Randwick - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Randwick - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Randwick - South's population was approximately 13,554 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 819 people, a 6.4% rise from the 2021 Census total of 12,735. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 13,545 in June 2024 and an additional 183 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 4,022 persons per square kilometer, placing Randwick - South in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Randwick - South exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.1%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 87.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for Australian statistical areas, with Randwick - South expected to grow by 2,899 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 21.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Randwick - South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Randwick - South averaged approximately 43 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 219 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 153 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 0.2 new residents per year arrived per new home due to new construction. This rate matches or exceeds demand, providing more buying options and supporting population growth that may exceed current expectations.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $495,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $420.2 million, reflecting high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Randwick - South has slightly more development, 28.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This balances buyer choice with support for current property values, though recent development activity has moderated. The area's development activity is also below the national average, suggesting its established nature and potential planning limitations.

New building activity comprises 2.0% detached houses and 98.0% attached dwellings, favouring compact living to offer affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. With around 1257 people per approval, Randwick - South shows a mature, established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Randwick - South is expected to grow by 2,890 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Randwick - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Randwick Health & Innovation Precinct, Newmarket Randwick, Randwick High School Co-educational Facility Upgrade, and Heffron Netball Courts Shade Structure. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Randwick - South well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Randwick - South has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.5% as of September 2025, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%. As of September 2025, 8,789 residents were in work, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% lower than Greater Sydney's. Workforce participation was higher at 67.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Professional & technical employment is particularly notable, with levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Manufacturing has limited presence, with only 2.2% of residents employed in this sector compared to 5.7% regionally. The area functions as an employment hub with 1.1 workers per resident, attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while the labour force grew by 3.0%, leading to a 1.1 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points over the same period. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Randwick - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 15.0% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Randwick - South SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $69,884 and an average of $113,357. Nationally, these figures place the area in the top percentile. Compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856, Randwick - South SA2's incomes are higher. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $78,696 (median) and $127,651 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes rank highly in Randwick - South SA2, between the 89th and 93rd percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 29.6% of residents (4,011 people), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. The area demonstrates considerable affluence with 41.8% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 84th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Randwick - South features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Randwick - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 16.9% houses and 83.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 26.9% houses and 73.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Randwick - South was at 23.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 22.6% and rented ones at 53.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,160, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,033. Median weekly rent in Randwick - South was $575, compared to Sydney metro's $550. Nationally, Randwick - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Randwick - South features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 61.0% of all households, including 24.3% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 7.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 39.0%, with lone person households at 30.0% and group households comprising 9.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Randwick - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Randwick - South is notably high, with 55.8% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university qualifications as of 2021 data. This figure surpasses the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 35.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 17.0% and graduate diplomas at 3.4%. Vocational pathways account for 19.8% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.2% and certificates at 10.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest data. This includes 12.5% in tertiary education, 6.7% in primary education, and 5.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Randwick - South area has 73 operational public transport stops offering a blend of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 76 unique routes that collectively facilitate 10,063 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these transport options is deemed excellent, with residents on average situated 113 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 1,437 daily trips across all routes, translating to approximately 137 weekly trips per individual stop.

Randwick - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Randwick - South, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 78% of the total population (10,504 people), compared to 70.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 6.5 and 6.2% of residents respectively.

77.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 76.0% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,787 people), lower than the 15.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Randwick - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Randwick-South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 24.2% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 45.0% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Randwick-South, comprising 47.1% of the population. Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 3.8% of Randwick-South's population versus 4.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (22.9%), Australian (15.5%), and Irish (13.6%). Notably, French (1.4%) is slightly overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.5%, Hungarian remains steady at 0.6% as per regional figures, and Spanish shows a slight increase from 0.9% regionally to 1.0%.

Randwick - South's population is younger than the national pattern

At 34 years, Randwick-South's median age is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, and considerably younger than Australia's average age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Randwick-South has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (22.5%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (7.7%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 has grown from 13.3% to 16.8%, while the proportion of those aged 45 to 54 has declined from 12.4% to 10.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Randwick-South. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 17%, adding 507 residents to reach a total of 3,560. In contrast, the 0-4 age group shows minimal growth of just 10%, with an increase of 66 people.