Ashgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Ashgrove's population is around 14,878 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,162 people (8.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,716 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,842 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 43 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,281 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ashgrove's 8.5% growth since the census positions it within 1.4 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 58.5% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and interstate migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to grow by 782 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 5.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashgrove has recorded around 27 residential properties granted approval annually, with 139 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 15 so far in FY-26. With an average of 3.8 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is substantially lagging demand, which generally means heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $623,000, revealing that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Additionally, $53.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ashgrove records markedly lower building activity (61.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. New development consists of 95.0% detached dwellings and 5.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (77.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. At around 571 people per approval, Ashgrove shows a mature, established area.

Looking ahead, Ashgrove is expected to grow by 746 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Ashgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 27 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Ile Ashgrove, Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Ashgrove ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Ashgrove features a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 2.7%, and 0.8% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 8,989 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.4% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (77.1% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 34.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical, with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average. On the other hand, manufacturing is under-represented, with only 2.9% of Ashgrove's workforce compared to 6.4% in Greater Brisbane. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while the labour force increased by 1.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2%, labour force growth of 3.0%, with unemployment falling 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Ashgrove. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Ashgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Ashgrove SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $72,183 and an average of $109,272 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is exceptionally high nationally, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $79,336 (median) and $120,101 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Ashgrove, between the 88th and 95th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals the $4000+ earnings band captures 35.8% of the community (5,326 individuals), differing from patterns across regional levels where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 33.3%. The substantial proportion of high earners (48.4% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout this suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 87.2% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Ashgrove, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 77.3% houses and 22.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Ashgrove was well beyond that of Brisbane metro, at 31.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (41.3%) or rented (27.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Brisbane metro average at $2,600, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 74.4% of all households, comprising 42.4% couples with children, 21.8% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.7% and group households comprising 4.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Ashgrove significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 52.2% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 32.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational pathways account for 20.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (9.1%) and certificates (11.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in secondary education, 10.8% in primary education, and 9.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 83 active transport stops operating within Ashgrove, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 20 individual routes, collectively providing 3,420 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 163 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 79%, with 10% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. A high 34.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 488 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 41 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Ashgrove, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 75% of the total population (11,203 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.8% and 7.3% of residents, respectively, while 74.9% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 13.6% of residents aged 65 and over (2,017 people), which is lower than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Ashgrove records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 80.1% of its population born in Australia, 91.6% being citizens, and 91.0% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Ashgrove is Christianity, which makes up 54.4% of people in Ashgrove. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Ashgrove are English, comprising 27.2% of the population, Australian, comprising 24.4% of the population, and Irish, comprising 13.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 8.2%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Scottish is notably overrepresented at 9.3% of Ashgrove (vs 7.4% regionally), Polish at 0.9% (vs 0.5%) and Welsh at 0.7% (vs 0.5%).

Ashgrove's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

With a median age of 38, Ashgrove is slightly older than the Greater Brisbane figure of 36, though equal to Australia's 38 years. The 45 - 54 age group shows strong representation at 16.7% compared to Greater Brisbane, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 8.6%. In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 15.4% to 18.1% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.4% to 4.5%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort has declined from 13.6% to 11.8% and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 9.8% to 8.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 45 to 54 group will grow by 13% (312 people), reaching 2,794 from 2,481. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 57% of projected growth. On the other hand, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.