Bardon

Bardon has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Bardon's population is estimated at around 10,994 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 841 people (8.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,153 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 10,981, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on June 2024, and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,190 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Bardon's 8.3% growth since census positions it within 0.6 percentage points of the national average (8.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 80.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the suburb of Bardon expected to expand by 1,001 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting recording a gain of 9.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bardon recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Bardon has had around 22 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 110 homes were approved, with another five approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 6.4 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed during this period.

The demand for housing significantly exceeds the supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. Developers focus on the premium market, as shown by the average construction value of $1,446,000 for new dwellings in Bardon. There have been $5.0 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Bardon has a substantially reduced construction rate, with 58.0% fewer approvals per person, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. The new building activity is dominated by detached houses at 87.0%, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes.

There are approximately 660 people per dwelling approval in Bardon, demonstrating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bardon is expected to grow by 987 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Bardon has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Coles Local Bardon, Bardon Commercial Precinct Redevelopment, Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, and Ile Ashgrove. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Bardon performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Bardon has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.0%. As of June 2025, 6,679 residents are employed with a workforce participation rate of 73.2%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Bardon has a particularly high specialization in professional & technical jobs, at 2.0 times the regional level, but lower representation in manufacturing (2.6% vs regional average of 6.4%).

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by working population counts versus resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 3.0% while labour force grew by 2.8%, reducing unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, applying these projections to Bardon's specific employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 15.1% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Bardon's income level is among the top percentile nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Bardon's median income among taxpayers is $78,180 and the average income stands at $123,189. These figures compare to those of Greater Brisbane, which are $55,645 and $70,520 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $89,117 (median) and $140,423 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Bardon rank highly nationally, between the 95th and 99th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 42.3% earning $4000+ weekly (4,650 residents), differing from patterns across the broader area where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 33.3%. A significant 55.4% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting pockets of prosperity that drive robust local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retain 88.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bardon is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bardon, as per the latest Census evaluation, 81.3% of dwellings were houses with 18.7% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This contrasts with Brisbane's metropolitan area where 56.6% were houses and 43.3% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardon stood at 34.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.4% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,817, higher than Brisbane's metro average of $2,513. The median weekly rent figure for Bardon was recorded at $500, compared to Brisbane's metro average of $430. Nationally, Bardon's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardon features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.0% of all households, including 43.8% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 18.8% and group households making up 4.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Bardon demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bardon's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Specifically, 58.9% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% in Australia. This educational advantage is primarily due to bachelor degrees (36.3%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.5%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%). Vocational pathways account for 17.6%, with advanced diplomas at 8.2% and certificates at 9.4%.

Educational participation in Bardon is high, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (12.4%), secondary education (9.3%), and tertiary education (9.2%). The four schools in Bardon have a combined enrollment of 1,872 students, demonstrating exceptional educational performance, with an ICSEA score of 1177, placing them among the most advantaged nationally. All four schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardon has 96 active public transport stops. These are served by buses only, with 13 different routes operating. Together, these provide a total of 2,738 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Bardon is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 137 meters from the nearest stop. On average, services run 391 times per day across all routes, which equates to around 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardon's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Bardon, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 76% of the total population (8,356 people), compared to 72.2% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 7.7 and 6.9% of residents respectively.

A significant majority, 75.4%, declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.7% across Greater Brisbane. As of 11th January 2023, 11.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,308 people). Health outcomes among seniors in the area are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Bardon ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardon's population showed low cultural diversity, with 80.1% born in Australia and 92.1% being citizens. English was the language spoken at home by 91.7%. Christianity dominated religiously at 48.1%, while Judaism was slightly overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 0.2%.

Ancestrally, English (28.3%), Australian (23.4%), and Irish (13.0%) were the top groups. Notably, Scottish ancestry was higher in Bardon at 10.2% than regionally at 9.4%, while French and Welsh showed no divergence from regional figures at 0.7%.

Bardon's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Bardon's median age is 38, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's national median age of 38. The 45-54 age group comprises 16.5% of Bardon's population, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.1%. Between 2021 and present day, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.4% to 15.8% of the population. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort has decreased from 15.0% to 14.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bardon's age structure. The 45-54 group is projected to grow by 18%, adding 323 people and reaching a total of 2,138 from the current figure of 1,814. Meanwhile, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.