Bronte

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bronte reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Bronte's population is estimated at around 7,445 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 279 people (3.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,166 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,436 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 3 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 5,597 persons per square kilometer, placing Bronte (SA2) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bronte demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with Bronte (SA2) expected to increase by 378 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 5.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bronte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Bronte has averaged approximately 6 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25. This totals an estimated 31 homes. In FY-26, so far, 3 approvals have been recorded. Each year, around 2.6 new residents are gained per dwelling built on average.

The average construction value of these dwellings is $1,490,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. This financial year has seen $3.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting Bronte's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bronte shows significantly reduced construction levels, 71.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Bronte is also under the national average, indicating its established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 29.0% detached dwellings and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting higher-density living which can create more affordable entry points for various buyers.

With around 1349 people per approval, Bronte is a mature, established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Bronte is expected to grow by approximately 410 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bronte has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of a region can greatly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 14 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Bronte Collection, Miramar Bronte, Pacific Ave, Tamarama, and Tamarama Park and Beach Plan of Management. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Bronte places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Bronte has an educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 2.0%, with estimated employment growth of 3.2% over the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, Bronte's employment stands at 4,802 residents with a 2.2% lower unemployment rate than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is higher at 68.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include professional & technical (1.8 times the regional average), finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance (10.9% of Bronte's workforce). Employment opportunities appear limited locally, with Census data showing fewer working residents than expected based on population.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.2%, labour force grew by 3.2%, and unemployment remained stable in Bronte, contrasting with Greater Sydney's growth rates of 2.1% (employment), 2.4% (labour force), and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Bronte's employment could increase by 7.6% in five years and 14.9% in ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Bronte's median income among taxpayers is $82,124 with an average of $168,031. This places it in the top percentile nationally, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,030. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $89,400 (median) and $182,919 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census shows household, family and personal incomes in Bronte rank highly, between the 98th and 99th percentiles nationally. Distribution data indicates 44.5% of the population fall within the $4000+ income range, differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 30.9%. Notably, 55.9% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 98th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bronte features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bronte's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 30.8% houses and 69.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 18.3% houses and 81.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bronte stood at 32.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.8% and rented ones at 39.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,975, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,600. Median weekly rent in Bronte was $675, compared to Sydney metro's $670. Nationally, Bronte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,975 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bronte features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 67.0% of all households, including 33.1% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 33.0%, with lone person households at 25.4% and group households comprising 7.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.3.

Bronte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bronte's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 59.2% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 39.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational pathways account for 19.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 9.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.2% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.6%), secondary education (8.4%), and tertiary education (7.0%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bronte has 36 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by six different routes that together facilitate 3,120 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated excellent, with residents typically residing just 110 meters from the nearest stop.

The average service frequency across all routes is 445 trips per day, which translates to approximately 86 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bronte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Bronte's health outcomes data shows excellent results, notably for younger cohorts with low prevalence of common health conditions. The private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 93% of Bronte's total population (6,920 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 88.6%. Nationally, the average stands at 55.7%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in Bronte, affecting 6.4% and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 77.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 77.6%. Bronte has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.0% (1,042 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 16.4%. Notably, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bronte was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bronte's population shows high cultural diversity, with 14.1% speaking a language other than English at home and 32.0% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bronte, comprising 42.5% of its population. However, Judaism is underrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up only 3.9%.

The top three ancestral groups are English (27.6%), Australian (19.8%), and Irish (11.2%). Notably, French ancestry is overrepresented in Bronte at 1.7% compared to the regional average of 1.5%, as are Hungarian (0.8% vs 1.2%) and Russian (0.8% vs 1.6%) ancestries.

Bronte's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Bronte's median age is 37 years, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 25-34 is strongly represented at 17.4%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent in Bronte at 6.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 9.9% to 12.2% of Bronte's population, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 15.0% to 13.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bronte's age structure. Notably, the 85+ group is projected to grow by 111%, reaching 472 people from a base of 223. This growth will contribute significantly to the overall increase in those aged 65 and above, who are expected to comprise 81% of Bronte's population growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 55 to 64 age groups are projected to experience population declines.