Kingsford (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsford reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Kingsford's population is estimated at around 16,418. This reflects an increase of 2,926 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,492. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 16,247, following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, and an additional 76 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population density equates to approximately 8,250 persons per square kilometer, placing Kingsford among the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 21.7% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state's growth rate of 6.7% and its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 97.0% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch projects an above median population growth for Kingsford, with an expected increase of 3,243 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 18.7% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsford according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Kingsford has seen approximately 21 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 107 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 6.6 people moved to Kingsford for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $979,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end dwellings. In FY-26, there have been $151,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney and nationally, Kingsford records roughly half the building activity per person and ranks among the 11th percentile of areas assessed, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice. This supports interest in existing dwellings and reflects market maturity, potentially indicating development constraints. New building activity comprises 29.0% detached dwellings and 71.0% medium and high-density housing, appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

Kingsford has a population density of around 1380 people per dwelling approval, reflecting a highly mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kingsford is projected to gain 3,075 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kingsford has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 36 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Mixed Use Development Kingsford, Bundock Street Housing Redevelopment Project, 87-91 Middle Street Boarding House, and Randwick Health & Innovation Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kingsford has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kingsford's workforce is highly educated, with the technology sector well-represented. The unemployment rate in Kingsford was 4.1% as of June 2025, compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by an estimated 2.5% over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 9,374 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Education & training has particularly notable concentration in Kingsford, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

Conversely, manufacturing shows lower representation at 2.6% versus the regional average of 5.7%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.5%, while labour force grew by 2.4%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney, where employment rose by 2.6%, the labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsford's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Kingsford's median income among taxpayers was $50,549 and average income stood at $77,676 in financial year 2022. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average). By September 2025, estimates suggest median income would be approximately $56,923 and average income $87,472, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Kingsford cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 28.5% of Kingsford's community (4,679 individuals), consistent with broader trends showing 30.9% in the same category across the broader area. High housing costs consume 20.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 53rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kingsford features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Kingsford, as per the latest Census, consisted of 35.9% houses and 64.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 26.9% houses and 73.1% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Kingsford was 27.3%, similar to Sydney metro. Mortgaged dwellings constituted 20.3%, while rented dwellings made up 52.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $3,033. The median weekly rent in Kingsford was $475, compared to Sydney metro's $550. Nationally, Kingsford's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsford features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 59.6 percent of all households, including 28.2 percent couples with children, 21.0 percent couples without children, and 8.5 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 40.4 percent, with lone person households at 27.7 percent and group households comprising 12.6 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Kingsford places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Kingsford is notably higher than national and state averages. Specifically, 49.6% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 29.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.4% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 9.5% and certificates 10.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.2% in tertiary education, 7.2% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education. St Spyridon College, Junior School Campus, located within Kingsford, had no students enrolled as of the reported date. The single school in Kingsford focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. There are no schools located within Kingsford for residents to attend, requiring them to travel to neighboring areas for educational services. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus details.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsford has 48 active public transport stops, operating a mix of lightrail and buses. These stops are served by 50 individual routes, collectively providing 9,174 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 126 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 1,310 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 191 weekly trips per stop.

Kingsford's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kingsford shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 58% (~9,458 people) have private health cover, compared to 70.6% across Greater Sydney.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 5.9% and 5.7% respectively. About 78.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 76.0% in Greater Sydney. Kingsford has 11.5% (1,888 people) aged 65 and over, lower than the 15.1% in Greater Sydney. Seniors' health outcomes align with those of the general population.

Kingsford is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsford has a high level of cultural diversity, with 46.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 51.5% born overseas. The predominant religion in Kingsford is Christianity, comprising 46.7% of the population. However, Judaism is overrepresented in Kingsford compared to Greater Sydney, making up 3.7% versus 4.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in Kingsford are Other at 16.9%, Chinese at 16.8%, which is significantly higher than the regional average of 7.8%, and English at 14.1%, notably lower than the regional average of 20.3%. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Greek is overrepresented at 7.1% versus 4.0% regionally, French at 1.1% versus 1.5%, and Russian at 0.8% versus 1.1%.

Kingsford's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Kingsford's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and significantly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsford has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (24.1%) but fewer aged 5-14 (7.2%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, younger residents have reduced Kingsford's median age by 2.4 years to 31 years. During this period, the 15-24 age group grew from 17.4% to 24.1%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 20.6% to 24.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group declined from 9.4% to 7.2%, and the 45-54 group decreased from 11.6% to 9.5%. By 2041, Kingsford's population is projected to experience significant demographic changes. The 25-34 age cohort is expected to grow by 712 people (17%), increasing from 4,088 to 4,801. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group is forecasted to grow modestly by 10%, adding 57 people.