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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Warner has an estimated 14,651 residents, up from 12,264 at the 2021 Census — a change of 2,387 people, or 19.5%. Growth has averaged 1.4% a year over five years, faster than 90% of areas nationally. 516 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Natural increase accounts for 59.0% of that increase. That puts 1,384 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Warner has an estimated resident count of roughly 14,651, according to AreaSearch evaluations combining regional ABS updates and verified new post-Census address records. This represents an expansion of 2,387 people (19.5%) from the 12,264 residents documented in the 2021 Census. The updated figure builds upon an estimated resident population of 13,361 established from the ABS June 2025 ERP release, supplemented by 516 post-Census validated new addresses. Accounting for this headcount, the suburb of Warner records a density of 1,383 persons per square kilometer, outpacing the national benchmark evaluated by AreaSearch.
With a 19.5% increase following the 2021 census, population growth in the suburb of Warner outperformed both the broader SA3 area and the nationwide average (9.5%), establishing the community as a regional growth hotspot. Natural increase served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 59.0% of all recent population additions, while overseas migration alongside interstate migration also delivered positive inflows. Projections for each SA2 locality are sourced from 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia models pegged to a 2022 baseline year. For horizons extending beyond 2032 or areas not covered in that dataset, AreaSearch integrates 2023 Queensland State Government SA2 series based on 2021 figures. Because state forecasts lack age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch aligns age groupings by applying cohort weightings derived from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region release (using 2022 figures). Moving forward, the suburb of Warner is projected to deliver population gains above the national median, with aggregated SA2-level figures anticipating an influx of 2,683 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative rise of 9.5% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
411 new dwellings have been approved in Warner over the past five years, an average of 82 a year. That places the area in the 85th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 145 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 86% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 364, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An assessment of building permit data from statistical areas reveals that Warner has registered roughly 82 dwelling approvals per annum on average. Across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), 411 residential approvals were logged, alongside 364 recorded during FY-25 to date. Housing demand and incoming supply display balanced conditions, supported by a ratio of 1.2 incoming residents annually for every dwelling completed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with typical building costs averaging $405,000 per property. Concurrently, commercial construction activity remains subdued, totaling $2.6 million in approvals across the present financial year.
Per capita building activity in Warner outpaces Greater Brisbane by 126.0%, expanding inventory and options for incoming purchasers. This volume substantially exceeds nationwide figures, underscoring solid developer enthusiasm in the area. Residential additions are predominantly composed of detached dwellings at 86.0%, compared to 14.0% for attached formats, preserving the neighbourhood's family-oriented, low-density character. With an intensity of around 59 people per approval, Warner clearly exhibits the profile of an expanding locality. Demographic models anticipate that Warner will expand by 1,393 residents leading up to 2041, calculated from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly update. Existing building volumes suggest that residential delivery will comfortably satisfy future demand, supporting buyer opportunities and potentially facilitating expansion beyond current estimates.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warner
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 11 current infrastructure and development projects inside Warner, worth an estimated $426 million. A further 58 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $39.7 billion. 21 are already under construction and 23 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local growth, property demand, and regional accessibility remain closely linked to infrastructure investments and strategic planning initiatives. AreaSearch has pinpointed a total of 18 projects expected to influence the district, including prominent developments such as Youngs Crossing Road Upgrade, Elan, The Sanctuary, and Mayfair Joyner.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Youngs Crossing Road Upgrade
City of Moreton Bay is delivering the Youngs Crossing Road Upgrade at Joyner to improve flood immunity, safety and capacity at the North Pine River crossing. The project covers more than one kilometre between Protheroe Road and Dayboro Road and includes a new approximately 200 metre flood-resilient bridge, road widening and intersection upgrades, traffic signals, retaining walls, utility works, pedestrian and cycling improvements, noise barriers, environmental management measures and landscaping. As of May 2026, construction is progressing, with bridge concrete works, underground services, traffic signal works, piling, retaining wall works, earthworks and vegetation management underway.
The Sanctuary
The Sanctuary is a masterplanned residential community in Warner by Ausbuild. The development features house and land packages, expansive community parklands, a kick-and-chase zone, and 11 hectares of rehabilitated riparian corridors. Current works include dwelling construction across multiple stages and civil works for Warner South, alongside an adjacent childcare centre and swim school.
