Bald Hills

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bald Hills reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Bald Hills's population is around 8,372 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 546 people (7.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,826 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 8,367 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 627 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Bald Hills's 7.0% growth since the census positions it within 2.1 percentage points of the SA4 region (9.1%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 46.5% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including overseas migration and interstate migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, lower quartile growth of Australian statistical areas is anticipated, with the area expected to grow by 293 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 3.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bald Hills recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Bald Hills has averaged around 18 new dwelling approvals each year, totalling 91 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. Given an average of 6.3 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $240,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. There have also been $6.6 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When measured against Greater Brisbane, Bald Hills has significantly less development activity (62.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New development consists of 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 590 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Future projections show Bald Hills adding 288 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bald Hills has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 28thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 40 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Linkfield Road Overpass Upgrade, Bald Hills Station Precinct Renewal, Wyampa Road Residential Estate, and 202 Lacey Road Townhouse Development, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Bald Hills demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Bald Hills has a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 5.4%, and 11.9% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 4,895 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.2% above Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (76.9% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 16.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 7.4% employment compared to 8.9% regionally. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increase by 11.9% alongside a labour force increase of 9.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1.8 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane, where employment rose by 3.2%, the labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Bald Hills. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bald Hills's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Bald Hills SA2's income level is slightly lower than average on a national basis according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Bald Hills SA2's median income among taxpayers is $58,873 and the average income stands at $65,358, which compares to figures for Greater Brisbane's of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $64,707 (median) and $71,835 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Bald Hills cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows 40.2% of the population (3,365 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring the region where 33.3% occupy this bracket. After housing, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bald Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Bald Hills, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 94.5% houses and 5.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Bald Hills was in line with that of Brisbane metro, at 26.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (48.1%) or rented (25.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Brisbane metro average at $1,750, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $390, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Bald Hills's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Bald Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 79.8% of all households, comprising 38.6% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 13.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Bald Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (23.6%) substantially below the SA3 area average of 35.3%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 17.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (26.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 35 active transport stops operating within Bald Hills, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 34 individual routes, collectively providing 1,662 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 277 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 84%, with 10% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 16.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 237 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Bald Hills are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Bald Hills, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical, though higher than the national average among older cohorts, and the rate of private health cover slightly lags the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~4,345 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.5% and 8.7% of residents, respectively, while 67.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 15.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,279 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bald Hills was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bald Hills is more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 25.5% of its population born overseas and 16.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Bald Hills is Christianity, which makes up 49.1% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 4.4% of the population, compared to 2.2% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Bald Hills are English, comprising 25.9% of the population, Australian, comprising 25.5% of the population, and Other, comprising 8.8% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Samoan is represented at 0.9% of Bald Hills (vs 0.9% regionally), Filipino at 2.7% (vs 1.2%) and New Zealand at 1.0% (vs 1.0%).

Bald Hills's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bald Hills's median age of 36 years stands equal to Greater Brisbane's 36, though somewhat younger than the 38-year national average. The 35 - 44 age group shows strong representation at 16.0% compared to Greater Brisbane, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.5%. In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.2% to 13.2% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 4.1% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 15.0% to 12.5% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 14.5% to 13.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Bald Hills. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow exceptionally, expanding by 214 people (142%) from 151 to 366. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 61% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups will see reduced numbers.