Warner

Warner lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Warner's population is estimated at around 13,500 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,236 people (10.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,264 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,176 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 255 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,274 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warner's 10.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (7.4%), along with the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. As we examine future population trends, an above median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with Warner expected to grow by 2,833 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 18.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Warner among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Warner had around 54 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 273 homes. By FY26, 82 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.4 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY21 and FY25, reflecting robust demand that supports property values. New homes were built at an average value of $345,000, below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options.

This financial year, Warner has seen $1.5 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Warner maintains similar development levels per person, consistent with the broader area's market balance. New building activity comprises 84.0% detached houses and 16.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Warner's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The location has approximately 171 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate forecasts Warner to gain 2,502 residents by 2041, aligning with existing development levels that maintain stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Warner has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that may impact this region. Notable initiatives include Youngs Crossing Road Upgrade, Elan, The Sanctuary, and Mayfair Joyner. Below is a list of projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Warner significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Warner's workforce is skilled with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.0% as of a recent period.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.6%. As of June 2025, Warner had 8,180 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Warner was 75.5%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and construction.

Public administration & safety showed strong specialization with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 6.9% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The area's predominantly residential nature suggests limited local employment opportunities. In a 12-month period ending recently, Warner saw employment increase by 6.6% and labour force by 7.5%, raising unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 4.4% with unemployment falling 0.4 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warner's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Warner's median income among taxpayers is $66,594, with an average of $76,547. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Brisbane's median of $55,645 and average of $70,520. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Warner would be approximately $75,911 (median) and $87,256 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks household, family, and personal incomes in Warner between the 81st and 83rd percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 42.5% of residents (5,737 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket, reflecting regional patterns where 33.3% occupy this range. Higher earners constitute a substantial presence with 31.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile nationally. Warner's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Warner is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warner's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.1% houses and 8.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Brisbane metro had 92.2% houses and 7.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warner was at 20.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.1% and rented ones at 30.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warner was $1,980, lower than Brisbane metro's $2,080, but higher than the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Warner was $420, compared to Brisbane metro's $440 and the national figure of $375.

Warner features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.3% of all households, including 46.6% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.7%, with lone person households at 13.1% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.9.

Warner demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Warner Trail has 24.4% of residents aged 15+ with university degrees, compared to 30.5% in the SA3 area. The most common qualifications are bachelor degrees (17.8%), followed by postgraduate (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.0% and certificates at 27.8%. Current educational participation is high, with 31.5% enrolled in formal education: primary (11.7%), secondary (8.4%), and tertiary (5.0%).

Educational facilities may be located outside Warner Trail's immediate boundaries, requiring residents to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 17 active stops in Warner, served by a mix of buses. These stops are covered by 4 routes, offering 343 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport access is rated moderate, with residents located an average of 414 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 49 trips per day across all routes, equating to around 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warner's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Warner.

Prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average among older and at-risk cohorts. Private health cover rate is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (7,766 people). Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.3 and 8.5% of residents respectively. 71.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.9% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 11.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,579 people), which is lower than the 16.2% in Greater Brisbane but requires more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warner was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warner's cultural diversity was above average, with 11.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 21.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warner, comprising 51.9%. Hinduism, however, was overrepresented at 3.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 0.9%.

Top ancestry groups were Australian (28.6%), English (28.2%), and Irish (7.6%). Notably, South African (1.2%) and New Zealand (1.2%) ethnicities were overrepresented in Warner, as was Maori (0.8%).

Warner's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Warner's median age is 33 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Warner has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.3%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (3.7%). Post-2021 Census data shows that the 65-74 age group has increased from 5.7% to 7.0% of Warner's population, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.7% to 14.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Warner's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 120%, adding 601 residents to reach a total of 1,101. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 54% of the population growth, while the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts are projected to decline in population.