Ashgrove
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Ashgrove's population is approximately 14,855 as of Aug 2025. From the 2021 Census until Jun 2024, it increased by around 1,139 people (8.3%), reaching an estimated resident population of 14,842. This growth is attributed to approximately 37 new addresses since the Census date. The population density in Ashgrove is about 2,278 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Between 2021 and Aug 2025, Ashgrove's population grew at an 8.3% rate, close to the national average of 8.6%. Overseas migration contributed roughly 58.5% of this growth.

All demographic drivers were positive factors. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area until 2032, with Queensland State Government's projections used thereafter. For years post-2032 and areas without data, proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections are applied. By 2041, Ashgrove is projected to increase by approximately 782 persons (5.2% total growth over the period).

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashgrove has recorded approximately 27 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 139 homes have been approved, with an additional six approved so far in FY-26. On average, over these five years, around 3.8 people moved to the area for each dwelling built.

This indicates substantial demand outstripping supply, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $1,078,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, commercial development approvals have reached $53.5 million, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ashgrove records significantly lower building activity, at 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Nationally, this activity is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists predominantly of detached dwellings (95.0%), with medium and high-density housing making up the remaining 5.0%, preserving Ashgrove's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. Notably, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (77.0% at Census), indicating strong demand for family homes. Ashgrove shows a mature, established area with around 571 people per approval. Looking ahead to 2041, Ashgrove is expected to grow by approximately 769 residents. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Ashgrove has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, Ile Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Ashgrove performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Ashgrove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 2.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3% over the past year.

As of June 2025, there are 9,143 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is high at 73.0%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Dominant employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training, with a notable concentration in professional & technical services (1.8 times the regional average). Manufacturing is under-represented, with only 2.9% of Ashgrove's workforce compared to 6.4% in Greater Brisbane.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally as indicated by Census data. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, while labour force grew by 2.9%, reducing unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 4.4% and a fall in unemployment of 0.4%. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local growth patterns may differ significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Ashgrove's employment mix suggests potential local growth of approximately 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Ashgrove has a median taxpayer income of $71,230 and an average of $108,991 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Nationally, this is exceptionally high, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. By March 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.71% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $79,571 (median) and $121,754 (average). According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Ashgrove rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 96th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 35.8% of the community (5,318 individuals) earns $4,000 or more per week, differing from patterns across regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 band dominates with 33.3%. This indicates a substantial proportion of high earners, with 48.4% earning above $3,000 per week, reflecting strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 87.2% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Ashgrove, as per the latest Census evaluation, 77.3% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 22.7% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types of dwellings. In contrast, Brisbane metro had 56.6% houses and 43.3% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Ashgrove was higher at 31.5%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 41.3% and rented dwellings making up 27.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, surpassing Brisbane metro's average of $2,513. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent in Ashgrove was $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.4% of all households, including 42.4% couples with children, 21.8% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.7% and group households comprising 4.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Ashgrove is notably higher than broader benchmarks, with 52.2% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% in Australia. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas making up 9.1% and certificates 11.5%. Educational participation is high, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.2% in secondary education, 10.8% in primary education, and 9.2% pursuing tertiary education.

There are six schools operating within Ashgrove educating approximately 4,114 students as of the latest data available. The area demonstrates high educational performance with an ICSEA score of 1152, placing local schools among the most advantaged nationally. The educational mix includes four primary schools, one secondary school, and one K-12 school. As of recent statistics, Ashgrove functions as an education hub with 27.7 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.1, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 83 active public transport stops in Ashgrove, all bus stops. These are served by 20 unique routes, collectively offering 3526 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 163 meters.

Service frequency averages 503 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Ashgrove, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 75% of the total population (11,185 people), compared to 72.2% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.8% and 7.3% of residents respectively.

A total of 74.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.7% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 13.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,934 people), higher than the 11.6% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Ashgrove records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove's population, born in Australia, was 80.1%, similar to the wider region's average. Citizenship stood at 91.6%, with 91.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the primary religion at 54.4%.

Judaism's presence was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 0.2%. Top ancestry groups were English (27.2%), Australian (24.4%), and Irish (13.9%). Scottish representation was notably higher at 9.3% versus the regional average of 9.4%. Welsh and Polish representations were also notable, at 0.7% each compared to their respective regional averages of 0.7%.

Ashgrove's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ashgrove's median age is 38, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 36 but equal to Australia's 38 years. The 45-54 age group comprises 16.7%, notably higher than Greater Brisbane's figure. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 15.4% to 17.7%. Meanwhile, the 35-44 cohort has decreased from 13.6% to 12.0%, and the 5-14 group has dropped from 15.8% to 14.8%. By 2041, projections show significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 56% (349 people), reaching 967 from 617. Those aged 65 and above are projected to contribute to 57% of the population growth, while the 0-4 and 25-34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.