Warner

Warner lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Warner's estimated population is around 13,451 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,187 people (9.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,264 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,240 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 255 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,270 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warner's 9.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's 7.2%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As future population trends are examined, an above median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected, with the Warner statistical area expected to grow by 2,860 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 19.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Warner among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Warner averaged around 67 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 338 homes. So far in FY-26103 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, there has been an average of 1.9 new residents per year per dwelling constructed.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $345,000. In FY-26, Warner has seen $2.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development focus. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Warner shows moderately higher new home approvals, 25.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. New building activity consists of 86.0% detached dwellings and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Warner's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. At around 192 people per approval, Warner reflects a developing area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Warner is expected to grow by 2,578 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Warner has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 18 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Youngs Crossing Road Upgrade, Elan, The Sanctuary, and Mayfair Joyner, as detailed below for relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Warner ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Warner has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.8%, with an estimated employment growth of 4.7% over the past year, as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, Warner has 8,236 residents employed, with an unemployment rate at 1.2% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. The workforce participation rate in Warner is 75.5%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries employing Warner residents are health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and construction. Notably, public administration & safety has an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, while professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.9% compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Warner experienced employment growth of 4.7% and labour force increase of 5.2%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. State-level data from QLD as of 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warner's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Warner shows a median taxpayer income of $66,594 and an average of $76,547 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is notably higher than Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. By September 2025, current estimates project Warner's median taxpayer income to be approximately $73,193 and the average to be around $84,133, factoring in a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data indicates that Warner ranks highly nationally for household, family, and personal incomes, falling between the 81st and 83rd percentiles. The earnings profile reveals that the largest segment comprises 5716 residents earning $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, representing 42.5% of Warner's population, which aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort also represents 33.3%. Warner demonstrates significant affluence with 31.3% of its residents earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.4% of income in Warner, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Warner is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warner's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 91.1% houses and 8.8% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Brisbane metro's 91.2% houses and 8.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warner was at 20.3%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 49.1% and rented ones at 30.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warner was $1,980, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure in Warner was recorded at $420, compared to Brisbane metro's $440. Nationally, Warner's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warner features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.3 percent of all households, including 46.6 percent couples with children, 26.3 percent couples without children, and 11.5 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.7 percent, with lone person households at 13.1 percent and group households comprising 1.6 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.9.

Warner demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Warner Trail's residents aged 15 and above have a university degree attainment rate of 24.4%, compared to the SA3 area's 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.8% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 13.0% and certificates at 27.8%. Educational participation is high, with 31.5% currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.7% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 5.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 17 active stops operating in Warner, consisting of bus services. These are served by 4 routes offering 343 weekly passenger trips collectively. Accessibility is moderate with residents typically 414 meters from nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 49 daily trips across all routes, equating to about 20 weekly trips per stop.

Warner's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Warner with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population. However, prevalence is higher than the national average among older and at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover rate is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~7,738 people), compared to 60.6% across Greater Brisbane. The most common medical conditions in Warner are mental health issues affecting 9.3% of residents and asthma impacting 8.5%. A total of 71.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.9% across Greater Brisbane. As of 2021, the area has 11.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,573 people), which is lower than the 16.2% in Greater Brisbane.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warner records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warner's population showed above-average cultural diversity, with 11.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 21.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warner, comprising 51.9%. Hinduism was overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, making up 3.4% of Warner's population versus 0.9%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (28.6%), English (28.2%), and Irish (7.6%). Notably, South African (1.2%) and New Zealand (1.2%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.0% each, with Maori at 0.8% versus the region's 0.4%.

Warner's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Warner's median age is 33 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Warner has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.3%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (3.7%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 65-74 age group in Warner has increased from 5.7% to 7.0% of the population, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.7% to 14.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Warner's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 122%, adding 607 residents to reach a total of 1,105. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 53% of the population growth, while declines are anticipated for the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups.