Bald Hills (Qld)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bald Hills reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Bald Hills is around 7,504, reflecting a 7.2% increase since the 2021 Census which reported 7,000 people. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 7,489 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 17 new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 584 persons per square kilometer. Bald Hills' 7.2% growth since census is close to the SA4 region's 8.6%, demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed about 47.0% of overall gains, with positive factors from overseas and interstate migration also present. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings for age cohorts in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023. Future demographic trends anticipate lower quartile growth, with the suburb expected to expand by 293 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 3.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bald Hills recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Bald Hills experienced around 15 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 77 homes. So far in FY26, two approvals have been recorded. On average, 6.6 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand significantly outpacing supply. New dwellings were developed at an average expected construction cost of $330,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms.

Additionally, $6.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bald Hills records markedly lower building activity, with 64.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, building activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated count of 675 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections show Bald Hills adding 266 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Bald Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 37 projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones include Linkfield Road Overpass Upgrade, Wyampa Road Residential Estate, 202 Lacey Road Townhouse Development, and Bald Hills Station Precinct Renewal. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bald Hills remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Bald Hills has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of an unspecified past year.

Employment growth over the previous year was estimated at 11.1%. As of June 2025, 4,140 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Bald Hills was 66.9%, slightly above Greater Brisbane's 64.5%.

The leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. However, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 6.5% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities in Bald Hills appear limited locally based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 11.1%, while labour force grew by 10.5%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 4.4% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a 0.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Bald Hills' employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Bald Hills' median income among taxpayers was $53,682 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $60,406 during the same period. Comparing these figures with Greater Brisbane's median and average incomes of $55,645 and $70,520 respectively, Bald Hills' income levels were lower than average nationally. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes for Bald Hills would be approximately $61,192 and $68,857 by September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Bald Hills cluster around the 60th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 41.3% of the population (3,099 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. After housing expenses, 85.0% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bald Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Bald Hills, evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.0% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. In Brisbane metro, it was 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bald Hills stood at 26.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.1% and rented ones at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, below Brisbane metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent was $388, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Bald Hills' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Bald Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 78.7% of all households, consisting of 35.9% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.3%, with lone person households at 18.2% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which matches the Greater Brisbane average.

The educational profile of Bald Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 21.7%, substantially lower than the SA3 area average of 35.3%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (27.4%). Educational participation is high at 28.3%, with 10.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Bald Hills State School and St Paul's School serve a total of 1,863 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1090) and functions as an education hub with 24.8 school places per 100 residents, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Bald Hills indicates there are 33 active transport stops currently operating. These include a mix of train and bus services. A total of 28 individual routes service these stops, collectively facilitating 1,646 weekly passenger trips.

The report rates transport accessibility as good, with residents typically located approximately 276 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages around 235 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bald Hills is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Bald Hills faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups, but more so among older cohorts. Approximately 51% of Bald Hills' total population (~3837 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Brisbane's 56.2%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Bald Hills, affecting 9.9% and 9.1% of residents respectively. However, 66.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.5% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 15.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1155 people), which is lower than the 16.6% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to presenting challenges.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bald Hills was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bald Hills' cultural diversity surpassed the average, with 23.1% of its residents born overseas and 14.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity dominated Bald Hills' religious landscape, accounting for 48.8%. However, the 'Other' religion category was slightly overrepresented in Bald Hills at 1.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 1.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (27.0%), Australian (26.4%), and Other (7.9%). Notably, New Zealanders made up 1.1% of Bald Hills' population, higher than the regional average of 0.9%. Samoans also exceeded their regional representation at 0.9%, compared to 0.5%. Filipinos were notably present at 2.6%, surpassing Greater Brisbane's 1.6%.

Bald Hills's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bald Hills' median age is 36 years, equal to Greater Brisbane's but slightly younger than the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group comprises 15.7% of Bald Hills' population, higher than Greater Brisbane's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 10.9% to 12.6%, and the 75-84 cohort has risen from 4.2% to 5.4%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.7% to 13.8%, and the 5-14 group has fallen from 14.2% to 13.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Bald Hills. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow exceptionally, adding 214 people (a 150% increase) from 142 to 357. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 60% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.