Bardon

Bardon has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Bardon's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 11,109. This figure reflects a growth of 766 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,343. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,096 in June 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,368 persons per square kilometer, placing Bardon in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 7.4% growth since the census is within 2.5 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 80.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth in the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data as the base year. Based on projected demographic shifts, Bardon is expected to experience a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas by 2041. The latest annual ERP population numbers suggest an increase of 996 persons, reflecting an overall growth of approximately 8.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bardon recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Bardon has averaged approximately 19 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 98 homes. As of this year's financial year, FY-26, 6 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, from FY-21 to FY-25, an average of 7.3 new residents per year has been associated with each home built. This indicates a significant demand outpacing supply, which typically influences prices upwards and intensifies competition among buyers.

The average value for new dwellings developed during this period was $813,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, there have been $5.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bardon has shown notably lower building activity, 63.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. This is also below national averages, indicating the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent development in Bardon has been entirely composed of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (82.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes despite densification trends. The location has approximately 682 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Looking ahead, Bardon is projected to grow by 983 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers could encounter growing competition as population increases.

Bardon has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Coles Local Bardon, Bardon Commercial Precinct Redevelopment, Ile Ashgrove, and Legacy Way Tunnel. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bardon rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bardon has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.0% as of September 2025, which is below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.7%.

A total of 6,596 residents were in work during this period, with workforce participation at 77.1%, above Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, 36.9% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Bardon shows strong specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share twice the regional level, while manufacturing has limited presence at 2.6%, compared to the regional average of 6.4%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 0.7% alongside labour force growth of 0.7%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardon's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 15.1% over ten years. These figures are based on simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Bardon SA2 was $79,155 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $126,420 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Brisbane of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $86,999 (median) and $138,948 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Bardon rank highly nationally, between the 95th and 99th percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 42.6% earning over $4000 weekly, with a total of 4,732 residents falling into this category. In contrast, only 33.3% in the broader area earn within the $1500-$2999 range. A significant 55.6% of Bardon residents earn above $3000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile nationally.

Bardon is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Bardon, according to the latest Census data, consisted of 81.8% houses and 18.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardon stood at 34.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (43.9%) or rented (21.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,903, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure for Bardon was recorded at $495, higher than Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Bardon's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardon features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.1% of all households, including 44.0% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.9%, with lone person households at 18.9% and group households comprising 3.9%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Bardon demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bardon has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above, with 58.9% holding university qualifications. This figure exceeds the Queensland average of 25.7% and the Australian average of 30.4%. The area's strong educational advantage is reflected in the types of qualifications held: Bachelor degrees are most common at 36.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.5%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%). Vocational pathways account for 17.6% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas making up 8.2% and certificates 9.4%.

Educational participation is particularly high in Bardon, with 35.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 9.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardon has 94 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 13 different routes that together facilitate 2,738 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 142 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 79% of residents, while buses are used by 10%, and cycling by 3%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents work from home, at 36.9%, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 391 trips per day, equating to approximately 29 weekly trips per stop.

Bardon's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bardon's health outcomes show significant positives based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, indicating very low prevalence across all age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 80% of Bardon's total population (8,876 people), notably higher than Greater Brisbane's 55.8%, which is close to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions in the area, affecting 7.6% and 6.9% of residents respectively.

A total of 75.5% of residents report being free from medical ailments, higher than Greater Brisbane's 69.2%. Bardon has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Bardon are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Bardon ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardon's population shows low cultural diversity: 80.4% were born in Australia, 92.1% are citizens, and 92.0% speak English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, with 48.5%. Judaism, however, is slightly overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 0.1%.

Top ancestry groups in Bardon are English (28.3%), Australian (23.7%), and Irish (13.0%). Some ethnicities show notable differences: Scottish (10.2% vs regional 7.4%), French (0.7% vs 0.5%), and South African (0.7% vs 0.6%) are overrepresented in Bardon.

Bardon's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bardon's median age is 38, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 45-54 years has a strong representation in Bardon at 16.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 age group is less prevalent at 8.6%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 13.8% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group has decreased from 15.0% to 13.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bardon's age structure. Notably, the 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 19%, adding 340 people and reaching a total of 2,165 from its current figure of 1,824. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.