Clontarf (Moreton Bay - Qld)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Clontarf reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Clontarf's estimated population is around 8,943. This reflects an increase of 497 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,446. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 8,911 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,401 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Clontarf's growth of 5.9% since census positions it within 2.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (8.4%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data are applied where utilized. Future population trends project an above median growth for the area, expected to grow by 1,321 persons to 2041 reflecting a total increase of 14.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Clontarf recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Clontarf had around 22 dwelling approvals per year on average over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 111 homes. As of FY-26, nine approvals have been recorded. This averages out to about 3.5 people moving to the area for each dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25. However, supply is lagging demand, suggesting heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $271,000, in line with broader regional development. In FY-26, $6.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Clontarf has significantly less development activity, 70.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, Clontarf also reflects lower development activity, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New development consists of 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes. With around 377 people per dwelling approval, Clontarf indicates a developed market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by approximately 1,293 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Clontarf has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Twenty-one infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include the Bramble Bay Foreshore Restoration Project, Clontarf Beach State High School Major Upgrade and Expansion, Clontarf State Special School New Campus, and Pelican Waters Estate Stage 3 & 4. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Clontarf well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Clontarf has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented.

The unemployment rate was 3.1% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 9.0%. AreaSearch aggregated statistical area data for this calculation. As of September 2025, 4,534 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation in Clontarf was 57.3%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employment is particularly high at 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical jobs are lower at 5.1% versus the regional average of 8.9%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 9.0% and labour force increased by 5.9%, reducing unemployment by 2.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.8% and a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Clontarf's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Clontarf's median income among taxpayers is $51,733. The average income in the suburb is $62,697. Both figures are below the national average. In Greater Brisbane, the median income is $58,236 and the average is $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $56,860 (median) and $68,910 (average). Census data reveals Clontarf's household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly, between the 27th and 29th percentiles. Distribution data shows that 31.5% of the community earns within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket (2,817 individuals), similar to regional levels where 33.3% fall into this category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Clontarf, with only 81.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 23rd percentile.

Clontarf is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Clontarf, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.7% houses and 21.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Brisbane metro's 68.2% houses and 31.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clontarf was at 31.0%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (34.4%) or rented (34.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, aligning with Brisbane metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $345, compared to Brisbane metro's $350. Nationally, Clontarf's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Clontarf features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 65.5% of all households, including 23.2% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.5%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, aligning with the Greater Brisbane average.

Educational outcomes in Clontarf fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has university qualification rates of 17.2%, significantly lower than the Greater Brisbane average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.4%, followed by graduate diplomas at 2.5% and postgraduate qualifications at 2.3%. Vocational credentials are held by 41.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 30.4%. Educational participation is high, with 25.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.5% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Clontarf shows that there are currently 37 active transport stops operating. These stops offer a variety of bus services, with three individual routes providing a total of 494 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 194 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 70 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clontarf is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Clontarf faces significant health challenges, as indicated by data showing high prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52%, slightly lower than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues affect 10.8% of residents, while arthritis impacts 10.5%. A total of 60.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 59.7% in Greater Brisbane. The area has 23.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,065 people), lower than the 28.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly aligned with the general population's health profile.

Clontarf ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Clontarf's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.2% of its population being citizens, 79.4% born in Australia, and 94.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Clontarf, making up 48.2% of the population. Judaism, however, was overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, comprising 0.1% versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.2%), Australian (25.7%), and Irish (9.9%). Notably, Maori (1.5%) were overrepresented in Clontarf compared to the regional figure of 1.4%, as were New Zealanders (1.2% vs 1.1%) and Samoans (0.5% vs 0.7%).

Clontarf hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Clontarf is 46 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years. It is also considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Clontarf has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.6%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 7.0% to 8.1% of Clontarf's population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 10.4% to 9.6%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Clontarf's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 69%, reaching 1,227 people from the current 724. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 66% of total population growth, reflecting Clontarf's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.