Kingsford (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsford reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Kingsford (NSW) statistical area (Lv2) is around 16,419. This represents an increase of 2,927 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,492. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 16,245 in June 2024 and the validation of 76 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 8,250 persons per square kilometer, placing Kingsford (NSW) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 21.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded both its SA4 region (7.2%) and the state level, indicating a significant population increase. Overseas migration contributed approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in Kingsford (NSW).

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former data. These projections indicate an above median population growth for Kingsford (NSW) until 2041, with an expected increase of 3,243 persons and an overall increase of 18.7% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsford according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Kingsford has seen approximately 21 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, around 107 homes were approved, with an additional 18 approved so far in FY-26. On average, for every home built over these five years, there are approximately 6.6 new residents.

This indicates that supply is lagging behind demand, likely leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost value of new homes is around $979,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, approximately $13.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Comparatively, Kingsford has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person relative to Greater Sydney. Nationally, it ranks among the 11th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting more limited housing choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes.

This lower ranking reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. The current building activity shows 29.0% detached dwellings and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a trend towards denser development that appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. The location has approximately 1380 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Kingsford is expected to grow by 3,074 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kingsford has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 36 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are Mixed Use Development Kingsford, Bundock Street Housing Redevelopment Project, 87-91 Middle Street Boarding House, and 273 Anzac Parade Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Kingsford remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Kingsford's workforce is highly educated, notably in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 4.2% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.2% over the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

In September 2025, 9,585 residents were employed, aligning with Greater Sydney's 4.2% unemployment rate and similar workforce participation at 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services, with education & training being particularly concentrated at 1.6 times the regional average. Manufacturing has a limited presence in Kingsford, employing 2.6% of residents compared to the regional average of 5.7%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.2%, labour force grew by 3.6%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points in Kingsford, compared to Greater Sydney's growth rates of 2.1% for employment and 2.4% for labour force, with a 0.2 percentage point increase in unemployment. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsford's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 indicates that median income in Kingsford is $50,549, while average income stands at $77,677. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated current incomes would be approximately $55,028 (median) and $84,559 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Kingsford are at the 58th percentile nationally. Income distribution reveals that 28.5% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, similar to the region's pattern where 30.9% fall within this range. Residents allocate 20.6% of their income towards housing costs, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 53rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kingsford features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kingsford's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 35.9% houses and 64.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 26.9% houses and 73.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsford was 27.3%, similar to Sydney metro's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (20.3%) or rented (52.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kingsford was $3,000, below the Sydney metro average of $3,033. Median weekly rent was $475, compared to Sydney metro's $550. Nationally, Kingsford's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsford features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.6% of all households, including 28.2% that are couples with children, 21.0% that are couples without children, and 8.5% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 40.4%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 12.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Kingsford places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Kingsford's educational attainment is notably higher than national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 49.6% possess university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. University graduates comprise 29.6%, postgraduate qualifications account for 17.6%, and graduate diplomas make up 2.4%. Vocational pathways are held by 20.4% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 9.5% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.0% currently enrolled in formal education, including 16.2% in tertiary, 7.2% in primary, and 6.1% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsford has 58 active public transport stops. These include lightrail and bus services. There are 50 different routes operating in total.

Each week, these routes provide a combined 9,886 passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 126 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 1,412 trips across all routes. This equates to approximately 170 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsford's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kingsford shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is high at approximately 58%, or around 9,458 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.1%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 5.9% and 5.7% respectively. About 78.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 76.0% in Greater Sydney. In Kingsford, 11.5%, or 1,888 people, are aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.1%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Kingsford is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsford has high cultural diversity, with 46.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 51.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 46.7%. Judaism is overrepresented at 3.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 4.4%.

Top ancestry groups are Other (16.9%), Chinese (16.8%, higher than regional average of 7.8%), and English (14.1%, lower than regional average of 20.3%). Greek, French, and Russian groups are notably divergent in representation compared to regional averages.

Kingsford's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Kingsford's median age at 31 years is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Kingsford has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (24.1%) compared to Greater Sydney, but fewer residents aged 5-14 (7.2%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, younger residents have decreased Kingsford's median age by 2.4 years to 31. During this period, the 15-24 age group grew from 17.4% to 24.1%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 20.6% to 24.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group decreased from 9.4% to 7.2%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 11.6% to 9.5%. By 2041, Kingsford's population is forecasted to see significant demographic changes. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 712 people (17%), increasing from 4,088 to 4,801. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group is expected to grow by a modest 10%, adding 57 people.