Ashgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Ashgrove's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 14,933 people. This figure represents an increase of 1,217 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,716. The rise is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 14,911 in June 2025 and the addition of 45 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density of 2,290 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Ashgrove's growth rate of 8.9% since the Census is within 0.4 percentage points of the national average (9.3%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 80.2% of population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, based on 2022 data, for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, using 2021 data, are adopted. These state projections lack age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Future population projections indicate a median increase, with Ashgrove expected to grow by 694 persons to reach approximately 15,627 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 4.5% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashgrove has recorded approximately 27 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25139 homes were approved, with an additional 25 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 3.8 people moved to the area each year for each dwelling built during these years.

This indicates that supply is significantly lagging demand, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $623,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $53.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ashgrove records notably lower building activity, at 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new properties usually strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Additionally, this activity is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development in Ashgrove consists predominantly of detached dwellings, with 95.0% being so, while medium and high-density housing accounts for 5.0%. This preserves the area's suburban nature and attracts space-seeking buyers who prefer family homes. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (77.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Ashgrove shows a mature, established area with around 571 people per approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Ashgrove is expected to grow by 672 residents through to 2041. Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Ashgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of twenty-five projects likely to affect the area. Notable projects include Ile Ashgrove, Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Ashgrove ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Ashgrove has a highly educated workforce. Professional services are strongly represented, with an unemployment rate of 2.7% and estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year as of December 2025. There were 8,989 residents in work at this time, with an unemployment rate of 1.4%, below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation was higher than standard at 76.0% compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. According to Census responses, 34.2% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors are professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Ashgrove has a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average.

Manufacturing is under-represented, with only 2.9% of Ashgrove's workforce compared to Greater Brisbane's 6.4%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while labour force increased by 1.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The median taxpayer income in Ashgrove SA2 is $72,183, with an average of $109,272, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is notably higher than Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $80,383 (median) and $121,685 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Ashgrove rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 95th percentiles. Income analysis shows that 35.8% of individuals earn over $4,000 per week, contrasting with regional levels where the dominant band is $1,500 - $2,999 at 33.3%. This indicates strong economic capacity in the suburb, with residents retaining 87.2% of income after housing costs. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ashgrove's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.3% houses and 22.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashgrove was at 31.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.3% and rented ones at 27.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Ashgrove was $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.4% of all households, including couples with children (42.4%), couples without children (21.8%), and single parent families (9.1%). Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.7% and group households making up 4.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Ashgrove's educational attainment is notably higher than broader standards. Among residents aged 15+, 52.2% hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. University degrees are most common at 32.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.6% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.1% and certificates at 11.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.8% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in secondary education, 10.8% in primary education, and 9.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ashgrove has 83 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 3,420 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's location to the nearest transport stop is 163 meters. Most residents commute outward due to Ashgrove being primarily residential. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 79%, with buses accounting for 10%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 34.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The average service frequency across all routes is 488 trips per day, equating to approximately 41 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment of health outcomes in Ashgrove shows excellent results, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 75% of the total population (11,244 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 7.8 and 7.3% of residents respectively.

Notably, 74.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 13.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,993 people), lower than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, broadly aligning with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Ashgrove records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove's cultural diversity aligns with its broader region, as indicated by its population born in Australia (80.1%), citizens (91.6%), and English speakers at home (91.0%). Christianity is the predominant religion in Ashgrove (54.4%). Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, with 0.2% of Ashgrove's population identifying as such.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (27.2%), Australian (24.4%), and Irish (13.9%), significantly higher than regional averages. Other ethnicities like Scottish (9.3%) Polish (0.9%) and Welsh (0.7%) also show notable overrepresentation in Ashgrove compared to the region's averages.

Ashgrove's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ashgrove's median age is 38 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 45-54 has a strong representation in Ashgrove at 16.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 9.8%. From 2021 to present, the population aged 15 to 24 grew from 15.4% to 17.9%, and the 75 to 84 age group increased from 3.4% to 4.4%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort declined from 13.6% to 11.8%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 15.8% to 14.3%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. The 85+ group is expected to grow by 111%, reaching 590 people from 279. Those aged 65 and above will comprise 57% of the projected population growth. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.