Midvale

Population growth drivers in Midvale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Midvale's population is estimated at around 2,752 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 469 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,283. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,683 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 952 persons per square kilometer. Midvale's growth of 20.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and utilising growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends project an above median growth for the suburb of Midvale, expected to expand by 408 persons to reach a total of 3,160 by 2041, reflecting a gain of 7.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Midvale among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Midvale averaged approximately 74 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 374 homes were approved with a further 40 approved in FY-26 to date. This averages around 0.8 new residents arriving per new home over the past five financial years.

New construction has been matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and potentially facilitating population growth. The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $393,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $21.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Comparatively, Midvale has 600% more new home approvals per person than Greater Perth, providing buyers with ample choice despite a recent slowdown in building activity. This high level of activity reflects strong developer confidence in the area and is well above the national average.

The majority of new building activity consists of detached dwellings (96%), maintaining Midvale's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. With around 53 people per dwelling approval, Midvale shows characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Midvale is forecasted to gain approximately 212 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Midvale has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely to affect this region. Key initiatives include the Midland Health Campus Redevelopment (St John of God Midland Public & Private Hospitals Expansion), Bushmead Residential Estate, New Junction Precinct, and The Avenues Midland.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Midvale are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Midvale has a skilled workforce with prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 8.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.5%. As of September 2025, 1,328 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 4.0%, which is 4.0% higher than Greater Perth's rate.

Workforce participation stands at 66.7%, below Greater Perth's 71.6%. Only 2.7% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. Midvale specializes strongly in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 3.1%, compared to Greater Perth's 8.2%. The ratio of workers to residents is 0.9, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.5% and labour force grew by 2.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth experienced employment growth of 2.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Midvale's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.0% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Midvale's median income among taxpayers is $52,641. The average income is $64,181. Nationally, incomes are higher on average. Greater Perth has a median income of $60,748 and an average of $80,248. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Midvale's median income would be approximately $57,705 by September 2025, with the average being around $70,355. Census data indicates household, family and personal incomes in Midvale rank modestly, between the 31st and 34th percentiles. Distribution data shows that 32.2% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, which is similar to the broader area at 32.0%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Midvale, with only 79.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 24th percentile.

Midvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census evaluation showed that Midvale's dwelling structure consisted of 82.1% houses and 17.9% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. In comparison, Perth metro had 77.8% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Midvale was at 16.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.3% and rented ones at 32.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Midvale was $1,742, lower than Perth metro's $1,907. The median weekly rent in Midvale was $275, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Midvale's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Midvale features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.5% of all households, including 27.6% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.5%, with lone person households at 30.7% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Midvale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 16.7%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (29.4%). Educational participation is high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Midvale has 16 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 11 different routes that together facilitate 789 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated highly, with residents living an average of 166 meters from the nearest stop. Most Midvale residents commute outwards daily, primarily using cars (84%). Train usage stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership per dwelling averages 1.3, lower than the regional norm.

Only 2.7% of residents work from home, according to the 2021 Census data, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes is 112 trips per day, equating to about 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Midvale is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Midvale faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 53% (~1,449 people) of Midvale residents have private health cover, compared to Greater Perth's 59.0%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.5%) and asthma (7.3%), while 68.9% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Perth's 71.9%. Working-age residents in Midvale have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Midvale has 13.6% (374 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Perth's 16.3%. Senior health outcomes present challenges, with national rankings roughly aligned with the general population.

Midvale is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Midvale's population shows high cultural diversity, with 32.1% speaking a language other than English at home and 40.2% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, making up 50.0%. The category 'Other' comprises 1.3%, slightly higher than Greater Perth's 1.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (22.6%), Australian (21.4%), and Filipino (12.9%), with Filipino notably higher than the regional average. There are notable differences in representation for Maori (1.8% vs 0.9%), Australian Aboriginal (5.9% vs 1.4%), and Spanish (0.6% vs 0.4%).

Midvale's population is younger than the national pattern

Midvale's median age is 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Perth's 37 and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The age group of 25-34 has a strong representation at 16.9%, compared to Greater Perth. Conversely, the age group of 55-64 is less prevalent at 7.7%. From 2021 to present, the age group of 75 to 84 has grown from 4.0% to 4.8% of the population. During this period, the age group of 55 to 64 declined from 9.0% to 7.7%, and the age group of 65 to 74 dropped from 7.9% to 6.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Midvale, with the 85+ age cohort projected to grow exceptionally by 59 people (102%), from 57 to 117. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 50% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the age groups of 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 are expected to have reduced numbers.