Kingsford
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsford reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingsford's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 16,542 people. This figure represents an increase of 2,937 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,605. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,380 in June 2024 and an additional 73 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 8,229 persons per square kilometer, placing Kingsford among the top 10% of densely populated locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 21.6% since the 2021 census exceeds both the state average (6.4%) and the SA4 region, indicating strong population growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 96.6% of overall population gains during recent periods in Kingsford.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an above median growth is projected for Kingsford, with an expected increase of 3,273 persons by 2041 based on the latest population numbers, representing a total gain of 18.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsford according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kingsford has averaged approximately 16 new dwelling approvals per year. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis. In the past five financial years, from FY20 to FY25, 81 dwellings were approved, with no approvals so far in FY26. On average, over these five years, 6.6 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed.

This indicates demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $979,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, there have been $13.7 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development compared to previous years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsford has approximately half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person. It ranks among the 11th percentile of areas assessed nationally for new dwelling approvals, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings.

This level is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 30% standalone homes and 70% townhouses or apartments, indicating a trend towards denser development that provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. With around 1395 people per approval, Kingsford shows characteristics of a mature, established area. Looking ahead, projections suggest Kingsford is expected to grow by 3111 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases in the future.

Kingsford has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 36 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Eastlakes City, UNSW Health Translation Hub, Sydney Children's Hospital Stage 1 & Minderoo Children's Comprehensive Cancer Centre, and Mixed Use Development Kingsford. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment landscape in Kingsford shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Kingsford's workforce is highly educated, with notable representation in the technology sector. The unemployment rate was 4.1% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by an estimated 2.5% over the past year. There were 9,445 residents employed in Kingsford at this time, with workforce participation similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment include health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Education & training has a particularly strong representation, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, manufacturing shows lower representation at 2.6% compared to the regional average of 5.7%. AreaSearch analysis indicates that during the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force increased by 2.4%, and unemployment rate fell by 0.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% but saw an increase in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. Nationally, unemployment was 4.5%, with national employment growth of 0.26% over this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kingsford's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.2% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The latest postcode level ATO data released for the financial year ended June 2022 indicates that Kingsford's median income among taxpayers is $50,490, with an average of $77,586. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since the financial year ended June 2022, current estimates would be approximately $55,842 (median) and $85,810 (average) as of March 2025. Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Kingsford cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, the largest segment comprises 28.4% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (4,697 residents), which is similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 20.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 53rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kingsford features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kingsford's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 36.3% houses and 63.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 26.9% houses and 73.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsford was at 27.7%, similar to Sydney metro's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (20.3%) or rented (52.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kingsford was $3,000, lower than the Sydney metro average of $3,033. Median weekly rent in Kingsford was $475, compared to Sydney metro's $550. Nationally, Kingsford's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsford features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.9% of all households, including 28.4% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 40.1%, with lone person households at 27.6% and group households comprising 12.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Kingsford aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Kingsford is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016 data, 49.7% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.3% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 10.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2020. This includes 16.2% in tertiary education, 7.2% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education. St Spyridon College, Junior School Campus is located within Kingsford but had no students enrolled as of the latest available data. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. There are no schools located within Kingsford, so residents must travel to neighboring areas for educational services.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 49 active transport stops operating within Kingsford. These include a mix of light rail and bus services. There are 50 individual routes serving these stops, collectively providing 9,174 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 126 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 1,310 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 187 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsford's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kingsford has excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 59% (9,726 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 70.6%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Kingsford, affecting 5.9 and 5.7% of residents respectively. A total of 78.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 76.0%. As of 2021, 11.6% (1,913 people) of Kingsford residents are aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Kingsford are particularly strong and broadly align with the general population's health profile.

Kingsford is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsford's population shows high cultural diversity, with 46.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 51.4% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsford, accounting for 46.8% of its population. Judaism is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 3.6% versus 4.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (16.9%), Chinese (16.7%, substantially higher than the regional average of 7.8%), and English (14.1%, lower than the regional average of 20.3%). Notable ethnic group disparities include Greek at 7.3% in Kingsford versus 4.0% regionally, French at 1.1% versus 1.5%, and Russian at 0.7% versus 1.1%.

Kingsford's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Kingsford's median age at 31 years is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Kingsford has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (24.1%) compared to Greater Sydney but fewer residents aged 5-14 (7.2%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, younger residents have reduced Kingsford's median age by 2.4 years to 31. During this period, the 15-24 age group increased from 17.4% to 24.1%, while the 25-34 cohort rose from 20.5% to 24.8%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group decreased from 9.4% to 7.2%, and the 45-54 group fell from 11.6% to 9.5%. By 2041, Kingsford's population is projected to see significant demographic shifts. The 25-34 age cohort is expected to grow by 719 people (an 18% increase) from 4,107 to 4,827, while the 0-4 cohort will grow modestly by 9% (an increase of 53 people).