Bardon

Bardon has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

According to ABS population updates for the wider region and new addresses verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Bardon has an estimated population of 11,053 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 900 people (8.9%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 10,153 individuals. The shift is based on a resident population of 11,050, calculated by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 ERP release and 25 validated new addresses added after the Census. This population level means a density ratio of 2,201 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average benchmark for national sites analyzed by AreaSearch. The post-census growth of 8.9% in the suburb of Bardon is within 0.4 percentage points of the national average (9.3%), indicating competitive expansion trends. Recent population growth in the suburb of Bardon was mostly driven by overseas migration, which made up approximately 80.0% of the total population increase.

AreaSearch uses projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 regions, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. Queensland Government SA2 projections from 2023 based on 2021 records are applied for areas missing this data and for periods past 2032. Because Queensland state projections lack age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch applies proportional growth shares based on the ABS Greater Capital Region projections from 2023 using 2022 data. Considering these anticipated demographic shifts, population growth for the suburb of Bardon is projected to be slightly under the national median, with the suburb of Bardon growing by 873 persons to 2041 under consolidated SA2 projections, representing an overall rise of 7.9% across the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Bardon recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of building approvals from the ABS indicates that Bardon averages approximately 21 residential approvals annually, with an estimated 105 dwellings approved during the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 9 approvals registered during FY-26 to date. Given that an average of 6 people moved to the neighborhood for every new home built during those 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), local supply is trailing behind demand. This imbalance typically intensifies buyer competition and exerts upward pressure on prices, particularly since new builds carry an average value of $1,446,000, indicating that developers are targeting the high-end residential market. Commercial approvals total $120,000 for this financial year, pointing to a heavily residential focus.

In comparison to Greater Brisbane, building activity in Bardon is highly constrained, sitting 60.0% below the regional per capita average. This limited construction pace generally supports demand and strengthens values for established homes. The approval volume is similarly below national trends, reflecting the built-out status of the area and indicating possible planning restrictions. Detached houses account for 91.0% of new residential approvals, while medium and high-density options represent 9.0%, preserving the classic low-density suburban landscape favored by families. Recording roughly 668 people for every approval, the area shows a highly mature, settled profile.

Looking ahead, Bardon is projected to add 870 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. If the current pace of construction persists, new housing may fail to keep up with the population rise, which could heighten competition among buyers and reinforce home price growth.

Bardon has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure projects, major works, and planning updates are primary drivers of real estate performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects expected to influence the local area. Key developments include Coles Local Bardon, Bardon Commercial Precinct Redevelopment, Ile Ashgrove, and Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, with the most significant projects listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Bardon performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Bardon has a highly educated workforce with a significant proportion of professionals, an unemployment rate of only 2.1%, and an estimated job growth of 2.1% over the past year according to AreaSearch statistical area data. In March 2026, there were 6,642 employed residents, with an unemployment rate 2.2% lower than the 4.3% rate recorded across Greater Brisbane. The workforce participation rate of 77.4% is also well above the 70.4% average for Greater Brisbane. According to Census records, a high 36.7% of employed locals worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of COVID-19 lockdowns.

The primary employment sectors for local workers are professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The local workforce is highly specialized in professional & technical services, representing 2.0 times the proportion seen across the wider region. Conversely, manufacturing is under-represented, employing only 2.6% of Bardon's workforce compared to 6.4% across Greater Brisbane. The heavily residential nature of the suburb means local employment opportunities are limited, as shown by comparing the count of the Census working population against the resident population.

