Randwick - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Randwick - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Randwick - South's population is approximately 13,575 as of February 2026. This figure indicates an increase of 840 people, a 6.6% rise from the 2021 Census which reported 12,735 residents. The growth is inferred from ABS' June 2024 estimated resident population of 13,545 and 204 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 4,028 persons per square kilometer, placing Randwick - South in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in February 2026, the area has exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.1%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 87.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year for covered areas, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year for uncovered areas. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project above median growth, with Randwick - South expected to grow by 2,899 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 21.1% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Randwick - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Randwick - South averaged approximately 43 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 219 homes. As of FY-26153 approvals have been recorded. On average, between FY-21 and FY-25, 0.2 new residents arrived per new home built. New construction has been matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options while enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $495,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, there have been $420.2 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Randwick - South has slightly more development, at 28.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, balancing buyer choice with support for current property values. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods and is under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 2.0% detached houses and 98.0% attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

With around 1257 people per approval, Randwick - South is a mature, established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 2,869 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Randwick - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Newmarket Randwick, Randwick High School Co-educational Facility Upgrade, Heffron Netball Courts Shade Structure, and Randwick Cultural and Community Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Randwick - South well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Randwick - South has a highly educated workforce with a notable technology sector representation. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%. Over the past year, it had an estimated employment growth of 4.2%.

As of September 2025, 8789 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.5%, which is 0.7% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Randwick - South is 77.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 54.0% of residents work from home. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

The area has a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Manufacturing has limited presence with 2.2% employment compared to the regional average of 5.7%. There are 1.1 workers for every resident, indicating that the area functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.2% while labour force increased by 3.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, the labour force grow by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia for May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Randwick - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 15.0% over ten years, though these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Randwick - South SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $71,101 and an average of $110,274. These figures place it in the top percentile nationally, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $77,401 (median) and $120,044 (average). Census data reveals household, family, and personal incomes in Randwick - South rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 93rd percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 29.6% of residents (4,018 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. The area demonstrates considerable affluence with 41.8% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 84th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Randwick - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Randwick - South, as per the latest Census, 16.9% of dwellings were houses while 83.1% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan area's dwelling structure which was 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Randwick - South stood at 23.5%, lower than the Sydney metro average, with mortgaged dwellings at 22.6% and rented ones at 53.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Randwick - South was $3,160, higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Randwick - South was $575, compared to $470 in Sydney metro. Nationally, Randwick - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,160 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Randwick - South features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 61.0% of all households, including 24.3% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 7.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 39.0%, with lone person households at 30.0% and group households comprising 9.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Randwick - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Randwick - South significantly surpasses broader benchmarks: 55.8% of residents aged 15+ hold university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 35.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational pathways account for 19.8% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.2% and certificates at 10.6%. Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.5% in tertiary, 6.7% in primary, and 5.8% pursuing secondary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in tertiary education, 6.7% in primary education, and 5.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Randwick - South indicates that there are 86 active transport stops currently operating. These include a mix of light rail and bus services. A total of 76 individual routes serve these stops, collectively facilitating 12,150 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located an average of 109 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. The dominant mode of transportation remains cars at 50%, followed by walking at 20% and bus travel at 13%.

The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 0.6, which is below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high percentage of residents, specifically 54.0%, work from home, which may reflect conditions related to COVID-19. The service frequency averages 1,735 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 141 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Randwick - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Randwick - South shows better-than-average health outcomes, as evaluated by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups have low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at about 75% of the total population (10,221 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (6.5%) and asthma (6.2%). About 77.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. As of 13th March 2021, 13.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,835 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, ranking higher nationally than those of the general population.

Randwick - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Randwick-South has notable cultural diversity, with 24.2% speaking a language other than English at home and 45.0% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion, comprising 47.1%. Judaism is overrepresented at 3.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

Top ancestry groups are English (22.9%), Australian (15.5%), and Irish (13.6%), significantly higher than regional averages. French (1.4%) Hungarian (0.6%) and Spanish (1.0%) ethnicities show notable overrepresentation compared to regional figures.

Randwick - South's population is younger than the national pattern

Randwick - South's median age is 35 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38 years. The 25-34 age group makes up 22.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 5-14 cohort stands at 7.6%. This concentration in the 25-34 age group is higher than the national average of 14.4%. From 2021 onwards, the 15-24 age group has grown from 13.3% to 16.8%, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 12.4% to 10.7% and the 25-34 group has decreased from 23.4% to 22.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Randwick - South. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to increase by 553 people (an 18% rise) from 3,006 to 3,560. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort grows by a modest 10%, adding 68 people.