Murrumba Downs - Griffin

Murrumba Downs - Griffin lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Murrumba Downs - Griffin's population is around 27,444 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 4,355 people (18.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,089 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 26,616 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 698 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,218 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Murrumba Downs - Griffin's 18.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 52.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Regarding demographic trends, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national areas is forecast, with the area expected to grow by 12,303 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 41.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Murrumba Downs - Griffin was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Murrumba Downs - Griffin has seen around 255 new homes approved each year, totalling 1,278 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 78 approvals have been recorded. At an average of 3.8 new residents per year for every home built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is substantially lagging demand, which generally means heightened buyer competition, leading to pricing pressures, while new homes are being built at an average value of $168,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. Additionally, $23.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

When measured against Greater Brisbane, Murrumba Downs - Griffin shows 51.0% higher new home approvals (per person), creating greater choice for buyers, though building activity has slowed in recent years. This level is substantially higher than nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. Recent construction comprises 79.0% detached houses and 21.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 217 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth.

Future projections show Murrumba Downs - Griffin adding 11,475 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Murrumba Downs - Griffin has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 41 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Redcliffe Peninsula Rail Line Upgrades, River Cove Residences, Moreton Bay Marine Education and Discovery Centre, and Moreton Bay Central, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Murrumba Downs - Griffin has been broadly consistent with national averages

Murrumba Downs - Griffin possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 4.2%, and 1.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 15,751 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is in line with Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (80.8% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 15.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area shows particularly strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 5.4% employment compared to 8.9% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.6% and the labour force increased by 1.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2%, labour force growth of 3.0%, with unemployment falling 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Murrumba Downs - Griffin. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Murrumba Downs - Griffin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Murrumba Downs - Griffin SA2's income level is slightly above average nationally, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Murrumba Downs - Griffin SA2's median income among taxpayers is $62,821 and the average income stands at $69,837, compared to Greater Brisbane's figures of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $69,047 (median) and $76,758 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Murrumba Downs - Griffin cluster around the 66th percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 41.3% of the community (11,334 individuals), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 33.3% in the same category. High housing costs consume 17.6% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 59th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Murrumba Downs - Griffin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Murrumba Downs - Griffin, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 72.9% houses and 27.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Murrumba Downs - Griffin lagged that of Brisbane metro at 16.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (41.7%) or rented (41.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Brisbane metro average at $1,901, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $380, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Murrumba Downs - Griffin's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Murrumba Downs - Griffin features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 79.7% of all households, comprising 38.7% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.3%, with lone person households at 17.6% and group households comprising 2.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Murrumba Downs - Griffin exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Murrumba Downs - Griffin trail regional benchmarks, with 22.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.5% in Greater Brisbane. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.6%) and certificates (28.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 40 active transport stops operating within Murrumba Downs - Griffin, comprising a mix of train and buses. These stops are serviced by 34 individual routes, collectively providing 2,091 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 335 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 89%, with 7% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. Some 15.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 298 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

Murrumba Downs - Griffin's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Murrumba Downs - Griffin residents, with AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions showing results broadly in line with national benchmarks. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover slightly leads the average SA2 area at approximately 54% of the total population (~14,792 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.1% and 8.2% of residents, respectively, while 71.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 11.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,035 people), which is lower than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Murrumba Downs - Griffin was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Murrumba Downs - Griffin was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 17.6% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 27.5% born overseas. The main religion in Murrumba Downs - Griffin is Christianity, which makes up 45.9% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 4.6% of the population, compared to 1.3% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Murrumba Downs - Griffin are English, comprising 27.3% of the population, Australian, comprising 25.2% of the population, and Other, comprising 10.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: New Zealand is notably overrepresented at 1.4% of Murrumba Downs - Griffin (vs 1.0% regionally), Maori at 1.8% (vs 1.1%) and Samoan at 1.2% (vs 0.9%).

Murrumba Downs - Griffin hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 32 years, Murrumba Downs - Griffin's median age is notably under the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Murrumba Downs - Griffin has a higher concentration of 35 - 44 residents (17.9%) but fewer 65 - 74 year-olds (5.8%). In the period since 2021, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 15.8% to 17.9% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 18.4% to 15.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Murrumba Downs - Griffin's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, increasing by 2,148 people (68%) from 3,150 to 5,299.