According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics for the year ending March 2026, local employment grew by 2.1% while the labour force expanded by 2.3%, leading to a 0.2 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. Over the same period, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.2% and labour force expansion of 3.4%, resulting in a 0.1 percentage point increase. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia issued in May-25 offer additional perspective on prospective demand trends. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been aligned with the local industry profile to estimate future trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary by industry. Applying these sectoral projections to the local employment mix suggests Bardon's employment count would grow by 7.5% over five years and 15.1% over ten years, representing a simple weighted extrapolation that does not account for local population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Bardon recorded a median taxpayer income of $78,191 and an average income of $123,208 according to postcode-level ATO records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These figures are exceptionally high by national standards, contrasting with the median income of $58,236 and average of $72,799 across Greater Brisbane. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates stand at approximately $87,073 for the median and $137,204 for the average as of March 2026. Census data confirms household, family, and individual incomes in Bardon rank in the top percentiles nationally, specifically between the 95th and 99th percentiles. The largest income bracket contains 42.3% of residents earning $4000+ weekly (4,675 residents), unlike the broader region where 33.3% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Bardon shows high affluence, with 55.4% of households earning over $3,000 per week, which supports upscale retail and service businesses. After servicing housing costs, residents retain 88.3% of their income, indicating high purchasing power and placing the area in the 10th decile of the SEIFA index.

Bardon is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Housing types in Bardon at the time of the latest Census consisted of 81.3% houses and 18.7% other housing styles like semi-detached homes and apartments, compared to 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings across the Brisbane metro area. Home ownership was notably higher than the metro average at 34.1%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (44.4%) or rented (21.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $2,817, well above the Brisbane metro average of $1,863, while the median weekly rent was $500 compared to Brisbane metro's average of $380. Nationally, Bardon's mortgage payments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardon features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households represent the majority at 77.0% of all households, consisting of couples with children at 43.8%, couples without children at 23.3%, and single parent families at 8.7%. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.0%, with single-person households at 18.8% and group households making up 4.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Bardon demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational qualification levels in Bardon are significantly higher than broader averages, with 58.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 25.7% across QLD and 30.4% nationwide. This high educational attainment positions the suburb well for professional opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 36.3%, followed by postgraduate degrees (16.5%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%). Vocational qualifications are held by 17.6% of residents aged 15+, which includes advanced diplomas (8.2%) and certificates (9.4%).

Enrolment rates are high, with 35.4% of residents participating in formal study. This consists of 12.4% attending primary school, 9.3% in secondary school, and 9.2% enrolled in tertiary education programs.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transit analysis shows 95 active bus stops in Bardon. These stops are served by 13 routes, providing 2,738 weekly passenger trips. Access is highly rated, with residents living an average of 137 meters from the nearest stop. Because Bardon is primarily residential, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary transport method at 78%, followed by bus transit at 10% and cycling at 3%. Average vehicle ownership is 1.5 per dwelling. A notable 36.7% of residents worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 391 trips per day across all active routes, which represents approximately 28 weekly trips per transport stop.

Bardon's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health data shows excellent wellness levels across Bardon based on AreaSearch analysis of mortality rates and chronic illness, with very low rates of common health conditions across all ages. The rate of private health insurance is exceptionally high, covering approximately 76% of the population (8,401 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most frequent medical conditions reported were mental health conditions and asthma, affecting 7.7 and 6.9% of residents, respectively. A high 75.4% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Residents aged 65 and over make up 11.6% of the population (1,282 people), which is lower than the 15.1% share across Greater Brisbane. Senior health outcomes are strong, with national rankings matching those of the broader local population.

Bardon ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardon has below-average cultural diversity, with 80.1% of residents born in Australia, 92.1% holding citizenship, and 91.7% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the main religion, practiced by 48.1% of the population. The most distinct religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.2% of residents compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestral background, the three largest groups in Bardon are English at 28.3%, Australian at 23.4%, and Irish at 13.0%. There are also notable differences in other backgrounds, with Scottish heritage overrepresented at 10.2% (compared to 7.4% regionally), French at 0.7% (compared to 0.5%), and Welsh at 0.7% (compared to 0.5%).

Bardon's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Bardon's median age of 38 matches the national average of 38, though it is slightly older than the Greater Brisbane average of 36. The 45 - 54 age bracket is highly represented at 16.2% compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25 - 34 bracket is less common at 10.2%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 age bracket grew from 13.4% to 16.2% of the population, while the 35 to 44 bracket fell from 15.0% to 13.6% and the 65 to 74 age bracket decreased from 7.1% to 6.0%. Projections to 2041 show notable shifts in age structure, led by an 18% increase (321 people) in the 45 to 54 group, which will rise to 2,112 from 1,790, while the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups will decrease in size.