Carlisle

Population growth drivers in Carlisle are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, as of Nov 2025, Carlisle's estimated population is around 7,602. This reflects an increase of 869 people (12.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,733. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,572 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,992 persons per square kilometer, placing Carlisle in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Carlisle's 12.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (8.9%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas post-2032, AreaSearch utilises growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population dynamics anticipate a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 1,996 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 26.8% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Carlisle when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Carlisle has recorded approximately 18 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, around 91 homes were approved, with a further 7 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 8.9 new residents per year for every home built during this period.

This demand outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $533,000, which is moderately above regional levels, indicating a focus on quality construction. In FY-26, $587,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. Compared to Greater Perth, Carlisle has significantly less development activity, at 55.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Additionally, this activity is under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent construction in Carlisle comprises 85.0% standalone homes and 15.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (66.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Carlisle indicates a mature market, with around 484 people per approval. Future projections show Carlisle adding 2,040 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Carlisle has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. Nine projects identified by AreaSearch may impact the area. Key projects include Carlisle Station Precinct Redevelopment, Woolworths East Victoria Park, Oats Street North Residential Development, and Apartments and Commercial Tenancy - Bank Street. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Carlisle ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Carlisle has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.3% as of an unspecified past year.

Employment growth over the same period was estimated at 3.5%. As of June 2025, there were 4,746 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% below Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Carlisle is similar to Greater Perth's 65.2%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction.

Notably, employment levels in professional & technical services are at 1.4 times the regional average. In contrast, retail trade employs only 7.7% of local workers, below Greater Perth's 9.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.5%, while the labour force grew by 3.1%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Perth recorded employment growth of 3.7% and labour force growth of 3.8%, with unemployment rising slightly by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carlisle's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, although this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Carlisle had a median income among taxpayers of $59,458 and an average level of $74,500. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Perth's levels of $58,380 and $78,020 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Carlisle as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,901 (median) and $85,079 (average). Census data reveals personal income ranks at the 75th percentile ($963 weekly), while household income sits at the 51st percentile. Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 33.1% of residents (2,516 people). High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Carlisle displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Carlisle's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consists of 66.1% houses and 33.9% other dwellings. In comparison, Perth metro has 60.5% houses and 39.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carlisle is 22.4%, similar to Perth metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings account for 33.1%, while rented dwellings make up 44.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Carlisle is $1,900, higher than the Perth metro average of $1,842. Median weekly rent in Carlisle is $340, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Carlisle's mortgage repayments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are lower than the national figure of $375.

Carlisle features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 57.1% of all households, consisting of 22.4% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 42.9%, with lone person households at 34.3% and group households comprising 8.3%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.3.

Carlisle demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Carlisle's educational attainment exceeds broader averages, with 38.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 27.9% in WA and 29.9% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 10.7% and certificates make up 19.3%. Educational participation is high, with 27.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.4% in tertiary education, 6.9% in primary education, and 4.3% pursuing secondary education.

Schools appear to be located outside Carlisle's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carlisle has 33 active public transport stops. These include train stations and bus stops. There are 17 different routes serving these stops.

Together, they provide a total of 2,807 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 185 meters. On average, there are 401 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Carlisle's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Carlisle's health metrics are close to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions among its general population are somewhat typical but higher than the nation's average among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~4,316 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 9.7 and 6.7% of residents respectively. 70.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 73.7% across Greater Perth. As of 2021, Carlisle has 15.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,170 people), which is higher than the 14.2% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

Carlisle is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carlisle's population is culturally diverse, with 27.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 39.1% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Carlisle, comprising 39.2% of its population. Islam, however, is more prevalent in Carlisle compared to Greater Perth, making up 4.9% versus 6.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (25.0%), Australian (20.3%), and Other (13.4%). Notably, Welsh (0.8%) is overrepresented in Carlisle relative to the regional average of 0.5%, as are Korean (1.0% vs 0.7%) and French (0.7% vs 0.6%).

Carlisle's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Carlisle's median age is 36 years, nearly matching Greater Perth's average of 37 and slightly under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Perth, Carlisle has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (22.5%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (8.1%). This concentration of 25-34-year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has increased from 21.7% to 22.5%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45 to 54 has decreased from 11.6% to 10.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Carlisle's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 98%, adding 364 residents to reach a total of 737. Meanwhile, the 5-14 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 7% (an increase of 40 people).