Bardon

Bardon has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Bardon's population is around 11,109 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 766 people (7.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,343 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,096 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,368 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Bardon's 7.4% growth since the census positions it within 2.5 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 80.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to grow by 996 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 8.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bardon recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Bardon has averaged around 19 new dwelling approvals annually, totalling 98 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 6 approvals have been recorded. At an average of 7.3 new residents per year for every home built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $813,000, demonstrating a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. There have also been $5.0 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When measured against Greater Brisbane, Bardon records markedly lower building activity (63.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Further, recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (82.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes amid densification trends. The location has approximately 682 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market.

Looking ahead, Bardon is expected to grow by 983 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers could encounter growing competition as population increases.

Bardon has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 15 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Coles Local Bardon, Bardon Commercial Precinct Redevelopment, Ile Ashgrove, and Legacy Way Tunnel, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bardon rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bardon features a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 2.1%, and 1.2% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,647 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.1% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (77.8% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 36.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area shows particularly strong specialization in professional & technical, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level. Meanwhile, manufacturing has a limited presence with 2.6% employment compared to 6.4% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 1.2% alongside the labour force increasing by 1.3%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.2% and labour force growth of 3.0%, with a 0.1 percentage point drop. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Bardon. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bardon's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 15.1% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Bardon SA2's income level is exceptionally high nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Bardon SA2's median income among taxpayers is $79,155 and the average income stands at $126,420, which compares to figures for Greater Brisbane of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $86,999 (median) and $138,948 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Bardon, between the 95th and 99th percentiles nationally. The data shows the largest segment comprises 42.6% earning $4000+ weekly (4,732 residents), unlike trends in the broader area where 33.3% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A significant 55.6% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting pockets of prosperity that drive robust local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bardon is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Bardon, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 81.8% houses and 18.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Bardon was well beyond that of Brisbane metro, at 34.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (43.9%) or rented (21.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Brisbane metro average at $2,903, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $495, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Bardon's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardon features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 77.1% of all households, comprising 44.0% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.9%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 3.9% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Bardon demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Bardon significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 58.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 36.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.5%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%). Vocational pathways account for 17.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+; advanced diplomas (8.2%) and certificates (9.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 9.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 94 active transport stops operating within Bardon, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 13 individual routes, collectively providing 2,738 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 142 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 79%, with 10% by bus and 3% cycling. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. A high 36.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 391 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardon's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Bardon, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 80% of the total population (8,876 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.6% and 6.9% of residents, respectively, while 75.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 12.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,354 people), which is lower than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Bardon ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardon was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 80.4% of its population born in Australia, 92.1% being citizens, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Bardon is Christianity, which makes up 48.5% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Bardon are English, comprising 28.3% of the population, Australian, comprising 23.7% of the population, and Irish, comprising 13.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Scottish is notably overrepresented at 10.2% of Bardon (vs 7.4% regionally), French at 0.7% (vs 0.5%) and South Australian at 0.7% (vs 0.6%).

Bardon's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

With a median age of 38, Bardon is slightly older than the Greater Brisbane figure of 36, though equal to Australia's 38 years. The 45 - 54 age group shows strong representation at 16.4% compared to Greater Brisbane, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 8.6%. In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.8% to 16.3% of the population. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort has declined from 15.0% to 13.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Bardon's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 45 to 54 group will grow by 19% (340 people), reaching 2,165 from 1,824. Meanwhile, both the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups will see reduced numbers.