Erskine (WA)

Erskine lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates, AreaSearch estimates Erskine's (WA) statistical area Level 2 population at around 6,065 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 636 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,429. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,057 residents following examination of ABS' ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of two new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,567 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Erskine's growth rate of 11.7% since 2021 exceeds the national average of 9.7%, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 49.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch projects Erskine's population using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, based on 2022 data for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimates, AreaSearch uses ABS' Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. By 2041, Erskine's population is forecast to increase by 1,877 persons, reflecting a total increase of 32.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Erskine when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Erskine has experienced around 11 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Approximately 59 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with a further 9 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 14.7 new residents per year for every home built during this period.

Demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $506,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $431,000 in commercial approvals registered, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Perth, Erskine records markedly lower building activity, at 83.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

The location has approximately 418 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area with a future projection of adding 1,990 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth. New building activity shows 75.0% detached houses and 25.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

Erskine has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 30thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Seaside Estate, Madora Bay - Stage 11 & 12, Waardong Court Multiple Dwellings, Southern Beaches Coastal Hazard Risk Management and Adaptation Plan (CHRMAP), Nerimba Estate Halls Head. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Erskine significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Erskine has a balanced workforce consisting of white and blue collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate in Erskine is 2.1%, which is lower than the Greater Perth rate of 4.0%.

Over the past year, there has been an estimated employment growth of 9.3% based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 2,192 residents are employed with a workforce participation rate of 38.3%, significantly lower than Greater Perth's 65.2%. The leading employment industries among Erskine residents include health care & social assistance, mining, and construction. Notably, mining has a strong presence in Erskine with an employment share that is 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have limited presence with only 4.2% of employment compared to the regional average of 8.2%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population numbers. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Erskine saw an increase in employment of 9.3% while labour force increased by the same percentage, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable at around 1.9%. In comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 2.9%, labour force growth of 3.0%, with a marginal rise in unemployment to 4.0%. State-level data from WA as of 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.27% (losing 5,520 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.6%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate that overall employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Erskine's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, assuming no significant changes in population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Erskine had a median taxpayer income of $45,530 and an average income of $64,204 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Perth having a median income of $60,748 and an average income of $80,248. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $49,910 (median) and $70,380 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Erskine's household, family, and personal incomes all fall between the 2nd and 6th percentiles nationally. The income band of $400 - 799 captures 34.5% of Erskine's community (2,092 individuals), unlike metropolitan trends where 32.0% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. With 42.0% earning under $800 per week, income constraints significantly impact local spending patterns. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

Erskine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 79.1% houses and 21.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This is compared to Perth metro's structure of 85.0% houses and 15.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine stood at 49.7%, with mortgaged properties at 28.9% and rented ones at 21.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,701, lower than Perth metro's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Erskine was $320, higher than Perth metro's figure of $300. Nationally, Erskine's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $320 compared to the national figure of $375.

Erskine features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.6 percent of all households, including 14.9 percent couples with children, 39.5 percent couples without children, and 8.0 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.4 percent, with lone person households at 35.6 percent and group households making up 1.6 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.0 people, smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Erskine exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 12.6%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (29.1%).

School and university attendance accounts for 18.9% of the community, comprising 6.8% in primary education, 5.7% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 20 operational stops in Erskine, offering mixed bus services. These stops are served by three distinct routes, facilitating 642 weekly passenger journeys. Transport access is deemed good, with residents situated an average of 273 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 91 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Erskine is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Erskine faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 53%, or about 3,195 people, compared to Greater Perth's 56%.

Common medical conditions include arthritis (15.3%) and mental health issues (7.5%). About 53.9% report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Perth's 63.6%. Erskine has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 46.7%, or about 2,832 people, compared to Greater Perth's 27.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges despite performing better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Erskine records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine's population showed cultural diversity with 5.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 33.0% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 53.6%, compared to Greater Perth's 47.2%. The top three ancestry groups were English (40.1%), Australian (25.4%), and Scottish (7.8%).

Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Dutch (1.6%) were equally represented in Erskine as regionally, while South African was slightly underrepresented at 0.6% compared to the regional average of 0.8%.

Erskine ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Erskine's median age is 61 years, significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and the national norm of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 are particularly prominent, making up 19.9% of the population, compared to the national average of 6%. Meanwhile, the 35-44 age group makes up only 6.9%, smaller than Greater Perth's proportion. Since 2021, the 75-84 age group has increased from 18.3% to 19.9%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 8.8% to 7.4%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 7.8% to 6.6%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Erskine's age structure. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to increase by 826 people (68%), rising from 1,206 to 2,033. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 90% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 0-4 and 5-14.