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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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McDowall has an estimated 8,581 residents, up from 7,612 at the 2021 Census — a change of 969 people, or 12.7%. Growth has averaged 2.2% a year over five years, faster than 79% of areas nationally. 337 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 49.0% of that increase. That puts 2,000 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of McDowall has an estimated population of around 8,581, according to AreaSearch research synthesizing ABS regional updates and post-Census address validations. This represents an expansion of 969 people (12.7%) from the 7,612 people recorded during the 2021 Census. This upward trend incorporates an Estimated Resident Population (ERP) figure of 8,571 derived from the June 2025 ABS release, alongside 337 validated new addresses identified since the Census date. Consequently, the suburb of McDowall exhibits a population density of 2,000 persons per square kilometer, placing it above the national benchmark tracked by AreaSearch.
The area's 12.7% pace of expansion outstripped both the SA4 region (9.3%) and the broader country, establishing it as a regional growth outperformer. Population gains were primarily underpinned by net interstate migration, which accounted for approximately 49.0% of overall additions, while natural increases and overseas arrivals also contributed positively. Demographic modeling by AreaSearch integrates the 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections established on a 2022 baseline. For areas outside this dataset or extending beyond 2032, projections draw upon the 2023 Queensland State Government SA2 series based on 2021 figures. Because those state forecasts lack cohort breakdowns, AreaSearch aligns age distributions using proportional weightings from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region release based on 2022 data. Over the 16 years running to 2041, aggregated SA2 projections indicate that the suburb of McDowall will expand by 635 persons, translating to an overall growth rate of 7.3%, which sits slightly beneath the median recorded across Australian statistical areas.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
273 new dwellings have been approved in McDowall over the past five years, an average of 54 a year. That places the area in the 77th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 69 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 13% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 28, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals across statistical divisions indicates that McDowall has averaged roughly 54 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), 273 homes were approved in total, with 28 so far in FY-25. An influx of 3.1 people per year for every dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) highlights substantial supply constraints relative to local demand, intensifying competition among purchasers. Newly built dwellings carry an average construction cost of $566,000, tracking above typical regional figures and signaling higher-end residential development.
Non-residential building activity remains subdued, with $1.6 million in commercial approvals registered this financial year. Per capita building activity in McDowall has run 10.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period compared to Greater Brisbane, supporting a healthy choice of homes and stabilizing existing values, even with a recent cooling in approval volumes. Medium-to-high-density typologies dominate incoming stock, with 87.0% townhouses or apartments and 13.0% detached houses. This compositional shift caters to first-home buyers, investors, and downsizers while sharply contrasting with the prevailing established housing landscape, which remains 88.0% houses. This trend reflects diminishing greenfield availability and changing buyer preferences for diverse options, with approximately 198 people per dwelling approval pointing to ongoing development capacity. According to the latest quarterly estimates from AreaSearch, McDowall is projected to add 625 residents by 2041. Prevailing building rates appear well positioned to satisfy anticipated demand, fostering balanced purchasing conditions and leaving room for demographic gains to outpace current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around McDowall
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside McDowall, worth an estimated $51 million. A further 85 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $13.8 billion. 16 are already under construction and 34 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, retail and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital expenditure and planning proposals exert a substantial influence on community outcomes. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects positioned to affect the surrounding area, with major initiatives including the McDowall Village Master Plan Redevelopment, Cabbage Tree Creek Bikeway (Hamilton Road to Old Northern Road), Cove McDowall, and Everton Park Urban Village.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
McDowall Village Master Plan Redevelopment
A concept master plan for the refurbishment and strategic expansion of McDowall Village Shopping Centre. The project focuses on revitalizing the IGA-anchored center by upgrading external facades, enhancing pedestrian connectivity between Beckett and Hamilton Roads, and reconfiguring internal tenancies to support new convenience retail and service offerings. As of May 2026, the project is progressing through feasibility and preliminary planning under CMC Property Management, with a focus on improving the suburban village atmosphere.
