Randwick - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Randwick - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Randwick - South's population is approximately 13,699 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 964 people from the 2021 Census total of 12,735, indicating a growth rate of 7.6%. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 13,672 in June 2025 and an additional 203 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 4,065 persons per square kilometer, placing Randwick - South among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate surpassed both the state (7.1%) and SA4 region levels since the 2021 Census, indicating strong growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 91.6% of overall population gains during recent periods in Randwick - South.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas covered by this data. For other SA2 areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are employed. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth, with Randwick - South expected to grow by 2,689 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 19.4% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Randwick - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Randwick - South has averaged approximately 43 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 219 homes. As of FY-26157 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.2 new residents per year have arrived with each new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This pace suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

The average construction value of these properties is $495,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY-26, commercial approvals have reached $420.2 million, reflecting high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney's averages over the past five years, Randwick - South has seen 28.0% more development per person. However, recent periods show a moderation in development activity, which is below the national average, suggesting an established area with potential planning limitations. New building activity in Randwick - South comprises 2.0% detached houses and 98.0% attached dwellings, favouring compact living that offers affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

The area has approximately 1257 people per approval, indicating a mature, established population. By 2041, Randwick - South is projected to grow by 2,662 residents, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with this population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Randwick - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in its local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects that could potentially impact the area. Notable projects include Newmarket Randwick, Randwick High School Co-educational Facility Upgrade, Heffron Netball Courts Shade Structure, and Randwick Cultural and Community Centre. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Randwick - South well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Randwick - South has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 3.2%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.6%.

As of December 2025, 8,859 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.0% below Greater Sydney's rate and a workforce participation rate of 76.3%, higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 54.0% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area has a notable concentration in professional & technical jobs, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Manufacturing has limited presence, with only 2.2% employment compared to the regional average of 5.7%. There are 1.1 workers for every resident, indicating that the area functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 4.6%, while labour force grew by 3.3%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2% and unemployment marginally increase. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Randwick - South's employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 15.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The latest postcode level ATO data from AreaSearch for financial year 2023 shows Randwick - South SA2 had a median income of $71,101 and an average income of $110,274 among taxpayers. These figures place the area in the top percentile nationally. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income was $60,817 with an average of $83,030 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 would be approximately $78,439 (median) and $121,654 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Randwick - South rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 93rd percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 29.6% of residents (4,054 people) fall into the $1,500-$2,999 weekly income bracket, reflecting patterns seen in surrounding regions where 30.9% occupy this range. The area exhibits considerable affluence with 41.8% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 84th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Randwick - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Randwick - South, as per the latest Census evaluation, 16.9% of dwellings were houses while 83.1% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This differs from Sydney metropolitan area's dwelling composition which was 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Randwick - South stood at 23.5%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 22.6% and rented dwellings making up 53.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,160, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Randwick - South was $575 compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Randwick - South's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Randwick - South features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.0% of all households, consisting of 24.3% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 7.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 39.0%, with lone person households at 30.0% and group households comprising 9.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Randwick - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Randwick - South is notably high, with 55.8% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications as of the latest data point. This compares to national figures of 30.4% for Australia and 32.2% for New South Wales. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 35.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational pathways account for 19.8% of qualifications among residents aged 15 years and over, with advanced diplomas making up 9.2% and certificates 10.6%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest figures available. This includes 12.5% in tertiary education, 6.7% in primary education, and 5.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Randwick - South shows that there are 86 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a mix of light rail and bus services, with 76 individual routes collectively providing 12,150 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these transport stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically located approximately 109 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The dominant mode of transport for these residents is the car at 50%, followed by walking at 20% and bus travel at 13%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling in this area is 0.6, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high percentage of residents, specifically 54.0%, work from home. This figure may reflect the conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic. The service frequency averages approximately 1,735 trips per day across all routes, equating to around 141 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Randwick - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Randwick - South demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 75% of the total population (10,315 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues impacting 6.5% of residents and asthma impacting 6.2%. A total of 77.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,776 people), which is lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than those of the general population.

Randwick - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Randwick-South has notable cultural diversity, with 24.2% speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016 Census data. Born overseas, 45.0% of the population were recorded in this area. Christianity is the predominant religion at 47.1%.

Judaism shows significant overrepresentation at 3.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%. For ancestry, English is highest at 22.9%, followed by Australian at 15.5% and Irish at 13.6%, all higher than regional averages. French, Hungarian, and Spanish ethnic groups are notably overrepresented in Randwick-South compared to regional figures: French at 1.4% vs 0.5%, Hungarian at 0.6% vs 0.3%, and Spanish at 1.0% vs 0.6%.

Randwick - South's population is younger than the national pattern

At 34 years, Randwick - South's median age is somewhat lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, and it is considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Randwick - South has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (23.5%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (7.4%). This 25-34 concentration is well above the national average of 14.6%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 13.3% to 17.1%, while the population aged 45 to 54 has declined from 12.4% to 10.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Randwick - South. The 25 to 34 age group shows the strongest projected growth at 17%, adding 544 residents to reach a total of 3,758. Conversely, the 0 to 4 age group shows minimal growth of just 9% (57 people).