Maroubra - South
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Maroubra - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Maroubra - South's population is 11,580 as of August 2025. This is an increase of 496 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,084. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 11,546 in June 2024 and an additional 187 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 5,621 persons per square kilometer, placing Maroubra - South in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Maroubra - South has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.1%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, Maroubra - South is expected to grow by 1,235 persons, representing an increase of 10.4% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Maroubra - South recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Maroubra - South has received approximately 33 residential property approvals per year. Development approval data is provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, totalling 167 approvals from FY20 to FY25, with 5 approvals recorded in FY26 so far. Over the past five financial years (FY20-FY25), an average of 1.5 people moved into the area per dwelling built. However, recent data indicates this has increased to 4.9 people per dwelling over the last two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $686,000, slightly above the regional average.

This year, $3.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Maroubra - South has recorded a 13.0% higher construction rate per person over the past five years, balancing buyer choice while supporting current property values, but this is below the national average, reflecting the area's maturity and potential planning constraints. Building activity consists of 12.0% standalone homes and 88.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting affordability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Maroubra - South has a population density of approximately 316 people per approval. By 2041, the area is projected to gain 1,201 residents.

Current building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, although increased competition among buyers can be expected as the population grows.

Maroubra - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly impact local performance. AreaSearch identified 12 projects potentially influencing the area. Notable ones are Google Pacific Connect - Tabua and Honomoana Cable Landing Infrastructure, Yorktown Parade and Fitzgerald Avenue Affordable Housing Redevelopment, Royale Randwick Terraces, and Adela 138 Maroubra Road. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment drivers in Maroubra - South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Maroubra - South has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 9.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3% over the past year.

In June 2025, 6,083 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 5.0% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Maroubra - South is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with notable concentration in the latter at 1.3 times the regional average. Retail trade, however, is under-represented at 6.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 9.3%.

Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, labour force grew by 2.4%, and unemployment fell by 0.8 percentage points in Maroubra - South. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. As of Sep-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 indicate growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Maroubra - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.2% over five years and 14.4% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Maroubra - South's median income among taxpayers is $57,337. The average income in the area was $93,693 during this period. Nationally, these figures place Maroubra - South in the top percentile. In comparison, Greater Sydney had a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856 in the same year. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Maroubra - South would be approximately $63,415 (median) and $103,624 (average) as of March 2025. According to census data, personal income in the area ranks at the 76th percentile ($968 weekly), while household income sits at the 59th percentile. The earnings profile shows that 25.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,952 individuals). This is consistent with the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this earnings range. Maroubra - South demonstrates considerable affluence, with 31.8% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 22.1% of income in the area. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 51st percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Maroubra - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Maroubra - South dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 20.1% houses and 79.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 26.9% houses and 73.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maroubra - South was at 23.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 22.6% and rented ones at 53.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $3,033. Median weekly rent in Maroubra - South was $490, compared to Sydney metro's $550. Nationally, Maroubra - South's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents stood at $375.

Maroubra - South features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.2% of all households, including 25.9% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.8%, with lone person households at 32.9% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Maroubra - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Maroubra - South is notably high, with 44.2% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data. This compares to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% statewide in NSW. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15 years and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (15.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.3% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. As of the latest enrollment figures, Maroubra - South's five schools have a combined total of 1,518 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1056. Education provision is balanced, with three primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Maroubra - South shows that there are currently 64 active transport stops operating. These stops service a mix of bus routes, totalling 33 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 5,472 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 94 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 781 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Maroubra - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive outcomes for Maroubra - South residents, with standard levels of common health conditions seen across both young and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 68% (7,897 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 70.6%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 7.6% and 7.1% of residents respectively. 72.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 76.0%. The area has 18.1% (2,094 people) of residents aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Maroubra - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Maroubra-South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.5% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 41.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Maroubra-South, comprising 52.2% of people. Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 3.8% of Maroubra-South's population versus 0.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.6%), Australian (16.8%), and Other (15.1%). French, Russian, and Polish ethnicities are notably overrepresented in Maroubra-South compared to regional averages: French at 2.4% vs 1.5%, Russian at 1.4% vs 1.1%, and Polish at 1.4% vs 1.1%.

Maroubra - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Maroubra - South has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, individuals aged 35-44 make up 16.4% of Maroubra - South's population, indicating an over-representation of this cohort. Conversely, those aged 15-24 are under-represented at 11.3%. Between 2021 and present day, the proportion of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 9.1% to 11.3%, while the percentage of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 15.8% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Maroubra - South's age profile. The number of individuals aged 65-74 is expected to increase by 261 people (26%), from 1,014 to 1,276. Notably, the combined population aged 65 and above will contribute to 53% of total population growth in the area. Conversely, populations aged 0-4 and 35-44 are projected to decline.