Bronte

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bronte reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of May 2026, Bronte's population is estimated at around 7,463. This reflects an increase of 297 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,166 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,458, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional six validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 5,611 persons per square kilometer, placing Bronte in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bronte has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate lower quartile growth is anticipated, with the suburb expected to increase by 315 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.2% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bronte according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bronte has averaged approximately six new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 33 homes. In FY26 so far, seven approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.3 people per year move to Bronte for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating significant demand exceeding new supply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $1,490,000, targeting the premium market segment.

This financial year has seen $3.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting Bronte's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bronte shows reduced construction activity, with 69.0% fewer approvals per person, typically strengthening demand and prices for existing properties. Recent construction comprises 33.0% detached dwellings and 67.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living and affordability for various buyer types. Bronte has around 1057 people per approval, indicating a mature, established area. By 2041, Bronte is projected to grow by 310 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Looking ahead, Bronte is expected to grow by 310 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bronte has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 14 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Bronte Collection, Miramar Bronte, Pacific Ave, Tamarama, and Tamarama Park and Beach Plan of Management. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Bronte places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Bronte has an educated workforce with the technology sector well-represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.8%, with estimated employment growth of 3.2% in the past year (AreaSearch). As of December 2025, Bronte's unemployment rate is 2.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is high at 78.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A significant portion, 64.1%, work from home (Census). Key industries include professional & technical services, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance. Bronte has a notable concentration in professional & technical services (1.8 times the regional average), but is under-represented in health care & social assistance (10.9% vs Greater Sydney's 14.1%).

Employment opportunities locally may be limited. In the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.2%, and labour force by 3.1%, with unemployment unchanged. This contrasts with Greater Sydney where employment rose by 2.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bronte's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.6% in five years and 14.9% in ten years (simple weighting extrapolation).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2023 for the financial year ending 30 June 2023, the suburb of Bronte has a median income among taxpayers of $82,124 and an average income of $168,031. This places Bronte in the top percentile nationally when compared to other suburbs across Australia. In contrast, Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 with an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% from financial year ending 30 June 2023 to March 2026, current estimates would be approximately $90,599 for the median income and $185,372 for the average income in Bronte as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census data, incomes in Bronte rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes all falling between the 98th and 99th percentiles. The distribution shows that 44.5% of the population (3,321 individuals) have incomes within the $4000+ range, which differs from regional levels where the dominant income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999 with 30.9%. A significant majority, 55.9%, earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating prosperity and robust local economic activity. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings result in disposable income at the 98th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it within the 10th decile.

Bronte features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Bronte, as per the latest Census, consisted of 30.8% houses and 69.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bronte was at 32.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.8% and rented dwellings at 39.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bronte was $3,975, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Bronte was recorded at $675, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bronte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bronte features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.0% of all households, including 33.1% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 33.0%, with lone person households at 25.4% and group households making up 7.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bronte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bronte has a higher level of educational attainment than the broader area, with 59.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This is compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in New South Wales (NSW). The most common qualification held is Bachelor degrees at 39.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 16.7%, and graduate diplomas at 3.2%. Vocational pathways account for 19.9% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 10.1% and certificates 9.8%.

Educational participation is high in Bronte, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bronte has 36 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes that together facilitate 3,120 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 110 meters from the nearest stop. Most Bronte residents commute outward due to its primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation at 68%, followed by trains at 10% and walking at 9%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.0, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, specifically 64.1%, work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 445 trips per day, equating to approximately 86 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bronte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bronte's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 93% of Bronte's total population (6,937 people) have private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.4% and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 77.5% of Bronte's residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. In Bronte, 14.0% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,044 people), lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors in Bronte are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bronte was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bronte's population showed cultural diversity, with 14.1% speaking a language other than English at home and 32.0% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 42.5%. Judaism was overrepresented, comprising 3.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (27.6%), Australian (19.8%), and Irish (11.2%). French, Hungarian, and Russian ethnicities were notably higher in Bronte than regionally.

Bronte's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Bronte's median age stands at 38 years, closely matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 and aligning with Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bronte has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (13.5%) but fewer individuals aged 65-74 (6.5%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 9.9% to 12.0%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 15.0% to 13.5%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 13.3% to 12.2%. By 2041, Bronte's age composition is expected to shift significantly. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 101%, reaching 451 people from 223. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 79% of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are anticipated for the 55-64 and 0-4 age cohorts.