Auchenflower

An assessment of population growth drivers in Auchenflower reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Auchenflower's population is around 6,141 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 471 people (8.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,670 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,123 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 4,835 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought-after resource. Auchenflower's 8.3% growth since the census positions it within 1.6 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 69.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to grow by 448 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 7.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Auchenflower recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Auchenflower has averaged around 8 new dwelling approvals each year, totalling 43 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. Given an average of 4.7 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $645,000, revealing that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. There have also been $35.5 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity.

When measured against Greater Brisbane, Auchenflower has significantly less development activity (71.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, though development activity has picked up in recent periods. This activity is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 25.0% detached houses and 75.0% attached dwellings. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. At around 483 people per approval, Auchenflower indicates a mature market.

Looking ahead, Auchenflower is expected to grow by 430 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Auchenflower has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 19 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include The Wesley Hospital Expansion (Chasely Street Health Hub), The Tannery Residences, Harriett St, Auchenflower, and the 305-Unit Milton Development, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Auchenflower ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Auchenflower features a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of only 3.3%, and 1.0% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 4,200 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.8% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (79.8% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 30.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical, with employment levels at 2.0 times the regional average. Meanwhile, construction has a limited presence with 4.6% employment compared to 9.0% regionally. The ratio of 0.7 workers for each resident, as at the Census, indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 1.0% while the labour force increased by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane, where employment rose by 3.2%, the labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Auchenflower. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Auchenflower's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Auchenflower SA2's median income among taxpayers is $60,523, with an average of $90,065. This is among the highest in Australia, and compares to Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $66,521 (median) and $98,990 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Auchenflower, between the 76th and 84th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 31.9% of residents (1,958 people), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. The area demonstrates considerable affluence with 34.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 15.0% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 77th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Auchenflower features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Auchenflower, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 38.7% houses and 61.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Auchenflower was slightly lagging that of Brisbane metro, at 24.3%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (28.0%) or rented (47.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Brisbane metro average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $390, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Auchenflower's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Auchenflower features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 56.5% of all households, comprising 20.9% couples with children, 27.7% couples without children, and 5.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 43.5%, with lone person households at 30.9% and group households comprising 12.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.3 people is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Auchenflower performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational attainment in Auchenflower significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 56.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 37.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational pathways account for 19.8% of qualifications among those aged 15+ - advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (10.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.8% in tertiary education, 6.5% in primary education, and 5.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 25 active transport stops operating within Auchenflower, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 104 individual routes, collectively providing 5,381 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 140 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 60%, with 16% by train and 8% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 30.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 768 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 215 weekly trips per individual stop.

Auchenflower's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Auchenflower, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 66% of the total population (4,046 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.7% and 8.3% of residents, respectively, while 73.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.4% of residents aged 65 and over (887 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Auchenflower was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Auchenflower was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 15.1% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 26.4% born overseas. The main religion in Auchenflower is Christianity, which makes up 42.0% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 3.0% of the population, compared to 2.2% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Auchenflower are English, comprising 26.0% of the population, Australian, comprising 22.3% of the population, and Irish, comprising 11.5% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Scottish is notably overrepresented at 9.5% of Auchenflower (vs 7.4% regionally), French at 0.8% (vs 0.5%) and Welsh at 0.7% (vs 0.5%).

Auchenflower hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 32 years, Auchenflower's median age is notably under the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Auchenflower has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (20.2%) but fewer 5 - 14 year-olds (7.2%). This 15 - 24 concentration is well above the national 12.5%. In the period since 2021, the 55 to 64 age group has grown from 9.0% to 10.3% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 4.1% to 5.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 8.6% to 7.2% and the 35 to 44 group dropped from 13.5% to 12.3%. Demographic modeling suggests Auchenflower's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to expand substantially, increasing by 164 people (166%) from 98 to 263. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 66% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 15 to 24 cohorts.