Elan
Elan is a 41-hectare masterplanned community in Warner delivering 387 new homes across four neighbourhoods with a mix of one- and two-storey residences by Villaworld Homes by AVID. Nearly half the site is dedicated to parks and habitat, with a network of walking and cycling trails. The development includes three koala crossings, two underpasses at community entrances and a first-of-its-kind overpass across Kremzow Road with fauna monitoring capability. Construction commenced July 2024 with staged land releases now selling.
Mayfair Joyner
Mayfair Joyner is a community nurtured by nature, featuring 150 house and land packages with block sizes ranging from 195m2 terraces to 400m2+ traditional house lots, all with generous frontages and access to over 3.5 hectares of public open space bordering One Mile Creek, along with 2 local parks. It includes vast lawns, leafy parklands, gentle creeks, and creative spaces for playing and exploring, designed as a natural enclave for families. The development is delivered in multiple stages and features environmental open spaces including a new park and playground with wildlife management initiatives.
Joyner Sewerage Infrastructure
The project includes a pump station and rising mains linked by approximately 1.7 kilometres of pipework in the Oxford Road area, enabling residential housing development.
Flora
A boutique development of 60 premium homes in the highly sought-after suburb of Joyner, located 22km north of the Brisbane CBD. The community is within walking distance of shops, schools, and public transport, and is surrounded by stunning parks and nature reserves, with a short walk to Lake Samsonvale.
Regent Quarter
A significant infill development in the established suburb of Joyner, comprising 328 residential lots ranging from 352m2 to 681m2, including an approved 130-place Childcare Centre. The project is designed to create practical and rewarding communities, with easy transport links to Brisbane CBD and Sunshine Coast.
Les Hughes Sports Complex Master Plan Implementation
Redevelopment of the Les Hughes Sports Complex netball building in Bray Park, delivering a modern clubhouse for the Pine Rivers Netball Association. Supported by local, state, and federal funding, the project features change rooms, a canteen, clubroom, tiered seating, and 74 new parking spaces.
8,159 residents of Warner are employed, from a labour force of 8,398. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 80.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 10,660, about 73% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Warner maintains an active, skilled labour base featuring strong participation across key service industries, an unemployment figure of 2.8%, and stable workforce conditions over the prior twelve months. In March 2026, employed locals numbered 8,159, with an unemployment rate tracking 1.5% below Greater Brisbane's 4.3% benchmark and an exceptional participation rate of 80.3% against 70.1% regionally. Furthermore, Census returns showed that 18.3% of workers operated remotely from home, a metric influenced by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions at the time. Local workers are predominantly active within health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, as well as construction.
Public administration & safety shows distinctive local concentration, capturing a workforce proportion 1.6 times that of the wider region. Conversely, professional & technical occupations are underrepresented locally, accounting for 6.9% of workers relative to 8.9% across the region. Comparisons between the working-age resident base and local workplace counts indicate that this largely residential community provides limited internal job openings. Reviewing SALM and ABS statistical aggregates over the 12 months to March 2026, local employment ticked up by 0.2% while the total workforce grew by 0.3%, driving a 0.1 percentage points rise in unemployment. Across Greater Brisbane during the same timeframe, employment climbed by 3.2%, the labour force grew by 3.4%, and unemployment increased by 0.1 percentage points. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia national projections issued in Mar-26 provide context for structural labour demand. While nation-level modelling anticipates employment gains of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, trajectories vary notably by sector. Weighting these industry projections against Warner's occupational distribution suggests local employment may rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years (a basic baseline extrapolation that excludes bespoke local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warner is $2,296 a week (about $119,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,025 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $66,594 a year against an average of $76,547. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place Warner's median taxpayer earnings at $66,594 and average earnings at $76,547. These metrics significantly exceed nationwide standards and outstrip Greater Brisbane, where median and average figures sit at $58,236 and $72,799, respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, modelled values indicate approximately $74,159 (median) and $85,243 (average) as of March 2026. Data from Census 2021 positions personal, family, and household incomes within the 81st and 83rd percentiles across Australia. Examining weekly earnings, 42.5% of residents (6,226 individuals) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, compared with 33.3% across the wider region, while 31.3% secure above $3,000/week.
