Kingsford (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsford reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Kingsford (NSW) is around 16,444. This reflects a growth of 2,952 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,492. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 16,245 in June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS and an additional 85 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 8,263 persons per square kilometer, placing Kingsford in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 21.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (7.3%) and the state level. Overseas migration contributed approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in Kingsford.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 3,243 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 18.5% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsford according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Kingsford has seen approximately 21 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 107 homes were approved, with an additional 18 approved so far in FY-26. On average, each home built over these years accommodates about 6.6 new residents per year, indicating a significant gap between supply and demand, which often leads to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost value of new homes is approximately $979,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $13.7 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsford has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 11th percentile nationally, offering limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. This lower rate reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity comprises approximately 29.0% detached dwellings and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, suggesting a trend towards denser development that appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

The location has about 1380 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Kingsford is projected to grow by 3,049 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kingsford has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

A total of 36 infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include the Mixed Use Development Kingsford, Bundock Street Housing Redevelopment Project, 87-91 Middle Street Boarding House, and 273 Anzac Parade Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Kingsford remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Kingsford has a highly educated workforce. In the technology sector specifically, it has notable representation with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 3.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, there are 9,584 residents employed in Kingsford, with an unemployment rate matching Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is also similar to Greater Sydney's at 70.0%. According to Census responses, 45.7% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries among Kingsford residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services.

Notably, the area has a high concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. However, manufacturing has limited presence with only 2.6% of employment compared to the regional average of 5.7%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.2%, while labour force increased by 3.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, labour force expand by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer further insight into potential future demand within Kingsford. These projections suggest that national employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kingsford's current employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though it is important to note that this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not take into account localised population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows median income in Kingsford suburb is $50,549. Average income stands at $77,677. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,028 (median) and $84,559 (average). Census data indicates household, family and personal incomes in Kingsford are at the 58th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows largest segment is 28.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 4,686 residents in this range. This pattern mirrors regional trends where 30.9% fall within this income bracket. High housing costs consume 20.6% of income. Despite strong earnings, disposable income is at the 53rd percentile nationally. Area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kingsford features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Kingsford, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 35.9% houses and 64.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsford was at 27.3%, similar to the Sydney metro level, with mortgaged dwellings at 20.3% and rented dwellings at 52.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kingsford was $3,000, higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Kingsford was $475, compared to $470 in Sydney metropolitan area. Nationally, Kingsford's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsford features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.6% of all households, including 28.2% couples with children, 21.0% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 40.4%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 12.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational achievement in Kingsford places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Kingsford's educational attainment exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 49.6% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 29.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.4% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.5% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.0% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.2% in tertiary, 7.2% in primary, and 6.1% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsford has 58 active public transport stops, offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 50 different routes, collectively facilitating 9,886 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically living 126 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 58%, followed by buses at 15% and walking at 11%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 0.7, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,412 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 170 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsford's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kingsford's health outcomes show excellent results according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of the total population (around 9,473 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 5.9% and 5.7% of residents respectively. About 78.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. In Kingsford, 11.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,907 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors align with national rankings.

Kingsford is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsford's population has a high level of linguistic diversity, with 46.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Additionally, 51.5% were born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsford, comprising 46.7% of its population.

However, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 3.7% of Kingsford's population versus 0.8%. The top three ancestry groups based on parental country of birth are Other (16.9%), Chinese (16.8%), and English (14.1%). Notably, Greek (7.1%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.9%, French is also overrepresented at 1.1% versus 0.5%, and Russian is slightly higher at 0.8% compared to 0.4%.

Kingsford's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Kingsford's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and significantly below Australia's median of 38. Kingsford has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (23.6%) compared to Greater Sydney but fewer residents aged 5-14 (7.1%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, younger residents have reduced Kingsford's median age by 2.3 years to 31. During this period, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 increased from 17.4% to 23.6%, while those aged 25-34 rose from 20.6% to 25.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 decreased from 9.4% to 7.1%, and those aged 45-54 fell from 11.6% to 9.5%. Population forecasts for Kingsford indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 673 people (16%) from 4,127 to 4,801, while the 0-4 cohort will increase by a modest 7% (40 people).