Ashgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Ashgrove's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 14,875. This figure represents an increase of 1,159 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,716. The estimated resident population in June 2024 was 14,842, with an additional 44 validated new addresses contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 2,281 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Ashgrove's population growth rate of 8.4% since the Census is within 0.5 percentage points of the national average of 8.9%. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 58.5% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers contributing positively to growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Looking ahead, population projections indicate a growth of 782 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 5.0% over the 17-year period, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashgrove has recorded approximately 27 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25139 homes were approved, with a further 7 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 3.8 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built during this period.

This suggests supply is substantially lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average value of $1,078,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $53.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ashgrove records markedly lower building activity, at 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

The area's construction activity is also below national averages, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists predominantly of detached dwellings (95.0%), with a smaller proportion of medium and high-density housing (5.0%), preserving Ashgrove's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. Notably, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests, indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 571 people per approval, Ashgrove shows a mature, established area. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Ashgrove to grow by 749 residents through to 2041. Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Ashgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects that may affect the region. Notable ones include Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, Ile Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Ashgrove performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Ashgrove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.3%. As of June 2025, 9,143 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9%, lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Ashgrove was 73.0%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Dominant employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Professional & technical employment was particularly notable at 1.8 times the regional average. Manufacturing, however, was under-represented with only 2.9% of Ashgrove's workforce compared to Greater Brisbane's 6.4%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census working population vs resident population data. In the year to June 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, labour force by 2.9%, reducing unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 4.4% and a fall in unemployment of 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 showed Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections vary significantly. Applying these projections to Ashgrove's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Ashgrove SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $71,230 and an average of $108,991 in financial year 2022. This was notably higher than the Greater Brisbane median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median would be approximately $81,195 and the average $124,239, based on a 13.99% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Ashgrove ranked highly nationally, between the 88th and 95th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis showed that 35.8% of individuals earned over $4,000 weekly, contrasting with regional patterns where earnings between $1,500 - 2,999 dominated at 33.3%. The substantial proportion of high earners (48.4%) indicated strong economic capacity in the suburb. After housing costs, residents retained 87.2% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Ashgrove, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.3% houses and 22.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 56.6% houses and 43.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashgrove was at 31.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.3% and rented ones at 27.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $2,513. The median weekly rent figure for Ashgrove was $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.4% of all households, including 42.4% couples with children, 21.8% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.7% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Ashgrove's residents aged 15+ have a higher educational attainment than broader benchmarks. 52.2% hold university qualifications compared to Queensland's 25.7% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.6% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.1% and certificates at 11.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.8% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes secondary education (11.2%), primary education (10.8%), and tertiary education (9.2%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport data shows 83 active transport stops in Ashgrove, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 3,526 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located just 163 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 503 trips per day across all routes, which works out to about 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Ashgrove, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 75% of Ashgrove's total population of 11,200 people have private health cover, compared to 72.2% in Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.8% and 7.3% of residents respectively.

74.9% of Ashgrove residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.7% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 13.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,936 people), which is higher than the 11.6% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Ashgrove records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove's cultural diversity aligns with the broader area, as shown by its population: 80.1% born in Australia, 91.6% citizens, and 91.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 54.4%. Notably, Judaism is slightly overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to the regional average of 0.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (27.2%), Australian (24.4%), and Irish (13.9%). Some ethnic groups show variations: Scottish is marginally higher at 9.3% in Ashgrove versus 9.4% regionally, Polish is slightly more prevalent at 0.9% compared to 0.7%, and Welsh remains the same at 0.7%.

Ashgrove's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ashgrove's median age is 38, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 36 but equal to Australia's 38 years. The 45-54 age group makes up 16.7%, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 9.0%. Between January 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 15.4% to 17.7%. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort has declined from 13.6% to 12.0%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 15.8% to 14.8%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 56% (348 people), reaching 967 from 618. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 57% of the population growth, while the 0-4 and 25-34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.