Carlisle

Population growth drivers in Carlisle are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of November 2025, Carlisle's estimated population is around 7,843. This reflects a 16.5% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,733 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 7,558 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 3,087 persons per square kilometer, placing Carlisle in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Carlisle's growth rate exceeded both the national average (9.7%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population dynamics anticipate a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas. By 2041, the Carlisle statistical area is expected to grow by 1,980 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 22.7% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Carlisle when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Carlisle has recorded approximately 19 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 95 homes were approved, with a further six approved in FY-26 so far. This results in an average of 8.5 new residents per year for every home built during this period.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers. The average construction value of new properties is $533,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $3.7 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting limited commercial development activity compared to Greater Perth, where Carlisle's development activity is 53.0% below the regional average per person. The scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, with recent construction comprising 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% medium and high-density housing. This maintains the area's traditional suburban character, appealing to those seeking space in family homes.

Carlisle shows a developed market with around 484 people per dwelling approval. Future projections estimate an addition of 1,783 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Carlisle has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 42ndth percentile nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Carlisle Station Precinct Redevelopment, Woolworths East Victoria Park, Oats Street North Residential Development, and Apartments and Commercial Tenancy - Bank Street. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Carlisle shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Carlisle has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.5% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 4,738 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Greater Perth's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Notably, professional & technical employment is at 1.4 times the regional average, while retail trade employs only 7.7% of local workers, below Greater Perth's 9.3%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force by 2.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 2.9% and labour force growth of 3.0%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carlisle's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023. Carlisle's median taxpayer income was $59,458 and the average stood at $74,500. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Perth's $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $65,178 (median) and $81,667 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year ending June 2023. Census data shows personal income at the 75th percentile ($963 weekly) and household income at the 51st percentile. Income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 33.1% of residents (2,596 people), similar to the regional pattern where 32.0% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Carlisle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Carlisle's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.1% houses and 33.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Perth metro's 60.5% houses and 39.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carlisle was 22.4%, aligning with Perth metro's level. The remaining dwellings were mortgaged (33.1%) or rented (44.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,900, exceeding Perth metro's average of $1,842. The median weekly rent figure was $340, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Carlisle's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Carlisle features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 57.1% of all households, including 22.4% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 42.9%, with lone person households at 34.3% and group households comprising 8.3%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.3.

Carlisle demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Carlisle's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 38.8% possess university qualifications, compared to 27.9% in Western Australia (WA) and 29.9% in the Small Area 4 (SA4) region. This significant educational advantage suggests strong potential for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 19.3%. Educational participation is notably high in Carlisle, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in tertiary education, 6.9% in primary education, and 4.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Carlisle shows 40 active transport stops operating within the city. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 22 individual routes servicing these stops, collectively providing 4,236 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 174 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 605 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 105 weekly trips per individual stop.

Carlisle's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Carlisle's health metrics are close to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions among its general population are somewhat typical but higher than the national average for older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% (about 4,453 people). Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.7% and 6.7% of residents respectively. Approximately 70.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.7% across Greater Perth. The area has 15.4% (about 1,207 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is higher than the 14.2% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges that require more attention than those of the broader population.

Carlisle was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carlisle has a high level of cultural diversity, with 27.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 39.1% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Carlisle, comprising 39.2% of people. Islam is overrepresented in Carlisle compared to Greater Perth, making up 4.9% versus 6.6%.

The top three ancestral groups are English (25.0%), Australian (20.3%), and Other (13.4%). Notable divergences exist for Welsh (Carlisle: 0.8%, regional: 0.5%), Korean (Carlisle: 1.0%, regional: 0.7%), and French (Carlisle: 0.7%, regional: 0.6%) ethnic groups.

Carlisle's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Carlisle's median age is 36 years, nearly matching Greater Perth's average of 37 and slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Carlisle has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (22.5%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (8.0%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the percentage of Carlisle's population aged 25 to 34 has increased from 21.7% to 22.5%, while the percentage of residents aged 45 to 54 has decreased from 11.6% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Carlisle's age profile. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 91%, adding 348 residents and reaching a total of 733. Meanwhile, the 35-44 age group is projected to grow by 0%, with an increase of just four people.