Although housing obligations absorb 15.4% of earnings, robust wages sustain disposable income at the 82nd percentile, alongside a SEIFA ranking in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warner had 4,083 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 0% apartments. 49% are owned with a mortgage, 31% rented and 20% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $420 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,980 a month, a total housing cost higher than 82% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 18.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, residential stock in Warner consisted of 91.1% separate houses and 8.8% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, semi-detached properties, and 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Brisbane metro's split of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright home ownership trailed the capital average at 20.3%, with mortgaged residences comprising 49.1% and rental housing accounting for 30.6%. Housing overheads trend above metropolitan baselines, with median monthly mortgage payments reaching $1,980 (versus $1,863 across Brisbane metro) and weekly rents averaging $420 (against $380). Warner's repayments also exceed the Australian mortgage benchmark of $1,863 and the national rental median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warner counted 4,083 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 4,878 today, averaging 3.0 people each. 47% are couples with children, more than in 91% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 13% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units account for 85.3% of local households, led by couples with children (46.6%), couples without children (26.3%), and single parent families (11.5%). Non-family setups make up the remaining 14.7%, consisting of lone person households (13.1%) and group living arrangements (1.6%). Average household size stands at 3.0 people, exceeding the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
24.4% of adults in Warner hold a university qualification, including 17.8% with a bachelor degree and 3.9% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 27.8% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in Warner falls behind broader regional figures, with 24.4% of residents aged 15+ possessing university degrees compared to 30.5% in the wider SA3 area. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications are most prevalent at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate credentials at 3.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational education represents a major strength locally, as 40.8% of residents aged 15+ hold technical qualifications, comprising 13.0% with advanced diplomas and 27.8% holding certificates. Formal study engagement is substantial throughout the community, with 31.5% of the local population actively enrolled in an educational course.
Broken down by stage, this includes 11.7% attending primary schools, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.0% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Warner means driving: households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.7% of residents in Warner report no long-term health condition. 4.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across Warner present a favourable picture, with mortality and morbidity measures aligning closely with Australian standards. While routine ailments show a slightly higher prevalence across both younger and older cohorts, private health insurance coverage is extensive, covering roughly 58% of the community (~8,428 people). Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent reported ailments, diagnosed in 8.5% and 9.3% of the community, respectively. A total of 71.7% of residents reported having no medical conditions, exceeding the 69.2% rate logged across Greater Brisbane. General well-being among working-age cohorts remains standard, while seniors aged 65 and over constitute 11.4% of the population (1,670 people), sitting beneath Greater Brisbane's 15.0% proportion, with broader health ranks matching national patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warner is largely Australian-born, at 78.1% of residents, with 11.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (28.6%) and English (28.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Warner tracks above typical levels, with 21.9% of the population born abroad and 11.3% communicating in a language other than English at home. Christianity forms the predominant faith, practiced by 51.9% of residents. In addition, Hinduism shows an above-average local presence, representing 3.4% of the community compared to 2.2% across Greater Brisbane. Examining ancestral backgrounds based on parents' country of birth, the primary groups identified are Australian at 28.6% (outpacing the regional level of 23.2%), English at 28.2%, and Irish at 7.6%. Divergences also appear across other heritage groups, including South Australian at 1.2% (against 0.6% regionally), New Zealand at 1.2% (versus 1.0%), and Maori at 0.8% (compared to 1.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warner is 33, younger than 86% of areas nationally. 28.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic structure in Warner skews noticeably younger than Greater Brisbane. August 2026 figures from AreaSearch show that children and young adults (0 - 24) comprise 35.2% of residents, above the 31.8% regional mark, while retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) represent 11.4%, below Greater Brisbane's 15.0%. The estimated median age in August 2026 is 33, matching the 2021 Census result, positioning the suburb 3 years younger than Greater Brisbane (36) and younger than the nationwide median of 38 at that Census. Since the Census, the share of retiree and elderly cohorts expanded from 8.9% to 11.4%.
Looking ahead to 2041, the largest numerical gain is anticipated among retiree and elderly cohorts, adding 1,068 residents (64%) to reach 2,738, whereas young to middle aged adults and children and young adults are forecast to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warner
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 4 months ago all 11 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 516 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (12,264 at the 2021 Census → 14,651 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL32991). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.