Bardon

Bardon has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Bardon's population is estimated at around 10,988 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 835 people (8.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,153 people in the Bardon statistical area (Lv2). The change is inferred from the resident population of 10,975, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,188 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Bardon's 8.2% growth since census positions it within 1.3 percentage points of the SA3 area (9.5%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 80.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 1,001 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting recording a gain of 9.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bardon recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Bardon has seen around 19 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, approximately 99 homes were approved, with a further six approved so far in FY26. This results in an estimated average of 7.1 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed annually over these years.

Consequently, demand significantly exceeds new supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new dwellings is $1,446,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY26, there have been $120,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bardon shows substantially reduced construction levels, at 62.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Looking at national comparisons, Bardon reflects a highly mature market with around 640 people per dwelling approval. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers despite increasing density pressures. With an expected population growth of 993 residents through to 2041, if current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag behind population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Bardon has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Coles Local Bardon, Ile Ashgrove, Bardon Commercial Precinct Redevelopment, and Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Bardon places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Bardon has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.0% in September 2025, below Greater Brisbane's 4.0%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.7%. Workforce participation was 73.2%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key employment sectors were professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area had a strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level.

Manufacturing employed only 2.6% of local workers, lower than Greater Brisbane's 6.4%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.7% while labour force grew by 0.8%, keeping unemployment stable. This contrasted with Greater Brisbane where employment rose by 3.8%, labour force grew by 3.3%, and unemployment fell by 0.5 percentage points. Statewide in Queensland, employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardon's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 15.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows median income in Bardon at $78,191 and average income at $123,208. This is higher than Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. By September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $85,940 (median) and $135,418 (average), based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Bardon's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 95th and 99th percentiles according to 2021 Census figures. The predominant income cohort in Bardon is $4000+, with 42.3% of locals (4,647 people) falling into this category, unlike the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 33.3%. A significant 55.4% of Bardon residents earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 88.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bardon is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Bardon, as per the latest Census, was 81.3% houses and 18.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 56.6% houses and 43.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardon stood at 34.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (44.4%) or rented (21.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,817, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $2,513. The median weekly rent was $500, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Bardon's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,817 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardon features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.0% of all households, including 43.8% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 18.8% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Bardon demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Bardon is notably high, with 58.9% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications as of the latest data available. This compares to 25.7% for Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% for Australia overall. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 36.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 16.5% and graduate diplomas at 6.1%. Vocational pathways account for 17.6% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and over, with advanced diplomas making up 8.2% and certificates 9.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.4% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 9.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardon has 95 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 13 different routes that together facilitate 2,738 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located just 137 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 391 trips across all routes, which amounts to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardon's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Bardon, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 76% of the total population (8,351 people), compared to 71.6% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 7.7 and 6.9% of residents respectively, while 75.4% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.7% across Greater Brisbane.

The area has 11.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,307 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Bardon ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardon, as per the data, shows lower cultural diversity with 80.1% of its population born in Australia and 92.1% being citizens. English is spoken exclusively at home by 91.7%. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 48.1%.

While Judaism's representation is similar to Greater Brisbane at 0.2%, it is notable that Scottish ancestry is slightly overrepresented in Bardon at 10.2% compared to 9.4% regionally. Additionally, French and Welsh ancestries are equally represented in Bardon as in Greater Brisbane, at 0.7%.

Bardon's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Bardon's median age is 38, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 45-54 years shows strong representation in Bardon at 16.5%, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 9.1%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 13.4% to 15.8%. Conversely, the age group of 35 to 44 has declined from 15.0% to 14.0%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bardon's age structure. Notably, the 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 18%, adding 324 people and reaching a total of 2,138 from its current figure of 1,813. Meanwhile, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are projected to see reduced numbers.