Bronte

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bronte reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Bronte is around 7,457, reflecting a 4.1% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 7,166. This estimation is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, indicating a resident population of 7,436 with an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 5,606 persons per square kilometer, placing Bronte in the top 10% nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Over the past decade, Bronte has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.3%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projections for Bronte are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year are utilised. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to Bronte for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is projected to increase by 383 persons, reflecting a total gain of 4.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bronte, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Bronte has averaged approximately 6 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 33 homes. So far in FY2026, 3 approvals have been recorded. Between FY21 and FY25, an average of 2.5 people moved to Bronte per year for each new home constructed, indicating solid demand supporting property values. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $1,490,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY2026, there have been $3.1 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating Bronte's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bronte records significantly lower building activity, 69.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. Building activity is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. In terms of dwelling types, 33.0% are standalone homes while 67.0% are attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. Bronte has approximately 1060 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Bronte is projected to add 362 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bronte has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Bronte Collection, Miramar Bronte, Pacific Ave, Tamarama, and Tamarama Park and Beach Plan of Management. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Bronte places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Bronte has an educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 1.8%, and it experienced a 3.4% employment growth over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of December 2025, Bronte's unemployment rate is 2.3% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Bronte is higher at 79.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 64.1% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment are professional & technical services (1.8 times the regional level), finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance (10.9% of Bronte's workforce). Employment levels increased by 3.4% and labour force grew by a similar percentage in Bronte during the year to December 2025.

Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific projections suggesting Bronte's employment could increase by 7.6% over five years and 14.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Bronte has a median taxpayer income of $82,124 and an average income of $168,031 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is notably higher than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median income being $60,817 and average income at $83,030. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since the financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $89,400 (median) and $182,919 (average). According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Bronte rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes all between the 98th and 99th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the $4,000+ bracket dominates with 44.5% of residents (3,318 people), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Bronte demonstrates significant affluence with 55.9% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, however strong earnings still place disposable income at the 98th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bronte features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bronte, as per the latest Census evaluation, dwelling structures consisted of 30.8% houses and 69.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bronte was at 32.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.8% and rented ones at 39.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,975, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Bronte was recorded at $675, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bronte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bronte features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.0% of all households, including 33.1% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.0%, with lone person households at 25.4% and group households comprising 7.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bronte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bronte's educational attainment exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 59.2% possess university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. The area's highest qualification is the Bachelor degree at 39.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational pathways account for 19.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 9.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bronte has 36 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by six different routes that facilitate 3,120 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically living within 110 meters of the nearest stop. In this predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 68%, followed by trains at 10% and walking at 9%. On average, there is one vehicle per dwelling, which is lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, specifically 64.1%, work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 445 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 86 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bronte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bronte's health outcomes show excellent results according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 93% of Bronte's total population (6,932 people) have private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.4 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 77.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Bronte has 14.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,058 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, ranking broadly in line with the general population nationally.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bronte was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bronte's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 14.1% speaking a language other than English at home and 32.0% born overseas. The predominant religion in Bronte is Christianity, comprising 42.5% of its population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 3.9% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 0.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English at 27.6%, Australian at 19.8%, and Irish at 11.2%. These percentages are substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 19.0%, 45.3%, and 6.1%. Additionally, certain ethnic groups show notable divergences: French is overrepresented at 1.7% compared to the regional average of 0.5%, Hungarian at 0.8% (regional average 0.3%), and Russian at 0.8% (regional average 0.4%).

Bronte's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Bronte was close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years at the time of reporting, and it was equivalent to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bronte had a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (13.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (6.5%). Between the 2021 Census and the time of reporting, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 increased from 9.9% to 12.4%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 decreased from 15.0% to 13.4%. By the year 2041, Bronte's age composition was projected to undergo notable shifts. The number of residents aged 85 and above was expected to grow by 103%, reaching 470 people from a previous count of 231. This growth was part of an overall demographic shift where those aged 65 and above were projected to comprise 79% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines were projected for residents aged 0-4 and 5-14 years old.