Cabbage Tree Creek Bikeway (Hamilton Road to Old Northern Road)
Hamilton Road and Old Northern Road Active Transport Corridor is a planned local bikeway and shared path upgrade delivered by Brisbane City Council along the Hamilton Road corridor between McDowall and Chermside West. It will improve walking and cycling links between suburbs and connect into the existing Cabbage Tree Creek Bikeway, supporting safer east west movements to local parks, schools and centres. Council has identified this section as a trunk active transport project in its pathway network schedule under the name Cabbage Tree Creek Bikeway (Hamilton Road to Old Northern Road), a secondary cycle route with an indicative delivery window of 2021 to 2026.The project is expected to involve new or widened shared paths, safer road crossings and local intersection improvements, aligning with the broader program of bikeway upgrades across Brisbane. :contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0} :contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1} :contentReference[oaicite:2]{index=2}
Cove McDowall
A limited collection of 20 four-bedroom townhomes inspired by classic Queenslander architecture, with resort-style communal amenities including a pool, BBQ and landscaped courtyard, set 10km north of Brisbane CBD.
Raven Street Reserve Mountain Bike Trail Network Upgrade
Raven Street Reserve, part of the Chermside Hills Reserves network in Brisbane's north, already contains a designated off-road bikeway along Cabbage Tree Creek and Little Cabbage Tree Creek. The reserve is identified in Brisbane City Council's Off-Road Cycling Strategy as a location for potential further off-road cycling facilities, subject to future detailed design, budget confirmation, and environmental assessment. Any upgrade would be expected to build on the existing shared trail network, improve wayfinding and safety signage, and strengthen connections to the Downfall Creek Bushland Centre.Council is currently carrying out separate repair works on the Giwadha walking track within the wider Chermside Hills Reserves, closed from late April to mid-May 2026, but no confirmed, funded mountain bike specific trail upgrade for Raven Street Reserve has been publicly announced beyond its listing as a strategy opportunity.
Old Northern Road Childcare Centre
Development application approval for a single-storey childcare centre accommodating up to 120 children at 132-134 Old Northern Road. Designed by All Design and Drafting with planning documentation by Ratio Consultants, the centre provides modern indoor and outdoor learning environments with dedicated on-site parking.
Flockton Street Development Site
A significant 2.54-acre (1.01 hectares) landholding zoned 'Emerging Community' under the McDowall Neighbourhood Plan. Sold in mid-2024 for $3.75 million, the site is currently in the planning stage for residential land subdivision and townhouses.
Stafford Heights Aged Care & Retirement Village Expansion
Expansion of the existing Churches of Christ aged care and retirement living precinct at Stafford Heights, delivering more than 80 new independent living units together with upgraded aged care and community facilities. Construction is continuing with staged delivery expected through 2026.
Grevillea on Idonia
Limited-release boutique land estate by Ausbuild comprising 11 premium homesites at the end of Idonia Street in Bridgeman Downs. Marketing and sales are active and operational works have been decided by Brisbane City Council, indicating civil construction. Lots feature wide frontages and direct access to nearby parkland and Cabbage Tree Creek reserve.
5,359 residents of McDowall are employed, from a labour force of 5,469. Unemployment sits at 2.0%, with participation at 78.2%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 6,514, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
McDowall supports a highly qualified local workforce with prominent professional services representation, an unemployment rate standing at 2.0%, and annual employment growth of 7.2% as assessed by AreaSearch. In total, 5,359 residents are actively employed as of March 2026. The local jobless rate sits 2.3% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.3%, while the local participation rate of 78.2% significantly surpasses the metropolitan benchmark of 70.1%. At the Census, 24.9% of workers operated from home, though this figure was influenced by prevailing Covid-19 lockdown circumstances. Resident employment is primarily anchored by health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and education & training.
Public administration & safety shows a distinct concentration locally, registering an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, manufacturing is less prevalent, comprising 3.8% of the local workforce relative to the 6.4% regional benchmark. Given its primarily residential nature, McDowall provides comparatively few local workplace destinations relative to the overall size of its working resident base. AreaSearch evaluation of ABS and SALM series reveals that throughout the 12 months to March 2026, local employment expanded by 7.2% against a 7.3% rise in the labour force, nudging the unemployment rate upward by 0.1 percentage points. Across Greater Brisbane, employment and labour supply expanded by 3.2% and 3.4% respectively, also resulting in a 0.1 percentage point rise. Broader national projections from Jobs and Skills Australia from Mar-26 project nationwide job expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. When mapped against McDowall's industry breakdown, localized modeling projects employment growth of 7.0% over five years and 14.4% over ten years, based on simple illustrative sector weightings excluding localized population trajectories.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in McDowall is $2,486 a week (about $129,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,059 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $62,978 a year against an average of $75,833. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxation statistics for financial year 2023 compile a median income of $62,978 and an average income of $75,833 in McDowall, placing the locality in an upper tier nationally and exceeding the Greater Brisbane benchmarks of a median income of $58,236 and an average income of $72,799. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, modelled values reach roughly $70,132 (median) and $84,448 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census situates personal, family, and household earnings between the 83rd and 90th percentiles nationwide. The middle weekly bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 33.4% of locals (2,866 people), mirroring the regional share of 33.3%, while 39.3% earn above $3,000 weekly.
