Kingsford

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsford reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Kingsford's population is around 16,580 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,975 people (21.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,605 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,380 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 86 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 8,248 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought resource. Kingsford's 21.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.3%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 96.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected, with the area expected to increase by 3,273 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 18.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsford according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kingsford has averaged around 21 new dwelling approvals per year, with 107 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 19 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 6.6 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new dwellings are developed at an average construction cost of $378,000. There have also been $13.7 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsford records roughly half the building activity per person and ranks in the 11th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. This activity is also below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New development consists of 30.0% standalone homes and 70.0% townhouses or apartments. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. At around 1395 people per approval, Kingsford is a mature, established area.

Population forecasts indicate Kingsford will gain 3,073 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Kingsford has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 37 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Mixed Use Development Kingsford, Bundock Street Housing Redevelopment Project, 87-91 Middle Street Boarding House, and 273 Anzac Parade Mixed-Use Development, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Kingsford shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Kingsford possesses a highly educated workforce, with the technology sector a particular standout in terms of representation, an unemployment rate of 4.2%, and 2.9% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 9,710 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is in line with Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Based on Census responses, a high 45.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical. The area shows particularly strong specialization in education & training, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, manufacturing shows lower representation at 2.6% versus the regional average of 5.7%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.9% and labour force increased by 3.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Kingsford. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kingsford's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Kingsford SA2's median income among taxpayers is $53,360, with an average of $77,167. This is high nationally, and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $58,088 (median) and $84,004 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Kingsford cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the largest segment comprises 28.4% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (4,708 residents), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 20.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 53rd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kingsford features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Kingsford, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 36.3% houses and 63.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Kingsford was in line with that of Sydney metro, at 27.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (20.3%) or rented (52.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $3,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $475, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Kingsford's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsford features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 59.9% of all households, comprising 28.4% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 40.1%, with lone person households at 27.6% and group households comprising 12.5% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Kingsford aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Kingsford significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 49.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.3% of qualifications among those aged 15+; advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (10.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 37.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.2% in tertiary education, 7.2% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 59 active transport stops operating within Kingsford, comprising a mix of light rail and buses. These stops are serviced by 50 individual routes, collectively providing 9,886 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 126 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 58%, with 15% by bus and 11% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 0.7 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 45.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,412 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 167 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsford's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Kingsford, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~9,450 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and asthma, impacting 5.9% and 5.7% of residents, respectively, while 78.4% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 11.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,936 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Kingsford is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsford scores highly on cultural diversity, with 46.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 51.4% born overseas. The main religion in Kingsford is Christianity, which makes up 46.8% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 3.6% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Kingsford are Other, comprising 16.9% of the population, Chinese, comprising 16.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 8.4%, and English, comprising 14.1% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Greek is notably overrepresented at 7.3% of Kingsford (vs 1.9% regionally), French at 1.1% (vs 0.5%) and Russian at 0.7% (vs 0.4%).

Kingsford's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

At 31 years, Kingsford's median age is notably under the Greater Sydney average of 37 and is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Kingsford has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (23.6%) but fewer 5 - 14 year-olds (7.2%). This 15 - 24 concentration is well above the national 12.5%. In the period since 2021, younger residents have shifted the median age down by 2.3 years to 31. Notable shifts include the 15 to 24 age group growing from 17.4% to 23.6% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 20.5% to 25.0%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 9.4% to 7.2% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 11.6% to 9.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Kingsford. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to experience strong growth, expanding by 685 people (17%) from 4,141 to 4,827. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort grows by a modest 8% (47 people).