Kingsford (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsford reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since Feb 2026, Kingsford's NSW population is estimated at around 16,444. This reflects an increase of 2,952 people (21.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,492. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 16,245 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 85 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 8,263 persons per square kilometer, placing Kingsford's NSW among the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kingsford's growth exceeded both its SA4 region (7.3%) and state levels since the 2021 Census, marking it as a growth leader in the area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year for areas not covered by this data. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering these projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Kingsford NSW, expected to grow by 3,244 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 18.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsford according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Kingsford has seen approximately 21 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 107 homes were approved, with another 19 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 6.6 new residents per year for every home built over the past five financial years.

Supply is lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $979,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $13.7 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsford has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 11th percentile nationally, offering limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. New building activity shows 29.0% detached dwellings and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a trend towards denser development appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

Kingsford has approximately 1380 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established market. By 2041, Kingsford is projected to grow by 3,045 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kingsford has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Thirty-six infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Mixed Use Development Kingsford, Bundock Street Housing Redevelopment Project, 87-91 Middle Street Boarding House, and 273 Anzac Parade Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Kingsford remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Kingsford's workforce is highly educated with notable representation in the technology sector. The unemployment rate was 4.2% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.9%.

This figure aligns with Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is similar at 70.2%. According to Census responses, 45.7% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Kingsford has a particularly high concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, manufacturing has limited presence with only 2.6% employment compared to the regional average of 5.7%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.9%, while labour force grew by 3.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2% and labour force expand by 2.3%. For future demand insights, Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can be considered. These projections suggest national employment will increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kingsford's employment mix indicates local employment should grow by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though these figures are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that median income in Kingsford is $50,549 and average income is $77,677. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,028 (median) and $84,559 (average). Census data reveals that incomes in Kingsford cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows that 28.5% of residents earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, reflecting regional patterns where 30.9% fall within this range. High housing costs consume 20.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 53rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kingsford features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Kingsford, as per the latest Census evaluation, houses constituted 35.9% of dwellings while other types such as semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings made up 64.2%. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsford stood at 27.3%, aligning with the Sydney metro average, with mortgaged dwellings at 20.3% and rented ones at 52.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney's $2,427. Weekly rent median stood at $475 compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, Kingsford's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsford features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.6% of all households, including 28.2% couples with children, 21.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 40.4%, consisting of 27.7% lone person households and 12.6% group households. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational achievement in Kingsford places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Kingsford's educational attainment exceeds broader averages. Among residents aged 15+, 49.6% possess university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. University graduates comprise 29.6%, postgraduates 17.6%, and graduate diplomas 2.4%. Vocational pathways account for 20.4% of qualifications: advanced diplomas at 9.5% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.0% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.2% in tertiary, 7.2% in primary, and 6.1% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsford has 58 active public transport stops serving a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are covered by 50 different routes, offering a total of 9,886 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents' homes to the nearest stop is 126 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility. In this predominantly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 58%, with buses at 15% and walking at 11%. On average, there are 0.7 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 1,412 trips per day, equating to approximately 170 weekly trips per stop.

Kingsford's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment shows exceptional health outcomes in Kingsford. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of the total population (~9,473 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 5.9% and 5.7% of residents respectively. 78.5% of residents declare they are completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has 11.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,891 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors align with national rankings, similar to those of the general population.

Kingsford is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsford has a high cultural diversity, with 46.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 51.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Kingsford, comprising 46.7% of people. Judaism is overrepresented in Kingsford, making up 3.7% compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (16.9%), Chinese (16.8%, substantially higher than the regional average of 8.4%), and English (14.1%). Greek (7.1%) is notably overrepresented in Kingsford compared to the regional average of 1.9%. French is also overrepresented at 1.1% versus 0.5%, and Russian at 0.8% versus 0.4%.

Kingsford's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Kingsford's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Kingsford has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (23.6%) compared to Greater Sydney but fewer residents aged 5-14 (7.1%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, younger residents have reduced Kingsford's median age by 2.3 years to 31. During this period, the 15-24 age group grew from 17.4% to 23.6%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 20.6% to 25.1%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 9.4% to 7.1%, and the 45-54 age group decreased from 11.6% to 9.5%. Population forecasts for Kingsford by 2041 suggest significant demographic changes. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 672 people (16%), increasing from 4,127 to 4,800. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group is expected to grow modestly by 8% (46 people).