Clontarf (Moreton Bay - Qld)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Clontarf reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Clontarf (Moreton Bay - Qld) is around 8,952. This reflects a growth of 506 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,446. The current population is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 8,911 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with an additional 41 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,403 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Clontarf's growth rate of 6.0% since the census is within 2.1 percentage points of the SA3 area's 8.1%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Future population dynamics anticipate an above median growth for the suburb of Clontarf (Moreton Bay - Qld). By 2041, the area is projected to expand by 1,321 persons, reflecting a total increase of 14.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Clontarf recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Clontarf experienced around 22 dwellings receiving development approval each year. An estimated 112 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional three approved in FY-26 to date. On average, approximately 3.5 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over the past five financial years.

This supply lagging demand typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average value of $280,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. Commercial approvals totaling $6.4 million have been registered this financial year, indicating limited commercial development focus in the area. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Clontarf records markedly lower building activity, with 69.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

The area's dwelling approvals consist of 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% attached dwellings, maintaining its traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 369 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Future projections show Clontarf adding 1,284 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Clontarf has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 20 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are Clontarf Beach State High School's major upgrade and expansion, Bramble Bay Foreshore Restoration Project, Clontarf State Special School's new campus, and Pelican Waters Estate's stages 3 and 4. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Clontarf ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Clontarf has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well-represented in the area.

As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 3.3%. Over the past year, there has been an estimated employment growth of 11.9%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. In June 2025, 4,521 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.8% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Clontarf lags behind Greater Brisbane at 57.3% compared to 64.5%.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Clontarf has a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.1% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 11.9% while labour force increased by 8.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 3.1 percentage points in Clontarf. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 4.4% and a 0.4 percentage point drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insight into potential future demand within Clontarf. These projections suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Clontarf's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming population projections remain constant for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Clontarf's median taxpayer income was $51,733 and average was $62,697 in financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages but higher than Greater Brisbane's median of $55,645 and average of $70,520. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $58,970 and average around $71,468 based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. In Clontarf, incomes ranked modestly in the 27th to 29th percentiles according to 2021 Census figures. The largest income segment was 31.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 2,819 residents falling into this category. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 81.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 23rd percentile.

Clontarf is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Clontarf, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 78.7% houses and 21.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Brisbane metro's figures of 68.2% houses and 31.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clontarf stood at 31.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.4% and rented ones at 34.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, aligning with the Brisbane metro average, while the median weekly rent was $345, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,733 and $350 respectively. Nationally, Clontarf's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Clontarf features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 65.5% of all households, including 23.2% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.5%, with lone person households making up 31.0% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which matches the Greater Brisbane average.

Educational outcomes in Clontarf fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Clontarf's university qualification rate is 17.2%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.4%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.5%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (30.4%). Current educational participation is high at 25.4%, comprising primary education (9.5%), secondary education (7.1%), and tertiary education (3.5%).

Clontarf's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,805 students, serving typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. School capacity exceeds residential needs, at 20.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.1, indicating that the area functions as an educational hub for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 37 active public transport stops in Clontarf, operating a mix of bus services. These stops are served by three distinct routes, offering a total of 517 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 194 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 73 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clontarf is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Clontarf faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data.

Both younger and older age groups have high prevalence rates of common health conditions. The area has a private health cover rate of approximately 52%, which is higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in Clontarf, affecting about 10.8% and 10.5% of residents respectively. Around 60.2% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 59.7% across Greater Brisbane. About 23.1% of Clontarf's population is aged 65 or over (2,067 people), lower than the 28.2% in Greater Brisbane. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, they largely align with those of the general population.

Clontarf ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Clontarf's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.2% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (79.4%), and speaking English only at home (94.0%). The predominant religion in Clontarf is Christianity, comprising 48.2% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.1% of Clontarf's population compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (31.2%), Australian (25.7%), and Irish (9.9%). There are significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Maori is overrepresented at 1.5%, New Zealanders at 1.2%, and Samoans at 0.5%.

Clontarf hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Clontarf is 46 years, significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Clontarf has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.6%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group increased from 7.0% to 8.1% of Clontarf's population, while the 25 to 34 age group decreased from 10.4% to 9.6%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Clontarf's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 69%, reaching 1,227 people from 725. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 66% of total population growth, indicating Clontarf's aging demographic trend. Conversely, both the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.