Bald Hills (Qld)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bald Hills reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Bald Hills (Qld) statistical area's population is estimated at around 7514 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 514 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7000 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7506, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 585 persons per square kilometer. The Bald Hills' 7.3% growth since census positions it within 1.7 percentage points of the SA4 region's 9.0%, demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections are applied where utilised. Moving forward with demographic trends, lower quartile growth of Australian statistical areas is anticipated for the Bald Hills (Qld) (SA2), expected to expand by 294 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 3.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bald Hills recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Bald Hills has experienced around 16 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past five financial years ending FY25. This totals an estimated 81 homes. So far in FY26, four approvals have been recorded. On average, 6.3 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand outpacing supply.

New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost of $330,000. This financial year has seen $4.0 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to Greater Brisbane where Bald Hills records markedly lower building activity, 63.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes, also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 550 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts indicate Bald Hills will gain 257 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bald Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 38 projects potentially impacting this region. Notable projects include Linkfield Road Overpass Upgrade, Wyampa Road Residential Estate, Bald Hills Station Precinct Renewal, and 202 Lacey Road Townhouse Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bald Hills remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Bald Hills has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.9% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 12.2%.

As of September 2025, 4,245 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.9% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Bald Hills is 66.9%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.5% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 12.2%, while labour force increased by 10.8%, leading to a 1.2 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. State-level data from November 25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, losing 1,210 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bald Hills' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Bald Hills had a median income among taxpayers of $53,682 and an average income of $60,406 in the financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures are lower than Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth suggest the median income will be approximately $59,002 and the average income $66,392. Census data from 2021 indicates that incomes in Bald Hills cluster around the 60th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 41.3% of the population (3,103 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to regional levels where 33.3% occupy this range. After housing costs, 85.0% of income remains for other expenses. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bald Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bald Hills' dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.0% houses and 6.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bald Hills stood at 26.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.1% and rented ones at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Brisbane metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Bald Hills was $388, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Bald Hills' mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Bald Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 78.7% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.3%, comprising 18.2% lone person households and 3.1% group households. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Brisbane average.

The educational profile of Bald Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 21.7%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 35.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (27.4%). Educational participation is high at 28.3%, comprising 10.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bald Hills has 33 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 33 unique routes that facilitate 1,637 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents situated on average 276 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 233 trips per day, translating to roughly 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bald Hills is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Bald Hills faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across all age groups, but to a higher degree among older cohorts. Approximately 51% of Bald Hills' total population (~3842 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Brisbane's 58.1%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.9% and 9.1% of residents respectively. 66.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.5%. Bald Hills has 15.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1157 people), lower than Greater Brisbane's 16.6%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to the challenges they present.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bald Hills was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bald Hills, as per the data, exhibited cultural diversity above the average with 23.1% of its population born overseas and 14.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Bald Hills, accounting for 48.8% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 1.6%, slightly higher than the 1.4% regional average.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (27.0%), Australian (26.4%), and Other (7.9%). Significant disparities existed in the representation of certain ethnic groups: New Zealanders made up 1.1% compared to 0.9% regionally, Samoans constituted 0.9% versus 0.5%, and Filipinos comprised 2.6% against a regional average of 1.6%.

Bald Hills's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bald Hills' median age is 36 years, matching Greater Brisbane's but lower than the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group makes up 15.7% of Bald Hills' population compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort comprises 13.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 10.9% to 12.6%, and the 75-84 age group increased from 4.2% to 5.4%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 15.7% to 13.8%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 14.2% to 13.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Bald Hills. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow exceptionally, increasing by 214 people (150%) from 142 to 357. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 60% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.