Erskine (WA)

Erskine lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Erskine's estimated population is around 6,025 people. This figure reflects an increase from the 2021 Census population of 5,429 people, marking a rise of 596 individuals (11.0%). AreaSearch validated this estimate following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and two additional new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,556 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Erskine's growth rate of 11.0% since the 2021 census surpassed the national average of 8.9%. Interstate migration drove this growth, contributing approximately 49.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023 based on 2022 data). Future demographic trends forecast a significant population increase for Erskine, with an expected rise of 1,876 persons to 2041. This reflects a total increase of 33.7% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Erskine when compared nationally

Erskine has received approximately 12 dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 60 homes were approved, with a further 5 approved in FY-26 so far.

This results in an average of 14.4 new residents per year for every home built during this period. The demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $506,000. Compared to Greater Perth, Erskine has significantly less development activity, 83.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. However, development activity has picked up in recent periods.

This level is also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 62.0% detached dwellings and 38.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an expanding range of medium-density options that create a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 79.0% houses. The location has approximately 276 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. Population forecasts indicate Erskine will gain 2,029 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Erskine has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 11thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to affect this region. Notable projects include Peelwood Parade Shopping Centre, Seaside Estate, Madora Bay - Stage 11 & 12, Waardong Court Multiple Dwellings, and Southern Beaches Coastal Hazard Risk Management and Adaptation Plan (CHRMAP). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Erskine demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Erskine's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominent. Its unemployment rate was 1.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 7.7%.

As of June 2025, Erskine had 2,156 employed residents, a 2.0% lower unemployment rate than Greater Perth's 3.9%, but a significantly lower workforce participation rate at 38.3%. Key industries for employment were health care & social assistance, mining, and construction, with mining particularly notable at 1.7 times the regional average. Professional & technical services had limited presence at 4.2% compared to the regional 8.2%. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, Erskine's employment increased by 7.7%, while labour force grew by 7.2%, reducing unemployment by 0.5 percentage points.

In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 3.7% and unemployment increase slightly. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Erskine's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Erskine is approximately average nationally. The median assessed income is $45,530 while the average income stands at $64,204. This contrasts with Greater Perth's figures of a median income of $58,380 and an average income of $78,020. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $51,995 (median) and $73,321 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Erskine all fall between the 2nd and 6th percentiles nationally. The data shows that the $400 - 799 income bracket dominates with 34.5% of residents (2,078 people). Unlike broader area trends where 32.0% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, Erskine has 42.0% earning under $800 per week, indicating considerable income constraints affecting local spending patterns. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Erskine, with only 81.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 3rd percentile.

Erskine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Erskine, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 79.1% houses and 21.0% other dwellings. In comparison, Perth metro had 85.0% houses and 15.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine was 49.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.9% and rented ones at 21.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Erskine was $1,701, below Perth metro's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Erskine was $320, compared to Perth metro's $300. Nationally, Erskine's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Erskine features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.6% of all households, including 14.9% that are couples with children, 39.5% that are couples without children, and 8.0% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 37.4%, with lone person households at 35.6% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.0 people, smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Erskine exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 12.6%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This gap presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common (9.6%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (29.1%).

School and university attendance comprises 18.9% of the community, with 6.8% in primary education, 5.7% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities seem to be situated outside the immediate catchment area, requiring families to access schools in neighboring regions.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis conducted in Erskine shows 20 active public transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with 3 individual routes in total providing 642 weekly passenger trips combined. The report rates transport accessibility as good, with residents on average located 273 meters from their nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 91 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Erskine is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Erskine faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. As of approximately June 2021, private health cover was held by about 53% (~3,174 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Perth's 54.9%.

The most prevalent medical conditions were arthritis (affecting 15.3%) and mental health issues (7.5%). Conversely, 53.9% reported having no medical ailments, compared to 63.6% in Greater Perth. Erskine has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (46.8%, or 2,819 people), compared to Greater Perth's 27.5%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Erskine are better than the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Erskine was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 5.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 33.0% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Erskine, comprising 53.6%, compared to 47.2% across Greater Perth. The top three ancestral groups are English (40.1%), Australian (25.4%), and Scottish (7.8%).

Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Dutch (1.6%) are equally represented in Erskine as regionally, while South African representation is slightly lower at 0.6% compared to the regional average of 0.8%.

Erskine ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Erskine's median age is 61 years, which is considerably higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and the national norm of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 are particularly prominent, making up 20.0% of the population, compared to the national figure of 6.0%. This group has grown from 18.3% in 2021 to 20.0% currently. Meanwhile, the 45-54 age cohort has declined from 8.8% to 7.4%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 7.8% to 6.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Erskine's age structure. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 827 people (69%), from 1,205 to 2,032. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 90% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 0-4 and 5-14.