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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Sales Detail
Population
Population growth drivers in Murrumba Downs are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends
As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated since the 2021 Census, the suburb of Murrumba Downs had an estimated population of around 14,032 as of May 2026. This figure represents a 30.0% increase from the 2021 Census population of 10,795 people. The estimate is based on AreaSearch's resident population count of 13,883, derived from examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2025 and an additional 338 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,178 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Murrumba Downs' growth since the 2021 census (30.0%) exceeded both the national average (9.3%) and state averages, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.
AreaSearch's projections for Murrumba Downs are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 and based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections lack age category splits; hence AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data as the base year. Looking ahead, exceptional growth is predicted for Murrumba Downs over the period to 2041, with an expected increase of 6,218 persons, reflecting a total increase of 43.2% based on aggregated SA2-level projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
The level of residential development activity in Murrumba Downs was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country
AreaSearch analysis indicates Murrumba Downs averaged approximately 125 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 627 homes. As of FY-26, 58 approvals have been recorded. On average, four new residents arrive per year for each dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating significant demand exceeding supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new homes is $399,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments.
This financial year has seen $1.0 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Murrumba Downs has had 48.0% more development per person over the past five years, balancing buyer choice with support for current property values, although recent activity has moderated. Recent construction consists of 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban character focused on family homes.
The location currently has approximately 142 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Population forecasts estimate Murrumba Downs will gain 6,069 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Murrumba Downs
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Infrastructure
Murrumba Downs has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally
Area infrastructure significantly impacts performance. AreaSearch identified 13 potential impact projects. Notable ones are Redcliffe Peninsula Rail Line Upgrades, River Cove Residences, UniSC Moreton Bay Campus, and Moreton Bay Marine Education and Discovery Centre.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Moreton Bay Central (formerly The Mill at Moreton Bay) - Knowledge and Innovation Precinct
Moreton Bay Central (officially renamed from The Mill at Moreton Bay on 30 July 2025) is a 460-hectare Priority Development Area transforming the former Petrie paper mill site into a major knowledge and innovation precinct north of Brisbane. The PDA spans the suburbs of Petrie, Kallangur and Lawnton, anchored by the UniSC Moreton Bay university campus. The new Moreton Bay Central PDA Development Scheme commenced on 13 October 2025. The masterplan, led by Millovate over a 20-year staged delivery, includes a major university campus, a private health precinct, advanced manufacturing, commercial and mixed-use development, around 3,400 dwellings, and significant open space and conserved koala habitat. A key Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games venue, the Moreton Bay Indoor Sports Centre, will be built within the precinct. Designed by Populous (appointed Principal Architect in March 2026), the 205.5 million dollar facility will feature 12 indoor courts with a Games-time capacity of 10,000 spectators, with construction anticipated to begin in 2027 for completion ahead of the 2032 Games. The full precinct is expected to generate thousands of jobs and substantial annual economic benefits once realised.
UniSC Moreton Bay Campus
University campus at The Mill at Moreton Bay. Foundation building opened in March 2020. Stage 2 opened on 4 April 2024 with three new mass timber buildings adding about 12,500 sqm of facilities (labs, industry hub and event space, gym and sports hall, sports science, student spaces and parking), bringing total floorspace to about 28,500 sqm. Project value totals about $240m to date.
Moreton Bay Marine Education and Discovery Centre
The Moreton Bay Marine Education and Discovery Centre is a proposed state-of-the-art facility located within the Osprey House precinct. It aims to serve as a regional hub for marine conservation and education, featuring interactive exhibits on Quandamooka marine ecosystems, research spaces, and aquaria. The project focuses on protecting local species like dugongs and sea turtles while enhancing ecotourism. As of mid-2025, the project remains in the planning and proposal phase, integrated into the broader environmental strategy for the region.
North Lakes Drive Mixed-Use Hotel Development
A $180 million transformation of a 1.72-hectare site into a 'mini James Street' style lifestyle precinct. The development features a 130-room 5-star boutique resort with a luxury lagoon pool, wellness facilities, and a large conference centre for up to 800 guests. It includes a 2,500sqm signature hospitality venue, high-end dining, and boutique retail, designed by Bureau Proberts to enhance the North Lakes Town Centre ahead of the Brisbane 2032 Olympics.
Redcliffe Peninsula Rail Line (Moreton Bay Rail Link)
The Redcliffe Peninsula Line, also known as the Moreton Bay Rail Link, is a 12.6 km dual-track electrified passenger railway extending from Petrie to Kippa-Ring in Queensland. It includes six new stations (Kallangur, Murrumba Downs, Mango Hill, Mango Hill East, Rothwell, and Kippa-Ring), 22 road and pedestrian bridges, 3.3 km of elevated viaducts, a 3-metre-wide shared pedestrian and cycle path along the corridor, and 2,850 park 'n' ride spaces with integrated bus interchanges. The line delivers approximately 650 weekly services, with peak frequencies of 6-12 minutes and a 45-minute journey to Brisbane CBD. Officially opened on 4 October 2016, the project was delivered for $988 million (under the original $1.147-1.2 billion budget range) and jointly funded by the Australian Government ($615 million), Queensland Government ($268 million), and Moreton Bay Regional Council ($105 million).
