Murrumba Downs

Population growth drivers in Murrumba Downs are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Murrumba Downs is around 12,472, reflecting a 15.5% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 10,795 people. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 12,125 based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024, and an additional 308 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,936 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Murrumba Downs' growth rate surpassed the national average of 8.9% and that of its SA4 region, making it a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 53.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, and Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data for areas not covered by ABS projections or years post-2032.

Future population dynamics predict exceptional growth placing Murrumba Downs in the top 10 percent of national areas, with an expected increase of 7,285 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 59.2% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Murrumba Downs was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Murrumba Downs had around 110 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 554 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 17 approvals recorded. This results in an average of 4.3 new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25. The demand for housing significantly outpaces supply, which typically influences prices upwards and intensifies competition among buyers.

The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $399,000, aligning with regional patterns. In the current financial year, Murrumba Downs has seen $16.0 million in commercial approvals, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Murrumba Downs has slightly more development, with 41.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, construction activity has recently eased. New developments in Murrumba Downs consist of 82.0% standalone homes and 18.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature with a focus on detached housing that attracts space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 221 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. Population forecasts suggest Murrumba Downs will gain 7,386 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Murrumba Downs has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Influence on an area's performance is significantly impacted by local infrastructure changes, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 14 such projects expected to affect the area. Notable ones include Redcliffe Peninsula Rail Line Upgrades, River Cove Residences, UniSC Moreton Bay Campus, and Moreton Bay Marine Education and Discovery Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Murrumba Downs maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Murrumba Downs has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.1% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.9%. The area's employment is in line with Greater Brisbane's rate, both being 4.1%, and workforce participation is similar at 64.5%. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Transport, postal & warehousing has a high employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented with only 6.1% compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. From June 2023 to June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.9%, labour force by 7.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 4.4% and a drop in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest Murrumba Downs' employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Murrumba Downs had a median taxpayer income of $54,693 and an average income of $61,076. These figures are below the national averages of $55,645 and $70,520 respectively in Greater Brisbane. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $62,345 (median) and $69,621 (average). Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Murrumba Downs are at the 57th percentile nationally. The largest income bracket comprises 33.8% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 4,215 residents falling into this category, consistent with regional trends showing 33.3% in the same bracket. Housing costs consume 15.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 55th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Murrumba Downs is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Murrumba Downs, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 9 August 2016, comprised 73.6% houses and 26.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Brisbane metropolitan area's dwelling structure which was 75.0% houses and 25.0% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in Murrumba Downs stood at 28.3%, with the rest of the dwellings either mortgaged (43.6%) or rented (28.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,863, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,820. The median weekly rent figure for Murrumba Downs was recorded at $360, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Murrumba Downs' mortgage repayments are similar to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are lower than the national figure of $375.

Murrumba Downs features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.2% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.8%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Murrumba Downs exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Murrumba Downs trail regional benchmarks, with 21.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.5% in Greater Brisbane. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.1%) and certificates (27.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education. Murrumba Downs's 3 schools have combined enrollment reaching 3,168 students as of the latest data available. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1033) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 2 primary and 1 secondary schools serving distinct age groups. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs (25.4 places per 100 residents vs 17.2 regionally), indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region, as of the data from 2021.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 33 active stops operating in Murrumba Downs. These include a mix of train and bus services. They are serviced by 29 individual routes, providing a total of 2,111 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 215 metres from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 301 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 63 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Murrumba Downs is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Murrumba Downs faces significant health challenges.

Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but particularly high among older cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 51% of the total population (~6,411 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and arthritis, affecting 8.7% and 8.0% of residents respectively. 66.9% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 69.9% across Greater Brisbane. 17.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,170 people), higher than the 11.6% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Murrumba Downs was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Murrumba Downs had cultural diversity above the average, with 11.5% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 23.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Murrumba Downs, comprising 54.1% of people. Notably, the 'Other' category comprised 1.4%, compared to 2.7% across Greater Brisbane.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups were English (29.8%), Australian (26.5%), and Scottish (7.5%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: New Zealand was overrepresented at 1.2% in Murrumba Downs versus 1.5% regionally, Maori at 1.3% versus 1.7%, and South African at 0.9% versus 1%.

Murrumba Downs's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Murrumba Downs as of 2021 is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and close to the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Murrumba Downs has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (14.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.2%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the age group 35-44 grew from 13.6% to 15.2%, while the 25-34 cohort declined from 11.3% to 9.2% and the 15-24 group dropped from 12.2% to 11.1%. By 2041, Murrumba Downs is projected to experience significant changes in its age composition, with the 45-54 age group expected to increase by 80%, reaching 3,213 people from 1,783.