubra - South is projected to increase by 1,131 persons, reflecting a total increase of 9.2% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Maroubra - South recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Maroubra - South has recorded approximately 32 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 160 homes. As of FY-26, 39 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.5 people per year moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, this has intensified to 4.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $488,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This year, $3.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Maroubra - South maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. However, this is below average nationally, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints. Building activity shows 12.0% standalone homes and 88.0% townhouses or apartments, focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Maroubra - South reflects a low density area with around 316 people per approval.

Population forecasts indicate the area will gain approximately 1,071 residents by 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though heightened competition may be experienced as the population grows.

Maroubra - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

AreaSearch has identified twelve projects that could impact the area significantly due to their potential influence on local infrastructure. These include Google Pacific Connect's Tabua and Honomoana Cable Landing Infrastructure project, the Yorktown Parade and Fitzgerald Avenue Affordable Housing Redevelopment, the development at 181-191 Maroubra Road, and the South Maroubra Coastal Walkway Extension. The following list highlights those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Maroubra - South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Maroubra - South has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 9.3% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.3%.

In December 2025, 5,960 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.1%, above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high proportion, 48.4% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

The area had a notable concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Retail trade was under-represented, with only 6.3% of Maroubra - South's workforce compared to 9.3% in Greater Sydney. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, while labour force also grew by 3.3%. Unemployment remained essentially unchanged during this period. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Maroubra - South. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Maroubra - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Maroubra - South SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $60,508 and an average of $94,674. This is among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $66,752 (median) and $104,444 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals personal income ranks at the 75th percentile ($968 weekly), with household income at the 58th percentile. The earnings profile shows 25.5% of individuals earning between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,982 individuals). This is similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this range. Maroubra - South SA2 demonstrates affluence with 31.8% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 22.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 51st percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Maroubra - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Maroubra - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 20.1% houses and 79.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maroubra - South was at 23.9%, with the rest either mortgaged (22.6%) or rented (53.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Maroubra - South was $490, slightly higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Maroubra - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,000 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Maroubra - South features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.2% of all households, including 25.9% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 37.8%, with lone person households at 32.9% and group households comprising 4.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Maroubra - South exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Maroubra - South, residents aged 15+ have a higher educational attainment than national averages. As of the latest data point in 20XX, 44.2% hold university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 26.1% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.1% while certificates make up 15.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.4% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Maroubra - South indicates that there are 84 active transport stops currently operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 34 individual routes providing service to the region. The collective weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 6,332. The accessibility of public transport in this primarily residential area is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing approximately 94 meters from their nearest transport stop. In terms of commuting patterns, car remains the dominant mode of transportation for residents, used by 76% of them. This is followed by bus at 10%, and walking at 5%.

The average vehicle ownership per dwelling in Maroubra - South is 0.8, which is lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents, specifically 48.4%, work from home, which may be reflective of COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 904 trips per day, equating to approximately 75 weekly trips per individual stop.

Maroubra - South's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Maroubra - South. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be low, particularly among younger cohorts. Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 69% of the total population (8035 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions in the area were mental health issues (7.6%) and arthritis (7.1%). A majority, 72.4%, declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2135 people), higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were above average but ranked lower nationally than the broader population.

Maroubra - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Maroubra-South has high cultural diversity with 32.5% speaking a language other than English at home, and 41.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 52.2%. Judaism is overrepresented at 3.8%, compared to 0.8% in Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.6%), Australian (16.8%), and Other (15.1%). French (2.4%) Russian (1.4%), and Spanish (1.1%) are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5%, 0.4%, and 0.6% respectively.

Maroubra - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Maroubra - South has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 85+ cohort is notably over-represented in Maroubra - South at 3.2%, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 11.2%. Between 2021 and present day, the proportion of 15 to 24-year-olds has increased from 9.1% to 11.2%, whereas the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 13.2% to 12.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Maroubra - South's age profile. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 66%, from 371 to 618 people. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 56% of total population growth. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.