Strathpine Major Regional Activity Centre Master Plan
The Strathpine Major Regional Activity Centre (MRAC) Master Plan is a long-term strategic framework adopted by the City of Moreton Bay (formerly Moreton Bay Regional Council) to guide the transformation of Strathpine into a higher-density, transit-oriented mixed-use centre. The plan focuses development around Strathpine and Bray Park railway stations and along Gympie Road, and sets out a network of 'spines' including a Civic Spine linking the South Pine River to the rail station, a Centre Spine of urban plazas along Gympie Road, a Recreation Spine, an Environmental Spine along Four Mile Creek, and a Park Spine, all knitted together by a Green Web of streets and open space. The master plan informs the Strathpine Centre zone provisions in the MBRC Planning Scheme. In January 2026 Council resolved to replace the decade-old MBRC Planning Scheme 2016 with a new city-wide planning scheme, which will carry the master plan's intent forward through revised statutory controls.
Attraction of Affordable Social Housing Development Policy (City of Moreton Bay)
Council policy to attract and accelerate delivery of affordable and social housing across the City of Moreton Bay by waiving or reducing infrastructure charges and development application fees for eligible projects in priority areas. The policy is implemented alongside the Housing and Homelessness Action Plan 2023-2028 and supported by Queensland Government social housing delivery in the region.
Bruce Highway (Dohles Rocks Road to Anzac Avenue) Upgrade - Stage 1
A staged upgrade of the Bruce Highway between Dohles Rocks Road and Anzac Avenue at Murrumba Downs, north of Brisbane. Stage 1 delivers extended north-facing ramps to manage growing traffic volumes and improve local connectivity for the more than 150,000 vehicles using this corridor each day. Works include a new northbound entry ramp from Dohles Rocks Road that extends to the Anzac Avenue exit as an auxiliary lane, a new southbound exit ramp from the highway to Dohles Rocks Road, ramp metering signals, a new signalised intersection on Dohles Rocks Road, modifications to the existing Goodrich Road East intersection, and new and upgraded noise barriers. Early works (vegetation clearing, demolitions and service relocations) were carried out by RoadTek from mid-2024. The main construction contract was awarded to a joint venture of Albem Operations and SCQ. As of April 2026, traffic switches onto newly built lanes are underway, with the project supporting up to 340 jobs during construction.
Employment
The employment environment in Murrumba Downs shows above-average strength when compared nationally
Murrumba Downs has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well-represented. The unemployment rate was 3.7% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.1%.
Residents' unemployment rate is 0.4% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, with workforce participation at 74.6%. According to Census responses, 16.4% of residents worked from home by December 2025. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a high employment share in transport, postal & warehousing (1.4 times the regional level).
Professional & technical services have limited presence with 6.1% employment compared to 8.9% regionally. Over the year ending December 2025, employment increased by 4.1%, labour force by 4.3%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment (0.2 percentage points). In comparison, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 3.2% and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest overall employment expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Murrumba Downs' employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that median income in Murrumba Downs is $54,693, with average income at $61,076. These figures are lower than national averages of a median income of $58,236 and an average income of $72,799 for Greater Brisbane. As of March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $60,906 (median) and $68,014 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023. Census data reveals that incomes in Murrumba Downs cluster around the 57th percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 33.8% of the population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, reflecting regional patterns where 33.3% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 55th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Murrumba Downs is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
Dwelling structure in Murrumba Downs, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, consisted of 73.6% houses and 26.5% other dwellings including semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This was comparable to Brisbane metropolitan area's dwelling structure which was also 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Murrumba Downs stood at 28.3%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (43.6%) or rented (28.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,863, aligning with Brisbane metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $360, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Murrumba Downs' mortgage repayments were similar to Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Murrumba Downs features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households account for 78.2% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.8%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.7 people, higher than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
The educational profile of Murrumba Downs exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics
Educational qualifications in Murrumba Downs trail regional benchmarks with 21.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding university degrees compared to 30.5% in Greater Brisbane as of the latest available data from 2021. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement in the area. Bachelor degrees lead at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.5% and graduate diplomas at 2.5%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 27.4%.
Educational participation is notably high in Murrumba Downs, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest data from 2021. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Murrumba Downs has 33 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 34 unique routes, collectively facilitating 2,091 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good with residents typically residing 215 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 88%, while train usage stands at 7%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.
According to the 2021 Census, 16.4% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 298 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 63 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Murrumba Downs is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts
Murrumba Downs faces significant health challenges as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts.
Approximately 51% of Murrumba Downs' total population (~7,213 people) has private health cover, compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and arthritis, affecting 8.7% and 8.0% of residents respectively. 66.9% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among the working-age population are generally typical. The area has 16.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,357 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
In terms of cultural diversity, Murrumba Downs records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Murrumba Downs had a cultural diversity index above average, with 11.5% of its residents speaking languages other than English at home and 23.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Murrumba Downs, accounting for 54.1% of the population. The category 'Other' showed an overrepresentation in Murrumba Downs with 1.4%, compared to 1.3% across Greater Brisbane.
In terms of ancestry, English (29.8%), Australian (26.5%), and Scottish (7.5%) were the top three groups represented. Notably, New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.2%, Maori at 1.3%, and South Australians at 0.9% compared to regional averages of 1.0%, 1.1%, and 0.6% respectively.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Murrumba Downs's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms
The median age in Murrumba Downs is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and close to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Murrumba Downs has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (14.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 35-44 grew from 13.6% to 15.9%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 decreased from 11.3% to 10.4%. By 2041, Murrumba Downs is projected to experience significant changes in its age distribution. The 45-54 age group is expected to increase by 63%, adding 1,258 people and reaching a total of 3,265 from the previous figure of 2,006.