Bronte

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bronte reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Bronte's population is estimated at around 7,472 people. This reflects an increase of 306 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,166. AreaSearch validated this estimate using ABS ERP data from June 2024 and additional new addresses confirmed since the Census date. The suburb's population density is approximately 5,618 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bronte has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.3%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration drove population growth, contributing approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the national median, with Bronte expected to grow by 380 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 5.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bronte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Bronte has averaged approximately six new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated thirty homes. As of FY26, two approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25 has resulted in 2.7 new residents per year.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $1,490,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bronte's building activity is 72.0% lower per person. New development consists of 33.0% detached dwellings and 67.0% medium and high-density housing. The area has approximately 1649 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Bronte is expected to grow by 385 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and price growth.

Looking ahead, Bronte is expected to grow by 385 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Bronte has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely affecting this region. Notable initiatives include Bronte Collection, Miramar Bronte, Pacific Ave, Tamarama, and Tamarama Park and Beach Plan of Management. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Bronte performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Bronte has a highly educated workforce, with the technology sector particularly well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.0%.

As of June 2025, Bronte's unemployment rate is 2.4% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and its workforce participation is 68.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading industries include professional & technical services (1.8 times the regional level), finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance (10.9% vs regional 14.1%). Employment opportunities locally appear limited, with Census working population lower than resident population. In the 12 months to June 2025, Bronte's employment increased by 3.0%, labour force by 2.8%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points.

Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years (Sep-22) and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bronte's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.6% over five years and 14.9% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Bronte's median income among taxpayers was $82,124 with an average of $168,031. This places it in the top percentile nationally compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $92,480 (median) and $189,220 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks Bronte's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 98th and 99th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows that the largest segment comprises 44.5% earning $4000+ weekly (3,325 residents), unlike surrounding regions where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. This suburb demonstrates considerable affluence with 55.9% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 98th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bronte features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bronte's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 30.8% houses and 69.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 18.3% houses and 81.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bronte was at 32.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.8% and rented ones at 39.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bronte was $3,975, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,600. Median weekly rent in Bronte was $675, compared to Sydney metro's $670. Nationally, Bronte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bronte features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.0% of all households, including 33.1% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 33.0%, with lone person households at 25.4% and group households comprising 7.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.3.

Bronte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bronte's educational attainment is notably high, with 59.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, surpassing Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 39.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational pathways account for 19.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 9.8%. Educational participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.6% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 7.0% in tertiary education.

Bronte Public School and Clovelly Public School serve a total of 769 students and demonstrate high educational performance (ICSEA: 1163), placing them among the most advantaged nationally. Both schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. There are 10.3 school places per 100 residents in Bronte, lower than the regional average of 15.8, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bronte has 30 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 6 different routes that combined offer 1,558 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as excellent; residents typically live within 110 meters of their nearest stop.

On average, there are 222 trips per day across all routes, which works out to about 51 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bronte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Bronte's health outcomes data shows excellent results, with younger cohorts experiencing very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 93% of Bronte's total population (6,945 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 89.7%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.4% and 5.5% of residents respectively. 77.5% of Bronte residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 77.6%. As of 2021, 14.1% of Bronte residents are aged 65 and over (1,053 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 16.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Bronte require particular attention.

Bronte was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bronte's population showed high cultural diversity, with 14.1% speaking a language other than English at home and 32.0% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 42.5%. Judaism, however, was underrepresented at 3.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 16.0%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (27.6%), Australian (19.8%), and Irish (11.2%). French ancestry was overrepresented in Bronte at 1.7% versus the regional figure of 1.5%, while Hungarian stood at 0.8% compared to 1.2%, and Russian at 0.8% against a regional average of 1.6%.

Bronte's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Bronte's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 25-34 age group comprises 17.4%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 65-74 cohort stands at 6.6%. Between 2021 and present, Bronte's 15-24 age group grew from 9.9% to 12.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group decreased from 15.0% to 13.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bronte's age structure. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 111%, reaching 472 people from a previous count of 224. Those aged 65 and above are expected to contribute to 82% of the population growth, while the 0-4 and 55-64 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.