Alderley

Population growth drivers in Alderley are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Alderley's population is around 7,251 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 658 people (10.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,593 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,218 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,947 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Alderley's 10.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 46.7% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and interstate migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above-median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,566 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 21.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Alderley among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Alderley has recorded around 65 residential properties granted approval annually, with 327 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 19 so far in FY-26. With an average of 2 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), the market shows a good balance between supply and demand, supporting stable conditions, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $432,000, revealing that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Additionally, $768,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus.

Compared to Greater Brisbane, Alderley records somewhat elevated construction (35.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. New building activity shows 18.0% standalone homes and 82.0% townhouses or apartments. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 58.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 267 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth.

Population forecasts indicate Alderley will gain 1,533 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Alderley has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 9 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Eildon Hill Residences, Stafford City Shopping Centre Redevelopment, MONARC Mixed-Use Precinct, and Alderley Grove, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Alderley maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Alderley possesses a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of 4.4%, and 0.8% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 4,742 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.2% above Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (82.2% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 27.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. In contrast, manufacturing employs just 3.0% of local workers, which is below Greater Brisbane's 6.4%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while the labour force increased by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane, where employment rose by 3.2%, the labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Alderley. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Alderley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Alderley SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $72,115 and an average of $101,199 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is exceptionally high nationally, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $79,262 (median) and $111,228 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Alderley, between the 85th and 90th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.4% of the community (2,204 individuals), consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 33.3% in the same category. Economic strength emerges through 39.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.5% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 86th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Alderley displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Alderley, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 58.5% houses and 41.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Alderley was lagging that of Brisbane metro, at 24.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (35.4%) or rented (40.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Brisbane metro average at $2,200, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $395, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Alderley's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Alderley features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 66.2% of all households, comprising 29.6% couples with children, 26.4% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.8%, with lone person households at 26.5% and group households comprising 7.5% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Alderley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Alderley significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 50.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 33.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.0%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational pathways account for 24.4% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (14.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.0% in tertiary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 7.9% pursuing primary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 44 active transport stops operating within Alderley, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 28 individual routes, collectively providing 3,434 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 154 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 75%, with 10% by train and 7% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 27.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 490 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 78 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alderley's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Alderley, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population and near the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 71% of the total population (5,177 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.8% and 7.1% of residents, respectively, while 74.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 10.6% of residents aged 65 and over (767 people), which is lower than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alderley records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alderley was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 79.5% of its population born in Australia, 89.4% being citizens, and 88.9% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Alderley is Christianity, which makes up 46.8% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Hinduism, which comprises 2.1% of the population, compared to 2.2% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Alderley are English, comprising 27.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 23.5% of the population, and Irish, comprising 11.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Welsh is notably overrepresented at 0.9% of Alderley (vs 0.5% regionally), Scottish at 9.7% (vs 7.4%) and French at 0.7% (vs 0.5%).

Alderley's population is younger than the national pattern

At 35 years, Alderley's median age nearly matches the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and is similarly somewhat younger than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Alderley has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (15.6%) but fewer 65 - 74 year-olds (5.3%). Since the 2021 Census, the 55 to 64 age group has grown from 9.1% to 10.4% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.1% to 4.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 18.0% to 16.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Alderley. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 34%, adding 346 residents to reach 1,365. In contrast, the 0 to 4 cohort shows minimal growth of just 4% (14 people).