Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Pagewood-Hillsdale-Daceyville's population is approximately 16,642 as of February 2026. This figure represents a growth of 1,880 people (12.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,762. The increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 16,059 in June 2024 and an additional 523 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 5,334 persons per square kilometer, placing it within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Pagewood-Hillsdale-Daceyville's growth rate exceeded both its SA3 area (7.2%) and the state level since the 2021 Census. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and interstate migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for the area, with an expected increase of 1,987 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 8.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville has seen approximately 457 dwellings granted development approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 2,289 homes. As of FY-26, 8 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed moved into the area between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply conditions. However, this figure has decreased to 0.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years. New properties are constructed at an average cost of $399,000.

In FY-26, commercial approvals amounted to $15.7 million, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville has 244.0% more building activity per person, offering ample choice for buyers. This high level of developer confidence is also reflected in national averages. The new developments primarily consist of townhouses or apartments (98.0%), with a small proportion being detached dwellings (2.0%). This shift from the current housing pattern of 25.0% houses suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 114 people per dwelling approval, Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add 1,404 residents by 2041, with current construction levels expected to meet housing demand adequately and potentially enable growth beyond current forecasts.

Future projections show Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville adding 1,404 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects likely to affect the region. Notable projects include Heffron Park Central Amenities Upgrade, Iglu Kingsford, Meriton Pagewood Green, and Port Botany Expansion & Rail Duplication. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Pagewood-Hillsdale-Daceyville has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate is 6.5%. As of September 2025, 7,876 residents are employed, with the area's unemployment rate at 6.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 62.2%, lower than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census data shows 35.0% of residents work from home. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employment is notably high at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services are underrepresented at 8.8%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over a year ending in September 2025, labour force decreased by 1.3% and employment declined by 1.4%, raising unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and labour force grow by 2.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Pagewood-Hillsdale-Daceyville's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville SA2 has one of the highest income levels in Australia, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in this area is $61,605, with an average income of $87,499. This compares to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,063 (median) and $95,251 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 31.5% of locals (5,242 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the broader area where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 77.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 46th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville, as per the latest Census, consisted of 24.8% houses and 75.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville was at 21.9%, with the rest either mortgaged (25.4%) or rented (52.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, above Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $495, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 66.0% of all households, including 29.9% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 28.2% and group households comprising 5.8%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 36.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 55.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with a rate of 23.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Vocational credentials are held by 28.8% of residents aged 15 and above, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (17.5%). Educational participation is high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.2% in primary education, 8.2% in tertiary education, and 7.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the Pagewood-Hillsdale-Daceyville area shows that there are 58 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 48 individual routes providing 8,177 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 188 meters from the nearest stop. In this primarily residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. The dominant mode of transportation is by car at 75%, followed by bus at 11% and walking at 6%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 0.9, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high percentage of residents work from home, at 35%. The service frequency averages 1,168 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 140 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Pagewood-Hillsdale-Daceyville shows superior health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups exhibit low incidence of common health issues. Private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high at around 63% of the total population (10,534 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 5.9% and 5.9% of residents respectively. 76.3% of residents report being completely free of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents show low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 15.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,579 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pagewood-Hillsdale-Daceyville has high cultural diversity, with 44.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 48.6% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 55.2%. Judaism is overrepresented at 3.0%, compared to 0.8% in Greater Sydney.

Top ancestry groups are Other (20.8%), English (14.2%), and Australian (14.1%). Spanish (1.5%) and Russian (1.1%) are notably overrepresented, compared to regional averages of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively. Hungarian is also overrepresented at 0.6%.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville's population is younger than the national pattern

Pagewood-Hillsdale-Daceyville has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 18.3%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. However, the 5-14 age group is less prevalent at 9.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 5.1% to 6.0% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 19.1% to 18.3%. By 2041, forecasts indicate significant demographic changes. The 75-84 age group is projected to rise substantially by 582 people (58%), from 1,005 to 1,588. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 60% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.