Bald Hills

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bald Hills reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bald Hills' population, as of May 2026, is approximately 8440. This figure represents an increase of 614 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7826. The growth is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 8412 in June 2025 and an additional 27 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density ratio of 632 persons per square kilometer. Bald Hills' population growth rate of 7.8% since the Census is within 1.4 percentage points of its SA4 region's growth rate of 9.2%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 58.7% to recent population gains in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Future population trends indicate lower quartile growth for Australian statistical areas, with Bald Hills expected to grow by 173 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 1.7% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bald Hills recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Bald Hills has averaged approximately 18 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 91 homes. As of FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. On average, 6.3 new residents arrive per year for each dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. This indicates significant demand exceeding supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $240,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. In FY26, there have been $6.6 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bald Hills has significantly less development activity, 62.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, this is also lower, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints.

New development consists of 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 590 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections suggest Bald Hills will add 145 residents by 2041 (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bald Hills has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 40 projects likely to impact the region. Notable initiatives include Linkfield Road Overpass Upgrade, Bald Hills Station Precinct Renewal, Wyampa Road Residential Estate, and 202 Lacey Road Townhouse Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Bald Hills demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Bald Hills has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 5.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 11.9%. As of December 2025, 4895 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.2% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation was at 76.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. According to Census responses, 16.9% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Professional & technical services had a limited presence with 7.4% employment compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 11.9% alongside a labour force increase of 9.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.2%, the labour force grow by 3.0%, and unemployment fall by 0.1 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bald Hills' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Bald Hills SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $58,873 and an average income of $65,358 in financial year 2023, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to figures for Greater Brisbane of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $65,561 (median) and $72,783 (average) as of March 2026. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Bald Hills cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 40.2% of the population (3,392 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to the region where 33.3% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bald Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bald Hills' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.5% houses and 5.4% other dwellings. In contrast, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bald Hills was 26.4%, similar to Brisbane metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings were at 48.1%, with rented ones at 25.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,750, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Bald Hills was $390, higher than the national average of $375 but lower than Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Bald Hills' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863.

Bald Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 79.8% of all households, including 38.6% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 13.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for 20.2%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Bald Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.6%, significantly lower than the SA3 average of 35.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 37.7% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (26.4%). Educational participation is high, with 28.9% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.0% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 4.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates that Bald Hills has 35 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 34 individual routes, collectively facilitating 1,662 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically residing 277 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most Bald Hills residents commute outward. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 84%, while trains account for 10%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 16.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 237 trips per day, translating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Bald Hills are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Bald Hills' health indicators suggest below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~4,380 people), slightly lagging behind Greater Brisbane's 55.8%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.5%) and asthma (8.7%), while 67.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,244 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bald Hills was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bald Hills, surveyed in 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 25.5% of its population born overseas and 16.6% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 49.1%. Hinduism, however, was more prevalent in Bald Hills compared to Greater Brisbane, representing 4.4% versus 2.2%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (25.9%), Australian (25.5%), and Other (8.8%). Notable differences existed among other ethnicities: Samoan (0.9% vs regional 0.9%), Filipino (2.7% vs 1.2%), and New Zealand (1.0% vs 1.0%) were relatively more represented in Bald Hills compared to the region.

Bald Hills's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bald Hills' median age is 36 years, equal to Greater Brisbane's but younger than the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group comprises 16.3% of Bald Hills' population compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 11.2% to 12.8%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.1% to 5.3%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort declined from 15.0% to 13.3%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 14.5% to 13.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Bald Hills. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 192 people (138%), from 139 to 332. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 62% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.