Kingsford

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsford reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingsford's population was around 16,552 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 2,947 people from the 2021 Census figure of 13,605. The change was inferred from the ABS estimated resident population of 16,380 in June 2024 and an additional 77 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 8,234 persons per square kilometer, placing Kingsford in the top 10% nationally. Kingsford's growth rate of 21.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the state's (6.7%) and SA4 region's averages, making it a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 96.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth, with Kingsford expected to increase by 3,273 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 18.7% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsford according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kingsford averaged approximately 21 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with a total of 107 homes approved during this period and an additional 2 approved so far in FY-26. On average, around 6.6 new residents arrived per year for each dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating significant demand exceeding supply, which typically drives price growth and increased buyer competition. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings was $979,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

In FY-26, there have been $13.7 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsford has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 11th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This lower level also reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 30.0% standalone homes and 70.0% townhouses or apartments, showing a trend towards denser development to provide accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. With around 1395 people per approval, Kingsford demonstrates its status as a mature, established area.

Looking ahead, Kingsford is projected to grow by 3,101 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kingsford has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 37 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Mixed Use Development Kingsford, Bundock Street Housing Redevelopment Project, 87-91 Middle Street Boarding House, and Randwick Health & Innovation Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Kingsford shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Kingsford has an educated workforce, with the technology sector notably represented. The unemployment rate is 4.1%, and there was a 2.5% employment growth in the past year.

As of June 2025, 9,445 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Education & training has a strong presence at 1.6 times the regional level, while manufacturing is lower at 2.6% compared to the regional average of 5.7%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force by 2.4%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a rise in unemployment to 3.5%. As of Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsford's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 7.2% in five years and 14.5% in ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Kingsford SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $50,490 and an average of $77,586. Nationally, these figures are high, with Greater Sydney having a median of $56,994 and an average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, current estimates for Kingsford would be approximately $56,857 (median) and $87,370 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates household, family and personal incomes in Kingsford cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that the largest segment comprises 28.4% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a total of 4,700 residents falling into this category. This pattern is similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this income range. High housing costs consume 20.5% of income in Kingsford, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 53rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kingsford features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Kingsford, as assessed at the latest Census, houses constituted 36.3% of dwellings, with the remaining 63.7% being semi-detached, apartments, and other types. This differs from Sydney metro's distribution of 26.9% houses and 73.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsford was at 27.7%, similar to Sydney metro's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (20.3%) or rented (52.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kingsford was $3,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $3,033. The median weekly rent figure for Kingsford was $475, compared to Sydney metro's $550. Nationally, Kingsford's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsford features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.9% of all households, including 28.4% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 40.1%, with lone person households at 27.6% and group households making up 12.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Kingsford aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Kingsford's educational attainment exceeds national and state averages. As of 2021, 49.7% of its residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.3%, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2021 census. This includes 16.2% in tertiary education, 7.2% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsford has 49 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of lightrail and bus services. There are 50 individual routes operating, collectively providing 9,174 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 126 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 1,310 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 187 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsford's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kingsford's health outcomes show low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Private health cover stands at approximately 59% (9,732 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 70.6%.

Mental health issues and asthma are most prevalent, affecting 5.9% and 5.7%, respectively; 78.4% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 76.0%. The area has 11.6% (1,915 people) aged 65+, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.1%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Kingsford is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsford has a high cultural diversity, with 46.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 51.4% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Kingsford, comprising 46.8%. Judaism is overrepresented in Kingsford at 3.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 4.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (16.9%), Chinese (16.7%, substantially higher than the regional average of 7.8%), and English (14.1%, notably lower than the regional average of 20.3%). Notable divergences exist in Greek representation at 7.3% (vs regional 4.0%), French at 1.1% (vs 1.5%), and Russian at 0.7% (vs 1.1%).

Kingsford's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Kingsford's median age at 31 years is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsford has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (24.1%) but fewer aged 5-14 (7.2%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is above the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and the present, younger residents have lowered Kingsford's median age by 2.4 years to 31. During this period, the 15-24 age group increased from 17.4% to 24.1%, while the 25-34 cohort rose from 20.5% to 24.8%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 9.4% to 7.2%, and the 45-54 group fell from 11.6% to 9.5%. By 2041, Kingsford's population is projected to see significant demographic changes. The 25-34 age cohort is expected to grow by 717 people (17%), from 4,109 to 4,827. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is forecast to increase by a modest 9%, adding 53 people.