Bald Hills (Qld)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bald Hills reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As per ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Bald Hills (Qld) had an estimated population of 7511 as of Feb 2026. This showed an increase of 511 people, a 7.3% rise since the 2021 Census which reported 7000 residents. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 7506 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024) and an additional 16 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 585 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. Bald Hills's 7.3% growth since census was within 1.8 percentage points of the SA4 region's 9.1%, demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 and based on 2021 data are used, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts as per ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth of national areas, with the suburb expected to expand by 285 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 3.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bald Hills recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Bald Hills has experienced around 16 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 81 homes. So far in FY-26, 4 approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of 6.3 people moving to the area each year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $330,000.

In this financial year, there have been $4.0 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to Greater Brisbane, where Bald Hills records markedly lower building activity (63.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Nationally, Bald Hills also reflects market maturity and possible development constraints with lower building activity. New building activity shows 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 550 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts indicate Bald Hills will gain 255 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bald Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects that may impact the region. Notable projects include Linkfield Road Overpass Upgrade, Wyampa Road Residential Estate, Bald Hills Station Precinct Renewal, and 202 Lacey Road Townhouse Development. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bald Hills remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Bald Hills has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.9% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 12.1%. As of September 2025, 4,251 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.8%, which is 1.9% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation was 74.5%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, 16.4% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Professional & technical services had lower representation at 6.5%, compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 12.1% while labour force grew by 10.8%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a drop in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bald Hills' employment mix indicates that local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Bald Hills had a lower than average income level nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $53,682 and the average income stood at $60,406, compared to Greater Brisbane's figures of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $59,002 (median) and $66,392 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Bald Hills cluster around the 60th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows 41.3% of the population (3,102 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range. After housing, 85.0% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bald Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Bald Hills, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.0% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. In Brisbane metro, this was 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bald Hills was 26.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.1% and rented ones at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,863. Median weekly rent in Bald Hills was $388, higher than Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Bald Hills' mortgage repayments were lower at $1,733 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Bald Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.7% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.3%, with lone person households at 18.2% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Bald Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 21.7%, significantly lower than the SA3 average of 35.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (27.4%). Educational participation is high at 28.3%, comprising primary education (10.8%), secondary education (7.7%), and tertiary education (4.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bald Hills has 33 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 33 different routes, collectively facilitating 1,637 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 276 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most Bald Hills residents commute outward, predominantly using cars (84%). Train usage stands at 9%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, surpassing the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 16.4% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 233 trips daily, equating to roughly 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bald Hills is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant challenges in Bald Hills based on AreaSearch's assessment completed on 23rd March 2022. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were notably high across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover was found to be relatively low, at approximately 51% of the total population (around 3,841 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane as of 30th June 2021. The most common medical conditions were mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.9% and 9.1% of residents respectively, whereas 66.1% reported being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane as of the same date. Working-age residents showed an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area had 15.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,179 people) as of 30th June 2021. Health outcomes among seniors presented some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population as of the same date.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bald Hills was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bald Hills, as per data collected, exhibits cultural diversity above the average level. Its population comprises 23.1% born overseas, with 14.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bald Hills, accounting for 48.8% of its residents.

Notably, the 'Other' religious category is slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, with 1.6% versus 1.3%. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are English (27.0%), Australian (26.4%), and Other (7.9%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: New Zealanders make up 1.1%, Samoans 0.9%, and Filipinos 2.6% compared to regional percentages of 1.0%, 0.9%, and 1.2% respectively.

Bald Hills's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bald Hills' median age is 36 years, equal to Greater Brisbane's but younger than the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group constitutes 15.6% of Bald Hills' population compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.2%. From 2021 onwards, the 15-24 age group has grown from 10.9% to 12.9%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.2% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort declined from 15.7% to 13.2%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 14.2% to 12.9%. By 2041, population forecasts show significant demographic changes in Bald Hills. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow exceptionally, increasing by 214 people (150%) from 142 to 357. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 64% of total population growth, indicating an aging demographic profile in the area. In contrast, both 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.