Warner

Warner lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the estimated population of Warner is around 14,345 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,081 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,264. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 13,356 in June 2025 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. Warner's population density is 1,354 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Warner's growth rate of 17.0% since the 2021 Census exceeded the national average of 9.3%. Natural growth contributed approximately 59.0% to overall population gains recently.

All migration factors were positive contributors. For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data from 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas, and Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data for years post-2032. Warner is forecast to grow by 2,779 persons to 2041, reflecting a 12.5% increase over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Warner among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Warner averaged approximately 71 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 358 homes from FY-20 to FY-24. As of FY-26202 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling has supported an average of 2.6 new residents annually between FY-21 and FY-25.

The average construction cost value for these dwellings was $345,000. In FY-26, Warner has seen $2.6 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Warner's new home approvals are 33.0% higher per person over the past five years.

This maintains reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. The area's building activity comprises 87.0% detached dwellings and 13.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving its traditional suburban character focused on family homes. Warner reflects a developing area with approximately 172 people per approval. AreaSearch estimates project Warner to grow by 1,790 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Warner has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Youngs Crossing Road Upgrade, Elan, The Sanctuary, and Mayfair Joyner. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Warner ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Warner has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in Warner is 2.8%, having grown by an estimated 1.6% over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of December 2025, there are 8,226 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4%, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.1%.

Workforce participation in Warner is high at 81.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. According to Census responses, 18.3% of residents work from home. The key industries of employment are health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and construction. Warner has a particular specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.6% while the labour force grew by 1.9%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data). In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.2% and a drop in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage point during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Warner's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Warner's employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Warner has a median taxpayer income of $66,594 and an average income of $76,547, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is high nationally, compared to Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. As of March 2026, estimated incomes are approximately $74,159 (median) and $85,243 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Warner rank between the 81st and 83rd percentiles nationally. The largest earnings segment comprises 42.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (6,096 residents), similar to the surrounding region at 33.3%. Warner's affluence is evident with 31.3% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Warner is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Warner's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.1% houses and 8.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warner stood at 20.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.1% and rented ones at 30.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,980, higher than Brisbane metro's $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Warner's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warner features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 85.3% of all households, including 46.6% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.7%, with lone person households at 13.1% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Warner demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Warner Trail's residents aged 15+ have 24.4% with university degrees, compared to the SA3 area's 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.0% and certificates at 27.8%. Educational participation is high, with 31.5% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.7% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 5.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warner has 17 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that together facilitate 343 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 414 meters away from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most Warner residents commute outwards for work. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 90% of residents, while only 7% use trains. The average number of vehicles owned per dwelling is 1.8, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.3% of Warner residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 49 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warner's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Warner's health data shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions.

Common health issues are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is high, at approximately 58% of Warner's total population (around 8,252 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.3% and 8.5% of residents respectively. About 71.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among working-age Warner residents are typical. The area has 11.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,678 people), lower than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. Overall health rankings for Warner align with national averages.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warner records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warner's cultural diversity was above average, with 11.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 21.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warner, accounting for 51.9%. Hinduism was overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, comprising 3.4% versus 2.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (28.6%), English (28.2%), and Irish (7.6%). Notably, South Australian (1.2%) and New Zealand (1.2%) ethnicities were overrepresented in Warner compared to regional averages of 0.6% and 1.0%, respectively. Maori ethnicity was also notable at 0.8%.

Warner's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Warner has a median age of 34, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and substantially under Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Warner has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.7%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (3.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population of Warner aged 65-74 has grown from 5.7% to 6.8%, while the 75-84 age group increased from 2.7% to 3.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 decreased from 16.2% to 14.7%, and the 25-34 age group dropped from 15.7% to 14.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Warner. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 92%, adding 498 residents and reaching a total of 1,044. This growth is part of an overall trend towards demographic aging, with residents aged 65 and older representing 56% of anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, the 5-14 and 25-34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.