Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville's population is around 16,642 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,880 people (12.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,762 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,059 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 523 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 5,334 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly-sought resource. Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville's 12.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (7.2%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 65.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above median population growth of national areas is projected, with the area expected to increase by 1,987 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 8.4% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville has experienced around 457 dwellings receiving development approval each year, totalling 2,289 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. Given an average of 1.2 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, while recent data shows this has decreased to 0.6 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating more balanced supply conditions. New properties are constructed at an average value of $399,000. There have also been $15.7 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

Relative to Greater Sydney, Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville has 244.0% more building activity (per person), which should provide buyers with ample choice. This is well above average nationally, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New development consists of 2.0% detached dwellings and 98.0% townhouses or apartments. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 25.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 114 people per dwelling approval, Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville shows characteristics of a growth area.

Future projections show Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville adding 1,404 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 21 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Heffron Park Central Amenities Upgrade, Iglu Kingsford, Meriton Pagewood Green, and Port Botany Expansion & Rail Duplication, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville possesses a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, and an unemployment rate of 6.5%. As of December 2025, 7,890 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.3% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation lags significantly (62.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 35.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in construction, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 8.8% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw the labour force decrease by 0.4% while employment declined by 0.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney, where employment rose by 2.2%, the labour force grew by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville SA2's income level is among the highest in Australia according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville SA2's median income among taxpayers is $61,605 and the average income stands at $87,499, which compares to figures for Greater Sydney's of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $67,063 (median) and $95,251 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the predominant cohort spans 31.5% of locals (5,242 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, mirroring the broader area where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 77.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 46th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 24.8% houses and 75.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville lagged that of Sydney metro at 21.9%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (25.4%) or rented (52.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Sydney metro average at $2,600, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $495, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 66.0% of all households, comprising 29.9% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 34.0%, with lone person households at 28.2% and group households comprising 5.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (36.9%) substantially below the SA4 region average of 55.2%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 28.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (17.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.2% in primary education, 8.2% in tertiary education, and 7.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 58 active transport stops operating within Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 48 individual routes, collectively providing 8,177 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 188 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 75%, with 11% by bus and 6% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 0.9 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 35.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,168 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 140 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts see low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (10,534 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 5.9% and 5.9% of residents, respectively, while 76.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 15.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,579 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville scores highly on cultural diversity, with 44.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 48.6% born overseas. The main religion in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville is Christianity, which makes up 55.2% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 3.0% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville are Other, comprising 20.8% of the population, English, comprising 14.2% of the population, and Australian, comprising 14.1% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Spanish is notably overrepresented at 1.5% of Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville (vs 0.6% regionally), Russian at 1.1% (vs 0.4%) and Hungarian at 0.6% (vs 0.3%).

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville's population is younger than the national pattern

Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville's median age of 35 years stands slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 as well as somewhat younger than the 38-year national average. The 25 - 34 age group shows strong representation at 18.3% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 5 - 14 cohort is less prevalent at 9.7%. In the period since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.1% to 6.0% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 19.1% to 18.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Pagewood - Hillsdale - Daceyville. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, expanding by 582 people (58%) from 1,005 to 1,588. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 60% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 age groups will see reduced numbers.