Bray Park

Bray Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Bray Park's population is around 10,771 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 500 people (4.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,271 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,743 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 36 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,398 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 70.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of national areas is anticipated, with the area expected to increase by 227 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 1.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bray Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bray Park has recorded around 39 residential properties granted approval annually, with 196 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 4 so far in FY-26. At an average of 1.1 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, with recent figures showing this has accelerated to 6.7 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply. Development projects average $214,000 in construction value—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $23.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Relative to Greater Brisbane, Bray Park shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person while it places among the 32nd percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice, supporting interest in existing properties. New development consists of 48.0% detached houses and 52.0% townhouses or apartments. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 97.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 907 people per dwelling approval, Bray Park reflects a highly mature market.

Future projections show Bray Park adding 199 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bray Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 19 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Les Hughes Sports Complex Master Plan Implementation, Les Hughes Sports Complex - Netball Clubhouse, John Bray Park Enhancement, and Samsonvale Road Residential Developments, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Bray Park has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Bray Park features a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 8.2%, and 2.3% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,503 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 4.1% above Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%. Based on Census responses, a low 13.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has particular employment specialization in retail trade, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 5.6% employment compared to 8.9% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3% and labour force increased by 1.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.2% and labour force growth of 3.0%, with a 0.1 percentage point drop. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Bray Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bray Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Bray Park SA2's income level is lower than average on a national basis according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Bray Park SA2's median income among taxpayers is $52,001 and the average income stands at $59,634, which compares to figures for Greater Brisbane's of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $57,154 (median) and $65,544 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Bray Park, between the 39th and 49th percentiles. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 40.6% of the community (4,373 individuals), mirroring the region where 33.3% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 49th percentile.

Bray Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Bray Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.9% houses and 3.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Bray Park was in line with that of Brisbane metro, at 27.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (43.5%) or rented (28.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Brisbane metro average at $1,668, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $390, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Bray Park's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Bray Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 78.4% of all households, comprising 36.2% couples with children, 25.9% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.6%, with lone person households at 18.7% and group households comprising 2.9% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Bray Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (15.4%) substantially below the Greater Brisbane average of 30.5%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (30.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 60 active transport stops operating within Bray Park, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 6 individual routes, collectively providing 473 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 156 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 85%, with 9% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 13.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 67 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 7 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bray Park is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Bray Park, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions have marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 49% of the total population (~5,267 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 11.6% and 9.4% of residents, respectively, while 62.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 17.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,852 people), which is higher than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Bray Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bray Park is roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 80.3% of its population born in Australia, 88.4% being citizens, and 89.3% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Bray Park is Christianity, which makes up 51.1% of people in Bray Park, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Bray Park are English, comprising 28.5% of the population, Australian, comprising 27.8% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Samoan is notably overrepresented at 1.2% of Bray Park (vs 0.9% regionally), Maori at 1.2% (vs 1.1%) and New Zealand at 0.9% (vs 1.0%).

Bray Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 37 years, Bray Park's median age is nearly matching the Greater Brisbane average of 36 while also very close to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Bray Park has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (14.4%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (11.8%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.0% to 6.2% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 12.6% to 13.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 13.3% to 11.8%. Demographic modeling suggests Bray Park's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 51%, adding 337 residents to reach 1,004. Senior residents (65+) will drive 67% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. On the other hand, the 65 to 74 and 15 to 24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.