Bald Hills

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bald Hills reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bald Hills' population, as of February 2026, is approximately 8,372. This figure represents an increase of 546 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,826. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 8,367 in June 2024 and 18 additional validated addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 627 persons per square kilometer. Bald Hills' 7.0% growth since the census is close to the SA4 region's 9.1%, indicating strong fundamentals for population growth. Natural growth contributed about 46.5% of overall gains, with other factors like overseas and interstate migration also positive.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024, based on 2022 data. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 are used, with proportional growth weightings applied where necessary. Future trends suggest lower quartile growth for Australian statistical areas. Bald Hills is expected to grow by 293 persons to reach a total of approximately 8,665 by 2041, reflecting an overall gain of about 3.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bald Hills recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Bald Hills has averaged approximately 18 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 91 homes. As of FY26, 4 approvals have been recorded. On average, 6.3 new residents arrive per year per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. This indicates a significant demand exceeding supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average construction value for new properties is $240,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, there have been $6.6 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bald Hills has significantly less development activity, at 62.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, this is also lower, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints.

New development consists of 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 590 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bald Hills is projected to add 288 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bald Hills has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 28thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 40 projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include Linkfield Road Overpass Upgrade, Bald Hills Station Precinct Renewal, Wyampa Road Residential Estate, and 202 Lacey Road Townhouse Development. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bald Hills remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Bald Hills has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.8% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 12.1% over the past year. In this month, 4774 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.8% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation stood at 75.3%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, 16.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

However, professional & technical services had a limited presence with only 7.4% employment compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 12.1%, while the labour force grew by 10.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1.2 percentage points. This contrasted with Greater Brisbane where employment rose by 3.8%, the labour force grew by 3.3%, and unemployment fell by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide further insight into potential future demand within Bald Hills. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bald Hills' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Bald Hills SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $58,873 and an average income of $65,358 in the financial year 2023, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to figures for Greater Brisbane, which were $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,707 (median) and $71,835 (average). Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Bald Hills cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 40.2% of the population, equating to 3,365 individuals, fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, mirroring the region where 33.3% occupy this bracket. After accounting for housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bald Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Bald Hills, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.5% houses and 5.4% other dwellings. In Brisbane metro, this was 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bald Hills was 26.4%, similar to Brisbane metro's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (48.1%) or rented (25.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,750, below Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent was $390, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Bald Hills' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Bald Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.8% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 13.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Bald Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.6%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 35.3%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high at 28.9%, with 11.0% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 35 active transport stops operating within Bald Hills. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. They are serviced by 34 individual routes, collectively providing 1,662 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 277 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 84%, with train at 10%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, some 16.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 237 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Bald Hills are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Bald Hills' health indicators suggest below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~4,345 people), slightly lagging behind the average SA2 area which stands at 55.8%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.5% and 8.7% of residents respectively. Conversely, 67.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 15.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,279 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bald Hills was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bald Hills' population showed higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 25.5% born overseas and 16.6% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity dominated Bald Hills' religious landscape, comprising 49.1%. However, Hinduism was notably overrepresented at 4.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 2.2%.

The top ancestry groups were English (25.9%), Australian (25.5%), and Other (8.8%). Some ethnicities showed significant differences: Samoan at 0.9% in Bald Hills versus 0.9% regionally, Filipino at 2.7% versus 1.2%, and New Zealand at 1.0% versus 1.0%.

Bald Hills's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bald Hills' median age is 36 years, equal to Greater Brisbane's but younger than the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group comprises 16.0% of Bald Hills' population, higher than Greater Brisbane's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.5%, lower than Greater Brisbane's. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.2% to 13.2% of Bald Hills' population, and the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 4.1% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 15.0% to 12.5%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 14.5% to 13.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Bald Hills. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 214 people (142%), from 151 to 366. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 61% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.