Ashgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Ashgrove's population was around 14,875 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 1,159 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,716 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,842 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 44 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 2,281 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ashgrove's growth rate of 8.4% since census positioned it within 0.5 percentage points of the national average (8.9%). Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 58.5% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data were adopted. These state projections did not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings were applied in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Looking ahead, a population increase just below the median of national areas was expected by 2041, with an increase of 782 persons reflecting a total increase of 5.0% over the 17 years based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashgrove recorded approximately 27 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25139 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 3.8 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built during these years.

This supply lagged demand significantly, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties were constructed at an average value of $623,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $53.5 million, suggesting robust local business investment. However, Ashgrove recorded markedly lower building activity compared to Greater Brisbane, at 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Nationally, the area's activity was also below average, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints. New development in Ashgrove consisted of 95.0% detached dwellings and 5.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Interestingly, developers were building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (77.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 571 people per approval, Ashgrove shows a mature, established area. Looking ahead, Ashgrove is expected to grow by 749 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Ashgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Twenty-four projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the local area's performance significantly. Key projects include Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, Ile Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove, with the following list detailing those likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Ashgrove ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Ashgrove has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.4%, with estimated employment growth of 0.7% over the past year (September 2025).

As of this date, 8,941 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate at 1.6%, below Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation is high at 73.0% compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Dominant sectors include professional & technical (1.8 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Manufacturing is under-represented at 2.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 6.4%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 0.7% while labour force rose by 0.8%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 3.8%, labour force growth of 3.3%, and a fall in unemployment of 0.5 percentage points. State-level data (to 25-Nov) shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National employment forecasts (May-25) project national growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Ashgrove SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $71,230 and an average of $108,991 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% suggest the median income would be approximately $81,195 and the average would be around $124,239. In Ashgrove, household, family, and personal incomes ranked highly in Australia, between the 88th and 95th percentiles according to 2021 Census figures. Income analysis showed that 35.8% of residents earned over $4,000 annually (5,325 individuals), differing from regional patterns where earnings between $1,500 and $2,999 dominate with 33.3%. Notably, 48.4% of Ashgrove residents earned more than $3,000 weekly, indicating strong economic capacity in the suburb. After housing costs, residents retained 87.2% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated Ashgrove's dwelling structure as 77.3% houses and 22.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro had 56.6% houses and 43.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashgrove was at 31.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.3% and rented ones at 27.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's $2,513. Median weekly rent in Ashgrove was $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $440 compared to the national figure of $375.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.4% of all households, consisting of 42.4% couples with children, 21.8% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.7% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Ashgrove residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate of 52.2%, compared to Queensland's 25.7% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.6%, with advanced diplomas at 9.1% and certificates at 11.5%. Educational participation is high, with 35.8% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes secondary education (11.2%), primary education (10.8%), and tertiary education (9.2%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ashgrove has 83 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 3,526 weekly passenger trips. The average distance residents live from the nearest stop is 163 meters.

On average, there are 503 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows exceptional results across Ashgrove, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 75% of the total population (11,200 people), compared to 72.2% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 7.8 and 7.3% of residents respectively.

A total of 74.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.7% across Greater Brisbane. Ashgrove has 13.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,936 people), higher than the 11.6% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Ashgrove records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove's cultural diversity aligns with the broader regional average, as indicated by its population statistics: 80.1% born in Australia, 91.6% citizens, and 91.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 54.4%. While Judaism's representation is similar to Greater Brisbane (0.2%), other religions' proportions may differ.

Ancestry-wise, English (27.2%) and Australian (24.4%) are prominent, followed by Irish (13.9%). Some ethnic groups show notable variations: Scottish at 9.3% in Ashgrove vs 9.4% regionally; Polish at 0.9% vs 0.7%; Welsh at 0.7% vs 0.7%.

Ashgrove's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ashgrove's median age is 38, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 45-54 years shows strong representation at 16.7%, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 9.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 15.4% to 17.7% of the population. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.0%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 15.8% to 14.8%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 56%, adding 348 people and reaching a total of 967 from the current 618. This growth reflects an aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above comprising 57% of the projected population growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.