Gaythorne

Population growth drivers in Gaythorne are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Gaythorne is around 3,535. This figure represents an increase of 377 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,158. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,532 residents, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025, and an additional 64 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,801 persons per square kilometer, placing Gaythorne in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 11.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (8.1%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 42.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for Gaythorne, with the area expected to grow by 449 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 12.6% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Gaythorne recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Gaythorne has recorded around 23 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 116 homes. In the current financial year FY-26, 23 approvals have been recorded so far. The average number of people moving to the area per new home constructed over these five years is 2.2 per year.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $737,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. There have been $4.5 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to Greater Brisbane where Gaythorne records 70.0% more new home approvals per person. Recent construction comprises 75.0% detached houses and 25.0% medium and high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (39.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes amid densification trends.

The location has approximately 241 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. Future projections show Gaythorne adding 446 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Gaythorne has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects that may impact this region. Notable initiatives include University Road Mixed-Use Development, Mirvac Everton Park Mixed Development, Retail and Dining Expansion at Everton Plaza, and Breathe Residences Alderley. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Gaythorne has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Gaythorne's workforce is highly educated with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 5.5% in the past, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of December 2025, 2,051 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 6.5%, 1.4% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 5.1%.

Workforce participation was 72.3%, slightly above Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. Census data showed that 23.1% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and professional & technical services. Notably, public administration & safety had a strong presence with an employment share 2.2 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction had limited representation at 4.9%, compared to the regional average of 9.0%. The area's predominantly residential nature suggests limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of working population to resident population. In the 12-month period ending in December 2025, Gaythorne's labour force decreased by 2.7% and employment declined by 1.5%, leading to a 1.1 percentage point drop in unemployment. By contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment growth of 3.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide insights into potential future demand within Gaythorne. These projections suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Gaythorne's employment mix indicates that local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.4% over ten years, assuming no changes in population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Gaythorne has a median taxpayer income of $60,172 and an average income of $90,161 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $67,008 (median) and $100,403 (average) as of March 2026. From the Census conducted in 2021, individual earnings rank at the 81st percentile nationally ($1,033 weekly), though household income ranks lower at the 50th percentile. Income brackets indicate that 32.2% of the population (1,138 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 49th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Gaythorne features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Gaythorne's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 38.7% houses and 61.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro, meanwhile, had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gaythorne was 17.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.3% and rented ones at 56.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,842, lower than Brisbane metro's $1,863. Median weekly rent was $350 compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Gaythorne's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Gaythorne features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 58.7% of all households, including 21.0% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 41.3%, with lone person households at 36.3% and group households comprising 5.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Gaythorne demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Gaythorne is notably high, with 43.4% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications compared to the broader Queensland figure of 25.7% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 28.6% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.2% while certificates make up 17.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.6% in tertiary education, 7.6% in primary education, and 5.6% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gaythorne has 12 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 23 routes, collectively facilitating 2,483 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically located 208 meters from the nearest stop. Commuting patterns show car use dominates at 71%, with 20% using train and 2% cycling. Vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 23.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 354 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 206 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Gaythorne is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Gaythorne faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (2,224 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 12.9 and 7.8% of residents respectively. 69.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 10.2% of residents aged 65 and over (360 people), lower than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Gaythorne records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gaythorne, assessed in 2016, exhibited above-average cultural diversity with 20.9% of its population born overseas and 13.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 42.5%. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% in Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.0%), Australian (24.8%), and Irish (11.2%). Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Hungarian (0.5% vs regional 0.2%), French (0.8% vs 0.5%), and Russian (0.4% vs 0.3%).

Gaythorne's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Gaythorne's median age is 33 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Gaythorne has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (21.2%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.5%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.6%. According to post-2021 Census data, Gaythorne's population aged 55-64 has grown from 8.7% to 9.9%, while the 0-4 age group has declined from 7.1% to 5.7%. Demographic projections indicate significant changes in Gaythorne's age profile by 2041, with the 55-64 cohort expected to grow by 35% (adding 122 residents), reaching a total of 472 residents. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 35-44 and 25-34 age cohorts.