Eastgardens

Population growth drivers in Eastgardens are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of the Eastgardens statistical area (Lv2) was estimated to be around 5,543 as of November 2025, based on analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch. This figure reflects an increase of 1,457 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,086 in the area. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,382 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 368 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 10,659 persons per square kilometer, placing Eastgardens in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 35.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the SA3 area (7.1%) and the state average during this period. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains in Eastgardens, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, for areas covered by this data. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate lower quartile growth for national statistical areas, with the Eastgardens (SA2) expected to increase by 178 persons to reach a total of 5,721 by 2041, reflecting an overall decrease of 18.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Eastgardens among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Eastgardens experienced around 351 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 1,756 homes. As of FY-26, seven approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 0.4 people moved to the area per dwelling built annually. New construction matches or outpaces demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $588,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, there have been $10.6 million in commercial approvals, showing steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Eastgardens records 877.0% more new home approvals per person, creating greater choice for buyers and indicating robust developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises 2.0% detached houses and 98.0% medium and high-density housing, creating affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The location has approximately 11 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Eastgardens may see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Eastgardens should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Eastgardens has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified three projects likely impacting the area. Key projects are Heffron Park Central Amenities Upgrade, Meriton Pagewood Green, Westfield Eastgardens Redevelopment, and Bayside Council Local Community & Infrastructure Projects. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Eastgardens has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Eastgardens has an educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 6.5%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, there are 2,350 residents employed, with the unemployment rate at 2.3% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Eastgardens is high at 65.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Construction shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, while manufacturing has limited presence at 2.7% compared to the regional rate of 5.7%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work, indicating local employment opportunities may not fully meet demand. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Eastgardens' labour force decreased by 1.9%, with employment declining by 2.0%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% during the same period. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts for May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Eastgardens' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Eastgardens had a median income among taxpayers of $73,547 and an average income of $108,352. This places Eastgardens in the top percentile nationally, compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes for Eastgardens would be approximately $80,063 (median) and $117,952 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Eastgardens rank between the 80th and 86th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 37.1% of residents (2,056 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 weekly income bracket, reflecting metropolitan patterns where 30.9% occupy this range. A substantial proportion of high earners (32.7%) have incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in Eastgardens. High housing costs consume 24.6% of income, but strong earnings result in disposable income at the 65th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Eastgardens features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Eastgardens' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 15.4% houses and 84.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's composition of 26.0% houses and 74.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Eastgardens was at 15.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.6% and rented ones at 60.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,760, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,600. The median weekly rent figure for Eastgardens was $650, higher than Sydney metro's $550. Nationally, Eastgardens' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Eastgardens features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.8% of all households, including 28.1% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.2%, with lone person households at 23.0% and group households comprising 9.1%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Eastgardens demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Eastgardens has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above. Specifically, 48.6% hold university qualifications, which is significantly higher than the broader national figure of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. This indicates a substantial educational advantage for the area, positioning it favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Among these university-qualified residents, bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 30.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent in Eastgardens, with 26.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications. This includes advanced diplomas held by 12.2% of residents and certificates held by 13.8%. Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 35.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes tertiary education (13.0%), primary education (7.5%), and secondary education (4.8%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Eastgardens has 16 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 37 different routes that together facilitate 5,147 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located just 149 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 735 trips per day, which equates to approximately 321 weekly trips per individual stop.

Eastgardens's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Eastgardens shows excellent health outcomes across all ages, with very low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 70% (3,858 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 58.1%. Nationally, it stands at 55.7%.

The most prevalent conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 4.9% and 4.0% respectively. 84.5% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 78.7%. Eastgardens has 8.2% (454 people) aged 65+, lower than Greater Sydney's 12.6%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Eastgardens is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Eastgardens has a population where 50.8% speak a language other than English at home, with 59.1% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, making up 48.9%. Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 2.6% versus 1.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (20.1%, higher than the regional average of 13.7%), Other (18.8%), and English (13.4%). Spanish (1.6% vs 1.2%) and Russian (1.2% vs 0.9%) are also overrepresented, while Hungarian remains at 0.4%.

Eastgardens hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Eastgardens has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Eastgardens has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (31.2%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.5%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. Between 2021 and 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Eastgardens' age profile will change notably. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 53 people (37%) from 144 to 198. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 93% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 5-14 age cohorts.