Bald Hills (Qld)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bald Hills reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by them, the suburb of Bald Hills (Qld) had an estimated population of 7578 as of May 2026. This figure represents a growth of 578 people from its 2021 Census count of 7000, marking an increase of 8.3%. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 7550, based on their examination of the June 2025 ABS ERP data release and additional validation of 17 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 590 persons per square kilometer for Bald Hills. Comparing this growth rate to the SA4 region's 9.2% increase, Bald Hills' 8.3% growth is within 0.9 percentage points, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with overseas and interstate migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 (based on 2021 data) are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. By 2041, the suburb is projected to grow by 172 persons, reflecting a total increase of 1.9% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bald Hills recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Bald Hills averaged approximately 16 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 81 homes were approved, with an additional 9 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 6.7 new residents arriving per year for each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $330,000. This financial year has seen approximately $4.0 million in commercial approvals, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bald Hills shows substantially reduced construction, with 62.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes.

Nationally, this is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 552 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Looking ahead, Bald Hills is expected to grow by approximately 144 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bald Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Linkfield Road Overpass Upgrade, Wyampa Road Residential Estate, 202 Lacey Road Townhouse Development, and Bald Hills Station Precinct Renewal. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Bald Hills demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Bald Hills has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.4% as of the latest data. Employment grew by an estimated 12.1% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of December 2025, 4,387 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.2% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Bald Hills was recorded at 75.7%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. A moderate 16.4% of residents worked from home, as per Census responses, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. However, professional & technical services were under-represented at 6.5%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period, employment increased by 12.1% alongside labour force growth of 10.0%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 1.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.2%, labour force grow by 3.0%, and unemployment fall by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate potential future demand within Bald Hills. Applying these projections to the local employment mix suggests that local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Bald Hills had a median taxpayer income of $53,682 and an average income of $60,406. Nationally, these figures are lower than the averages of $58,236 and $72,799 in Greater Brisbane respectively. Considering Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes for Bald Hills as of March 2026 would be approximately $59,780 and $67,268 respectively. The 2021 Census indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Bald Hills are around the 60th percentile nationally. Income brackets show that 41.3% of residents (3,129 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to regional trends at 33.3%. After housing expenses, 85.0% of income remains for other costs. Bald Hills' SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bald Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Bald Hills, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.0% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. In comparison, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bald Hills was 26.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.1% and rented at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,863 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Bald Hills was $388, higher than Brisbane metro's $380 but close to the national figure of $375.

Bald Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.7% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.3%, with lone person households at 18.2% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Bald Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 21.7%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 35.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (27.4%). Educational participation is high at 28.3%, with 10.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bald Hills has 33 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 33 unique routes, collectively facilitating 1,637 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 276 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most commuters travel outward; cars remain the predominant mode at 84%, while trains account for 9%. The area has an average of 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 16.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 233 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bald Hills is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant challenges for Bald Hills, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 51% of the total population (~3,875 people) has private health cover, compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.9%) and asthma (9.1%). Sixty-six point one percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 15.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,167 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bald Hills was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bald Hills, surveyed in 2016, had a cultural diversity above average with 23.1% of its population born overseas and 14.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, making up 48.8%. The 'Other' category showed overrepresentation at 1.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 1.3%.

Top ancestry groups were English (27.0%), Australian (26.4%), and Other (7.9%). Notable divergences included New Zealand (1.1% vs regional 1.0%), Samoan (0.9% vs 0.9%), and Filipino (2.6% vs 1.2%).

Bald Hills's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bald Hills' median age is 36 years, equal to Greater Brisbane's but younger than Australia's national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group comprises 16.2%, higher than Greater Brisbane's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort is at 14.1%. From 2021 onwards, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 10.9% to 12.5%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 4.2% to 5.4%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 15.7% to 14.1%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 14.2% to 12.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Bald Hills. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow exceptionally, increasing by 189 people (139%) from 136 to 326. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 63% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.