Warner

Warner lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026 the estimated population of Warner is around 13,613. This reflects an increase of 1,349 people (11.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,264 people in the suburb of Warner. The change was inferred from the resident population of 13,240 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 335 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,285 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warner's 11.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (7.4%) and the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas across the nation is forecast, with the suburb expected to grow by 2,871 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 17.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Warner among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Warner shows an average of around 67 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 338 homes. In FY26103 approvals have been recorded so far. Between FY21 and FY25, there were approximately 1.9 new residents per year per dwelling constructed on average.

The average construction cost value of new homes was $345,000. This financial year has seen $2.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development focus. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Warner has shown moderately higher new home approvals, 26.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. New building activity consists of 86.0% detached dwellings and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Warner's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 192 people per approval, Warner reflects a developing area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Warner is expected to grow by 2,425 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Warner has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are Youngs Crossing Road Upgrade, Elan, The Sanctuary, and Mayfair Joyner. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Warner ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Warner has a skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.8%, and it saw an estimated employment growth of 4.8% over the past year based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, there are 8,268 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Warner's workforce participation is high at 82.0%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, 18.3% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries employing Warner residents are health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and construction. Notably, public administration & safety is highly specialized with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.9% compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8%, and labour force grew by 5.3%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a drop of 0.5 percentage points in its unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warner's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Warner had a median taxpayer income of $66,594 and an average income of $76,547 in financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is notably high compared to Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $73,193 (median) and $84,133 (average), based on a Wage Price Index growth of 9.91%. Census data indicates that Warner's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 81st and 83rd percentiles nationally. The majority of residents, 5785 in total, earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, making up 42.5% of the suburb's population. Warner also has a significant proportion, 31.3%, earning over $3,000 per week. Housing costs consume 15.4% of income in Warner, but despite this, disposable income ranks at the 82nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Warner is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Warner's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.1% houses and 8.8% other dwellings such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This differs from Brisbane metro's structure which comprised 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warner stood at 20.3%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 49.1% and rented dwellings making up 30.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warner was $1,980, surpassing Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure in Warner was recorded at $420, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Warner's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warner features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 85.3% of all households, including 46.6% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.7%, with lone person households at 13.1% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Warner demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Warner Trail's residents aged 15+ have 24.4% with university degrees, compared to SA3's 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.8%, including advanced diplomas (13.0%) and certificates (27.8%). Educational participation is high, with 31.5% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (11.7%), secondary (8.4%), tertiary (5.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warner has 17 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that collectively facilitate 343 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing 414 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most Warner residents commute outward for work and other purposes. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation in the region, used by 90% of residents, while only 7% use trains. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.8, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.3% of Warner's residents work from home, a figure which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 49 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warner's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Warner's health data shows positive outcomes overall.

Mortality rates and health conditions align with national benchmarks, though common health issues are slightly more prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of Warner's total population (~7,831 people). Mental health issues impact 9.3% of residents, while asthma affects 8.5%. About 71.7% report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age population health outcomes are typical. Warner has 12.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,701 people), lower than Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. National rankings for this age group align with general population figures.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warner records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warner had above-average cultural diversity, with 11.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 21.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 51.9%. Hinduism was overrepresented at 3.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 2.2%.

Top ancestry groups were Australian (28.6%), English (28.2%), and Irish (7.6%). South African (1.2%) and New Zealand (1.2%) ethnicities were notably higher than regional averages, while Maori was slightly lower at 0.8%.

Warner's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Warner's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Warner has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.1%) compared to Greater Brisbane but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.6%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population of residents aged 65-74 increased from 5.7% to 7.4%, while those aged 75-84 grew from 2.7% to 4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 15.7% to 13.6%, and those aged 5-14 dropped from 16.2% to 15.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Warner. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 103%, adding 561 residents to reach a total of 1,106. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 53% of the population growth. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.