Bald Hills
Statistical Area - sa2

Bald Hills has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Bald Hills' population, as of August 2025, is approximately 8,386. This figure represents an increase of 560 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,826. The ABS estimated resident population in June 2024 was 8,367, with an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 628 persons per square kilometer. Bald Hills' 7.2% growth since the census is within 1.1 percentage points of the SA4 region's 8.3%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 46.5% to overall population gains, with other drivers such as overseas and interstate migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 using 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with the area expected to grow by 293 persons to 2041, representing a total gain of 3.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bald Hills recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Bald Hills averaged approximately 32 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data from the ABS covers financial years, with a total of 160 approvals between FY20-FY25 and 1 so far in FY26. Each home built over these five years attracted an average of 6.3 new residents per year, indicating supply lagging demand. New homes were constructed at an average value of $330,000, reflecting more affordable housing options.

In FY26, commercial approvals amounted to $6.6 million, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bald Hills had significantly less development activity, 64.0% below the regional average per person as of recent data. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The area's construction composition comprised 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining its low density nature. As of recent estimates, there were approximately 590 people per dwelling approval in Bald Hills, reflecting its quiet development environment.

Future projections suggest a population growth of 274 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current projections.

Bald Hills has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified a total of 34 projects likely to affect the area. Key projects include Linkfield Road Overpass Upgrade, Lacey Road Childcare Centre, 202 Lacey Road Townhouse Development, and Brendale Data Supernode. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment landscape in Bald Hills shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Bald Hills has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 11.1%.

As of June 2025, 4,656 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.9% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Bald Hills stands at 67.5%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Professional & technical services have a limited presence with 7.4% employment, compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between the Census working population and resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 11.1%, while the labour force grew by 10.6%, resulting in a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 4.4% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a 0.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23%, losing 8,070 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. This compares to the national unemployment rate of 4.5% and national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bald Hills' employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Bald Hills' income level is below the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Bald Hills' median income among taxpayers was $54,810 and the average income stood at $61,675, compared to Greater Brisbane's figures of $55,645 and $70,520 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.71% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $61,228 (median) and $68,897 (average) as of March 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Bald Hills cluster around the 65th percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the predominant cohort spans 40.2% of locals (3,371 people) in the $1,500 - $2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. After housing, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Bald Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Bald Hills, as assessed at the latest Census, consisted of 94.5% houses and 5.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bald Hills was at 26.4%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (48.1%) or rented (25.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,750, below Brisbane metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Bald Hills was recorded at $390, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Bald Hills' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Bald Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.8% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 13.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households at 3.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Bald Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.6%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 35.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high at 28.9%, comprising 11.0% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Bald Hills State School and St Paul's School serve a total of 1,863 students, with Bald Hills demonstrating above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1090). The area offers one primary school and one K-12 school, functioning as an education hub with 22.2 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 11.5.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bald Hills has 35 operational public transport stops offering a combination of train and bus services. These stops are served by 29 different routes, facilitating a total of 1,671 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents' average proximity to the nearest stop being 277 meters.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 238 trips per day, translating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Bald Hills are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Bald Hills shows below-average health outcomes, with common conditions being somewhat typical but higher than national averages among older residents. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% (~4,243 people), compared to 56.2% in Greater Brisbane.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 9.5 and 8.7% of residents respectively. 67.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 70.5% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,245 people), lower than Greater Brisbane's 16.6%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Bald Hills was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bald Hills had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 25.5% of its residents born overseas and 16.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Bald Hills, accounting for 49.1% of the population. Notably, Hinduism was overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, comprising 4.4% versus 4.5%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (25.9%), Australian (25.5%), and Other (8.8%). Some ethnic groups had notable differences in representation: Samoan at 0.9% (regional average 0.5%), Filipino at 2.7% (1.6%), and New Zealand at 1.0% (0.9%).

Bald Hills's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bald Hills' median age is 36 years, equal to Greater Brisbane's but younger than Australia's national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group constitutes 16.1% of Bald Hills' population, higher than Greater Brisbane's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.2% to 12.9%, and the 75 to 84 group has risen from 4.1% to 5.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 15.0% to 13.1%, and the 5 to 14 age group has fallen from 14.5% to 13.3%. By 2041, population forecasts suggest significant demographic changes in Bald Hills. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 220 people (151%), from 145 to 366. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 59% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.