After housing outlays, households retain 87.6% of income, placing McDowall in the 8th decile on the SEIFA index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
McDowall had 2,636 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 88% detached houses and 2% apartments. 40% are owned with a mortgage, 23% rented and 37% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $470 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 18.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
During the most recent Census, the residential structures in McDowall were made up of 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings, which included semi-detached units, apartments, and other types, whereas the Brisbane metro area had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership rates in McDowall were notably higher than those in the Brisbane metro, reaching 36.8%, while the rest of the dwellings were either mortgaged at 40.4% or rented at 22.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in McDowall stood at $2,167, which was well above the Brisbane metro average of $1,863, and the median weekly rent was $470 compared to $380 in the Brisbane metro.
On a national level, mortgage repayments in McDowall were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
McDowall counted 2,636 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,972 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 44% are couples with children, more than in 88% of areas nationally, against 30% couples without children. 14% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 83.5% of households in the area, dominated by 44.4% couples with children, alongside 29.8% couples without children and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 16.5%, comprising 14.1% lone person households and 2.3% group shared accommodation. The average household size stands at 2.9 people, exceeding the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
37.5% of adults in McDowall hold a university qualification, including 24.1% with a bachelor degree and 9.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 95% of areas nationally. A further 19.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 1,003 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,119 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Qualifications among McDowall residents track well above state and national levels, with 37.5% of people aged 15+ holding tertiary degrees, compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% in Australia. By level of attainment, Bachelor degrees comprise 24.1%, postgraduate qualifications account for 9.4%, and graduate diplomas represent 4.0%. Technical training is likewise well represented, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including 11.7% with advanced diplomas and 19.1% with certificates. Formal learning engagement is substantial across the community, encompassing 29.9% of residents. Enrolments are distributed across primary education (10.0%), secondary education (8.3%), and tertiary education (6.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around McDowall means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.7% of residents in McDowall report no long-term health condition. 3.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across McDowall remain consistently favorable based on AreaSearch analysis of mortality patterns and chronic disease rates, with both younger and older cohorts exhibiting a low prevalence of common conditions. Private health insurance participation is exceptionally high, covering approximately 57% of the total population (~4,912 people). Among recorded chronic conditions, mental health issues and asthma were the most prevalent, impacting 7.5% and 7.3% of the population respectively. Overall, 71.7% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, surpassing the 69.2% rate across Greater Brisbane. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 16.1% of the population (1,381 people), marginally above the 15.0% regional proportion, with older age groups displaying strong health profiles consistent with broader national benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
McDowall is largely Australian-born, at 75.3% of residents, with 17.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (25.0%) and English (25.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
McDowall reflects moderate multicultural diversity, with 24.7% of residents born abroad and 17.1% speaking a non-English language in home environments. Religious identification is predominantly Christian, encompassing 59.4% of the population relative to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. Leading ancestry backgrounds reported by residents include Australian at 25.0%, English at 25.0%, and Irish at 9.0%. Several other lineages show distinctive local concentrations, with Italian heritage representing 5.4% (vs 2.0% regionally), South Australian ancestry at 0.7% (vs 0.6%), and Hungarian at 0.3% (vs 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of McDowall is 38. 26.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age profile of McDowall closely aligns with Greater Brisbane, exhibiting a maximum cohort variance of 3.1 percentage points. AreaSearch estimates the median age at 38 as at August 2026, remaining identical to the 2021 Census and sitting 2 years above the metropolitan figure of 36 from that period. The most notable post-Census movement occurred in the 45 - 64 age bracket, which adjusted from 26.0% down to 24.1%. Forecasts through to 2041 indicate that expansion will concentrate within the 65+ age group, which is projected to grow by 434 residents (31%) to reach 1,816, while younger and middle-aged adult cohorts are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for McDowall
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 337 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (7,612 at the 2021 Census → 8,581 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL31790). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.