Grange (Qld)

Grange has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of the suburb of Grange (Qld) is around 4,935 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 320 people, representing a growth rate of 6.9%, since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 4,615 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,933 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest Estimated Resident Population (ERP) data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional two validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,820 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Grange's growth rate of 6.9% since the census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the national average (8.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of national statistical areas is anticipated, with the area expected to expand by 171 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 3.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Grange when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Grange shows an average of around 11 new dwelling approvals per year. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 59 homes were approved, with another 6 so far in FY-26. This results in about 5.9 new residents per year for every home built over the past five financial years.

The demand significantly exceeds new supply, leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. New properties are constructed at an average value of $1,053,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $56,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, highlighting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Grange has markedly lower building activity, at 65.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings.

When compared nationally, Grange also reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. All new construction in Grange has been comprised of detached houses, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests, indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 376 people per approval, Grange indicates a mature market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates that Grange is expected to grow by 155 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Grange has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nine projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. These include major developments such as Stafford City Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Windsor Dual Tower Development, Eildon Hill Residences, and Norman Avenue Apartments in Lutwyche. The following list details these projects, which are likely to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Grange rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Grange has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.3%.

Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 3.4%, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 3,074 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.7% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Grange is 75.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

The area has a notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average. Conversely, retail trade shows lower representation at 6.2% versus the regional average of 9.4%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 3.4% and labour force grew by 2.9%, resulting in a unemployment fall of 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grange's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 15.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Grange had a median income of $76,490 and an average income of $114,959 among taxpayers. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high. Greater Brisbane's median income was $55,645 with an average of $70,520 in the same period. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 13.99%, Grange's estimated median income is approximately $87,191 and average income is around $131,042. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Grange rank between the 94th and 98th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 40.2% of Grange's community earns over $4,000 annually (1,983 individuals), contrasting with metropolitan patterns where $1,500 - $2,999 is the dominant band at 33.3%. Grange exhibits significant affluence with 54.2% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 88.4% of their income, demonstrating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Grange is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Grange's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.2% houses and 17.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 36.5% houses and 63.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grange was at 30.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.0% and rented ones at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure for Grange was $460, compared to Brisbane metro's $410. Nationally, Grange's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Grange features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.5% of all households, including 47.4% couples with children, 22.2% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.5%, with lone person households at 18.1% and group households making up 3.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.2.

Grange demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Grange significantly exceeds broader benchmarks, with 51.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% in Australia. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 33.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 12.7% and graduate diplomas at 6.2%. Vocational pathways account for 21.4% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.3% and certificates at 12.1%. Educational participation is high, with 35.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.0% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education. Wilston State School provides local educational services within Grange, with an enrollment of 858 students as of the latest data available. The area demonstrates exceptional educational performance, with an Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) score of 1165, placing local schools among the most advantaged nationally. There is one school focused exclusively on primary education in Grange, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 17.4 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 13.6, indicating that the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Grange shows 28 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops are served by a mix of buses on six individual routes, collectively providing 678 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 199 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 96 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Grange's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Grange, with younger age groups particularly experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 73% of Grange's total population (3,590 people) have private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 7.6% and 7.0% of residents respectively. A total of 76.3% of Grange's residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Brisbane's 73.7%. Grange has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 10.7% (528 people) compared to Greater Brisbane's 12.2%. However, health outcomes among seniors in Grange require more attention than the broader population.

Grange ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Grange's population was found to be relatively homogeneous culturally, with 83.1% born in Australia, 92.3% being citizens, and 92.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 54.1%. Judaism, however, was slightly overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to the Greater Brisbane average of 0.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.4%), Australian (26.2%), and Irish (12.7%). Notably, Welsh (0.7%) and Scottish (9.0%) groups were also overrepresented in Grange compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 8.7%, respectively. South African ancestry was marginally higher at 0.6%.

Grange's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Grange's median age is nearly 37 years, closely matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Grange has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.1%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.7% to 14.5%, while the 55-64 age group increased from 9.8% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 0-4 age group declined from 6.1% to 4.8%, and the 45-54 cohort dropped from 17.8% to 16.6%. By 2041, Grange's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 71%, adding 126 residents to reach 304. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 55% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are projected to experience population declines.