Randwick - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Randwick - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Randwick - South's population is around 13,575 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 840 people (6.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,735 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,545 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 204 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 4,028 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought resource. Over the past decade, Randwick - South has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 0.1% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 87.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth of Australian statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 2,899 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 21.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Randwick - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Randwick - South has averaged around 43 new dwelling approvals each year, totalling 219 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26155 approvals have been recorded. At an average of just 0.2 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $495,000, revealing that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. There have also been $420.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Randwick - South has slightly more development (28.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), balancing buyer choice with support for current property values, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. This activity is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 2.0% detached houses and 98.0% attached dwellings. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. At around 1257 people per approval, Randwick - South shows a mature, established area.

Looking ahead, Randwick - South is expected to grow by 2,869 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Randwick - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 38 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Newmarket Randwick, Randwick High School Co-educational Facility Upgrade, Heffron Netball Courts Shade Structure, and Randwick Cultural and Community Centre, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Randwick - South well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Randwick - South features a highly educated workforce, with the technology sector a particular standout in terms of representation, an unemployment rate of only 3.2%, and 4.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 8,859 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (77.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 54.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Meanwhile, manufacturing has a limited presence with 2.2% employment compared to 5.7% regionally. With 1.1 workers for every resident, as at the Census, the area functions as an employment hub, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.6% while the labour force increased by 3.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney, where employment rose by 2.2%, the labour force grew by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Randwick - South. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Randwick - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 15.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Randwick - South SA2's median income among taxpayers is $71,101, with an average of $110,274. This is among the top percentile nationally, and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $77,401 (median) and $120,044 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Randwick - South, between the 89th and 93rd percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 29.6% of residents (4,018 people), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. The area demonstrates considerable affluence with 41.8% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 84th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Randwick - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Randwick - South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 16.9% houses and 83.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Randwick - South lagged that of Sydney metro, at 23.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (22.6%) or rented (53.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $3,160, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $575, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Randwick - South's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Randwick - South features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 61.0% of all households, comprising 24.3% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 7.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 39.0%, with lone person households at 30.0% and group households comprising 9.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.3 people is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Randwick - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Randwick - South significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 55.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 35.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational pathways account for 19.8% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (9.2%) and certificates (10.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in tertiary education, 6.7% in primary education, and 5.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 86 active transport stops operating within Randwick - South, comprising a mix of light rail and buses. These stops are serviced by 76 individual routes, collectively providing 12,150 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 109 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 50%, with 20% walking and 13% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 0.6 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 54.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,735 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 141 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Randwick - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Randwick - South demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts see low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 75% of the total population (10,221 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 6.5% and 6.2% of residents, respectively, while 77.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,835 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than those of the general population.

Randwick - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Randwick - South scores highly on cultural diversity, with 24.2% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 45.0% born overseas. The main religion in Randwick - South is Christianity, which makes up 47.1% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 3.8% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Randwick - South are English, comprising 22.9% of the population, Australian, comprising 15.5% of the population, and Irish, comprising 13.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 6.1%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: French is notably overrepresented at 1.4% of Randwick - South (vs 0.5% regionally), Hungarian at 0.6% (vs 0.3%) and Spanish at 1.0% (vs 0.6%).

Randwick - South's population is younger than the national pattern

Randwick - South's median age of 35 years stands slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 as well as somewhat younger than the 38-year national average. The 25 - 34 age group shows strong representation at 22.1% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 5 - 14 cohort is less prevalent at 7.6%. This 25 - 34 concentration is well above the national 14.4%. In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.3% to 16.8% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.4% to 10.7% and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 23.4% to 22.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Randwick - South. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to increase solidly, expanding by 553 people (18%) from 3,006 to 3,560. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort grows by a modest 10% (68 people).